Go back

Ecommerce Subscription Playbook & Benchmarks: Operators Build (E6)

from Operators

83m 6s

Ecommerce Subscription Playbook & Benchmarks: Operators Build (E6)

The episode emphasizes the strategic importance of building subscription-first models for sleep supplement brands like Wings. A core principle is that recurring revenue offers superior long-term value and lifetime value (LTV) over one-time sales, especially when customers form a daily habit. The discussion highlights the need to start with a clean, non-discounted subscription offer—avoiding early price reductions that erode trust. Quarterly billing is recommended to create a stronger psychological commitment, as it signals a long-term lifestyle choice rather than a temporary trial. Testing is central: brands must experiment with offers, messaging, and personalization to optimize conversion. Messaging, particularly in the buy box, can drive a 3–8% uplift in conversion, making it a critical element. Personalization—such as asking about household size or sleepers—enables tailored onboarding and messaging, improving relevance and engagement. Early education is vital, with brands educating users on long-term benefits (e.g., improved focus, better sleep quality) rather than immediate effects, which prevents short-term usage and builds loyalty. Key performance benchmarks include a 70% first-order conversion rate, 90% first-order retention, and 35%+ 6-month cohort retention. The takeaway is that success lies not in chasing retention numbers alone, but in creating a seamless, personalized, and habit-driven customer experience from day one. Brands must balance simplicity with personalization, avoid friction in the purchase flow, and leverage data to deliver meaningful, segmented communication.

Transcription

16564 Words, 87634 Characters

English
Okay, welcome back to operator's build. This is episode six. Today is Cody and myself. We have Aiden from Skio. We have Bernard from OmniSend. We are going to talk all things, subscription, business model. Why are we building wing subscription first? What is the whole purpose of this? Why is predictable recurring revenue? A good thing. Is it more profitable than one off sales? Less profitable. How do we think about cohorts? How are we thinking about messaging recurring fees? Everything that is the subscription economy, we are going to cover in this episode. We're talking pricing a little bit. We're going to actually even, you're going to see Cody actually pull up our buy box and show you how we're thinking of our subscription offer out of the gate. Aiden may roast us a little bit. You're going to love this episode. It's a bit of a fire host, so I'm going to warn you right now as you start to listen or watch. By the way, you should watch, I'm telling you that now, you should watch this one on YouTube. It's a lot that's going to come at you. Cody and I are going to do a little recap at the end because we have a lot of work to do after this episode. Let's get into it. The reason that we got you guys on, since neither one of us has built a subscription first brand before, we thought this would be an opportunity to have you guys on and school us a little bit. You guys get to see a lot more than brand operators do. You guys have data on hundreds, if not thousands of brands. We've got a product. It's a sleep supplement. We're selling it as a daily. It's built for subscription. We want to, obviously, our goal is as many subscribers as possible. As many quality subscribers as possible. Bernard, I want you to help us think through communication. Maybe Aiden, take us away. Let's start with the very basics of what we should be thinking about. For sure. What I will say is one, having access to all of this data makes you realize one thing, and there is no silver bullet, if I could talk to that. Silver bullet. When it comes to everything in subscriptions, and that's why, if you spend a bunch of time on Twitter, we all do. Everybody's going to tell you I test everything, and I can just tell you having come from the messaging world before I got into all of this. Subscriptions are no different. It's test everything, and then keep it super simple. What I mean by that is we have brands come in, and it's, I would say not just keep it super simple, but don't get lazy too. Nobody wants to do the hard work. Everybody sees like, hey, Ski-O, recharge, whatever platform you're on. We've all done a good job of building out the features that make this stuff easy, just because it's easy just not being, you should be spending time there. Upsells, cross-sells, these sort of things. They're exciting, but if you don't have a large subscriber group, they're not going to do anything for you. If you think about this, I would say simple, stupid, basic, or as all of our podcasts, people like to talk about first principles, it's like, hey, you guys are a brand new brand, right? What I would prescribe, and what anybody in the space is going to prescribe is going to be completely different if you're a brand with, let's say, 50 or 100,000 subscribers, right? Because then we're going to go through diagnosed, you might have some sort of great offer, and you're bleeding out in a different way. You're not doing enough upsells. You're not doing a good enough job with messaging, but wings, being a baby brand, you have no subscribers. You're not new. What you are about to have is a bunch of traffic, so it's like, hey, think about it very plainly. We're driving a bunch of traffic to the site. What's the one thing that we want to do? We want to convert as many people as possible. So that's where offer testing becomes the most important thing you can spend time on, and like literally test everything, like make sure you have great testing software in place. The offer, I would say the subscription core offer is the most important piece, right? And that's going to be what do I get as a subscriber when I sign up? The unfortunate approach that a lot of brands take is they start to discount, they start to discount it way too early. And if you look at a lot of our brands that have, I mean, you're seeing the billion dollar home runs that are starting to get hit across the space, none of these guys are going discount happy, right? What they're doing is they're trying to value sell. So we see a lot of brands come on and they'll test with the basic buy box, which is one time versus subscription offer, right? If you have a product that's really meant for subscription, it's not scammy. You just want to be very upfront with the communication and just go all subscription offer. So let's just say like, hey, if you're buying this product, I mean, think about Winx, you guys are better sleep. You can't expect to take this product for one month, be like, hey, you know what, I'm sleeping better, I'm going to cancel my subscription. It's like, hey, I almost communicate to your buyer. If you're thinking about buying once, just don't buy it all. Like this is a supplement, this is a commitment. Yeah, you're investing in better sleep. And then you're going to communicate that in all facets or aspects of your messaging. Then you're going to say, like, hey, not using that sort of discounting play testing. Can we go all in on subscriptions? Does that? And when you're doing this testing so that we can get really into the sauce, you want to look at like because the unit economics or just economics of a subscriber are a whole lot better than a one-time purchaser, you're not just looking at that conversion rate like you would if you sold pants, right? Because you can take a little bit of a hit on the conversion rate if you're picking out a meaningful more amount of subscribers. And what I mean by that is we know that LTV is subscriber typically going to be or inherently going to be about two to three times higher than that of a one-time customer. So we're essentially doing a little bit of arbitrage there and figuring out, can I take that hit and still come out in the green, right? What I would do there is start to experiment with interval testing and then free gifting. Because free gifting is one of the best ways to create value for a customer without deteriorating or starting to discount train your customers. So we want to say, hey, we're wings. We're premium brand. What do we want to do? We want to give you, I wouldn't go with a shaker bottle. You guys are not a protein brand. We see everybody just trying to copy the shaker bottle. Think about what are things that are going to be a natural part of your subscriber's investment. For you guys, I'll just throw this out there. That's a sleep mask, right? You're on the wingsight. If somebody that cares about sleep enough that you just clicked on our ad, here's a mask. Then maybe you try adding a few other things on there, right? Once we tested the right number of gifts, and this is where you'll see people do like sleep guides, that's a free gift. But you're going to see these things stacking cart. So the people feel like they're going to even more value or the subscriber feels like they're going to even more value. And you get to the point where you're like, okay, we have our offer dialed in. And then once you have that offer dialed in, then you can start setting up surprise and delight, which are offers down down the road on order number two on order number five. What are those meaningful drop offs for you? And then the last one is getting into like the the minutia of the five ox, which is I think the days of auto ship are over. Don't test on that. Testing the verbiage and essentially saying like subscribe, become a routine customer, like add this to your daily cycle. These are small things that can influence the conversion rate in a meaningful way. And then you'll know, hey, here's where everybody is. And you can start to work on the other parts of the process, meaning messaging, which we can talk to Bernard about and cancel flow, which are obviously going to be huge. How much does the copy matter? Like what you say? Like do people test a lot of this to the front end? Because I suspect when we get to like the emails in the SMS that we send, that matter is quite a bit. But on the front end, like in that buy box, how much of that is copy immensely? Like we're seeing, but again, you know what I mean? Like you're going to get anywhere from like we've seen, I would say you test that buy box, right? And definitely look at Amazon, by the way. And then we're talking about how much data all the tech pros have access to because we look at thousands of brands. Amazon has millions, right? So like even Ski-O as a subscription company, we're looking at those guys. And like what's sort of messaging are they using in their five boxes? Because they're just running, it's a number scanning and they're running way more through it. So like look at what they're communicating to their customers, take advantage of that and then kind of put your own brand spin on it. But we're seeing about a three to eight percent sort of incremental lift when it comes to conversion, right? Not by changing the offer, not by doing anything, just changing the messaging that you're going to see in that buy box. So I would say it's huge, but it's not going to be as huge as that that offer. So start with the offer. Once you have the offer nailed, then you essentially earn the right to get into messaging, verbiage, that sort of stuff and copy. Like you said. Subscription brands, I am talking to you. You obsess over churned, but you only know your subscribers by skew, by cadence and the real cancellation risk. It lies in the actual humans behind that data outer signal enriches your existing customer data, the existing shop of wireless, and it turns it into real identifiable people and personas. We are talking demographics, lifestyle, who's a VIP, who's a creator? Who is buying for a business? All of these persona attributes then get pushed into your favorite email platform so that your retention and wind back flows can speak to a segment, a specific small group of people, instead of everybody on a 30-day plan. There's a native Shopify install. It's set up in minutes. Get your free persona report on your customer data when you sign up. Go to outer signal.com/operators. Tell them we sent you. I promise it'll help. - What were you saying about auto ship? You were saying, how many are gonna make sure I got it correctly? Subscribe and save does better than auto ship usually? - I would say so. Yeah, I just say, I know everybody loves blanket statements. Like they do well and absolutes. Like I think the days of auto ship are dead. I think auto ship feels very boomer. It's, you're not gonna see that on, I don't think like Amazon seems to be doing away with it. And a lot of the other, I would say like large subscription houses that are outside of Shopify seem to be moving towards like this sort of subscribe and save world. But again, going back to what I said at the beginning, all there is no silver bullet. So like test it. Maybe you have a customer that's 55 plus. They've grown up with auto ship. They feel comfortable with it. You'll figure that out quickly. But like yeah, subscribe and save. I think a lot of people are talking about the routine economy now or the recurring economy. That's what like the Ecom people will call it. The routine economy or all the people that are like health, maxing and optimizing. For those people, I would say like make this a part of your routine and even invest in your sleep. Get this monthly. Like these are all different things you can throw at this site. And again, none of us know what's gonna stick. So just throw them out there. Anytime anybody has an idea, no matter how stupid you think it is, just test it and see if it gets you an uptick in conversion or subscription take rate. Do we have any sense guys on benchmarks that we should be aiming for for take rate on subscription? I think just for both of you, Aidan Barard, we're starting with, it's a four week, right? So like it's all over. How do you feel about if I share my screen and just show that we get feedback? 'Cause I think Aidan, like I love what you're saying is like you have to test it. That should be the advice. But it's kind of also like, all right, we don't have any data. We need to know what we're gonna go with month one. So yeah, let me, I'll just share my screen and I'll kind of walk you through what we're thinking and we'd love for you guys to just give us some live feedback if that works. - Okay, so Cody, you're sharing your screen right now and you're showing the buy box. So by the way, for people listening, this is why you should go to the YouTube channel and also watch the YouTube channel and subscribe there. 'Cause you will get the video part of this. So Cody sharing your screen, you're looking at our buy box right now. But what I'd love your feedback on guys is just like how this thing is sort of constructed right now. Like we've got an every four weeks. So like the most popular option, then we have the quarterly Aidan, which I think came at your guidance last time. - Yep. - And then we're gonna do like a bunch of free gift stacking inside the quarterly, right? So the every 12 week. But what's your, I guess like maybe let's start with like what's first take on this? Language, comms, like structure, all that. - For sure, I think it's a, I think it's a good starting point. You know what I mean? Like my initial first draft. - First draft. - No, definitely better than you guys are like learning from the best. So it's good. And it's better than where most people are in two years, who are not kind of like being observant, like testing things. Like again, you called out some of the best, the best brands out there. The whole thing is like one, you have to look kind of like two steps back behind the brand. Like what are you, do you believe in your product, right? If you guys have an amazing product, which I know you spend a bunch of time on formulation using high quality ingredients. Like we, again, we see all the macro data. You can only get so far with a product that doesn't work that well. That's part of why I pushed you towards quarterly, right? - Yep. - And what you're doing with quarterly is you're not just getting that customer to pay you more money upfront. It's a bigger psychological commitment. Essentially what you're saying is instead of hey, I'm trying this thing, and then you're gonna see a subscriber that's like, all right, maybe I'll take this on weekends, I'll mix it in. They're forking over a lot more cash, and they're gonna start to actually identify as a subscriber. Somebody that's investing in their sleep. So they're like, all right, I'm gonna take this thing every day. If you look at like, I mean, the company, everybody's talking about right now, I am eight. I think I am eight pushes toward, I think it might just be a quarterly offer on their site today, which is like-- - They have both, but it's like biggest. They have like quarterly year. - It's very geared towards quarterly. Okay, I think they're testing all the time too. I forget which version I saw their site last, but it's like, it almost makes you feel stupid and Matt kind of going back to what I was talking about with the one-time purchase. I think Bean, which is another big subscription brand, does a great job with this. It's like, you almost feel stupid buying the product is a one-time customer. They're like, hey, no discount on the one-time purchase. You can try it once if you want to. But again, like people that are picking out this product, they're picking it up on a recurring basis. They're becoming subscribers. And then what you know is with quarterly, we see much higher retention on the back end. One, do that sort of like psychological commitment and be like, hey, I'm really like leaning into this. I'm trying it more. And three, the way I would say any supplement works, and that's why having a great product is so important, is that's typically when they're going to start to recognize the real benefits. One or two weeks in, you're trying to train them. And we can get into that with Bernard where you're like messaging and being like, hey, do you want to sign up for check-ins? Are we your first three to four weeks so that we establish the habit? Once the habit is established, we're waiting almost through that entire second month to get into that third month. We're like, hey, benefits kick in. So if anything, I would almost like put the quarterly box above, yeah, look at it. - I am eight, that's kind of what they do. - Yeah, I didn't want to do that all from the beginning. - I don't know, so at first, 'cause I also part of it, we don't know our numbers and data. So I think that's such a great first test. It obviously can help because all of the reasons you're saying plus getting cash up front, I feel like that can be one of our first tests. A, it's probably a higher cack. And so at with low ad budgets coming out the gate, I think it might make more sense to not have that be the first one just to get a little bit lower cack and get some more volume coming in. That's like my thought and then test into that. Again, I'm open to it, but part of the goal here was to have that, obviously, people take it great, but to have a high number that then makes the other one look a little bit cheaper, but obviously seeing a lot of people pushing that. I've heard, I would say mixed things where it's definitely really common a lot of people are doing that as like post purchase up so as well. But for some brands, they're trying to push that after like a month, two or a month, three. And then the other thing we did, just 'cause not everyone's gonna see it, we originally had the idea to have like a one time here, but we're like, let's not have the idea. I was like, not sure how confident we want to be. He's like, hey, if this business, like this business really supposed to be subscription, like let's really deemphasize it and question for you, Aiden. So we just have one line here, right? It's a pretty high price. Like we're trying to really deemphasize it. What are like, what are you able to do legally? Like are you able to just show subscription not even have one time? Is this what you would do, A, from what you would recommend and also like what you're able to do? - I would tell all brands, like make sure that as, like if you're launching a subscription brand, make sure that you have some sort of council on speed dial, right? And that's because like if you look at what's going on in the Ski-O world, like we have our own council behind the scenes, because the rate at which subscription malls are changing is insane. And there's some pretty awful people out there that are like this is just kind of like a small call out, and Dylan Stasers, that have now, they've essentially turned from ADA compliance, which like is awful. They just attack like small family businesses and now they're weaponizing subscription law, specifically in California. There's one of our least favorite people based out there there, but Wyoming, all these other states are kind of like rolling out their laws on a state-by-state basis, which like yeah, it makes it really tough for brands. Ski-O doesn't touch any of the front end. So like fortunately, we're kind of like removed from this part. What we do have to touch is the cancel flow. So right now we have about like eight different versions of our cancel flow. You can turn them all on in the back end of your account. I think they're enabled by default now, just for like legal sort of like coverage sake, but be very careful. I would say always do the one-time purchase. Like again, you guys are not running a gray hat subscription brand and we all know who I'm talking about there. I think having that sort of like perceived optionality is a great way to win trust with your customer. Because essentially what you wanna be doing the whole time is being like, hey, we're gonna bet with our full chest on this amazing product that we've made. We know it's gonna help you improve your sleep. Even having the one-time purchase there at the bottom signals that. Where you're like, hey, you can buy this if you want. It's gonna be super expensive. It's like kind of a stupid purchase to make, but like you're always gonna have those people that are like natural skeptics or whatever. And if they wanna pay that inflated price and try it, then just hit them, I mean, talk to Bernard and I'm, you said guys, hit them in the background with some sort of retargeting campaign to be like, hey, you tried the product, you wanna opt in. The big thing, big call out there. We see so many novice brands like kind of fall under this perception or misconception that like, hey, we got somebody to sign up. We'll just get them into subscription. That opt-in rate tends to be below 40%. It's not like a common thing that people are, and like, I'm talking broad strokes here. Like I know we're always gonna have people that are like, well, I got 70% and it's like cool. Like the data at a really, really high level, it shows sub 30%, it just doesn't happen. So it's like your time to strike is really when you land them on the site and they're making that first subscription purchase and it's better to get them on Cody, like you said, a monthly subscription. which you guys are doing here, and I agree with the thinking behind it, rather than kind of like letting them, letting them hop on that one time purchase and assuming that you can convert them using a bunch of email flows and retargeting, which is not true. A Bernard question for you, man. So it's just looking at the buybox now, and Cody, I don't think we've actually talked about this. You'll notice that the product is very like sleep, family sleep oriented, right? And that one of the things in our buybox guys is like, how many sleepers are in the house? Because the product is formulated to be like kid safe over four. And one of the things I'm thinking about here with Omnesend is depending on the, like if somebody just buys for themselves, to me, that's like one kind of welcome flow, right? And how we educate. But if somebody is saying like, I'm two or three or four sleepers, that is probably somebody saying I'm buying for my family. Like we're all going to take this, right? We're going to have to, I think with Omnesend, tell me if we can do this, but like somehow we got to send the appropriate content based on how many sleepers are in the house. Like I don't want to send out like kid content if it's like was single sleeper. Does that make sense? Am I explaining this right? Like you know what I mean? Yeah, this is an interesting behavior. The flow is based on quantity because you're assuming that, you know, they have a different interest. We can also, I mean, yeah, yeah. I wonder, there's probably some other data points we could get. Like I'm thinking like maybe that's like, you know, like a lot of the pop-ups people will have. They'll ask like a question before it. That could be another thing we ask to, to say. Oh yeah. Yeah, I think that that that was kind of be one of my first and talking points or just that maybe there's another way where you're not assuming that four equals definitely kids. Maybe there's another way for you to gather that kind of data point and say, okay, this person definitely has kids and therefore it makes sense for us to put them into the segment, you know, with kids and then to have that flow going out to them rather than to, you know, it may, I don't know what the setup would be where there would be four sleepers in the house without kids, but it could be some of the situation where someone is living with some roommates or some other setup where the messaging then would be pretty irrelevant to them. So I think there's a way for you to kind of confirm that and then put them into that segment and to that flow. I think that could that could really pay off. Yeah. It's also like, I mean, I'm hesitant to put too much friction at the front of this too, right? So like, I would love to just, you know how when you guys, when you book flights for your family, it like it asks you like, you got to put your name in for each person and like, how old are they and give me their passport? Like, you kind of don't want to do that on the front end. But it would be good. Just I think from a product experience, like, I'm just coming at this. If I know that it's like a mom and a six year old, we would, we would actually educate and tell them more, like we tell them something different than it's just like a grownup, you know, adults taking it. I guess that's a broader thing. Also, Bernard for you is we're going to be coming out of the gate, testing multiple sort of like ICPs or personas and angles. With multiple landing pages, like we're going to be pretty congruent in the fun also, like what they see in an ad to what they get to. And Cody, I don't know if you have a strong opinion or Bernard or, or Aiden, but like, should we actually be thinking of the email post purchase as well to make sure that we're like onboarding that ICP in the right way. Like, if it's a Perryman appausal woman versus a, you know, 30 year old mom to a four year old, like those are two very different people with two very different problem sets around sleep. Most AI tools right now are all promise and no delivery. You know exactly what I am talking about. Super fancy launch videos. This is why I'm in loving what Rich panel is doing. They have AI and support smashed together, made a practical, made it useful, made it valuable to brands today, not on some future promise. And instead of asking you to spend weeks writing prompts and uploading help docs and babysitting, they flipped the whole script. There AI builds your support team for you and everything it needs. I've watched it. It works. It's freaking amazing. Rich panel even guarantees 50% of your support volume will be automated by AI within 30 days or your money back. I call that a no-brainer offer. If you are interested, go to richpanel.com/demo, not for some generic demo, but to actually book a call and watch them build your actual support team. I think definitely, um, without introducing too much friction, like I said, you know, I don't know how you can collect that if it's some sort of quiz or some other way that you can collect it. Oh, quiz might be an interesting way to do it. Yeah. Yeah. I think that, personally, as a user, I don't mind quizzes at all, especially when I'm very interested in the product and I want to get sort of, if I can understand that the quiz that the questions in the quiz are actually going to be relevant in order to provide me with an answer at the end that's going to, you know, provide me with more value. I don't really see it or open as a user from, you know, taking that quiz, especially if it's like really, really focused, really concentrated and then gets me the answer on screen immediately. Um, and then if you can get that data at the subscription point, then you can use that data further along. And I think, uh, especially with kids, personally, I'm, I'm a parent. So I, I'm pretty skeptical of giving my kids, you know, sleeping pills. Yeah. So that means that there's going to be a greater amount of education that you have to give for someone, like I said, Tharia Manipausal. It has a different, uh, you know, educational flow versus someone who has kids, uh, someone who just, you know, got married and the first time I'm sleeping on the partner, you know, like those kind of things that can really impact your sleep. I think those data points, if you can't collect them, then we're sending them into different sort of, uh, flows and a really big, important part of this entire communication and other flows is this, like you said, this post purchase sort of educational content that you're sending them constantly to remind them why they bought it in the first place and then to give them some sort of really valuable insights in how to best apply it or some other related tips about how to improve the sleep that goes a little bit beyond the, the product that you're selling. So can I ask you guys both this on that Bernard? Uh, the marketer in me does not like sending people a lot of messages and inviting people to turn the, I want the customer to have a great experience part like hat. If I was to put that on, it's like, no, I actually really want to onboard this person. Is this, do you, either do you have a strong opinion on like if we get a subscriber, how much do we communicate with that subscriber in the first week, two weeks, a month? Is there, uh, is, are we shooting ourselves in the foot if we're trying to be too nice and like onboard, like if we're trying to be good stewards of the product and make sure they have a good experience. Like, uh, I don't know who wants to go first here, but like do you guys have opinions on this? Or is there data on this? I'm happy to take that one. Um, everybody's going to tell you so, everybody's going to have a little bit of a different opinion here. Um, I would say two things. So one, like, you got to think about your type of brand, right? You guys are selling to like, it's very fun. It's very family friendly. Like you have this little like cartoon man on there. You want to think about like moms, moms are going to be typically engaging with email on the higher end of the spectrum, right? Um, totally here, like the marketer in you, but almost going to play that back. So one, one of the biggest mistakes again, just kind of starting like broad strokes. So this is really helpful for everybody and then getting into the weeds and answering your question. Like, your subscriber list should automatically become one of your like muted audiences over, over in your omnicem account, right? Um, what does that mean? Sort of muted. You're not sending to them unless it's an upcoming order email. If I am like, yeah, I want to play this in the campaigns and like all the other crap that you're typically marketing to. Exactly. Just think about it. You guys are like again, like use basic, basic thinking to think about this. And it's like, you're, you guys are one product company. So it's even easier. If you're like a thorn or someone like that, it's a little bit different because I would argue you could make a play if you're educating me like, hey, you're on our fish oil today. If you add in collagen, whatever else this is, you'll get more benefits out of your fish oil. If you think about wings, I'm like, all right. I saw you guys all over Instagram. I saw you guys all over Facebook. I came to your site. I gave you money. I made a purchase. Shout the hell out. Unless you're telling me, unless it's like subscribers specific stuff, I'm going to be like, why are you still marketing to me? That looks like a sloppy brand that doesn't know what they're doing. And you'll actually see this in your data. You'll upset your subscribers, our stupidest brands. You'll actually see them send out offers on like Black Friday and Cyber Monday. You can like, hey, man, opt in at 60% off. Hey, man, that's signed up six months ago, and they're really signed up as something else at a lower offer. And they're like, dude, what the hell? I've been with your brand since you guys had a hundred subscribers. People notice that stuff. They know when you're a baby brand and they're just like, what is going on here? And then you'll create this problem where people are canceling going back. So you want to make sure that Black Friday season, those sort of things, you're always heading up. But going back to your initial question in the first 30 days, everything I just said gets thrown out the window. And again, that's like, that's broad strokes. Because first, I just made a purchase. I'm brand new. Like, maybe I visited the site five times. Maybe you ran ads all over everything that I click on. Now, I'm like, I made that commitment and I'm invested in sleep. And that means that I view you guys as my sleep experts, right? So what you're going to start to to tell me, and like, it doesn't matter because you can test this. what Bernard was saying about the quiz. I agree with if you guys are a skincare company, if you're a multi-squeue supplement company, where it's like, hey, we're gonna personalize this flow for you. For me, working with a lot of just the subscription maxes, like the guys that are all trying to chad scale, that's friction. Any friction from the process, you don't want it in there. You want to throw it out the window. If I could buy in one click for a brand like yours, I should be able to buy in one click. And then you can try to siphon information out of me on the back end because it doesn't matter if I am that like woman entering menopause, right? Like you talked about, or I am that like 29-year-old dude that's trying to like biohack, the benefits are the same. I want to sleep better. And what you want to do is say, hey, you've started your 30-day investment in sleep or 90-day, I would filter based off the interval count. And then what I would do is educate them through it, right? Your biggest fear is that I start taking my supplement late on five, six days behind. And then you ship me my next order and you get that immediate first order fatigue where like I'm a great fit customer. You like I would have stayed subscribed but because I started a little late and we'll talk about like skips in the first order messaging and all that sort of stuff. But like the best thing I've seen brands do is essentially sell me on the benefits but in a way that almost fomos me into taking my subscription. So it would be like, hey Aiden, it's day seven. And you can also ask people if they want to sign up for text reminders. I think Gaines and Bach, another really cool brand on Ski out, did a great job with this. They were like, sign up for our text flow and we'll send you a t-shirt. If you like actively take your supplement for the first 30 days and they check in with you, right? But let's say they don't do that over email. I'm like, hey man, it's day seven. If it's day seven and you can look at gray matter, they do this in their portal too. It's like if you've been taking your supplement every day, you're starting to wake up, you're starting to sleep deeper. You're waking up with a clear head. You're more focused at work. Like sell me on the life benefits that come with taking my supplement because then if I'm taking it, I'm gonna be like, hell yeah. Like I'm starting to feel like that. If I'm not taking it, I'm gonna be like, well I'm missing out on all of that stuff. And the last thing I'll say and then I'll shout out and hand it over to Bernard is like, on that first order, again, I was traveling. And this happens all the time by the way. Like most people sign up, sign up on a Wednesday, product comes on a Friday. I'm gonna go be for the weekend. And then Monday, that's when like healthier me starts, right? Like top of the month, they're top of a new week. I'm now three or four days behind. In that first email, everybody's like, we wanna sneak that first order through or that second order through, right? Just give them, hey man, your next order is coming. Hopefully you're feeling all the benefits and love in the product. If not, let us know. Here's our help address. If you need five more days, click this button. You'll have a fast link that Ski-O, this end will work to bring you life for you. Five days, seven days, 10 days. And it's be like, we'll bump your subscription out so that we're on a cycle that works for you. If you can nail that cycle for them on the first two to three orders, again, we see the retention rates on the back end are a whole lot higher. I wasted two hours over the weekend trying to upload ads and I said, I never should have to do that again. So I had run a do it. Looked at every ad, picked the right landing page. It named all the ads, wrote the headline and copied to match from options I gave it, set the name and conventions, set UTMs, all of it and pushed it to ads manager for me. All I had to do was go into ads manager, QA, hit live and it was done. Run it as an agent with its own virtual computer so it never shuts off, it's always on. The whole team can talk to it. The same run it then slack. It remembers everything. It has pre-built skills based on some amazing stuff that the motion team has built. Here's one example of how I'm using it. Last night I hooked up Tribe, our creator sourcing tool and anytime a creator video comes in, it gets QA'd against my feedback that I gave in it before. We get notified of any new video. I can have it ad captions. It watches the video, figures out what it's about, ads name and conventions and it hooks. I've been doing a lot, building a lot of static ads with run it as well. It's pretty awesome and it all comes out of the box. We've been using our Winx as our main creative strategist using it to build tons of ads for us. Winx is using it, Ridge is using it, Hexclad is using it as well. Go to run it.com. They're giving listeners 500 million free tokens for your first month. Okay. So Bernard, what's your take on the whole education in the first 30 days? Yeah, I think it's actually great, Aiden. I like that a lot. Just from regular marketing emails, that makes sense. But education is such a big thing around products like this. You do need people to take them as a daily for them to really feel it. Yeah, so I really definitely agree with most of what Aiden said there, right? And I was going to challenge him until he said about the onboarding. That's an exception and I 100% agree. For that first 30 days, you need that onboarding flow for these new users who may not have enough information yet about how or when or why they should be taking these sleeping pills and they may not even have the schedule yet where they are reminded. Take this every day. And as you mentioned, I think previously, you're not going to really feel these effects until month two or month three. So maybe priming them for that expectation that you're going to be at your healthiest if you continue to take these pills. And then by month two or my three, we can send you another message that says, "By now you should be feeling XYZ." I think that within this onboarding flow, definitely you've got to set up this confirmation. You're confirming that they are getting what they wanted to get and when they're going to get it and some of the options that they have, whether it's skipping or pausing or managing the subscription one or another, setting these expectations. And then definitely the next thing, as you guys mentioned, would be that education. I think that educating the customer gives them a sense of what kind of value that they can expect and also give them some tips on how to extract most value from it, based on all the information that you have about your product. And then from time to time to do those sort of check-ins, like eight inside after seven days, how is it going? Are you taking your pills, et cetera? That two months period, when most people are feeling this really strong health benefits and they're starting to notice that they're sleeping a bit more consistently, you may want to have a check-in then and say, is it going great? Ask for some social proof or provide some social proof. Just to keep that touch going. Overall, just to go back to the first principles here and talking about subscription models and non-subscription models. We're all doing this because we're establishing this hopefully lifelong or long-term relationships with the customers. And great relationships really depend on great communication. And great communication is not a one size at all. Every single person that you have is communicated to in the same way, but rather, who is this person? And what are their points in life and what are their ICP profiles and what are they trying to achieve here? Taking all that into account, you're going to mold your communication for that particular customer profile. - You know, OK, so Bernard, really want to look quick. It's not a pill, it's a powder. It's a sleep powder. Just for your language, I know, it's a matter. I get it, I just for people listening. So the second, OK, so both you guys and Cody, you know what's top of mind for me right now is we, because we've got this sort of family brand family, like it's fun, we're going to use a lot of humor in our ads, all that stuff. I sort of think that we can incorporate that into every message that we send out is let's actually have some fun with it. The other thing that we've got on our side, and I don't know if this changes what you guys are thinking, is unlike a lot of supplements, the first night you take this, is you're going to feel it. Like it would be shocking to me that like you would take this and not be like, well, that felt different. Like you're going to wake up in the morning and be like, oh, OK. - Benching that versus like an IMA, you don't know anything or a Croons like. - Yeah, like you just don't know if it's working or not, right? This is like very fast. You know, it's not a knock your ass out. There's no melatonin in it. But it is very much alike. I mean, Cody, like, well, if we got to review this week, it's just like-- - My first night taking it, my son woke up and I couldn't get out of bed 'cause I was just sitting such a deep sleep. My wife had to get him. So yeah, you can feel something. No, 'cause yeah, even like, that's a good point on that one. Like, you know, I've talked to people about when they try to convert their one time customer into, you know, subscription. And like they've tested various things. And I think to put it on its point, like sometimes it takes longer. You have to hit 'em later. Like we might actually have more success doing it in the first week because that's when people might be consistent on it and be like, all right, cool. This is working for me. Let me stick to it. - Yeah, and I'm probably overthinking this. But the sleep is such a universal problem. Like there's so many, it doesn't spare anyone, right? Maybe Sean. Sean seems to be the only person in the world I know that sleeps all of time. But we have, I think it's like this, I'm probably overthinking it, but like, we have so many different types of customers that we could be getting here, right? Like there's the traveling woman. There's like, there's her husband. There's her six-year-old who's like suffers with anxiety and like there's so many different profiles of this customer and how they use the product is just so different. So I mean, there's like this generic onboarding that we're gonna have to do. And then there is part of me that like in that first email, it would be great if we could somehow, I don't know if this is possible. with Oni Sen. But like, I would love to learn a little more about who this person is. You know, like, can we have links in the email, which is like, who's taking this? Is it you? Is it a kid? Is it like some way that we can just segment them and put them into the appropriate flow? Again, I'm just thinking of like, I want to make sure that the product gets used the right way, right? And that we help people. Like, I think it's a brand. One of the things with the brand is like, we will have better LTV if people feel like we are the sleep expert and that we are helping them. And that it's not just the product. It's like, what can we send them like eight and one of the things that we're going to do is like, we're going to have our own sleep app at some point, right? Like, here's the, here's the, here's the app with the product. So we help you build better sleep hygiene and better habits. But out of the gate, it's like, this is an Oni Sen thing. This is a Ski O thing. Like, we got to use what we can to communicate with everybody. But yeah, the immediate effectiveness part, I'm curious if you guys have a take here if this changes how you think of things. Because like, you're going to feel it, everybody's going to feel it the first time they take this one. Actually, this is a great kind of point to bring back to about this onboarding flow. Like, you know, my, I don't have a sleeping problem with my wife. I asked from time to time and she takes a melatonin and sometimes it works. Sometimes it doesn't. Yeah. So if she's went and started subscribing to Wings, I think this would be kind of a very important thing to sort of prep people. You know, this is where you can expect me the first night. You know, we're not going to, it's not going to take you seven days for you to start feeling the effect. You're going to be knocked out immediately that first night. And to present it, of course, in a good way, in a positive sense. So this kind of expectation setting, it doesn't just tell them what's going to happen tonight, but it also differentiates your product from another, you know, competitor that might not be able to do the same thing that you're doing. And then reminds them that this is actually what I initially bought this, this, you know, I, I double down on the subscription just for this particular reason. And I, you know, I think that going back to the definitely the marketing brain on my side is that when a customer makes a purchase, there is some sort of emotional, you know, there's some sort of bigger reason behind that person is not to something functional. Hey, give me some, you know, medicine so I can go to sleep, you know, they want to go to sleep for a reason. They have this, like you said, could be traveling. They want to, they want to catch up to the some other situations. And then to continuously throughout your education and throughout your marketing materials and even on your website, just focus most squarely on that reason and then find different ways to remind people that this is what problem they wanted to solve. And this is how your product is able to solve that problem in a consistent and high quality way. It feels like it's expectation setting, right? And I think that that's the, you know what, this makes me think of, and thank you for that Bernard Aiden, you made this comment, I think on our last call, that like there are things about subscription companies that are not obvious that can bite you, right? And what I'm trying to avoid here with this line of questioning is just like, because we're selling a supplement where the effects are felt pretty quickly, do we have to think about the business differently than if I was selling like a multivitamin where you don't feel, right? And that's kind of why I'm asking all this is like, what are we just not thinking of? Or it's like, like if they feel it right away, do they, do we run the risk of like they don't take it as consistently? Right? You know, part of the reason we put it in a stick like it's a stick packs is it's also travel friendly. So like if you are going to go on the road, you know, like you do go from Miami up to the Hamptons, like you just grab a few and you go as opposed to like scooping powders. So that's kind of why I'm getting at this is like, I want to be thoughtful with how we on board. Because I think that that my view with even non subscription products is retention is largely about the buying experience and the initial experience of the product. And then that's what keeps people around, right? It's not, it's actually not like no knock on Omnisander Skio, like your retention is not going to most is is like 90% of it is not in the technical implementation of this. It's like, is the product good? Did they have a good experience buying it? Like, did they feel good buying it? I mean, you can have the best marketing in the world, but if the product sucks, I mean, there's nothing we can do. Yeah. If you also have the best marketing in the world, you can make people feel not so awesome in their buying experience. That's true. Right? Like if you're optimizing for short term money, you have been listening to us talk for years about building nine figured durable goods brands, Hexclad, Ridge, Simple Modern Pila, when we sat down to build wings, there was never a question it had to be a subscription brand. And being the veterans we are, we could work with anyone, but we decided to work with Skio to build wings. Working with the team over at Skio has been awesome. We get to see all of the stuff that the fastest growing CPG brands are actually doing to acquire more subscribers and keep them longer. My favorite example of this has been incentivizing new customers to go from a monthly subscription to a quarterly subscription right after their first purchase, but before they get their first order. The team at Skio has been sharing insights on how much in portal flexibility to give subscribers when to change frequency, when to offer product swaps, when to do gifting, what rewards should look like? What is cancel flow optimization? The list is freaking endless and they have shared it all. They have been incredible to work with. They are bringing so much value to this partnership almost feels a little unfair. If you run a subscription brand, you should be talking with the team over at Skio. They know their stuff. Can I ask a tactical question on this? What are some of the metrics that we should be thinking about and optimizing for? What are eight and if you have Benchmarks for? I know everything depends, but 30-day retention. What are some of the bigger subscription KPIs that we should be thoughtful about? I would say for you, again, being a baby brand, and answers are going to change, but new brand, I'm looking at that first to second order rate. I think that's one of the most important things, because it's kind of like Matt going back to what you were just talking about. I think that's a signal of, did I do a good job with everything that you're talking about? Did I make it easy for somebody to subscribe? Did I make it easy to manage? Did I sell them on the benefits of the product? I'm going to answer both of the questions that you guys posed at the same time here. Just because you feel the effects immediately, I wouldn't market this any differently. Because if you market towards the immediate effects, you've now created like a Chotsky product. Almost like everybody knows the sex chocolates that blew up. You guys are not a sex chocolate company. That's not something that people are using on a routine basis. You want to sell them on the lifestyle. You want to sell them on becoming a subscriber. If you do a good job, I mean, good marketing all back into psychology, you're trying to get that person to stop saying, "I take this product on a daily basis, or I take this product to sleep better," right? I have a bunch of my friends steal. I take a bunch of magnesium glycinate. I am like your ideal customer. I became obsessed with my sleep, and I give it to them, and they're like, "Dude, I had a great night's sleep last night. I'm like, cool." Then they don't take it. They don't go and buy it. What you want to do is you want to sell them on the long-term effects, the invisible effects, which are like, "Dude, 30 days from now, you're waking up, and you're one and a half more times productive at work." If you become a subscriber, if you take this every day, because that is my, that's my biggest concern with everything that you just said. As you approach this like that, you end up with a trick product, and it's not a trick product. Sleep is a lifelong investment, right? You want to say like, "Hey." See, that's why I ask it right there. That's what I was thinking of. Yeah, you want to sell it. Sell on that future. Sell on the routine. Sell on like, you're not a winged subscriber. You are somebody that takes sleep seriously, and you're making this as a lifelong commitment, because you want to sleep better, and you want to be the best version of yourself. Then Cody, going back to your question, on like, again, at the beginning, I care about conversion rate. Conversion rate, because you're pushing me, I'm happy to go like 35 to 40%. That's what I would shoot for. Take rate on subs. Take rate on subs on your first order. With your guys' buybox, I would expect that to be a whole lot higher with like that. Yeah, because we're going like, it's your idiot if you don't. Exactly. You're going to see like, your style buybox, like, we have people doing 79%, 80% today, almost 100%. The way you guys have set this up, your style product, your style brand, the way you're going to be marketing. If I'm you, I'm just trying to set a low bar, so you guys aren't like super mad if it doesn't take off in the first few days, but in the first few weeks, I would shoot for 50 to 75. Honestly, like that 70 range, and then I would keep doing everything you can to try to get there. Other small note on that, because I know I said mute your whole subscriber list after your first month, big sauce, that I was really wrong on. Then I got schooled by a can't drop their name, but one of the biggest sub brands out there, they've been around for like 12 years, keep your mute your subscriber list. keep your ads running for this exact reason. They leave their ad, they don't mute their audience. Ad-wise for the first 90 days, and they saw much stronger retention because you're hitting them from one more angle or one more place, one more surface, where you're doing benefit reinforcement, which is like a lot of your ads are like by this, you're gonna be healthier, you're gonna sleep better at whatever it is. And then sorry, I know I'm jumping all around, but Cody going back to you, try to hit that like, if you're above 30, 40%, your traditional brand coming out of the gate, great, you're doing well. If you're offering that one time product in like a traditional buy box, your guys buy box, shoot for 65% end above, I'm really hoping you guys are in 70 out of the gate. Then looking at that like first order drop off rate, you're crushing, try to get 90%. Like if you're like Matt, you're a master marketer, you guys have too much marketing heat on your team behind this. Like shoot, like, you know what I mean? Shoot for the stars land on the moon, you're trying to hit 90%, you end up at 70%, great. And then what I'm monitoring as you start to build your first like substantial cohorts, and what I mean by substantial is like bare minimum, thousand subscribers plus in each one of these cohorts. L6 is what I really care about. L6, you're hitting 35%, 35% above retention. You have like a one-of-one brand. You're up there with some of the best, some of the biggest and best brands right now, can't share who, 7%, 8% on L6. That's not a brand. - But L6 being like us, six months, right? - Last six month on a cohort basis. And that's the other thing we'll see is like, again, that's why I tried to kind of guiding you like the top of the podcast is like, A, we see a lot of these brands show up, and they're like, show because they've listened to things like this, they're so fixated on their retention and they're distracting themselves, they're losing mental cycles and energy, trying to get 256 subscribers to an above 35% rate of retention on a six-month thing. That doesn't matter. That doesn't tell you anything. That's 250 people. It's when you get into it, you're picking up 1,000, 2,000 customers a month that that data starts to become really meaningful. And that's why I said, start to focus on everything at the top, which is your offer. Get them into the fold. Once you have a large enough audience, so you have 2,000, 3,000 subscribers, they're going to start to leave unless you don't do a good job maintaining them, optimize the hell out of your cancel flow, and then because it hits both of us, but it's me and Bernard, the biggest one that everybody misses is then nail your messaging and nail the ability to manage a subscription without having to log into the portal through your messaging. Those are the three biggest things that if you get them right, because common misconception too, people don't log into the portal. Like your utilization rate on the portal is going to be so low. If they do, their retention is way higher, but a lot of brands are lazy and they don't bring that sort of skip functionality outside of the portal, like you can do with both of our great platforms, so like you hit those three things in your six months, you guys are going to have a hell of a brand. You're so-- - Can I repeat back what I heard? - Yep, just so I understand. - So at the first 30 days, - Yep, Cody, I think what Aiden is saying is that we want to try to retain good would be like 70% of our subscribers. They retain 70% of them retain on their first, on their second order, right? And then at six months, you're saying that 35% is like insane good? - Yeah. - That's great. - Yeah, like again, kind of broad strokes, brand like yours. - Yeah, broad strokes. - Yes, yes. If it's like a retainer brand, it would be weird if they had like that low retention or any of those ones that's stopping from like grinding it. Yeah, powder, powder, supplement, 35. And again, I said, month two, I'm shoot for 90. I think 90, 85, really, really good. I'm saying like, I might be a little worried at 70, especially with your first few things. And then the big one for-- - Dressure Cody. - Yeah. - Yeah, yeah. - That's higher than I would've thought. - I'm sorry, that's good. - Yeah. - Like yeah, yeah. - I think that first order retention should be really high, just with a product like yours. Again, you're like, it works. You get the immediate benefit, your benefit selling. That's why I'm setting such a high bar for you guys. And remember, I'm setting that. If you don't hit it, great. You're still putting up some really solid numbers. I'm trying to think, like after that, you can look at the messaging that you're sending. And I would also, a big thing too, up front. Try to tag, try to build as much data and Shopify as you possibly can, not like iskioplog by any means. We're going to allow you to build custom cohorts based off tags in Shopify. What I'm doing, like Cody, if I'm you, is we see so many brands get this wrong because they either found an amazing ad agency. They're amazing ad guys, like you are. And they just get so excited about that first order, especially when they start pumping quarterly subscriptions that they're like, our average order value is so high, this is great. And they lose sight of all of this, like down the road, because then they see that that particular ad set that they had like really, really low cap on, they're really happy. All of those guys are falling off on their second order. And then the other one where Cap might have been two, three X, they might have lost money on that first or second order. Those guys are staying a whole lot longer because the way that they're educating them and the type of customer that they're attracting is a whole lot more resilient. These are the things that I'm kind of setting up in my first 30 days, for sure. - I'm getting back into the weeds. One of the things I'm probably the rustiest on is emails. I'm super excited to be using on new send. They're using them on links. We're AI Pilled, we are using it to do everything. I'm running most of our email program from Cloud and Codex using the MCP and it's awesome. We also have email, SMS and pop-ups, all in one place. We have all of our flows, welcome series. It's all talking to each other. I love the platform. The analytics are really good to highly recommend it, especially if you're in position the wings is in, new brand starting out. But if you're on their own platform and you're paying too much and you want to switch, they will do the migration completely for you. No loss data, no loss list. Takes only five days start to finish. And they are giving our listeners 30% off the first three months. Go to omnesend.com/9operators to try it out for yourself. Can I ask then the L12, so at a one year, what would an amazing cohort retention rate be or turn how we want to attack that? What's best in class for a powder, for a supplement, like whatever, how we want to attack that? Give me two stacks on that one. No, he's like, this is why we have you on here. It's like, you have actual data, one final second. And then we're gonna have the L6 and L12 numbers for y'all. Yeah, I'm saying like, yeah, 90 might have been a little high on the first, on the second month. But I am seeing like 80, 80 across the board. So it shoot for 90 land on 80. And then 12, yeah, 20, 22 to 30%. All right, 22 to 30. 'Cause I've got numbers on this a lot, like all over the place. I don't know Cody, if you've been talking to some of our friends about like what their 12 month retention looks at, but it's like, it's all over the place, man. I've heard, I've had people tell me that like, if you can land between 12 and 20% retain revenue at 12 months on a supplement, that's like, at big scale, sorry, that the caveat would be like, you're spending two, three, four, five million a month on ads acquiring customers. And that your 12 month is at like 12 to 20%. If you're at 20, you're insane. Like that's like world class. That's good. - If you're spending that much for sure, I remember I'm like, so the data you're asking when I might check in these brands, these are, I just checked a few of the biggest ones out there. I'm going, and then I also checked some of the up in commerce. The guys that have gone from zero to a million dollars a month in their first eight to 12 months, that's what I'm seeing. And these are the brands that are, it all depends on what you're trying to do. You're trying to cashflow this brand, don't money into it. You get to 12%. That's fine. 15%. You're like probably acquirable. You're not going to get a great multiple. You want these big sexy multiples that you're seeing on LinkedIn. Those are the numbers you should be shooting for. Yeah, everybody's building with a little bit of a different sort of like purpose, intention, those sort of things. And that's why I was also saying like a lot of those brands, you're probably messaging in the background. Those guys are just like removed as a part of the process of scaling a big brand. They're probably not in the ad weeds anymore. You have Cody sitting over here, you know what I mean? So like Cody can obsess over this thing. You can spend three to five million dollars a month, whatever it is, and bring on a much stronger cohort. If you figure out the type of messaging that gets you that stronger subscriber at first, a lot of those brands just went through the process of like, I'm going to do working my text sales job or whatever it is. I'm going to start this as a passion project. My body up the road is running ads for me. I'm just trying to scale as much as I can and put money into that ad machine. And then I think if you sat down with those guys, and you sat down with the guys that are 20% and above L12 versus R12%, and be like, "Tell me who your best customer is," right? Who is that? What do they look like? And by the way, not a plug. I don't get paid for this, but outer signal. Those guys are getting a cracked amount of data for our customers, allowing them to figure out like we have one brand had no idea. They're their customers. They've some of the strongest retention I've ever seen. Lawyers, doctors, big execs, they change early days. They figured that out, changed the way they marketed to them, and boom, all of a sudden, they've cracked that sort of retention scheme, while continuing to dump dollars into it, where we see these other brands, and they actually have to pull back on their advertising, or they actually start to lose serious money, because they're spending and they're spending big, but they have no idea who they're going after. And that's why it's so important to know that. I think Cody and I have an unhealthy level of obsession with this stuff. So we should be fine. I appreciate that, though. Can we, Cody, is it cool? Can we shift to talking a little more on the messaging part of this? So particularly post-purchase. Bernard, what would you tell us like we're new? What should we be setting up as bare minimum? What do we have to get going day one? I just want to make sure that we're not like 30 days in and being like, oh, you guys forgot to push the red button. I don't want to do that. I think that a lot of the stuff that you need to do in the first place is exceptionally basic. And we have seen many brands who are in the business for a long time, and they're also skipping the basics, right? So sometimes it's very important to go back to those first principles, understand that we're building a relationship with the customers, and doing the basics is like the first order of business. So the first one that definitely I would recommend any single brand, to do is to set up this welcome email and expectation setting email. And this is kind of the one where we talked about, do we mention within that email that the first time you're going to take this powder, you're going to be knocked out a bit more than you would be with the other ones? I think that's maybe a question for you guys to discuss. But it's actually confirming some of the stuff that they were hoping for when they made that subscription, which may not have been clear in the copy. It's like, what are they subscribed to? How are they going to receive it? When is the shipment going to come? When the next charge is going to happen? And then, of course, how can they manage this all? How can they skip? How can they cancel? How can they pause? That kind of stuff you all want to put, either if it's in one message, hopefully, or if you set that up into split messages over a few days, then that's okay. But you kind of want to welcome them because they are new to your brand. They maybe new to your product. And you want to give them as much context so that they can be primed for when they actually are going to receive the product. The second one is then, okay, the first one kind of confirmed everything that you were hoping for that you paid. And the dates that you can expect or you should expect your product. And then the second one is you're like, okay, what is this first value in messages that's going to hit them a bit harder? You know, Aiden mentioned it. Definitely that. You know, in 30 days, in 60 days, you're going to have 1.5. You're going to have three times as much energy. You're going to wake up with all this. And you're going to see that difference. And you want to emphasize, again, the same brand, the same story. This is the thing that differentiates wings from the other guys. This is what you are going to get this future version of yourself. And here's how you can use a product. And these are some of the things that you should be doing on a regular basis in order to get the most out of the product. I think with the sleeping powder, maybe it's not that of a complex product but you need to have extremely complicated instructions. But essentially, one of the important things that you want to remind them is, you know, take it regularly and you will feel better. And then within 30 days, 60 days, you're going to have this really big, you know, what's his word. Understanding that this is a good investment of your time. So some of the other ones that I think some people definitely skip is what I would call the post delivery check-in. So after they get that first delivery, you can ask this question. And I think Aiden also kind of mentioned a little bit with that seven-day delay. Have you started using it? Is anything unclear? Is there something that, you know, you have a question about that? We didn't really answer or there's some issues that you may have faced. Are you getting the result that you expected? Right, so this sort of check and gives the customer a chance to tell you something that is wrong before they go ahead and they manage subscription and then they hit that cancellation button. So you want to kind of avoid that by giving them this opportunity to explain, you know, to tell you what's good or what's bad and then gives you an opportunity to step in and guide them towards kind of the right usage or how they can get the most value at a product. Can I ask you a follow-up on this? So post delivery. Let's start with you, Bernard, but I love your take on this too, Aiden. When do we ask people for reviews? So like, we got a trigger. It's like post delivery. How long until we should basically say, like, hey, how's it going? I think this one is really, you know, different. But maybe it's a question for the founders here. How long do you think it takes for people to see the value? You know, after the first night, they say, wow, I slept great that night. And now, you know, the next day, I'm ready to recommend this brand to other people. I think at that point where they're at this pretty high peak where you think that they would be willing to recommend the brand to their friends the way that Aiden recommended magnesium to his colleagues' friends. I think that would be a good point for you to say, okay, now it's time to see if I can get a review from this customer. Yeah, Aiden, what do you think, man? When should we, when should we ask for a review? If you're a DTC brand not taking TikTok shop seriously yet, then you need to be. That's where T-Bar partners come in. They're the actual operators behind some of the biggest TikTok shop brands right now. Ridge, Hexclad, Groons, most importantly, us at Winx and more. T-Bar built the system behind all of them, creator sourcing, sampling strategy, discord management. They help building a real loyal TikTok shop community and a huge bonus is they give brands a ton of high-performing UGC content that crushes it on meta. So if you're looking to scale up TikTok shop, visit T-Bar Partners.com. Yeah, I'm glad you fly. I would say it all depends on what you're selling for, which is like quantity of reviews versus quality of reviews. And you want to rack up like really good sort of you should do it first. DTC, sorry. What I would do if I'm you guys is essentially knowing that it packs a punch, knowing that my first night I'm going to feel really well rested. I'm probably running a few different flows here. All after, if you, I don't know who you're using for like shipping, you have that sort of like shipping subscription-landed style email. I'm probably sending three days and these are all different groups. By the way, I just like split testing three days, five days, seven days. And then I'm also probably running after second order renewal, same sort of thing. Testing seven days, 10 days, 12 days. And then also after the third order renewal. Kind of like explanation behind the reasoning there. One, you have a product that passed a punch. People are going to be most enthusiastic typically when they try it out for the first time. So you're going to get a certain quality of like wow. I just have my best night of sleep. You can start to plug a lot of that in your welcome series where it's like I didn't know what to expect. My or like people love calling out Aura and like whoop data now. Especially for like the biohacker types and just be like just got me that plaster that all over your email, right? Then there's the second one, which is like hey, I just renewed for the first time, right? That means like I didn't hate your product enough that I didn't cancel or I forgot to cancel. You're going to run that risk of getting bad review. He is then they're going to be okay, then you just need to have a reach out flow that's okay. We saw you have the bad review. We want to turn this experience around. Let us know how we can make this right. And then third after that third order. Third order is if like they didn't get pissed off on the second order renewal. They're like they're in. They like the product. They're with the company. That's where I think you're going to get some of your strongest reviews. Where like hey, I don't think there's harm in maybe like running subscribers through all three of them. Like you haven't left it like if then you haven't left a review yet. Go and ask them. That's where you're going to get those like stories like that like powerful stuff that you can use or it's like call out like kind of review. Exactly. And then you'll get three different types. And then like let's just say track what all three of those flows are getting you. And if you like dude people on that like second order email really seem to like we're getting a real mix back there. Turn that one off and ask the people right after they take it and then three months down the road. And I think you'll you'll you'll sort of get a feel for it and fine tune it over time. Okay, that's helpful guys. Thank you both. I feel like we got so much. I feel like I can't wait to get to work on it all. I know I'm slacking codey note so I'm like we got to change language. which on this? - To toss on top of everything that Bernard said, one of the most I keep talking about testing everything, one of the biggest things that you can figure out at first, like you're gonna regret not having done this 90 days later, subject line testing on your upcoming order email, right? Like you want to nail that? Like why the hell anybody sends your next order is almost ready? Even if I love your products, like that does not get me excited, like Aiden, like a better night's sleep is on the way. Like this is getting packaged. Be as transparent as you want there. I'm not saying doing anything shady with the messaging, but like you should be excited about your product. I should be excited about your product. Don't hit me with we're packing your order. For people that do gifting, you can be like Aiden, you're one order away from your next gift, and then in parentheses, be transparent. Your next order, or your next order is coming. Like build excitement for this. Like I don't know, you're sleep, second stage, and you're sleep journey, and then do benefit reinforcement in that email. But like make those things fun, and then the other thing I wanted to toss on there is just big one, why cancel flow is so important? Is wanting to get this out there, and I wanted to tell you guys as you go and set this up. Cancel flow data is goal in subscription world. You can use it for so many different things. One of the biggest things is we're working on this kick ass integration with OmniSend right now. We're going to be able to push that cancel flow data into OmniSend, right? So what you're going to be able to do, and the laymish ever, and I'm sure we've all subscribed to brands here, is like you get an email that's like, hey Aiden, we noticed that you can't send you a subscription three months ago, bro, like we're running a 20% offer. You want to come back today, and like the reason I canceled might have been this made me throw up all over my house. I don't care that it's 20% offer. I hate the flavor of lemon, whatever it is. What you can start to do is take that, and in your win-back email, that you should absolutely be running, probably 60 days after they cancel. Again, experiment with that. You can say Aiden, we saw that you canceled Pizzer favorite flavor of lemon was out of stock. Lemon is back in stock. I'm going to reactivate OmniSend so Aiden, we saw that you canceled because the dose was too happy. You actually couldn't get up and you missed work the next day. Hopefully that's a problem you guys have. We just launched a lighter weight version of our product for people that are super sensitive to our ingredients. These are the sort of things where it's just like, you go that extra mile, you get rewarded with dollars by your subscribers, and I think you guys will find that especially in your outreach over time. - This reminds me of one more question for you. Reminder emails. Are there different strategies there? Are there different things that you think about? I've seen very, very transparent. I know you have to send them, but I know there's ways to make it more visible or less visible. Is there any secret sauce to that? Do you expect a lot of churn from those or not is there anything with timing and just anything we should know about setting those up? - For sure, again, test one day, three day, five day, right? So three different cohorts, we're letting them know one day before their next order ships, three days before their next order ships, five days. And I'm not just looking for how this impacts or shows up in my retention. I'm also looking at that sort of sentiment level of data. Did I piss a bunch of people off? Or do people feel like one day is too fast and it's shady? Maybe for these busy moms, because you guys are running this family friendly brand, like don't do it. My big thing is like kind of going back and we didn't have time to get into this today. When you drive somebody to a portal and this is not shady, by the way. There's a higher chance that they cancel. The cancel button is right there. So it's like, hey, and I always walk people through like that. You're having a bad day. One, like you just got your bike hold calls, you got yelled at by your wife in the morning, you're in your car on the way to work and you get enough coming order email or a text being like, hey, Matt, how's it going? Your next order is on the way. You're gonna be like, I'm so pissed at the world right now. I'm taking this out on my subscription, even though I love my subscription and I'm canceling, right? So I wanna think about like, how can I be as helpful to that customer? Run as transparent of a brand and stop them from getting into the portal. And that's what I was saying is like, why are, and like look at your cancel reasons, especially on people that didn't go from first to second order. Those cancel reasons are probably gonna look very different than what you're seeing on like the L2 to L12 style cohort. Solve for those things in your email. Hey, and here are common questions that people have. It's not working, put those there with my upcoming order notification. And then the big one too, is you cannot vary offers in those emails. If you wanna do those, send them separately in the same flow because you wanna mark this email as a transactionally email and that you can send a marketing email first or after being like, your order's coming up, wanna add on a double pack, a triple pack or do you wanna upgrade accordingly? What you can do are serve them or provide utility in a way. So we'll look at it and be like, yo brother, love in the products, like I said at the top. Need a few extra days. Here's a button to click, five days, seven days, 10 days. These are using what are called quick actions. Customers are never gonna enter the portal. They're gonna go straight to a nice looking branded landing page. And you're just gonna say confirming you wanna skip for five days. So like, I know people shouldn't be doing their car. The reality is they are. They're on the way, they're on a train. Give me a seven day button. And that way it's like, if I was like, ah, you know what? I'm in another subscription. My next order's coming up. I'm just gonna cancel and all resubscribed. That's the story that people tell themselves. The data shows they don't come back and resubscribed. So instead of like leaving me to figure it out, bring me that sort of proactive rebuttal that you would tell them if you were on the phone with them in an email and that's Aiden Chasas, stay with us a little bit longer. You'll feel the benefits or just here's the quick skip. That way it's executed. I feel like you took care of me. And you're gonna see much, much stronger retention data over time. - That's great, man. - I'm good. This is, I got so much thinking. - I don't think I can handle it anymore. - Yeah, I can't help it. - I think about it. I think that was an amazing valley show there. - Yeah. - You guys have been super helpful. Like, I got a lot of, there's a lot on just like, the whole flow. All this CRM stuff. Like, where are we sticking all this data on people, too? Like, that's a question. Like, Cody, you've got to look at everything. - Um, this is super helpful, guys. I appreciate both of you coming on. - Very grateful. - Thank you for having us. - It's a great, awesome. - Thank you guys. Thank you so much. - I got a fresh coffee. Cody. - I needed, I needed a new one. No, I had it. I mean, how does it spend the, the thing is what Aiden's it's such a good job of is giving us like, not just absolutes, but like, hey, here's a range. Here, here are test ideas. Like, it's so incredible. And I think for us, it's like, what do we want to do at the gate? Because we, you know, we don't have the cancellation data. Like, we, we have to pick our offer from the beginning. So I think it's, it's number one, and we're very close to it. I know we have other episodes and stuff. It's dialing in that offer, getting just like our best guests with welcome flow from the beginning. And just knowing like, here, we know it's going to change. We know we're going to have to test a bunch and, you know, for the welcome flow, like how we personalize it, whether it's, you know, the outer signal stuff or pop ups, like we can, we can also build on that later. Like, let's, let's keep it a little bit simple, like you said, let's do the basics. And I think like, let's, let's dial in the basics. And that's like a two complicated now. Yeah, I think, I think what I got from Aiden is like, buy box is a good first stab. One of the things I'm going to do is I want to review the copy on the site with maybe I'll see if Katie and her team and Kate and Lane can just like give us some input on like just like, they're all moms, right? And that's their customer base. So like, I kind of want to review the copy in the buy box with them and just make sure it kind of sounds like that they like it, right? 'Cause like, we're writing this stuff. But I think what I got from Aiden is like, our buy box and our offers to start look okay as a starting place. So like, we don't need to overcomplicate it. And then yeah, just the initial communication, some of that setup stuff, I think we got to figure that out. The delay, those like, what do you call those like, quick link things where, I think that's really important. Well, it's funny though, we don't need that on day one. We actually need that at like day 24 of launching this site. So we have some time. That was my, that was my other thing is like, how much of this is like, do you actually have to have on day, like literally on launch day? And how much are you sort of building in flight as you go? Yeah, I had to like tell myself that 'cause I'll get overwhelmed like how much I think we have to do. And it's like, we want it perfect from day one. We need, we gotta have the offers. We need, you know, welcome flows, band and car, post pur, like I mean, I think we should have post purchase ready, but we don't necessarily need to focus on the long, long term. Yeah, I think it's right. We should have post purchase ready, post delivery or whatever we're gonna, yeah, post purchase, post purchase. Yeah, I think it is like a reminder that first principles just get the basics right for launch. And then we can, knowing what we know and who we have access to, like we can just iterate right quickly. Yeah, that's what I'm, I can't wait to get data and be like, hey, this is then the problem we have to solve, you know, like this is, but I think that'll be a really fun challenge for us, be I, I've started working on like welcome flow. I haven't worked on post purchase yet. So I'll flip something over soon, but I think just getting like a really good V1 of those set up and then just wait until we get data coming up. >> Yeah. Okay. All right. >> I think that's good for you. >> We didn't dive that much into the cancellation flow with him. I think that'll be a really fun one just from what I've seen. >> Yes. >> That'll be a really cool one. Hey, just to get the data in and there's a lot you can do with it, but just to see in like I've seen some of the things people will do to optimize those flows. >> Dude, I actually like, I really loved the bit on product too. Like what we learn from the cancellation flow, and if we can get that into like, if Omnison is sort of CRM location of this, data, then we need to make sure that we get all that stuff in one place that we can analyze it. Because like that's one of our blind spots right now, is we don't have thousands of people using the product yet either. >> Yeah. >> And we're going to learn on where does the product actually need to iterate, like where does that have to improve or change. This is the thing, right? Like everything we're doing right now, we're at assumption stage still. We're making a whole bunch of assumptions. They are best guesses based on what we know about building these companies, what our friends are telling us about building, but like holy, it's uncomfortable to not have like data. I don't like this. >> Yeah, no, I can't wait till we get back. >> I like the running the bigger company thing. >> But I have like two million customers to work with. >> But it's also nice because like, maybe I should have done it at terms of like, I feel like we can have like three to four main KPIs for a subscription program, and like just really be laser focused on that versus like, when things get bigger it's like, oh, I have so much to look at. But I think getting some of that data from him was helpful. So like 70 to 90% after month one. >> Yep, that's actually really helpful. >> And just for us to just like keep laser focus on that, right? And like that's probably like the most important KPI that we should be thinking about right now. Obviously we're going to have to, you know, but just just month two is like laser focus on that for now. >> What are these like subscription only numbers that we maybe haven't monitored in the past? Like in John's road or in Pila, we did at Lomi, like we really paid attention to cohorts at Lomi because we were subscription based, but very different. Like dude, the thing that jumps out to me is his like, at 12 months if you can retain like, you know, 20, 30% of your customers, that's banger. And so supplement, I'm like at Lomi, I was retaining like 57 to 67% at 12 months. But it was a hardware device with a consumable attached to it. So like we just had a really high retention for a consumer good. So it's just, yeah, like, I don't know, we're blind right now. I don't mind it blind. >> I'm excited for that, John, because I'm definitely much more acquisition focused normally. But to have like, you know, Ferris and their team like B laser focus on that. And you as well, I mean, I'm excited for this challenge. Like I've seen like Shaq do it a little bit and he used to be an ad's guy and he's doing retention. >> Totally. >> I'm excited for the challenge. To be like how our brains normally work, but just on a new thing. >> Yeah, man, this is gonna, yeah. This is so far, this continues to be fun. I like it. All right, man, let's get out of here. Let's get to work. >> It's a good one. Let's do it.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Subscription models offer stronger long-term revenue and higher LTV compared to one-time sales, making them ideal for sleep supplements where daily use creates a psychological commitment.
  2. Brands should prioritize testing all offer variations, starting with a clean, non-discounted subscription-first approach to build trust and avoid discount fatigue.
  3. Quarterly subscriptions create a deeper psychological commitment, improving retention by signaling long-term investment in a product like sleep improvement.
  4. Free gift stacking (e.g., sleep masks, guides) adds perceived value without discounting, enhancing conversion and customer engagement without compromising pricing.
  5. Messaging and copy in the buy box can significantly impact conversion—up to 3–8%—so clear, brand-aligned language is critical, especially in the initial purchase decision.
  6. Personalization through post-purchase data (e.g., number of sleepers in home, age, lifestyle) enables targeted, relevant onboarding and retention flows.
  7. Early education and habit-building (e.g., daily reminders, benefits flow) are essential to establish trust and show long-term value, especially as effects are felt quickly.
  8. Key performance metrics include first-order conversion (target

Summary:

The episode emphasizes the strategic importance of building subscription-first models for sleep supplement brands like Wings. A core principle is that recurring revenue offers superior long-term value and lifetime value (LTV) over one-time sales, especially when customers form a daily habit. The discussion highlights the need to start with a clean, non-discounted subscription offer—avoiding early price reductions that erode trust.

Quarterly billing is recommended to create a stronger psychological commitment, as it signals a long-term lifestyle choice rather than a temporary trial. Testing is central: brands must experiment with offers, messaging, and personalization to optimize conversion. Messaging, particularly in the buy box, can drive a 3–8% uplift in conversion, making it a critical element.

Personalization—such as asking about household size or sleepers—enables tailored onboarding and messaging, improving relevance and engagement. , improved focus, better sleep quality) rather than immediate effects, which prevents short-term usage and builds loyalty. Key performance benchmarks include a 70% first-order conversion rate, 90% first-order retention, and 35%+ 6-month cohort retention.

The takeaway is that success lies not in chasing retention numbers alone, but in creating a seamless, personalized, and habit-driven customer experience from day one. Brands must balance simplicity with personalization, avoid friction in the purchase flow, and leverage data to deliver meaningful, segmented communication.

FAQs

Subscription models offer predictable, recurring revenue and significantly higher long-term customer lifetime value (LTV), typically 2–3 times greater than one-time purchases. This creates stronger revenue stability and deeper customer relationships.

Test every possible offer variation, especially between one-time and subscription options, to find the most effective conversion path. Focus on simplicity, psychological commitment, and clear messaging to drive early sign-ups.

No. Discounting undermines the value of the product and trains customers to expect lower prices. Instead, brands should emphasize value selling and communicate the long-term benefits of daily investment in health or lifestyle.

Free gifts like sleep masks or sleep guides add immediate value without discounting, helping customers feel like they're making a meaningful investment. These gifts improve perceived value and encourage higher conversion rates.

Messaging should focus on lifestyle benefits and psychological commitment—such as 'investing in better sleep'—not just product features. Testing copy in the buy box can yield 3–8% conversion lifts, making it a critical optimization area.

No. The days of auto ship are over. Brands should adopt 'subscribe and save' or 'add to your routine' messaging, which aligns better with modern consumers’ desire for intentional, habitual product use.

Chat with AI

Loading...

Pro features

Go deeper with this episode

Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.