Countries Move to Repatriate Gold Reserves as Trust in Trump Faces Scrutiny
13m 13s
Global financial institutions are reassessing their trust in U.S. institutions amid growing geopolitical and economic instability. Central banks are rapidly expanding gold reserves and relocating holdings abroad, driven by fears that the U.S. may misuse its political power to coerce allies or seize assets. This shift reflects deeper concerns about the reliability of U.S. economic and military systems—such as the Treasury bond market, where rising yields signal loss of confidence in U.S. stability. The rise of coercive policies under figures like Donald Trump, including trade threats and strategic partnerships with Russia and China, has intensified these anxieties. Gold, once seen as a safe haven, is now viewed as a defensive asset in times of uncertainty, with prices and futures markets showing significant declines. Experts emphasize that long-term prosperity depends on cooperation, not coercion, and warn that the current economic model is undermining global trust. Wise, as a financial tool, offers transparent, low-cost currency management that aligns with a more stable, cooperative global financial ecosystem. These trends suggest a fundamental realignment in global economic trust, where nations are proactively diversifying assets and reevaluating alliances in response to perceived risks.
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That central banks around the world are quietly stockpiling four times as much gold as usual, and are moving it out of the United States. This is a fortune report citing Goldman Sachs that wrote in a note earlier this week that it estimates central banks, central banks globally purchased 79 tons of gold in August. More than four times the amount of pre-2022 average of 17 tons on a three-month seasonally adjusted basis purchases are running at 85 tons per month. Now, we have also seen headlines like this. Netherlands moves billions in gold to London, in crisis preparedness move from the United States. We saw the UK do that. We saw France do that, and we're increasingly seeing signs of this, whether it's the Goldman Sachs report or other countries quietly doing it. We're not just talking about gold. We're seeing the same thing in the US Treasury market. The US Treasury market was one scene as a safe place where the US bonds would be backed by the full faith and credit of the United States, and in terms of a chaotic global landscape, the idea that a foreign government, a foreign sovereign wealth fund, or foreign companies, or companies here in the United States could park money in Treasury bonds that return a predictable yield, perhaps not as high of the yield as equities, but safer, because equities can go down and up very quickly, but a predictable return. We are now seeing that with the United States, predictability, stability, being called into severe doubt. Countries and companies are demanding a higher yield in order to purchase said bonds and Treasury Secretary Bessent has tried various schemes, bond buyback schemes on a 30-year yield note, which didn't work. $6 billion, he said he was going to do these buybacks on the 30-year note. Market said, "It looks like you're scared, dude. It doesn't look like someone who's pretty confident, and $6 billion in a marketplace of trillions of dollars." You're like throwing a pebble at an ocean. I think you're going to stop the wave with that. You're going to encourage the wave with that, because it's showing that you're scared, and he's been trying a number of hair brain schemes, and none of that's working. Remember Bessent said that he's the house, and the house bet against me if you do, and then people did bet against him, and then he was asked. You said you were the house. Do you regret saying that? Because I was just saying I'm playing the odds. That's when I went by the house. Then he's done operation economic outcast. If you do business with Iran, we will severely retaliate against you. Good done. Well, you have Russia's foreign minister Lavrov took a trip this past week to Tehran, talked about the broad-wide-ranging cooperation between Russia and Iran in areas of economic cooperation, regional stability, nuclear plants like Bhushir, the joint venture nuclear plant there, other nuclear power throughout Iran, and Operation Economic Outcast is Donald Trump begging Putin for diesel and doing more deals with Putin and Kareel Demetriyev and Yuri Yushchikov, the top people at Russia saying the diesel deals, just the tip of the iceberg. We've got fertilizer deals, we've got uranium deals, and nuclear-powered data center deals with the Trump regime coming in the future. That's Operation Economic Outcast. I mean, Russia's helping Iran's military and that they're not hiding it. They're saying it. It's the same thing with China. China's dual-use component parts are what's being built, not just for the Russian weapons that are being used in Ukraine against Ukraine, but also they're being used by Iran as well. And Trump sucks up to Xi Jinping, not a day passes where Trump doesn't post a weird video of the video with him and she from over a month ago, and Trump pretends like it was last week. I want to bring in Justin Wolffers, might as touch network chief economist, and also the founder of Platypus economics. That's the YouTube channel called Platypus economic subscribe there. Justin, we talk a lot about stability of markets, stability of things like the gold market or treasury bonds, and you don't want to see a great deal of volatility in these areas. And we're seeing across all of these sectors, and I'm not going to suggest that they've had a past free of volatility. But we're certainly seeing unusual patterns that are reflective of the instability coming from the top. So talk to us about what you're seeing. Yeah. The gold story is just absolutely fascinating. So what we have is a bunch of governments around the world. They own gold bars. Those gold bars are often just being stored in the US. You've got to put them somewhere. Why not here? And they're deciding, no, no, actually we're not sure we want them in the United States. So this is countries like the Netherlands, France, Germany's doing it. Italy, India's done a bit as well. And you might be wondering why? And one answer is you could say, this is the one you hinted at, Ben, they're worried the Americans would steal it. There's something to do that. The Venezuelans certainly are worried about the American stealing Venezuelan oil. And the Iranians must be somewhat worried about that in their future. And I do remember when the CEO of Intel went to the White House managed to walk out having accidentally left 10% of his company behind. But I think there's a broader statement here. It's not just a question of stability. The question that you're really asking with gold is, gold is something's really valuable if there's a geopolitical crisis. If the old ways of the world can't be counted on. And the question is, if there's a geopolitical crisis, do we think America is the bastion of stability that it will have a democracy and the rule of law and it will respect property rights and everything will be all right here, even if it's not all right elsewhere. Historically, that's been the case. That's why when things go haywire in the world, historically, people would send as much of their money as they could to the US. They called us a safe haven. Now the question is, if we were in a geopolitical crisis, would the US actually be part of the problem or part of the solution? And what you're seeing here is a fear, not a certainty, but a fear that we might actually be part of the problem instead. So I can understand this. If you were Canada, you would have thought that you're a nearest neighbor or closest ally with friends, you're not a threat. You can rely on the United States. These are friends that you've had military, cultural, political and economic integration with for years. You couldn't possibly see a problem, but all of a sudden, we're somehow in the middle of a trade war with Canada. And so that's going to lead other countries who are very naturally allies to say, well, wait, what happened to them? Could that happen to us? And that's the questions that they're asking themselves right now. And you want to combine this with the idea that the way Trump works is, he's a fan of coercion more than years of cooperation. Global trade is mostly built on cooperation. And what the president's tried to do is use access to the American market coercively. You can't sell stuff to Americans unless you do what I say. And in all of what the president's been doing, it's coercion, coercion, coercion. And now I suddenly don't want to leave my gold in America because that's another tool of coercion. What if we got an attempt with the Americans might, you know, you can imagine the Aussies or the Canadians or the French saying, would they just threaten to steal our gold? Well, that was unimaginable for decades, centuries even. But today it's imaginable. And when you're talking about billions of dollars worth of gold, it's just not worth the risk. And so it's not that I care which country the gold is in. It's that I think each of us should listen to the message that's being sent. The information that's leading other countries to think, you know what, I'm not sure I want to keep trusting the Americans. Their coercive approach makes them an untrustworthy dance partner. Yeah, I mean, to your point, usually in conflicts, gold markets, gold futures would do very well. You know, when I looked at, as of this recording, the price of gold in the futures market, I mean, you look over the day, it was down about 1.15%, the past five days, down about 4.4%, the past month, down 7%, the past six months, down 15%,
year to date down about 7.28% and with all of the instability, globally, you would expect actually, based on all these past trends, perhaps something different, you know, over there. But to your point, it is now viewed as a tool when there is instability. Trump can hold all of this over your head. And there was a relationship that actually benefited the United States, which Trump viewed as we were being taken advantage of here. No, we were the architects. We wrote the rules in the United States of a post-World War II world, whatever your critique of it, one thing that most people would acknowledge, there was a bit of an element of heads the U.S. wins, tails you lose if you're going to go against the architecture because those rules benefited the United States at the ultimate end point has the main place where the petro dollar, the dollar generally all cycles and kind of swirls back to the magnet that puts it out to begin with. It's a crude example. But now everyone's being told that's the same thing with American military weapons. It could be a kill switch. Look what happened with Starlink and Star Shield. Elon Musk can turn it off whenever he wants. Why would we do that? You know, it's going to hurt Elon Musk down the line as well because people are going to, why would we use Starlink and Star Shield? He's going to screw us over. We see what he did with Ukraine. Why would we get an F-35 over a grippin' regardless of our view of what performs better? Get this weed in grippin'. We trust them. You know, why would we do this submarine? It's a broader narrative right here and gold highlights, I think, the piece of it. Give me the final word. I was just going to come back to this broader idea, which is, what do you think the foundations of prosperity are? Is it coercion or is it cooperation? What me as a team cooperation, we have scores of evidence, many countries, decades of lived experience, which says cooperation is the way to a better, more peaceful, more prosperous world. The stakes here are absolutely enormous and somewhere along the way our economic model became one of coercion rather than cooperation. I think we, the people, need to have a good and honest discussion about that. What do we think is the appropriate economic model for the United States? There's a lot of security with being with friends. There's a lot of gains from cooperation. There's also a lot of security that comes with cooperation. Everybody subscribe to Justin Mulfur's YouTube channel, Platypus Economics. Subscribe now and Justin, great to have you as the mightest touch chief economist. Great to see what you've built with Platypus. I hope for it's, and I know it will have continued growth. Let's get that one million subscribers, thanks, Justin. Thanks, man. One book, a whole lot of WTF. My brothers and I wrote WTF America about how we got into this mess, the millions of you who refused to back down, and how we get out. Scan the QR code, click the link in the description, or find it anywhere books are sold in order today.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Wise offers a transparent, fee-free way to manage global currency transfers with exchange rates matching those seen on Google.
Central banks worldwide are rapidly increasing gold purchases, with purchases in August exceeding four times the pre-2022 average, signaling growing geopolitical distrust in U.S. stability.
Countries like the Netherlands, UK, France, and India are moving gold holdings out of the U.S., driven by fears of political or military coercion rather than mere speculation.
The U.S. Treasury bond market is facing instability as investors demand higher yields, reflecting skepticism about the safety and predictability of U.S. government debt.
Geopolitical shifts, including Trump’s coercive trade policies and partnerships with Russia and China, are undermining trust in U.S. economic and military reliability.
Gold is increasingly seen not just as a store of value but as a hedge against instability, with markets showing sharp declines despite global uncertainty.
Experts argue that long-term prosperity relies on cooperation, not coercion, and that the current shift toward coercion threatens global economic stability.
The broader message is that trust in U.S. institutions is eroding, prompting nations to diversify their assets and reevaluate global economic alliances.
Summary:
S. institutions amid growing geopolitical and economic instability. S.
may misuse its political power to coerce allies or seize assets. S. S.
stability. The rise of coercive policies under figures like Donald Trump, including trade threats and strategic partnerships with Russia and China, has intensified these anxieties. Gold, once seen as a safe haven, is now viewed as a defensive asset in times of uncertainty, with prices and futures markets showing significant declines.
Experts emphasize that long-term prosperity depends on cooperation, not coercion, and warn that the current economic model is undermining global trust. Wise, as a financial tool, offers transparent, low-cost currency management that aligns with a more stable, cooperative global financial ecosystem. These trends suggest a fundamental realignment in global economic trust, where nations are proactively diversifying assets and reevaluating alliances in response to perceived risks.
FAQs
Central banks are stockpiling more gold as a hedge against geopolitical instability and distrust in U.S. financial systems, particularly due to concerns about political coercion and the reliability of American institutions.
The surge in gold purchases signals declining confidence in traditional safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasury bonds, reflecting growing fears about U.S. political stability and economic predictability.
Yes, countries like the Netherlands, France, Germany, and India are relocating gold assets overseas, primarily to avoid perceived risks of political coercion or national instability in the U.S.
Trump’s use of coercion in trade and diplomacy—such as threatening retaliation or forming deals with hostile nations—has led countries to question the reliability of U.S. commitments, weakening trust in American financial systems.
Governments are shifting to gold because they view it as a more reliable store of value during times of geopolitical uncertainty, especially when they fear U.S. actions could threaten their assets or sovereignty.
No—despite some market fluctuations, gold has been falling in price due to market expectations of stability, but the underlying trend reflects growing distrust, not a decline in demand.
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