The political landscape heading into the midterms is increasingly hostile to Republicans, fueled by economic strain, the war in Iran, and President Trump’s policy decisions that have directly harmed key agricultural and midwestern states. David Axelrod and Jon Favreau analyze how these factors have eroded Republican support, particularly among working-class voters who feel betrayed by rising costs and a lack of government responsiveness. They highlight the rise of progressive, youth-driven candidates like John Ossoff and Abdul, who effectively frame debates around real-life hardships—healthcare, housing, and affordability—rather than partisan attacks. The discussion emphasizes that Democrats must move beyond simply restoring the past, instead focusing on building a more transparent, empathetic, and corruption-resistant system. Candidates with authenticity, humility, and a commitment to accountability—especially those outside Washington—are seen as vital to winning both the midterms and laying the groundwork for a strong 2028 presidential campaign. The central question for Democrats is not how to undo the damage of the Trump era, but how to build a new, resilient political future rooted in shared values, real-world concerns, and genuine connection to everyday Americans.
Welcome to Pod Save America, I'm Jon Favreau.
Heading into any big election, there's always a handful of people I want to hear from most,
and one of them is my good friend and mentor, David Axelrod.
Axe and I worked closely together for nearly a decade,
from when Obama was a senator through his first term in the White House.
He is the rare political strategist with a heart as big as his brain,
and understands the power and the craft of storytelling better than anyone I know,
other than maybe our old boss.
He founded the Institute of Politics at the University of Chicago,
currently serves as CNN's chief political analyst,
and host of the excellent podcast Hacks on Tap.
Two of us had a great conversation about the state of the midterms a few weeks out.
We reacted to the highlights and lowlights of this week's big Senate debates,
and talked about what Democrats need to do to close strong in November,
and then win back the White House in 2028.
Before we get to our conversation, the midterms are less than 30 days away,
and Crooked Con is too.
It is November 5th through the 7th in Washington, D.C.,
and we really want to see you there.
We just announced 24 different conversations and debates across four stages,
everything from the Democratic brand to the future of AI to building a winning campaign for '28.
We've also got a live taping of Still Counting with Nate Silver, Claire Malone, and Galen Druk,
and that's in addition to Pod Save America, Love It or Leave It, and Strict Scrutiny live shows.
So head on over to crookedcon.com to get your tickets now,
and stay tuned for we've got a whole bunch more exciting names that we're going to add to the lineup
in the weeks to come.
Up next, David Axelrod.
Ax, welcome back to the show.
Always good to be with you, brother.
I'm always happy when I'm with my old buddies from the writers' room at the White House.
I know, we haven't talked in a while.
I guess we have to schedule interviews in order to catch up on our respective podcasts.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Well, I'm glad to be here.
So we haven't got a chance to talk.
We haven't talked in midterms in a while.
I want to get into some of the individual Senate races with you
and play some clips from all the Senate debates this week.
Yeah, those are fun.
Yeah, a lot of debates this week.
But just to start, at this point it seems like everyone's in agreement
that the political environment is bad for Trump and the Republicans,
and the only real question is how bad.
Personally, I feel like between the economy and the war and Trump's approval,
if Democrats can't win at least some of these red states with a midterm electorate,
it ain't happening for a long, long time.
But what do you think?
And with some good candidates.
You know, first of all, Favs, I don't know if you're having flashbacks,
but I sure am, from 2010.
And I watched the Republicans, and, you know, they're doing what we did,
which is to try and rationalize that what is obviously happening isn't going to happen.
You know, I think that the climate is bad for Republicans and getting worse.
The president is not helping.
I mean, I'm not saying that Donald Trump is trying to lose the election for Republicans,
but if he were trying, he would not do anything differently than he's doing.
I mean, it's really quite remarkable how much he has undermined them.
And, boy, I'll tell you what, there is going to be a whole—
a whole lot of rage after the fact if this goes down as it could.
One of my questions about these red states that I've been thinking about is
we're measuring these states at, you know, we say Iowa is a 13-point Republican state
because that's what Donald Trump got last time.
You know, more than a small portion of that 13% were people who didn't like Donald Trump
but were really upset about the economy, didn't think that,
you know, that Biden had, you know, got it and was handling it.
Kamala was the number two in that operation.
And they just—you know, Trump was the economy guy, right?
That's how they remembered him.
And they said, let's—all right, we'll go take a shot on this.
I don't think that Iowa's 13 points.
You know, I don't think Ohio's 13 points necessarily.
But they're certainly red states.
So that's point number one.
Point number two, the environment is so—
I mean, Trump is more unpopular, I think, than any president
has been going into a midterm election since, like, Harry Truman,
who also didn't do very well, by the way.
And I think the House is gone, and it's just a question of margin.
But so much of this is about Trump
because midterms are always about the guy in the president.
It's always been a guy so far, the guy in the White House.
And if people are unhappy with the direction of the country
and particularly the economy, it's a really rough go for that party.
And their play now is to try and just spend, spend, spend.
I did a thing with Chris LaCivita and Tony Fabrizio
at Arizona State University at the beginning of the year,
and I asked them about the midterms.
And they said, we studied the midterms.
We understand where things have gone wrong.
We were outspent by Democrats the last couple of elections.
We're going to make sure we vastly outspend them.
This time, we're going to make, at that time, it was Mamdani.
He's become a little too, you know, when Trump is embracing him,
it makes it a harder target.
But we're going to make these lefties the face of the Democratic Party,
and we're going to make it about them,
and we're going to make it about, you know, immigration and taxes and crime.
But the third thing they said was, and we had this big, beautiful bill,
and we front-loaded all these tax cuts.
People, you know, our bet is that people are going to be feeling better
about the economy come the fall.
That did not work out because they did not know at that moment
that Trump was going to declare war on Iran and Canada, for crying out loud.
And, you know, those, the decision to go to war in Iran
and the decision to, the tariffs generally from Liberation Day on
have been so punishing.
To the midsection of this country, those red agricultural states
have been absolutely pummeled.
When you look at the states that are most punished by these two things,
the war and the tariffs, you know, Iowa's at the top of that list.
Kansas is at the top of that list.
Nebraska's at the top of that list.
And so, and the war has another impact.
So people say,
our costs are way up.
You know, diesel is killing us.
And there's one guy responsible for that.
And it's the guy who said,
we're not going to get into any endless wars in the Middle East.
Yeah.
And so they feel there's a sense of betrayal there.
Yeah.
I can't remember a time where people have felt this bad about the economy
and been able to so directly connect it to the actions of the president.
Like usually the president suffers from bad feelings about the economy,
but it's not often the president's out there bragging about the things
that people are most angry at.
This is another important point.
And you remember this from when we were at the White House.
We, at the beginning of our administration,
we came into office right at the beginning of the Great Recession.
We walked into the worst economic situation since the Great Depression.
And we thought we were making progress.
But people were not feeling that progress.
And when we tried to claim progress too overtly
and did not really project empathy and advocacy
for people who were struggling in that economy,
we were punished for it.
And we corrected that.
You know, I'm sure you and I had that discussion many, many times.
You had that discussion with the other speechwriters.
We always pulled that back
because we knew that we were going to have to do something about it.
And we knew that it was insulting to people
to try and jawbone them into feeling that the economy was better
when their lives were not.
Joe Biden made that same mistake
and paid a big price for it, you know,
toured the country in the summer of 2023,
talking about the wonders of Bidenomics,
the worst branding mistake since New Coke.
And so what's really unbelievable
is that Trump, having benefited from Biden's mistake,
is now repeating it.
And I think it has to do with personality type.
I think Biden, they're very different people
and Biden's a much better person.
But there is a little bit of narcissism in both of them
that they want credit for what they have done.
And remember, even back in the day,
Joe Biden used to say,
if we just go out and tell people what we've accomplished.
He's going to tell a better story.
Yeah, exactly.
So, you know, it turns out that the campaign,
the cash register is a better storyteller than us.
The gas pump is a better storyteller.
storyteller than us. And the story they're telling right now, and particularly in those,
in those Republican regions that we've spoken about is, is, is a very negative story. So
I think that here's the, here, you know, the thing that's spooking everyone
is this whole idea of the hidden Republican vote. Yeah. You know, you, you know, that pollsters
don't, that the, the, uh, non-responding Republicans who are going to come out and vote.
Now that's really been an effect in elections when Trump was on the ballot, first of all. Uh,
but secondly, pollsters are not stupid. They read this crap too. And they, so I think they're all
adjusting their models and I think they may be adjusting their models to favorably for Republicans
to offset the possibility, uh, of this. So, um, you know, it could be, these are close races.
They could tip the other way.
Okay. But generally when you have a wave, it's not selective. It's, you know, there are,
you know, we ran in 2010, we had a big wave against us, but we also had a woman running
for Senator in, uh, in Delaware who, you know, thought she was a witch, uh, and had to do an
ad denying that she was a witch. That is a bad, that's a bad path. Uh, you know, you had a very
flawed candidate in, in Indiana. So, you know, we were able to win seats even in the midst of the
wave, but there are so many States right now that are in play that you would not have guessed would
be in play. Yeah. Six months ago. Yeah. Let's go through some of the big Senate races and let's
start with Michigan, uh, where our friend Abdul debated Mike Rogers for the first time this week,
maybe one of the most heated debates we've seen so far. Um, just to give everyone an idea of how
personal it got. Uh, here's a clip of the two candidates.
It's fighting over their mothers yachts and who's better for Michigan.
Let's let's open up this can of worms. I'll get it. And I'll tell you what my mother did. She was a,
a small, uh, you go after my mom. I'm not going after your mom. What your mom was working at.
I was going off to that organization that was indicted for funneling money to Al Qaeda.
He doesn't want $7 million in Florida, my guy. Yeah. I'll talk about, you know what? Did you
sell your yachts? I'd never owned a yacht in Florida, brother. Oh, really? You had two of
them. He wanted to make this about him or me.
But the question is about you. Can you afford your gas? Can you afford your groceries under
this guy? Who's going to rubber stamp everything? Donald Trump tells him to rubber stamp. You're
going to continue to pay way more out the nose because he works for corporations and Donald
Trump. So that was a flavor of the debate. You know, Rogers tried to define Abdul as extreme.
Abdul tried to define Rogers as a corrupt Trump toady, uh, and also then turn it back to voters.
Who do you think succeeded? Well, first of all, I think the big winner of that debate may be the
libertarian candidate.
Uh, who wasn't in the debate, but, uh, because it was really kind of, I mean, it was a food fight
in many ways. Um, but that closing, the closing comments from Abdul, I think are really, uh,
pertinent. I mean, the bet that the Republicans are making is that they can turn him into a scary
kind of, um, closeted, uh, terrorist, um, and, uh, that enough voters will be off put by that,
that, that they will ignore, uh, their very real grievances about the direction of the economy and
the direction of the country. Trump is, you know, more than 20 points underwater in that state.
Uh, and I think that's a really hard thing for Rogers to overcome. Rogers is also
a, uh, sort of prototype of the kind of Washington Republican at a time when I think people are
throwing off the establishment and looking for people who are agents of change.
Uh, so, um, but, um, you know, I don't underestimate, um, you know, I've heard about
focus groups in Michigan where people say that I don't like the way Abdul looks. I don't like the
way, you know, and they're going to try what that debate said to me last night was that this is
going to be a very brutal three weeks, uh, in which they are going to try and scare the hell out of
people, uh, about Abdul.
And, uh, I liked, uh, our old boss's, uh, reaction when people asked why he was going to Michigan to
campaign for Abdul. And, uh, you know, how could he, he said, well, you know, he wants, uh,
healthcare for everyone and he wants a higher minimum wage and put money in people's pockets.
So it sounds pretty good to me. I don't know. I was going to ask you about that because obviously
Obama, um, dealt with plenty of ugly insinuations about his identity loyalties when he ran. What
would your advice be to Abdul in these final weeks about responding without letting Rogers
dictate the entire conversation? I think his closing comments there were where he should go
all the time, all the time. This is, you know, this guy wants to scare you, uh, about me, but
the scariest thing that everyone in the state is facing are, uh, their bills every month. They're
the price of gas, of,
you know, groceries, the inability to get healthcare, the, you know, the price of housing
and mortgage interest rates. And he has rubber stamped all those policies. You know, I grew up
here. I love this state and I love the people of this state and I want to be their advocate.
He's going to be an advocate for Donald Trump and the special interests in Washington. That's where
I would go. I mean, I don't, I don't, you know, Abdul, who I know and I like, he, he was a fellow
at the Institute of Politics at the University of Chicago that I founded.
Um, he's incredibly bright. I think he's well-motivated. Um, he, he also is the former
captain, uh, you know, quarterback of, of the football team. And when it gets into these kind
of like, you know, whose dick is bigger contests, he just can't help but jump in.
I know he's gotten better, I think, but he has, he has, he has, but, uh, I, I, you know,
it's, it's, he's like the little girl with a curl in the middle of her forehead when he's good,
he's great. And when,
when he's bad, eh, and when he's bad is when he kind of submits to that, you know? Uh, and there
was a little of that in that debate last night, but whenever he's talking about people's lives,
he's very compelling and that's where he should live.
Pod Save America is brought to you by Built. Here's a question. Are you getting rewarded
for paying your rent or mortgage right now?
If the answer is no, you need to check out Built. Becoming a Built member means earning points on
every housing payment, no matter where you live. Built points can be redeemed for flights, hotels,
Lyft rides, amazon.com purchases, future housing payments, and much more. They have tons of ways
you can redeem your Built points. You can go to fitness classes like SoulCycle or Barry's or
Y7. You can do amazon.com. You can get gift cards for like 120 different brands. There are just
tons and tons of different ways to use your Built points and get something out of the deal.
And Built's new AI, Neighborhood Concierge, doesn't just answer questions, it executes tasks.
From paying your rent and handling a Lyft to booking dinner reservations across 50,000 or
more partners, it handles your to-do list while automatically applying your member benefits.
What you do is this. First, download the Built app. Then, link any credit card or debit card
with the app so purchases at your local spots become even more rewarding. And third, ask the
Neighborhood Concierge in the app pretty much anything and it'll alert you about exclusive
member benefits near your home. Download the Built app and you'll get a free membership.
And join the membership for where you live at joinbuilt.com slash crooked. That's J-O-I-N-B-I-L-T
dot com slash crooked. Use our link so they know we sent you.
Pod Save America is brought to you by SelectQuote Life Insurance. We all know we need it,
but we keep putting it off because we think it's complicated or expensive or that we'll live
forever. Stop telling yourself you'll handle it later and take care of it today with SelectQuote.
In 15 minutes, you can have coverage that fits your life and your budget.
Here's what makes SelectQuote different. Their licensed insurance agents work for you,
not for one insurance company. They compare options across multiple carriers to find you
the right coverage at the lowest price. They've been doing this for nearly 40 years and have
helped over 2 million people find coverage. Even if you have health issues, they can help.
High blood pressure, diabetes, heart disease, their agents know which carriers will give you
the best rate for your specific situation. If you're healthy, they can get you same-day
coverage with no medical exam. Other brokers push policies that pay them the most. SelectQuote's
the best way to help you save. Get the right life insurance for you for less at SelectQuote.com
slash Crooked. Go to SelectQuote.com slash Crooked today to get started.
Speaking of Obama, so he's going to Michigan, he's going to Detroit with Abdul and Jocelyn
Benson, who's running for governor in a few weeks. What do you think is the most useful thing
Obama can do and say in Michigan with Abdul? I think that he has to say,
a version of what we just said. He has to say that, you know, people across Michigan and people
across the country have real life concerns. They're struggling and the system's let them
down. And we need agents of change who want to make government more responsive to the needs of
people. That's who this guy is. Don't be distracted. You know, whenever you see these Halloween type
air, that's the sign of a campaign that is trying to change the subject. There should be one subject
campaign, which is how we rest our policy away and government away from special interests. And
frankly, a president whose policies have taken us, you know, are not in the interest of everyday
people. Now, he'll say it more elegantly, but that's the essence of it. I think reassurance
is important. And he may want to say, listen, I know, I recognize some of the stuff that's being
run against him. You know, some of those things were said about me. You know, there were people
who wanted to scare you about me. And, you know, I put my faith in you. And I think Abdul is putting
his faith in you as well. Yeah, I think that would be good. Yeah. What do you, I mean, I assume that
Obama will.
He will do other events as well in the midterms. What do you think, just like writ large, his
value is at this moment? And it's always like a tension between, you know, he wants a message
that is relevant to now. He doesn't want to just get people thinking about, you know, the Obama
years, but he also wants to be like useful and say something that's, you know, useful to people
in the moment. Yeah. The thing that he is so good at,
is sort of lift and like lifting us above the trees a little bit. I mean, I think people,
the big issue across this country, the everyday cost of things is a huge issue. The bigger issue
is people feel like they're losing control of their lives. They don't, they're losing their
agency. You know, and I think that's a lot of what Fav's, the AI issue is. The data centers
have a specific.
Issue, specific issues relative to the costs that they will bring to communities. But people feel
like these things are being inflicted on them and they feel like AI is being inflicted on them.
Now I'm one who believes, you know, AI could help solve us, solve some of the greatest problems we
face and it could also destroy us. And I'd like to go through door A and not door B. But I think
the biggest thing is, I think, I was just talking to someone about this this morning. I think now
and going into 2021.
28. One of the great, I think, issues of our time are whether we, you know, whether we're going to
regain control of our own lives and whether, whether the algorithms run our lives or whether
we run the algorithms. And, you know, just to kind of like seize control back and put it where
it belongs in our democracy, which is in the hands of people to help shape that future.
29. So I hope there's a little of that and a little of the, my, now this is therapeutic for me,
so you can send me a bill for this when I'm done, but I'm feeling really good talking about it. But
I am so concerned that we have this perverse set of incentives in our media and in our politics
that, that makes it profitable to divide people, to demonize people, to separate us as Americans,
to make us believe that our nation is a country of people. And I think that's a big part of the
is actually our enemy. And I think we have to, I think we have to make that part of what we're
running against. And frankly, these tech platforms bear a lot of responsibility for that because
that's their profit model. Yes. I think that is a huge, well, and it's, and it also speaks to
the earlier point you made about AI and data centers, which is people feel like they don't
have agency. Yes. And they feel, and, and there's this feeling that because so much of our politics
is mediated through these platforms, that yelling and arguing about politics is an end to itself.
And so that if you like win a fight online, that's great. But like, what did, what did that do? How
many people did that cause to change their minds or vote or join an organization or run for office?
Right. And so we've had this, we have this false sense of what it means to be active in politics
and to participate in politics. Yes. And part of it is, you know, people feel, I mean, and part of
shame of, or the challenge of, of the, the media environment is that people are just so jaundiced
about, about what government can do and what we can do about what we can do together. But the other
thing that they should be deeply worried about is we are back to a period in our history where there
is this tremendous concentration of wealth. And with that concentration, this isn't about resentment.
If Jeff Bezos wants to float around on a yacht in the Mediterranean, God bless him. Good for him.
This is about whether these people have too much influence over policy decisions in Washington. Are
they steering policy in their favor and against the interests of everyday people? Just in 2024,
there was an online, uh, online kids safety act that was passed in the United States. And I think
there's a lot of people in the United States who are going to vote against it. And they're going to
vote against it. I think
they're going to vote against it. Never called it for a vote because he knew it would pass. And he and, uh, Mark Zuckerberg spent tens
and tens and tens of millions of dollars lobbying for that. Um, how many decisions are being
influenced, uh, in Washington in that way? I think people suspect a lot. So we got to run
against that too. Let's talk about Maine, uh, where Troy Jackson and Susan Collins debated
twice this week. Uh, Thursday night got pretty testy, uh, as well.
Let's listen. When, when Donald Trump wants something, Senator Collins will not stop him.
And when she doesn't stop him, it hurts Mainers. Senator Collins and her husband making money
more off of this war. And, and so isn't a whole bunch of other people. And that's why this doesn't,
doesn't stop because they, they, they got us in another forever war that we're never going to get
out of. And people in the state are feeling the effects of it. That is absolutely outrageous.
And you owe me an apology. No, you owe me an apology. That's what this campaign is about. It's about people that know that this
government is fundamentally flawed and Susan Collins won't do anything about it. She's,
she's powerful toward an election time, but she's weak every time that we need her to stand up and
fight for us. So on that, on the war profiteering hit, uh, Jackson was referring to the, the stock
that Collins and her husband own and a couple of oil companies and military defense contractors.
Yeah. I thought that was a bad hit. I was going to say, I want to, it's quite a bad hit.
There's plenty to say, there's plenty, there's plenty to say, uh, for Troy Jackson to say. And
I thought in the first debate earlier in the week, you know, he made some, he really, uh, strong,
a strong case against Susan Collins. I'll talk about that in a second, but, uh, I don't,
she, I don't think Mainers who've known her for all these years, they have a lot of complaints
about her, the idea that she's only bipartisan when it doesn't count and so on. But I don't
think any of them,
I don't believe that she's motivated by, you know, for corrupt purposes. And I thought that was a,
I thought that if I were advising him, I would have said, Hey, stick that in your pocket and
don't, don't say that. Yeah. I thought it watered his argument down. Did you, Favs in the first
debate though, he said, he had, he said, uh, you know, he pointed out that she brags about voting
against the big, beautiful bill, but she actually allowed it to get to the floor of the Senate
because she's the chairman of the appropriation.
Committee. And, and then he talked about healthcare and he said, she'd been a government
employee all her life. She's never had to worry about paying for healthcare. And, uh, she, she
objected vehemently. She said, that is not true. In 1994, when I was running for governor, I had
no healthcare. There was a, there was a few month period, 30 years ago where I was briefly not
assured by the government. Because I was running for governor. Yes. I mean, that was, that was such
a revenge.
Revealing exchange, you know, and I think, and, and he, he said, look, there are a lot of people in
this state who don't have those advantages who have to worry every day about how they're going
to pay for an illness. If it happens, who can't see a doctor. And, uh, I'm, I'm, you know, I'm
one of them, you know, I'm one of, I'm one of those people worked 80 hours a week to, and,
you know, one of the things about this Favs is, um, you know, there is a kind of Forrest Gump
kind of Ralph Cramden quality to Troy Jackson. And there is a kind of elite, uh, element to her
argument, which is a guy like this doesn't belong in the United States Senate. Yeah. She seems,
she seems offended by having to be on stage with him. Yes. And also like that anyone's challenging
her, you know, seeking another term. So the question is, are, are, are college educated
voters and college educated women going to walk away from him? The, the, the, the, the, the, the,
doesn't suggest that. Uh, but is he going to chip away at a bunch of working class people in that
state who think, I mean, I think it's a pretty good argument that maybe the Senate would work
better if there were a few people who actually know what's going on in people's lives. Yeah.
This to me is another race and it's a little like Michigan in that he's got two objectives, right?
He's got to tie her to Trump or at least make the best argument about her. That is, as you were
saying, he's got to tie her to Trump or at least make the best argument about her. That is, I mean,
many of whom like her, even though they vote for Democrats for president and he, for some reason,
has like the highest unfavorables of any Democratic Senate candidate running in one of these really
competitive races. So he's got to tell a story about himself that reassures people. And I wonder
how you think about the balance and the tension between making the case about Collins and then
also making the case for himself. Well, the thing about, you know, I've seen ads, I've seen the
attack ads, and I've seen ads about him. And I think that they're both important and both
credible and they match each other because his is very much about a lifetime in the working class
and as an advocate for the working class and framing her as a, you know, as a creature of
Washington. And, you know, I think that is the place that he, that is the place he needs to be.
This notion of her as someone who,
you know, I think she, she, she will say, I was the, I cast a deciding vote to save the
Affordable Care Act. And honestly, I'm grateful to her for that. She also voted against the
Affordable Care Act, you know, and there are so many examples like that, you know, I voted against
the big, beautiful bill, but, but as chair, she enabled it to get on the floor of the house.
You know, she, she tends to give the leader, she tends to stray from the leadership,
when they don't need her vote. Yeah. And, you know, the ACA was a, was an admirable exception
to that. So, I, you know, the one thing I don't know, I saw a video of her from 2000, from 1996,
when she first ran, almost unrecognizable, honestly, but she said, if I can't get what I
want done for, I'm here for two terms and two terms only. And if I can't get that done, I shouldn't,
be here. And then I saw her being interviewed on Fox and they said, what about that? And she said,
well, I found out that seniority is really important, but she had been working in the
Senate for six years before she ran. She was like chairman of a subcommittee staff,
and she did not know that seniority was important. So, I mean, I do think there's an element of
enough's enough. Yeah. And, and I think I'd work that a little in the final stretch here too.
And one of these where, because you know that a lot of
Mainers like her to sort of give them, like give people who voted for her.
Yes. A permission structure.
Yeah. And be like, so like.
The gold watch strategy.
Right. Yes, exactly. Yeah. Thank you for your service. That's great. But you know what we,
but you say you've gotten all this stuff from Maine and thank you for everything you have
brought to Maine, but we're still hurting. Costs are still high. We're still worried
about our healthcare and like, you haven't done anything about that.
Yeah. And that's sort of a little bit of why I was uncomfortable with the attack on the, you know,
the people who are profiting off of the war. I mean, that, that, that goes in the opposite direction of what you're suggesting, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's smart, he'll close with an ad of Mainers saying I voted for Susan Collins and I like her, but, you know, it's time for a change, you know, and they can articulate some of the arguments that will give people the ability to say that's me. I feel that way too. I don't have to hate Susan Collins not to vote.
I don't have to hate Susan Collins not to vote for her.
Regardless of what they did, regardless, I mean, this is a community of working class people and small business people who are getting killed in the economy, but also Hispanic Americans who now are being targeted simply because they are Hispanic by ICE and they've seen, you know, all of these stories unfold.
So he's benefited from that as well.
And he's getting, you know, the kind of vote among Hispanic voters that he will need to win.
But he's also getting a pretty good vote among white voters.
I think what's going to happen in this race is that you're going to see a much larger than normal group of Republican voters who just skipped the race.
There's going to be a big undervote for Paxton.
And then on top of that, I think the libertarian candidate there who got 2.4% in the last Senate race is going to do even better than that.
And I think it's going to almost all be people who want to register a protest against Paxton.
But can't get all the way over to vote for Tallarico.
That will lower the threshold for Tallarico to win.
He doesn't need to win 50% of the vote.
In that case, there's a real path there.
I mean, he's close.
But Texas has broken the hearts of many Democrats many times.
So I think this could be different, you know, and Paxton is a mess.
A mess.
One more debate from this week.
I want to get your thoughts on Mike Collins versus John Ossoff in a race that Ossoff has just won.
He's dominated from the start, despite Georgia being a state that swung back to Trump in 24.
Let's watch a few clips.
This is a man who cheered on a group of young men who were mocking a black woman on a college campus with monkey sounds.
If John Lewis were marching today from Selma to Montgomery, Mike Collins would be grabbing a billy club.
His office has been in cahoots with some of the most notorious white supremacists on the country.
He himself.
Has amplified neo Nazi propaganda.
He's never apologized for it and he should tonight.
Mike Collins voted to take that money out of your pocket and out of your community and give it instead to data center developers.
And that's the problem, Mike.
It's not just that you've hired half the Third Reich to staff your congressional office and you have promoted neo Nazi content online.
It's that you're robbing your constituents to subsidize your donors.
I want to know if you will commit to voting to repeal that data center tax scam.
That you voted for.
What's your answer?
This debate was like the most brutal thing I've ever seen.
It was so you would teach off of this debate.
You would teach off of it.
I mean, I thought they were going to have to remove Collins on a stretcher after this.
I mean, here's what my reaction was like this whole campaign also has been doing these rally speeches that go viral and one of the reactions has been sure he's good at the set piece teleprompter.
Speeches.
But what about when there's no prompter and you know this well, for all of Barack Obama's many talents landing debate zingers and memorable debate moments?
Not really one of them.
What do you think of Ossoff's performance and like what that says about his skills as a politician and potentially a presidential candidate if things go well and he does?
Look, I think that he is a star, you know, he's the speeches that he's given and they've been very.
very artful at packaging them in vertical video
that have gone viral, it's helped him raise a lot of money, but it's also raised a lot of excitement
among Democrats. And here he shows, and you saw some of it in committee hearings, but here he shows
an incredible facility for just completely controlling a debate from start to finish.
And, you know, obviously he's got a good memory and he rehearsed those interventions, but
it came across as very conversational and he completely dominated the terms of the debate.
I think, look, Ossoff's going to win and he's going to win by more than a few. And what's
going to happen next is going to be a stampede of people down to Atlanta to try and persuade
him to run for president. And, you know, my view of him is he's really
exceptional.
Exciting, interesting and talented and young, which I think is hugely important. He's a member
of the Senate, but he seems like an outsider. He seems like a guy who's trying to hold the
Senate to account, the government to account. I think that's very important. I haven't seen him
smile. I've never seen him smile. I've never seen him. He's always very severe. You know,
so there are other elements of campaigning, you know, that I would like to. To see, you know, I mean, even, I mean, you must have had him here. But I don't know how he is sort
of just basic conversation.
He, yeah, it's not like he's, it's not like he's stiff, right? It's that he's, he doesn't give you
much. Like he's very. And you know what? You can't, you know how I feel about this. Campaigns require, I call them MRIs
for the soul, presidential campaigns. People need to know who you are. You know, you can't
know who you are and they'll find out who you are. One of the things about Obama was he could do all
the events very well. He was very comfortable in conversation. He was comfortable in any room he
walked in. Even when cameras weren't there, he, you know, he'd go through the kitchen on every
time we arrived somewhere and spend time with people in the kitchen and talk to them about
their lives. And, you know, he'd retain a lot of the stories that you ended up using in
your speeches were stories that he retained.
In his mind from conversations with people. I don't know, you know, that, that we'll see about
that. The campaign will test that if he, if he runs. There's one element of this, though, that
we should mention, which is if Democrats only win 51 seats and assuming that Senator Fetterman
doesn't flee, which seems, you know, a little bit more likely than not these days, I guess.
Yeah.
That Senate seat in, in Georgia is going to be really important. And who is the governor of
Georgia is going to be really important because the governor of Georgia is going to have to
appoint a replacement until a special election, which would come, I think, in two years.
I think that's the way it works. So they're actually, Keisha Lance Bottoms is, is running
a very strong race. She's in neck and neck with Rick Jackson. I think his name is Rick
Jackson, the candidate there. But if, you know, her winning is, would be, I think, make it easier
for Ossoff.
Certainly. But if not, yeah, it's kind of.
You know, so that's, that's a, that's a side like this, but look, you know, I'm always excited by,
by young dynamic leaders who can make appeals to idealism. And, and in that, even though I said
what I said earlier,
he did evoke in his comments throughout this debate, the experience of people.
I mean, it wasn't like he was divorced from that. It wasn't, it wasn't so clinical, you know?
No. And then there's all these stories about like his constituent services in Georgia and,
and him calling just constituents all the time directly to see how they're doing. And so
I can't tell what it is. Like if, if he's just, he seems to be a very thoughtful person who,
and I heard him say,
I don't know if I've ever heard him say this in some interview where he's like, there's just been so much
silliness in politics that actually taking the time to think about what you're going to say and being
careful about what you're going to say, I feel like is a, is it, is a skill that, or it was just
something that's needed that we haven't had in a while. Yeah. It's a discipline. And I wonder if
part of this is discipline for the race he's running and that, you know, maybe we'll see, we'll
see more of him, uh, once, uh, once the race is over, but.
Well, I mean, it would be, I hope he gets out there. I think, uh, you know, and, and as I said,
one of the things he's going to have to be alert to is that Obama learned is, um, when you come
out with this kind of ballyhoo, you know, you don't get the advantage other candidates get to
kind of work your material through in small groups. You open right up on Broadway and the
critics are all lined up in the front row and there's a lot of pressure associated with that.
So everybody, everybody who runs for statewide office thinks,
they, they I'm good at this. I can run for president. And then they run for president.
I realized, Oh, this is a whole different thing. And it is, and it should be because you're running
for the most, uh, powerful and important office on the planet.
Ponce of America is brought to you by Bowie. Electrolyte drinks are all the rage these days,
but most of them are just natural flavor and stevia mixed with table salt. Bowie
is the best.
Bowie is different. Bowie. We should bring some Bowie in for the next time we do the ad. Bowie is
a unflavored liquid electrolytes and 87 trace minerals. You can add to any drink, even coffee.
It supports energy, cognitive function, clarity, and cellular hydration with the drinks you're
already drinking. Bowie has no sugar, sweeteners, flavors, or artificial ingredients. It's ocean,
nothing, ocean harvested sodium plus 87 ionic trace minerals. It has more electrolytes than
13 sports drinks in each two ounce bottles. Plus it's third-party tested for pathogens,
microplastics, heavy metals, and impurities. You just add one squeeze into whatever you're
already drinking to make your water, your coffee, your matcha, whatever it is more hydrating.
According to a university-led clinical trial published by the journal Nutrients.
I gotta read my copy this month. Yeah, I guess I'm gonna get your nutrients out.
Bowie electrolytes are clinically proven to hydrate 64% more than water alone and to hydrate 49% more
than a leading electrolyte. If you want to make your favorite drinks more hydrating, head to
justaddbowie.com.
Use code CRICKED to get 31% off and try Bowie risk-free for 30 days. Get 31% off the liquid
electrolyte discovery set that includes additional drops for gut health, brain health, energy,
immunity, and more. Justaddbowie.com slash CRICKED, code CRICKED. And if you or someone
you know is living with chronic illness, Bowie helps offset your healthcare costs with their
chronic illness lifetime support program. It takes two minutes to apply.
You mentioned how people are often looking for
and this is one of your more famous
axisms that people are looking for the remedy and not the replica of the president who came
before. What potential Democratic candidates do you think sort of embody some of the qualities
that people are going to be looking for after the Trump era? Well, you know, the hard part with
Trump is that there are a lot of things to remedy. And the question is, what are the ones that are
to people? I think almost all of them, though, fit in that character basket. Humility, integrity,
empathy, I think is really important because he shows none. I think that's one of the reasons why
Joe Biden beat him in 2020 because Biden had preternatural empathy. And he seemed like a guy
from small town America, from Scranton.
who could relate to the experience of everyday people.
I mean, some of that will be important.
Secondly, I do think because of the unbelievable level of corruption we've seen,
I think people want to give Washington an angioplasty,
and they want to hold our institutions to account.
And there I think Asaf has leaped ahead of the field
because he has been such a strong voice on corruption,
and not just the corruption of Trump,
but the corruption of the process by which decisions are made.
So I think that will be really important.
And I think youth will be important.
I don't think this is – we've gone through the experiment with a couple of octogenarians.
I don't think people are going to be looking for more.
And I think that's why the whole field is going to be much younger.
I think being from outside of Washington also will be helpful.
I mean, I think the government –
governors may have a bit of an advantage,
although I think Asaf, as I said, doesn't read like Washington.
So he might escape that.
One thing I've been thinking about the governors is like –
I feel like the ability to draw attention,
to inspire people, to get people excited
is even more important in this information environment
where it's just so crowded and noisy.
And sometimes I wonder if these governors,
who might be very popular in their states
because they're just – they've governed really, really well,
are going to be adept at figuring out how to draw attention.
attention in a crowded national information environment like this.
That is one of the new tests, right? That's a relatively new test, but absolutely,
I think that's going to be important. I mean, as I said, one of the reasons Ossoff has done well is
because they understood this. And so, yeah, he made these speeches, but they also knew how to
cut them up and get them out and make them go viral. Honestly, my old buddy Rahm Emanuel and
your old boss in the White House, he's been pretty creative about getting attention as well. And I
think he'll be a factor in this thing. I mean- But it is like, when I go through the list,
it's like, Rahm's good at that, Ossoff, Pete, AOC, Newsom. You can
say whether the attention all these folks are getting are helpful or not, but that's like a
list of people who I think know how to sort of draw attention to themselves.
Yeah. I mean, one thing we should say is I've always said authenticity is a coin of the realm
in presidential races. So it's good to be viral. It's also good not to look like you're kind of
full of shit. That's important. That is important.
Yeah. And a lot of those folks are not that way.
You know, I know Rahm has his fans and his detractors, but he does believe things,
certain things, and he's very straightforward and he says it. You know, AOC is a great communicator
on this level. I just, you know, you may know more than I. I mean, I just don't know if she's
going to run. I was going to ask you because you asked for that at the IOP and that the answer kind
of went viral. And then she talked to the Times again and she-
It was interesting that quote she gave them, which is, you know, life doesn't wait for you to be ready
for things. Sometimes life just makes things ready for you, which is, reminds me of what Obama was
being told back in 06 and 07. And, but I couldn't tell which way she was leaning.
There are other things she said that make you, and what she said to me that make you
wonder about whether she thinks this is the right time for her. You know, she's 36 years old. She
has a life. We now know she wants to have children because she's talked about that. That's, you know,
running for president makes those things almost prohibitive. And she has to feel like she's ready.
You know, if others may feel she's ready, she has to feel that she's ready, just ready in terms of
her level of performance and so on. And, you know, the Senate,
that seat's sitting there in New York. I mean, I think if she decides she wants to run for the
Senate, I don't know that, I think Senator Schumer probably isn't going to run anyway. I don't know
that, but I suspect, and I think he certainly would not if she did. So, you know, and she would
not be just another Senator, you know, I've said, you know, I don't want to disparage, but there are
any number of Senators I could think of who can walk down the hall in relative anonymity. She
would not be one of them.
Of those, everybody would want to know what she thinks.
Yeah. One thing she said more recently that sort of raised some eyebrows is she was doing a
fundraiser for Abdul in New York. And she said, if Abdul can win Michigan, it means anyone can
win anywhere. I don't know. And I thought about that for like what the argument is going to be
just broadly post midterm, as we head into 2028, you know, we'll get back to the,
there'll be some candidates who are more progressive and some less, and then we're
going to get back to electability again. And I wonder what you thought about that argument.
Well, first of all, one of the other things she said to Shane Goldmacher of the Times was that
essentially, she didn't want to run a kind of Pyrrhic race. If she ran, she was going to run to
win and she needed to know. So you fit those two together and that's interesting. Look, what I hope,
primaries should be a robust discussion within a party about the direction of the,
and what are the right paths. I find the whole discussion of, you know, will the center right
win? Will the progressives win? We are faced with such monumental challenges in this country. I think
every year, and I've got a lot more than you, but every year, every election year, we say, well,
this is the most important election in history.
And it becomes a cliche. This really may be the most important, certainly in my lifetime,
just because of the crush, you know, AI and the discussion of what to do about dead and climate.
And of course, how do you build an economy that works for people and give people their best
opportunity? I mean, all of these things are crushing in on us and we need wisdom and we need
to have a bigger discussion.
And whether team A or team B triumphs in the intramurals, and then whether they, who wins in
them, you know, this should be more than about that kind of a discussion. We need thoughtful
ideas. And the problem is that, you know, the incentives in politics are to weaponize differences
rather than take the best from all of them.
Last question about this, and I'll let you go. Like, what do you think the central question
that the next Democrats are going to ask?
What do you think the Democratic nominee has to answer about the country and about the party?
Well, first of all, and I know this wasn't a first of all question, but I just want to make
two points about it. One is, I think the wrong impulse is to say, you know, Trump has done a
teardown. There's no doubt about it. The blast radius from him, we're going to be feeling for,
he is one of the most impactful presidents in American history for better and worse,
mostly for worse. There are some things he,
if torn down that probably we should rethink anyway, because it may, they may not have been
working as well as they should. I don't, but the one thing I know is when he became president,
because people weren't happy with the status quo and with our politics. So to say, we're just
going to restore everything that he destroyed, and we're just going to put everything back the
way they were, is a losing argument. And it's a bad argument. It's the wrong argument. We have an
opportunity to build something new that's more resilient to corruption, you know, resistant to
corruption, more responsive to the real life concerns of people, more able and agile to solve
some of these big problems we're facing, more designed to bring us together than rip us apart.
And so I think someone who speaks at that level is going to be a more powerful candidate.
This is, you know, a, this is a big moment for the country. And I hope we've always had the
genius to elevate people at the right moment. I kind of thought of our guy as one of them.
And I'm hoping, I have a lot of, American people take such a beating, you know, people think
voters are stupid. They're not, you know, and I'm hoping that
they see in someone the, the depth and the wisdom that we need at this moment. And that's why I can't
wait for this primary to start. I've been waiting since 2023 for a primary.
Me too. Me too. I know. I'm very excited for it too. I look forward to it with trepidation, but also
hope that all the things you just said will happen and that someone will elevate someone who can
take that moment. Yeah. Well, you've written the word hope a lot of time in a lot of places,
John. And, um, the thing about you is that I know you also believe it and that you are an apostle
of, uh, hope and possibility, which is why I love you and, uh, why so many people, uh, are
interested in what you have to say. Well, same to you, my friend. I learned it. Uh, I learned,
I learned it all from you. So thank you. Thank you. Thanks for, uh, thanks for joining. I'll
Thanks to David Axelrod for joining me. Love it. Tommy and I will be back on Tuesday.
Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. Our show is produced by Austin Fisher, Saul Rubin,
McKenna Roberts, and Michael Goldsmith with Ree Churlin, Elijah Cohn, and Adrian Hill. Our team
includes Matt DeGroat, Ben Hefcote, Jordan Cantor, Charlotte Landis, Kenny Moffitt, Adam Lippert,
Joseph Dutra, Desmond Taylor, Dan Farrow, David Tolles, Mia Kelman, Ryan Young, and Naomi Singel.
Our staff is proudly unionized with the Writers Guild of America East.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The political environment is deeply unfavorable for Republicans, driven by economic struggles, the war in Iran, and Trump’s policies, which have disproportionately harmed red states like Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska.
Trump’s unpopularity and repeated missteps—such as the war escalation and tariff policies—have created a direct link between the economy and public anger, undermining Republican credibility in key swing states.
Democrats are gaining ground by focusing on economic hardship, healthcare costs, and systemic corruption, with candidates like Abdul in Michigan and John Ossoff in Georgia effectively centering everyday people’s concerns.
The debate performances in key races—especially Ossoff’s viral, conversational style and the attacks on Mike Collins—highlight a shift toward authenticity, youth, and outsider energy that resonates with frustrated voters.
A central Democratic strategy must revolve around rebuilding trust through humility, empathy, and institutional accountability, rejecting a "restore the past" narrative and instead proposing a more responsive, inclusive future.
Voter disengagement, particularly among Republican voters, and the rise of libertarian and protest voting in close races suggest a potential for significant shifts in the midterms.
Young, non-Washington-based candidates with strong communication skills and a focus on idealism are emerging as key figures who can inspire and energize the Democratic base.
The central question for the 2028 Democratic nominee is not just about reversing Trump’s damage, but about building a more resilient, equitable, and united America through bold, forward-thinking leadership.
Summary:
The political landscape heading into the midterms is increasingly hostile to Republicans, fueled by economic strain, the war in Iran, and President Trump’s policy decisions that have directly harmed key agricultural and midwestern states. David Axelrod and Jon Favreau analyze how these factors have eroded Republican support, particularly among working-class voters who feel betrayed by rising costs and a lack of government responsiveness. They highlight the rise of progressive, youth-driven candidates like John Ossoff and Abdul, who effectively frame debates around real-life hardships—healthcare, housing, and affordability—rather than partisan attacks.
The discussion emphasizes that Democrats must move beyond simply restoring the past, instead focusing on building a more transparent, empathetic, and corruption-resistant system. Candidates with authenticity, humility, and a commitment to accountability—especially those outside Washington—are seen as vital to winning both the midterms and laying the groundwork for a strong 2028 presidential campaign. The central question for Democrats is not how to undo the damage of the Trump era, but how to build a new, resilient political future rooted in shared values, real-world concerns, and genuine connection to everyday Americans.
FAQs
The political environment is seen as deeply unfavorable for Republicans, driven by economic struggles, public dissatisfaction with the president's policies, and the impact of war and tariffs on key red states. Trump's actions are widely believed to have worsened the situation, creating a strong sense of betrayal among voters.
Midterms are always about the president, and when the public is unhappy with the economy or the direction of the country, it creates a difficult environment for the party in power. Trump’s close ties to policies that harm the economy and increase costs have made this especially impactful.
Abdul should focus on the real issues facing voters—like gas prices, groceries, healthcare, and housing—emphasizing that the policies of the current administration are harming everyday people. He should avoid personal attacks and instead highlight his advocacy for working families.
There is a growing concern that AI and tech platforms are undermining democracy by dividing people, demonizing opponents, and reducing public agency. The real issue is whether people will regain control over their lives and decisions in a world increasingly shaped by algorithms.
The concentration of wealth and influence in the hands of a few tech and corporate leaders, who use massive lobbying power to shape policy, is a major threat. This undermines public trust and creates a political system that serves special interests over everyday people.
Candidates should show humility, integrity, empathy, and a commitment to holding institutions accountable. They should also be young, from outside Washington, and skilled at connecting with people authentically in a crowded media environment.
Chat with AI
Loading...
Pro features
Go deeper with this episode
Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.