Jonathan Panney’s new book, *Chilling Effects*, explores how surveillance and digital technologies shape human behavior by inducing self-censorship—what he calls "chilling effects." Rooted in both legal and behavioral science, the book challenges the outdated notion that chilling effects are solely driven by overt laws or government overreach. Instead, Panney argues that fear—whether from real or perceived threats, including mass surveillance or online harassment—leads individuals to suppress speech and dissent, even when not directly targeted. This behavior is especially harmful to marginalized groups, who face disproportionate surveillance and are more likely to self-censor due to socioeconomic and historical vulnerabilities. The book reveals that the "nowhere to hide" argument is deeply misinformed, as privacy is essential for personal development, innovation, and democratic progress. Panney also identifies a dangerous shift in power: the growing alliance between governments and tech corporations, enabled by AI and data analytics, creates a powerful, personalized, and pervasive system of control. This synthesis of state and tech power—what he calls "tech-state cartels"—amplifies fear, suppresses dissent, and undermines democracy. He warns that without a new, evidence-based public policy framework that accounts for psychological and social dynamics, society risks normalizing total surveillance, leading to conformity, polarization, and the erosion of free expression. The urgency of action is clear: proactive regulation and public awareness are needed to prevent a future where surveillance is both invisible and uncontested.
Welcome to the Polytech Report, the podcast where we explore questions surrounding politics
and technology in this new digital age.
This episode, conformity, I'm joined with Jonathan Panney, a leading expert in the intersection
between law, technology, and human rights.
His research on privacy, surveillance, and emerging technology has been widely recognized
and published across leading outlets.
His new book, Chilling Effects, Repression, Conformity, and Power in the Digital Age, explores
how surveillance and digital systems shape human behavior and threaten democracy.
So Jonathan, what started you down this path?
I was always, you know, since I've been, you know, growing up, I was always a bit of a
nerdy tech kid.
I recall my friend Aaron was among the first to have a, you know, like a high speed modem.
I was an early adopter at the internet, I spent time in, like, the late 90s and early
2000s on, places like IRC and in a relay chat and, you know, different parts explored
the internet early on.
And I recall conversations I would have with friends offline and with friends online was,
you know, how, how fascinated and excited we were about the internet back then and how
its capacity to connect people and to amplify voices and to do, you know, great things for
freedom and privacy and democracy and, you know, global connectivity.
But over time, I also recall those same conversations we always had concerns about inevitably
whether, you know, big government and, you know, industry and bad actors would at some
point figure out a way to, you know, threaten and to weaponize these same kind of online
and offline tools.
And so I was always interested in these kinds of questions around freedom of speech and
activities online and concerns around privacy.
Read from, you know, my, you know, growing up to times later when I continued my interest
in law school and then later with graduate studies ended up doing research as a doctoral
student on this very topic.
So there's always a personal side of this.
But the timing for this particular book and why I wrote it now was that I really think
that we've entered a new era where the threats that I talk about in the book, threats that
have this chilling or discouraging effect on our speech and activities online and offline.
They're being weaponized in unprecedented ways in this new era to chiller activities
and to shape our behavior at scale.
And I think the way that we think about this public policy challenge is deeply flawed
and we need a new way of thinking about it.
And so I think we've, while I've been thinking about these issues for a long time, it seemed
like a pretty timely topic and an urgent topic and the urgency and the importance seem
to be increasingly important to me.
So I, that is the broader context for the book today.
So for people who have never heard the term chilling effect before, can you just briefly
describe what this actually means?
Absolutely.
So this concept of chilling effects has a kind of dual meaning or dual character to it.
On the one hand, it's a legal concept whose meaning and prominence emerges in the post-war
period in the United States and U.S. constitutional law.
So you have, in the late 1940s and the 1950s, you have what's known as the McCarthy era,
which is now called of the Red Square.
You have this period in the United States and across the West where there's this real
concern during these years of a calmness threat to the national security of the United States
and also governments across the West.
And the policy response was the governments in the United States enacting a series of
laws that targeted the supposed communist threat and many of these laws targeted speech,
targeted freedom of assembly, targeted protests and other kinds of activities in the, and often
these laws were very overreaching.
And so the U.S. Supreme Court invokes this concept of a chilling effect in a series of
judgments, many of these laws were challenged in court.
And the U.S. Supreme Court invokes this concept of a chilling effect because these laws
had a chilling or discouraging effect on the free exercise of people's speech, which
is protected by the U.S. First Amendment in the U.S. Constitution and struck down many
of these laws.
And so the term chilling effects comes to prominence in U.S. constitutional law.
And really that legal meaning has carried with it to Canada, to the United Kingdom,
to Europe and Asia and beyond.
This term has traveled within legal jurisdictions, hence invoked by lawyers and judges and policy
makers around the world.
And this legalistic meaning has traveled with it.
But underlying the legal concept and underlying the legal doctrine is a theory of human behavior.
And that's what I talk a lot about in the book.
That is, in the face of certain threats, a privacy threat, legal threat, even a threat
of personal violence, these threats, we have a tendency to self-censor and self-restrain
our behavior for self-protective reasons.
And so there's two meanings, everyone.
It's a legal concept that speaks to how laws have a chilling or discouraging effect on
protected legal rights.
But chilling effects also now refers to a theory of human behavior underlying that legal
concept, but how we self-restrain, how we self-censor in the face of threats.
And I talk about both in the book, but really a key focus of the book is that underlying
theory of human behavior.
When you talk about this term, is there a misconception of it by the public, at all
or is it kind of understood?
In my view, there is a lot of misconceptions about the terminology, the term chilling
effects.
Now, that's due to a few different factors.
Main target in the book is what I call conventional understanding of chilling effects and the
public policy challenge that they pose to individual rights, but also the health of broader
democratic society.
And conventional understanding has largely shaped legal understanding, but the understanding
of journalists, policy makers, and by extension through media coverage and how it's been written
about by journalists and even by writers in popular culture like George Orwell and Aldous
Huxley, for example, you know, 1984 in similar kinds of texts and Brave New World of Huxley's
famous text.
This conventional understanding comes, it's been largely shaped by this legalistic origins.
So it's very individualistic.
It's very legalistic, focused on laws to the neglect of other kinds of chilling effects,
but most importantly that I highlighted in the book, conventional understanding has largely
been discredited by social and behavioral research.
That is, underlying conventional understanding is a deterrence theory of human behavior that
social science research has really shown requires very specific conditions to be met.
Of course, certain laws and other kinds of threats can have a deterrent effect, but
often you need very unique sets of circumstances that aren't usually present in day-to-day contexts.
So the research shows that the theory underlying conventional understanding is weak, has a weak
empirical basis in research and understanding.
And lastly, conventional understanding really cannot explain chilling effects in a wide
variety of circumstances.
It can explain it in relation to the law and some traditional privacy threats.
And so the general public, to go back to your question, but also lawyers and judges and
even privacy scholars have, in my view, all gotten this wrong, have been rely on conventional
understanding.
We need to move past that and we need a new, better informed understanding that's one
that's informed by social theory and behavioral research and science.
I think that there's another sort of public misconception that's more foundational saying
that. Why are you worried about being surveilled if you have nothing to hide?
If someone said this to you, what's sort of the best argument against this point of view?
Great.
So this is one of those classic arguments that you often hear raised in relation to forms
of government, police, and national security surveillance.
That is, if you aren't doing anything wrong, if you aren't up to any mischief, then you
have nothing really to hide from the government or from the police or from national security
agencies, then why should you care that they're watching or they're listening or they're
tracking and gathering data about what you're doing online and offline and profiling
you as a result?
So baked into this nowhere to hide argument, there are a number of different assumptions.
And I think once you understand some of those assumptions, you can understand why it's
a deeply flawed claim to make.
On the one hand, what is assumed there is that there is a real black and white way of thinking
about how we live, what we read, what we speak about, and what we do.
Either something is criminal or something we should be ashamed of and that with something
we would want to hide on the one hand.
And on the other hand, you're only doing legal things, socially desirable things, things
that would be approved by everyone around us.
And the nowhere to hide argument assumes that if you're not doing any of those bad things
that you really shouldn't care, that the government is watching or surveilling you.
But the reality is how we understand personal development, how we understand forms of intellectual
privacy, how we understand personal relationships.
This is insights from social psychology, insights from privacy, insights from scholars like
Neil Richards who and Julie Cohen have written about intellectual privacy in order for us to
develop as people to develop our identities in order to forge long-lasting personal friendships
and relationships with ourselves.
We need a space of privacy where we can experiment.
We can talk about embarrassing subjects where we can read about and search about embarrassing,
shameful or even controversial subjects.
And if we don't have that space, or we avoid these kinds of conversations or reading about
these kinds of topics in subject matter, then we really can't develop as individuals and
as people in our growth and identities are deeply stumped.
And that's just on an individual level, right?
On a societal level, right, we also know that innovation, creativity and democracy and
descent operate on this assumption that to move society forward, to have social progress,
to have creative endeavors to innovate, to move us beyond often conventional thinking.
We need a marketplace of ideas, which itself is a bit of a fiction because we know that
when people are speaking, not everyone has an equal platform, not everyone has an equal
voice, but at least the running assumption that we know with and healthy democracies,
you need to have people who are willing to descent from group think.
You need inventors and creators and innovators to descend from common or conventional ways
of doing things, right?
And if government is watching what you're doing and tracking what you're doing, and you
avoid all of those sort of more marginal ways of doing things, if you avoid challenging
group think, if you avoid being creative in your solutions, because you don't want to
have anything to hide, right?
Then again, there's going to be real trouble and dangers, not just on an individual level,
as I mentioned, but in society itself, right?
And the research, and I've talked about in this book, these are one of the dangers of
chili effects, and like this, and then maybe this is the third problem with this argument
about nowhere to hide in this misconception of the public, that it also assumes a kind
of rational understanding of how we behave when we know we're being watched, right?
It assumes there's nowhere to hide that everything we do is deliberate, conscious, and rational.
But the reality is, when we know we're being watched, when we know we're under observation,
that in and of itself has a chilling and conforming effect in our behavior.
Not just on a deliberate level, but on a subconscious level.
So in moments where we know we're being watched, and if we feel like I've got nowhere to hide,
so I'm happy to just do what I do and let the government watch.
We are not even aware, and this is what social psychological research shows, and I talk
about a lot of this research in the book.
Even the knowledge or awareness that you're being watched has an impact on our behavior.
Makes us more compliant with group think, and less willing to challenge conventional ways
of thinking and doing, and that's, again, deeply problematic.
And so there's just a few, I mean, there's others who have critiqued this argument before,
but those are, I think, some key arguments that I think come from the book that show that
this kind of argument is deeply flawed.
And is there even a real difference in the way that the public acts when comparing knowing
that the government is watching you and being paranoid that they might be watching you?
So that reminds me of sort of a famous line from Kurt Cobain, the late singer and songwriter
for Nirvana, who families he said, just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not
following you.
On the one hand, there's going to be certain groups and communities in society that have
very good reason to think that they are being watched, or they've been put on notice that
they've actually been surveilled and targeted under watch.
And where you know for a certainty that you or the group or community that you're associated
with has been targeted for surveillance, for prosecution, for other kinds of persecution,
the Chilean effects and the impact of that threat, the impact of that awareness is profound.
And I talk about this a little bit in the book in chapter 8, something I call the Chilean
effects curve, where the more targeted and personalized the threat, be it a surveillance
threat, be it a targeted legal threat, be it a personal threat of violence, for example,
the more personalized the threat, the greater the Chilean effect on the target of the victim.
So when a person, and let me give you an example, is that I, one example that I talk about
in the book, for example, Muslim American communities after 9/11.
So after the al-Qaeda terrorist attacks on the towers in New York City, the World
Trade Center in New York City in September 11th, 2001, you had U.S. Security Services,
National Security Surveillance, the FBI and other anti-terrorist sort of task force, targeting
often Muslim American communities for surveillance.
And they were made aware of this surveillance, many of their communities were targeted and
singled out for surveillance, and there's been a lot of research done how this had a
really chilling and corrosive effect on those communities, how difficult it was when
you knew that your communities would be targeted by state and law enforcement for potentially
being a national security threat to the country.
However, there are also cases to come back to your question where you do not know for certain
that you're being watched, but maybe you're simply paranoid about that possibility.
And what I think research shows, including my own research, like my Wikipedia study, even
where you just are aware about the possibility of mass government online surveillance and
offline surveillance, and that you're not necessarily targeted, but you're aware of the
possibility that the government might be tracking what people are reading on Wikipedia,
what people are searching for on Google search, or what you're reading in other parts of
the internet.
If you're aware of that, that too can have a chilling effect on what you're willing to
seek out, read, and do.
And that's what I found in my Wikipedia study, pre-imposed Snowden revelations, and what
other researchers have found who've reproduced a similar kind of chilling effect on it.
surveillance effect, pre-imposed note, in other contexts, replicating my findings and
other contexts.
And I think that's a different kind of chill, because in that context, reading Wikipedia
articles isn't illegal.
It's just content on there that if you knew the government is looking over your shoulder
or tracking what you're doing, or maybe tracking what you're doing, you might say, "Let me
avoid reading about Alcada," because I don't want to get caught up in a mass government
drag net, and then maybe I end up in a no-fi list at some point down the future.
Intentionally, unintentionally, just people want to avoid trouble, so they say, "Let me just
avoid these really privacy-sensitive articles, and avoid searching for them on Google."
Because who knows who's tracking and collecting my browser history out there?
Let me avoid them on Wikipedia, because who knows who's tracking that?
And I'll just avoid those more controversial topics, even where you have no good reason
to think that you're being watched, you're just a citizen, and you're avoiding these topics
on one.
That's, I think, a case where people might be paranoid, you might explain that, but in
other cases, you may say not paranoid, just being more cautious with the possibility that
you're being watched.
And that's an example of a broader chill that I'd talk about in the book, but even when
it's not hard, you'd have an impact on behavior at a great even society level scale.
And one interesting idea that you described in your book was the surveillance inequality
between the poorer and wealthier neighborhoods, with the poorer being significantly more
exposed to drones.
How does this even begin to manifest?
Yeah, so this is a great point, and it's what I, when I talk about in the book, I go through
what I call the dangers of chilling effects, understanding how the impact on individuals
and how they impact on broader society, and one of the real deeply troubling implications
of chilling effects that I've found in my own research on chilling effects, and what
other research have similarly found is a few things.
On the one hand, and this is to go back to the example that you mentioned, drone surveillance,
and places, so there's, there's two angles to this, or two sides of this equality problem.
Where chilling effects perpetuates inequalities and inequities within society, and there's
two main ways that this happens.
On the one hand, the threats that cause or lead to chilling effects, like surveillance
threats, like targeted law enforcement, or targeted legal prosecution threats, personal
threats of violence, or the risk thereof.
These threats disproportionately typically victimize women and minority populations.
That is, people who are poorer, or come from more marginal communities, immigrant communities,
working class communities, poorer migrant communities, disparate communities, all these,
they tend to be victimized by police surveillance and targeted prosecution disproportionately.
They're disproportionately targeted by all forms of online harassment, abuse, stalking
and harassment, both in the public and private sector actors.
They're disproportionately victimized by police usage of new kinds of emerging tech, including
AI, like in this, the McDonald's case that I talk about in the book, but also new kinds
of police drone surveillance programs.
drones are being increasingly used in certain communities to police those communities, and
they tend to be established with flight paths and surveillance operations, which disproportionately
target poorer communities, poorer regions and poorer areas.
The threats that cause chill and the impacts that I talk about, those threats disproportionately
target these communities or poorer individuals and poorer groups.
And that, of course, perpetuates the same kind of inequities in society, because if you're
more likely to be affected by these threats, you're more likely to be chilled and all the
attendant corrosive impacts that it has on who you are as a person and your personal relationships,
your economic opportunities, all of that.
It's not just that, the threats, what I also found in my own research is that people from
more marginal backgrounds, women, minorities and impoverished communities are disproportionately
chilled or impacted by these very threats.
That is, we have two individuals, one who comes from a poorer background or come from a
more marginalized community, and somebody who is surveilled or targeted by the same threat
that comes from a more established community that is more wealth and more family community
or even governmental support.
The person from the poor or marginal community is going to be disproportionately chilled.
That is, their life, their speech, they're going to experience greater forms of self-sensorship,
greater profound impacts on their lives and they'll experience other kinds of more broader
forms of chill, like for example, systems of violence, kind of an institutional chill
that I talk about in chapter five in my taxonomy.
That's more likely to affect those groups, so its chilling effects and the threats that
cause them can perpetuate inequality in society, both by having threats disproportionately
target these same populations over time, but also chilling effects disproportionately
affect them.
And there's different explanations for that, it's because they don't have the same resources,
they can't seek legal advice when needed, they don't have the same family support, community
support, broader governmental services support, but also they might have experienced forms
of surveillance, harassment, personal abuse in the past, which reaches also shows, makes
it more vulnerable to chill and the same kind of curse and impacts to threats in the future.
So if you've experienced personal abuse in the past, you're going to have experienced
chilling effects in more profound ways, that's also what the research shows.
To me, there's levels to surveillance, whereas the most simplest form of this is just setting
some prison guard outside of your cell and just watching you what you do, a few rungs
up that would be the government sort of checking your activity, seeing all that you're doing
online, and one application of that is as you said before the facial recognition technology,
which is arguably more invasive than anything that's came before it.
To me, it seems like we're at the peak of this sort of surveillance ladder, is I can't
really think of anything that can go any farther than it has now.
Yeah, that's a great point.
Have we reached sort of apex surveillance, are we at peak surveillance?
I go back and forth on this question, but what I tend to think is, is that there's even
further we could go, and whether you view that as greater heights to go in terms of the
capacity for surveillance, or maybe we could sink even further.
I try to speak to some of that potentially darker future in chapter 10, which I get
into what I call the future chilling effects, and how to stop it, and I speak to it, I use
as new term supervalence, which, shorthand you might say, is a way of speaking to forms
of AI-enhanced surveillance, but even more than that, AI-enhanced surveillance that incorporates
forms of facial and bodily tech identification, uses mass forms of data-based saying, powerful
artificial AI-driven engine that's powering these systems, but also highly personalized
enforcement.
And today increasingly, you already have societies where surveillance is sort of accepted, right?
and China has hundreds of millions of dollars.
of surveillance cameras through the country, but they are already increasingly deploying
AI to enhance and to power that already existing surveillance system.
Meaning you might look at China and say China has achieved peak surveillance, but there
is still further that they are going to be able to go.
And where I can see this going is where you end up with a more totalizing system
that combines both public, space, facial and bodily recognition, surveillance, power
by AI.
And that ends up being combined with forms of online data-driven surveillance, but also forms
a personal surveillance of any kind of like digital activities you're done in the
province of your own home.
If you're doing them online, and you can even imagine a future where the internet of
things, right, that we have smart appliances around our home, even those will be part of
a broader surveillance apparatus.
And while I've mentioned China, the reality is these systems are increasingly being deployed
in the United States, Canada, and across the West.
Certainly AI-enhanced surveillance is already being deployed and experimented with at home
and abroad, not just in China, not just in the East, but across the West.
And so while already we are in a darkened spot presently, unfortunately, I feel like
things could get worse if we don't act quickly.
I think the aim, one of the messages that I try to get across in the book, is we need
to end our typical complacency about these technologies because, for example, when it came
to social media and the internet, we took a very social media, in particular, a very
hands-off approach, and now a lot of the attendant problems are very difficult in ways you
might argue socially intractable.
So I think it's attendant upon us to be more thoughtful and proactive about AI surveillance
and other kinds of privacy threats before things get any worse because as bad as things
seem, I still think they can and will get considerably worse.
And I suppose it's only getting more opportunity to get worse daily as more data is created.
Once the statistics in your book stated that I believe in 2003, human history had created
something like five exabytes of data, and nearly ten years later, that amount of data
was being created every two days.
What does that scale mean for privacy?
I mean, a pessimist might say like, how is privacy even possible in a world with that
scale of big data, but I think what it really means is not, as always, I mean, this is
something we often do.
With every new technology, new form of data that comes online, people like declaring
the death or end of privacy, which to me is a deeply problematic trope because it just
creates a card flash for those who have an interest in demolishing privacy, just collecting
information about us and profiling us without constraints or with restraint.
What it, in my view, means for privacy.
It means that we need to get off our hands.
It means, first and foremost, that this is a complex problem that touches every facet
of our lives, meaning that if we don't get off our hands and we don't get more robust
in our both personal habits when it comes to managing our own choices about our information
and data, but it also means that we, as a society, need more robust public policy responses
to big data, its generation, collection, and retention over time, and we need a more
robust public policy response to that.
If we don't, then we're going to end up in a scenario where forms of even more creeping
mass surveillance that touches all aspects of our lives becomes a reality.
And I think that's a life that's a reality we don't want to be living in.
We think we understand what that looks like, and that will just become normalized to it.
But I think no one is ready for that future.
If we don't want to avoid it, we need to act now.
And I think that the main issue with the policy surrounding this is that there's a misunderstanding
of what we should be doing.
I feel like there's an idea right now that when you understand a lot of something at
its simplest state that can translate into something as it advances, which may have worked
in the past, but now is something that's changing as quickly as AI and even the internet,
I feel like we need to change our framework of analyzing this.
Yeah.
I couldn't agree more.
I mean, first and foremost, the way that we respond to the public policy challenge posed
by chilling effects and the threats like mass surveillance is available as data collection
of attention and algorithmic profiling that's being done by the public and private sector
every single day.
We need new understanding of the threats and the public policy challenge.
We need to discard conventional thinking or conventional understanding as I talk about
in the book.
That's the first step.
And that's a key claim that I make in the book and it's a key thing that I tend to achieve
by advancing this new understanding.
Because without that, the reforms that I talk about or that I recommend, if you're using
the only way, I think you're going to think this is necessary, you need a more singular,
more modest, even a more hands-off, ex-post-factor response is going to be fine until you understand
the scale and the scope of the public policy challenge, you're not going to get anywhere
with some of the legal reforms that I'm recommending.
Before we talked about the difference in believing you're being surveilled and sort of seeing
this happening, if these chilling effects are fundamentally about self-sensorship driven
by uncertainty, does that mean the actual surveillance infrastructure matters less than
the belief in it?
What does this actually say about our ability to ever truly solve the problem if it doesn't
matter if the government is watching us or not, if we're all paranoid no matter what?
Right.
So a few points in this, and this is actually something that came up as a debate in relation
to some of my findings in the Wikipedia study, but other findings, where Edward Snowden, June
2013, leaks information about national security, the NSA, National Security Agency, the United
States, US government, governments across the West are engaged in forms of mass online
and telecommunications surveillance for national security reasons.
And my study shows that post those Snowden revelations and due to those revelations being
covered intensely by mainstream media, you have a new public awareness about these government
processes and that newfound awareness has a chilling effect on what people were willing
to read and search for online.
And some people reading that study came away with the conclusion that, "Oh, who is the
blame for this?
Is it the government?
Or is it really Edward Snowden?"
It's Edward Snowden's fault because he's the one that brought information to light about
this abusive and minicases off an unconstitutional and legal forms of mass surveillance.
We did lead to the intense media coverage in this newfound public awareness, which in
turn had this negative effect on people's behavior.
Do we blame the government or do we blame Edward Snowden?
And the way I always thought about that question and that debate was, is that it's a real
red herring, to the extent that the cause of the surveillance chill and other effects there
isn't journalism, isn't disclosures about illegal and unconstitutional government surveillance
programs.
It's the surveillance programs itself if you ask people why they're avoiding sensitive topics
They're not gonna say I'm avoiding them because of Edward Snowden. They're saying I'm avoiding them because of the potential that government's watching me and
It's not like there wasn't already some awareness of these secretive
National Security programs pre-Snowden people knew they existed
There's just less information about the nature scope and and and the details of some of those programs
But there are certainly groups who knew they're being targeted had a basis for it because
They were prosecuted and some details would come out in some of the
Government disclosures in the in the context of various government cases or it would be released by government reports all of that
So the point is here
uncertainty
Which can be bred by secrecy right is only one factor in
Causing chilling effects in the book. I talk about three other key chilling effect factors. One is
Observation or surveillance or just awareness of the possibility you're being watched
itself awareness of being watched or even the possibility of being watched has a chilling and conforming effect on your behavior
Second, these are uncertainty is certainly a factor but not the only one
Thirdly, personalization the more personal the threat the greater the chill and lastly
Entities with greater power and authority have a greater chilling effect or have a more
chilling effect on
On people's behavior due to that power and authority so these are all key factors that can lead to chilling effects
And so in the context of a government surveillance program you might have some people who are paranoid about being watched and
Might be paranoid about it so therefore they shift their behavior accordingly
Because they have uncertainty about what the government might be doing
But even where you have cases where there is less secrecy and less uncertainty you can still have a chilling effect
Even where there's no uncertainty but what's happening if you know that the government is targeting certain groups and you think okay
They're not targeting me, right?
They're targeting Muslim Americans
Even the possibility that you could be caught up in that mass kind of surveillance can have a chilling effect
If you know that or if you're a part of a group you're an activist or a protester and you know that there's a
Possibility that you could be watched by those same government programs because you'd be viewed as a threat
to order instability
All of those factors can impact your behavior as I argue in the book
so even
though
There is an impact from awareness
right
Whether government is surveilling you or not surveilling you. Yes, you can be chilled
Even when you're not being watched and that's sort of the point of Foucault's Panopticon and the Panopticon jail
that Jeremy Bentham famously designed in the 19th century and Mikaou Foucault the French philosopher
You you know used as a metaphor for surveillance in modern society this notion that we're all
potentially being watched and that on certainty of being potentially under surveillance
has a
Disciplining effect on our behavior and he took that as a metaphor for
Surveillance in modern society. I think that's right
But I think the fact that we know for certain that government and private sector entities are engaged in targeted surveillance
do
Target protesters do target students in a lot of cases. We're seeing in the United States and
Target people who are dissenters
Target minority populations
Or even there's the mass population itself for tracking for national security reasons and to
keep people in check to
Shape and make entire populations more easy to manage
right
That should be the focus of a concern. So it does matter
Even though you can have a chilling effect when the government's not even watching you just the possibility of it
The fact that they are and the fact that the private sector is watching the fact that
extremist bad actors are weaponizing stalker wear weaponizing trolling and other kinds of personal threats to genuinely
Target people and we're aware of it because of the stories from victims and from important reporting from media and journalists
When you combine those two it does matter that the programs exist. It does matter that people are being targeted
Because it all increases the chill and the impact in the long run certainly for those who are in fact being targeted, but also for the rest of us as well
And I suppose that it's easy to look at this sort of idea and blame it fully on the government
Don't get me wrong there a foundational force to this
But I feel social media as you've touched on is also a significant player in this if you
Publish something on social media it gets a million views and it's contrasting a bunch of people's opinion people are going to start sending you death threats
So when you just sort of approach this topic from multiple
Sides absolutely absolutely in fact one of the
The key points. I try to get across in the book is you know, it's
It weighs my own research in the space, you know begins with a focus on
You know government as being you know the the the threat actor
But in the time from the Wikipedia study to the present the threat is clearly become more diversified and far more complex
I think it was always that way, but developments over time have shown that it's
not just government but
Surveillance capitalist companies or companies who are weaponizing social media and
Make money and profit off of
engagement trolling
threats abuse
In examples like you just mentioned if you know a post goes
Viral online you get a lot of engagement it keeps people on the platform and
People are often arguing they are threatening and a lot of that abuse is part of the engagement that
That is monetized by the platforms themselves
so private sector
monetization models incentivize the same
Surveillance and the same kinds of amplification of threats that impact that our speech and behavior that impact and show victims
Surveillance capital is another part of it
But I think we've also entered a new era where you have a unique synthesis of state and tech power
You have new companies like Palantir oracle
And you know name any of the Elon Musk companies which represent a unique synthesis between
Weaponization of state power with technology power and we're using it to
Target and victimize anyone who would descent criticize any perceived enemy of the state any perceived enemy of
the company or a private powerful private individual and
So if you're just focused on government you're going to miss all of this all of these other threats social media
New emerging forms of technology
Joan surveillance the kinds of online harassment and abuse that are carried out often not by
private sector companies not by government but by individuals or groups who enjoy engaging in trolling threatening
Stocking behavior and victimizing people often women of minorities, right? So if you're only focused on government
You're going to miss the complexity of the problem. You're going to miss the broader impacts and that's a key message of the book
That's why conventional understanding which so focused on government?
So focused only on overreaching lies, Mrs. privacy threats, Mrs. personal threats
Mrs. A whole host of other threats that can have the same chilling and repressive impact on our behavior and
deeply troubling corrosive implications for democracy
Say this does sort of go farther than it has right now in the world keeps
Getting more convoluted and like crazy
Do you see the government
utilizing fear more as an elementary factor to control the population even more than now?
Yeah, unfortunately I do
Because what the research shows when it comes to chilling effects is you know, it's all about threat perception
Right people disengaging people self-sensituring people
Leaving their jobs
leaving their homes
silenced
Victimized all of this is due to
to perceptions of threats.
And a way of keeping people, keeping people compliant,
silent and obedient is to ratchet up perceptions of threats,
especially personal threats.
Or if you can show it's not just that,
there's this threat out there,
but instead you or your family or your community
is specifically targeted that increases the fear
and increases the chill, right, of that.
And unfortunately with technology today,
the capacity to weaponize fear and related threats
is unprecedented compared to other times, right.
It's not just having platforms like social media
that can amplify threats, amplify propaganda
at untold scales, right.
You know when a lie travels around the world like eight times
before the truth is still trying to catch up, right.
So the line goes.
It's not just that it's also gender to AI today
where you have now very sophisticated automated
text generation systems and platforms
that can easily mimic human interaction,
speech, language production that can again produce
lies, propaganda and therefore amplify and spread fear
with very little scarcity of resources, right.
Online it can be done cheaply and at mass global scale.
And because it's so easy, because it's so cheap
and because of the impact on populations and people
in psychology is so profound,
I can easily see it being over time
increasing weaponize.
I mean that's really what a lot of these far right
populist movements are all about,
whether it's Trump as in the United States
and there's similarly far right populist movements growing
in Canada, there's certainly gaining strength
and momentum across Europe, Asia and in other places
around the world.
A lot of the politics of those is based on fear
of certain threats to community immigrants.
And that's when nationalism and populist,
nationalist reactionary politics is creating threats
or creating political movements based on fear
of the other fear of certain other communities
or other people who are threatening them,
other families or the communities or their identities.
And that can lead to extremism,
it can lead to more hate and polarization,
fragmentation within society,
due to conformity to those kinds of norms
and can also lead to greater groupthink
and greater conformity with broader society.
So you have this sort of double edged sword of both
greater groupthink within society
but also potentially great tribalism
and extremism as well.
And they're all a product of the same fear
and threats that lead to and cause chilling effects.
I am under the view that big tech companies
basically run the world.
If Mark Zuckerberg wanted anything done,
he could get it done with Instagram
just by provoking stuff through there.
- What does this mean when these tech companies
start working with governments?
- Yeah, so it's deeply, deeply troubling.
Because when I come back to what I call
in the book the chilling effect factors,
when you combine the power of the state
which has law-making powers, policy-making powers
in some cases unlimited resources,
ways of wielding different threats to chill
and shape behavior at population level scale.
When you combine those state powers
with the immense powers of some of these tech companies
which has data about us, which profile us,
which reach into the most intimate parts of our lives,
our intimate conversations in our homes online
and offline with our significant others.
And that kind of data about us and our running platforms
that concern so many parts of our day-to-day lives.
When you combine the power and data access
and profiling capacity of big tech with state power,
you create this deeply, deeply troubling cauldron,
unique synthesis of state and tech power
that ratchet up each of those different threats.
So there's sort of two sides of this.
On the one hand, states and big tech
have so many more resources in order
that they can wield and weaponize to chill.
So they can weaponize surveillance and observation
and data collection.
They can make things more personalized
with data personalization and algorithmic profiling
to make the threat more personal,
that can track you in greater numbers of ways,
that can watch and observe your number of ways.
And both government and big tech
both have immense power and authority
in modern advanced information tech in the digital age.
And so when you synthesize these two powerful actors
that synthesized outcome or this combined outcome,
the impact on us, individuals and on society,
right, and on citizens, in my view, is profound.
And that's one of the key things
that we need to guard against is these tech state cartels
that are already consolidating power
and converging power and gathering power to themselves
and increasingly collaborating and doing joint ventures,
volunteer, Oracle, XAI, all of these companies, Amazon,
they're all interested in the same.
And they all have a collective interest
in a weakened regulatory state.
We can privacy protections.
We can regulations and we can rule of law
and we can democracies.
Because these are the only institutions
that can hold them to account, right?
So when I mentioned the state in ways,
yes, the state and governments have these great powers,
but they also are one of the only ways within democracies
that we can hold these other actors accountable,
whether it's political actors or governmental actors
or it's big tech in the private sector,
having robust regulations, robust law enforcement,
loco, robust prosecution, civil and criminal
for abuses of the tech, for excessive, for excesses.
So we need healthy democratic governments
who are responsive to citizen rights and concerns
to take action.
And that's the only way we're going to address
these combined state and governmental cartels.
And we need to do it quicker because as we speak,
they are synthesizing, combining and collaborating
and consolidating their power and their capacities.
And the longer we wait, the harder it's going to go.
- Thanks to Jonathan Panney for joining me for this episode.
His book, "Chilling Effects" will be linked
in the description of the episode.
If you're interested in further conversations like these,
subscribe wherever you listen. Thank you.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Chilling effects refer to both a legal concept—where laws discourage protected speech—and a behavioral theory—where individuals self-censor due to perceived threats.
The conventional understanding of chilling effects, rooted in legal deterrence, is empirically weak and fails to explain widespread behavioral changes in everyday life.
The "nowhere to hide" argument is flawed because privacy is essential for personal growth, innovation, and democratic discourse, and surveillance suppresses experimentation and dissent.
Surveillance impacts disproportionately affect marginalized communities, especially poor, minority, and immigrant populations, leading to systemic inequality and deeper social conformity.
Chilling effects are amplified by uncertainty, personalization, and the power of authorities—whether state or private—creating a pervasive culture of self-censorship.
AI-enhanced surveillance, including facial recognition and data-driven profiling, represents a rising threat with potential for totalizing control over personal and public life.
The threat landscape now involves a convergence of state and private power, where tech companies and governments collaborate to weaponize fear, data, and social media to suppress dissent.
Effective policy requires abandoning outdated legal models and adopting a behavioral, evidence-based approach to regulate surveillance and protect democratic freedoms.
Summary:
" Rooted in both legal and behavioral science, the book challenges the outdated notion that chilling effects are solely driven by overt laws or government overreach. Instead, Panney argues that fear—whether from real or perceived threats, including mass surveillance or online harassment—leads individuals to suppress speech and dissent, even when not directly targeted. This behavior is especially harmful to marginalized groups, who face disproportionate surveillance and are more likely to self-censor due to socioeconomic and historical vulnerabilities.
The book reveals that the "nowhere to hide" argument is deeply misinformed, as privacy is essential for personal development, innovation, and democratic progress. Panney also identifies a dangerous shift in power: the growing alliance between governments and tech corporations, enabled by AI and data analytics, creates a powerful, personalized, and pervasive system of control. This synthesis of state and tech power—what he calls "tech-state cartels"—amplifies fear, suppresses dissent, and undermines democracy.
He warns that without a new, evidence-based public policy framework that accounts for psychological and social dynamics, society risks normalizing total surveillance, leading to conformity, polarization, and the erosion of free expression. The urgency of action is clear: proactive regulation and public awareness are needed to prevent a future where surveillance is both invisible and uncontested.
FAQs
The chilling effect refers to the suppression of speech or behavior due to fear of surveillance or punishment. It arises when individuals self-censor out of concern for personal or legal repercussions, even in the absence of direct threats.
No, the 'nowhere to hide' argument is flawed. It ignores the need for intellectual and personal privacy to foster individual growth, innovation, and democratic progress. Self-censorship due to surveillance can harm both personal development and societal progress.
Yes, even the mere possibility of being watched can lead to self-censorship and conformist behavior. Research shows that awareness of surveillance reduces openness to controversial topics, regardless of whether one is actually targeted.
Surveillance disproportionately targets poorer and marginalized communities, including minorities and immigrants. This leads to greater self-censorship, reduced trust in institutions, and long-term social and economic harm.
No. Private tech companies and online harassment campaigns also contribute significantly. Platforms often monetize engagement by promoting threats and trolling, which can suppress speech and create conformist behavior.
Supervalence refers to AI-enhanced, personalized surveillance that combines facial recognition, data tracking, and algorithmic profiling. It poses a severe threat to privacy and freedom, as it enables highly targeted, automated control over individuals.
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