College Football Playoff Contender Red Flags: Biggest Question Mark For 16 Teams 🚩
54m 34s
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And welcome back to the Cover 3 Podcast
Here on CBS Sports
That's Tom Finnelli
That's Bud Elliott
That's Danny Canale
I'm Chip Patterson
Coming to you live on CBS Sports Network
Fired up to spend the next hour with you
Taking a look at the college football world
The only way Cover 3 can
We're doing in-depth breakdowns
Of the bigger topics with a unique angle
And today, it's about concerns
Yes, today we're going to be critical
Today we are identifying red flags
So here was the homework assignment
Just to bring you all up to date
Now every one of us has been assigned
A college football playoff contender
We're going to start with some of the
National title contenders
And work our way down
And what we're looking for
Is for one, at least one
Red flag for every single
National title contender
We're going to begin with
The Georgia Bulldogs
And Tom, we're coming to you first
What is the Georgia Bulldogs red flag
Moving forward as a title contender?
First of all, I just want to say
What I love the most
About this idea that we're doing today
Is it guarantees every fan base
In the country is going to be mad at us
About something
Because we're saying that their team
Is bad at something
And the one thing that I think
Georgia's not necessarily bad at
But is a concern for me
With them going forward
Both in the SEC
And in the college football playoffs
Should they get there
Is the lack of a dude
At the receiver position
Or the tight end position
If you look at what they have
Nobody on the team has caught
More than 19 passes this year
Nobody on the team has more than
310 receiving yards
And nobody on the team
Is averaging more than
44.3 yards receiving per game
To put that in perspective
Jeremiah Smith hasn't finished a game
With fewer than 68 on his own
That is 23 more yards
Than anybody on Georgia is averaging
And you look at this team
From the offense and defense
They're really good
They're one of the best teams
In the country
But when you go back
To when they were winning
National titles
The focus was on their defense
And they had a ton of NFL studs
On those defenses
It was what led the team
But they also had Brock Bauer
Who was somebody who
When the offense got bogged down
Could get them out of a tight spot
Just by being Brock Bauer
And getting the first down
I don't know that this team has that
And it could end up costing them
In a playoff game down the line
I think that makes a lot of sense
I do want to see
Which of these young guys
On Georgia's receiving court
They have some pivotal games coming up
Obviously the trip to Oxford
But Dandridge was pretty good
Against Alabama
Somebody probably emerges
And I guess the other question is
Do they actually need it?
Can this defense just carry
If they're going to score in the 20s?
They need something
They need some big
Think about
Even the receivers
Ladd-McConkie
Or if Zachariah Branch
They did have more big play capabilities
Gunnar Stockton
We know his limitations
As far as
Is he that dynamic playmaker?
Probably not
But if you're a game manager
You need guys
To be able to distribute the ball to
You need some dudes on the outside
To the point that Tom made
So I do agree
It'll be interesting to see
If somebody emerges
From that group
As sort of the alpha
Or the best guy
And clear cut above the rest
Georgia already with one loss
Yet still near the top of that list
Of national title picks
Another team that's already
Taken a loss
Yet still very much
Has a great path
To be able to make the CFP
And contend for a national championship
Is the Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Bud, we're coming to you on this one
What is the red flag
For the blue and gold?
Yeah, Chip
I think it's
Can they get off the field
Against decent competition, right?
Notre Dame has really played
One decent offense
So far this year
And that was the game
Two weeks ago
At BYU
And BYU just repeatedly
You know, stayed on the field
They converted third downs
Now granted
They had a tremendous play calling
In that game
But still
It's not like BYU
Is an elite offense
Notre Dame
When they make the playoff
They will face
Better offenses, right?
Assuming they get there, obviously
And they're going to face one
In about a month here
When Notre Dame comes to town
And SMU
Is not too bad either
So I want to see
If the Irish
Can get off the field
Can really get to the QB
When they face somebody on
Offense
Who has a pulse
They really kind of failed
Their first and only test
Of the year so far
In that game in Provo
Totally agree
I think
You know
I was just going to say
They also
They had some
Some spots too
I mean, Billy Edwards
From North Carolina
Did throw
Three touchdown passes
In that game against him
He had two interceptions too
And you mentioned
Darian Mensah
Which I totally agree with
But don't sleep on SMU
Later this season
Kevin Jennings
So I think that's going to be
A huge factor for them
We know they have
Leonard Moore
At the lockdown corner
On the outside
But the totality
Of the defense
Are they going to be able
To get they stops the need
And when they're facing
Some of those opponents
That are able to put up points
We saw them come up short
Against BYU
They haven't had many
Sort of shootout type games
What if that's the type
Of game script that unfolds?
Yeah, it's always
A concern to me
With like teams like
Notre Dame or Miami
Or anybody who has
What we consider
To be an easier schedule
Yeah, it helps you
Get to the college
Football playoff
And it helps you
Get in the field
But it doesn't really
Do a whole lot
To prepare you
For what you're going to see
When you get there
Whereas every other team
Is going to be kind of
Tested and proven
And kind of understands
What they have to do
When they're in trouble
Or in with their backs
Against the wall
Like Notre Dame
Hasn't really had to
Figure that out
And we saw
On the road against BYU
When they had their back
Against the wall
They didn't really
Have a great response
The Ohio State Buckeyes
Are going to be without
Julian Sagan for a little bit
And the quarterback outlook
Is murky
Danny, is that a red flag?
Is it that obvious?
Did we give you
The easiest one here?
What's the red flag
For the Buckeyes?
I mean, if you guys
Read the rundown
And said, duh
Like, of course
It's the quarterback
Conundrum that they're in
Right now
And as Julian's saying
I think, you know
I had my question marks
About what he would do
Against the best competition
And could he elevate
And take them
To a national championship
But he was still
Really, really good
For 80, 90% of the time
And he almost completed
80% of his passes last year
He's got a really firm
Grasp of the system
And yes, he has
Jeremiah Smith
But what are we
going to get from Luke Fahy?
What are we going to get if it's Tavian St.
Claire as well?
because we've seen pretty dramatic drop-offs from teams
that struggle to find a quarterback, championship contenders
that they can't find anybody to play quarterback.
So very curious to see what the offense looks like,
what do defenses do to even put more stress on Jeremiah Smith,
and can these quarterbacks continue to get to him?
And can the other supporting castmates,
can they elevate their game to take some of that pressure off?
Because, I mean, you could see a situation
where you need a fourth-quarter drive,
and that's going to be a tough task for somebody very inexperienced,
whether it's Fahey or St. Clair.
Yeah, it really does change what the ceiling of Ohio State is
with so many question marks now at the quarterback position.
And I would say the other red flag this team has,
which kind of got pushed to the side after Sane went down
because that immediately became emergency number one,
but they also have such a lack of a pass rush
that now this is a team that seems to have a whole lot more kind of concerns
than it just had a week ago.
All right, so if we're going to find even more red flags,
here about Ohio State,
which I still think is a damn good football team,
are these backs special?
Are any of these backs getting picked in the top 100 right now?
Maybe some of the young guys will emerge,
but I'm not sure Jackson is like your classic Ohio State difference maker
where you're like, all right, cool, hey,
just give him the ball 20 times, he's going to do something for us.
He kind of just seems to be not a jag like college football at large,
but by Ohio State standards,
kind of a bit of just an average Ohio State back.
Yeah.
I think it's going to take our attention to the Miami Hurricanes,
which on one side of the ball are just absolutely overwhelming
with the combination of Darian Mensah and Malachi Toney,
but if this Miami team does get caught in a shootout,
my red flag is going to be looking at the pass defense,
and I think this hits on a couple levels.
So the production indicates that we've already seen three different teams
throw for 300 yards against this Hurricanes pass defense,
and that doesn't even include the Clemson Tigers,
which got up to 295 there in garbage time.
At the end of that primetime game.
So we've clearly got a lot of yards given up,
and you're going to say, hey, Chip,
but they're blowing everybody out of the water.
What does it matter?
Well, that could matter by the time you get to a college football playoff game.
That could matter that if you're giving up 300 yards
to the likes of Florida State and Pitt,
that maybe, just maybe,
you're going to deal with a slight step up in competition
when you're trying to win multiple playoff games
in pursuit of a national championship.
I think it hits a little bit with the personnel on the back end,
but guys, Danny, I don't know what you think about this.
The absence of. Reuben Bain and Akeem Mesidor is just such a big difference
in the way this team looks up front compared to last year.
They can get development.
We know they have dudes,
but that's one thing I'm looking at
as a potential red flag moving forward.
What do you think, DK?
Totally agree.
When you have a pass rush that they had last year,
it takes so much of the pressure off of your secondary
because you don't have to cover as long, right?
I mean, that quarterback doesn't have as much time,
and when he is, he's probably under duress,
so it impacts his accuracy,
where if you do see quarterbacks with more time,
more stress for the secondary,
have to cover them longer,
and we really haven't seen those type of game wreckers
coming off the edge at opposing quarterbacks,
and we did see some schools,
Florida State had some success against them,
Wake had a little bit of success throwing the football.
What do they do when they face
some of these more high-powered offenses,
maybe even if it's Notre Dame,
if it's somebody else on their schedule,
but most importantly,
when you're talking about a national championship contender,
that's where I would start to be a little bit concerned, too.
Danny, I'm right there with you.
If you look at it,
they have some guys who may or may not come back
this season who really matter,
and I think if you watch this pass rush,
they know they have to blitz at a higher rate
than they had to blitz last year,
especially if you control for the quality of competition.
Look at the Florida State game.
It's not like they dropped back a ton
and just diced these guys.
They had over 100 yards in screen passes
because Mike Morvell correctly schemed up
and guessed that Miami was going to have to send the pressure,
and they were able to throw the blitz
or throw the screen pass over top of it,
so I'm sure other opponents are taking notice.
If there's any,
good news here.
It's like while it has been a concern
and it has been a problem,
I do think they had some injuries earlier in the year
that they're starting to get a little healthier,
so maybe now with Notre Dame coming up
and down the back half of this schedule,
we see that defense start to ramp it up a little bit.
Yeah, it was a group last year
that was playing its best football,
the Miami defense,
at the end of the season.
They were a little bit leaky at times.
They got their best football
when they needed it the most,
so at least that's there for pedigree for the U.
Well, coming up on the other side,
we turn our attention
to the reigning national champion,
Indiana Hoosiers.
What are the red flags
about the Hoosiers moving forward?
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Back here on the Cover 3 podcast,
taking a little bit of time
to get critical.
We are offering our suggestion
for the red flags
for some of the top teams
in all of college football.
So just a reminder,
and Tom,
I'm kind of glad
that you were able to get us
started on this.
If you're even included
in this show,
it's a good thing about your team.
It means you are a college football
playoff contender,
but we are trying to get critical
and look for some red flags.
Danny, you're up next.
You are bringing us red flags
for the reigning national champion,
Indiana Hoosiers.
What stands out the most
about Kurt Cignetti's group?
What is the ceiling?
What is the true ceiling
with Josh Hoover?
When we came in there,
we thought he'd be in the middle
of Fernando Mendoza
and Curtis Rourke,
but unfortunately,
he's been closer to Curtis Rourke,
than he has to Fernando Mendoza.
Statistically,
you look at him,
18 touchdowns,
one interception.
That looks pretty good,
but when you consider
14 of those 18 touchdowns
came against North Texas,
Howard, West Kentucky,
and Rutgers,
and you see him
the last two weeks
under 50% passing,
struggling to get
any interceptions
on the board
versus Michigan.
And when I looked at the tape,
was missing some open receivers,
so much so that
Kurt Cignetti was thinking
about benching him
for Grant Wilson
at halftime.
That, to me,
has me a little bit
concerned about the Hoosers.
Now, I do think
he could be streaky,
he'd get that back,
but right now,
cause for concern,
how far can this team go
with Josh Hoover
as the quarterback?
Yeah, and you touched
on it a little bit.
It is not just,
hey, they're not playing great,
he's missing some throws.
It's the throws
that he is trying to make,
he's just missing them, too.
Usually, he's been very high
on these throws
these last few weeks,
and a couple weeks ago
against Nebraska,
it was a very windy game,
and we thought maybe
it was just dealing
with the wind,
but it is,
it has persisted
in the week since,
so we've seen him wincing,
we've seen him
kind of banged up,
you kind of start to wonder
if he's not 100%
with the way
the performance is looking.
Yeah, Tom,
you can be injured
to where it affects your play,
but not injured enough
to be on injury report,
like if it's actually
going to affect your status
as far as availability
to play,
and that's my guess
with what's going on
with Hoover.
We all have TV, right?
We see him wincing there
after throws.
Clearly, he's not 100%.
Yeah, Kurt Cignetti
still had him
in the middle of that
locker room
trying to pump his guy up,
gave him, you know,
the quarterback run
to be able to get
that touchdown
at the end of the game.
They're working on
seeing if they can make sure
that he can get
as close as possible
to that ceiling, Danny,
that you were talking about.
Tom,
what about the Crimson Tide?
Alabama has a wild,
wild talent
at the quarterback position
with Keelan Russell.
They have also had trouble
always unlocking that
in part due to injury
and other offensive issues.
What stands out
as a potential red flag
about the Crimson Tide?
They can't run
the dang ball.
The problem was
last year it was an issue
and this year
it has still been an issue.
You mentioned Keelan Russell.
If you look at this team
statistically,
coming into the weekend,
Alabama is second nationally
in amount of scramble yards
as a team with 328.
Only South Carolina has more.
That has been a lot
of Keelan Russell
when the plays break down,
taking off,
picking up first downs,
and it's great.
It's just when your scramble yards
make up 27%
of your total rushing yards
as a team,
not as great
because they're not
Because when it comes
to the just standard
let's turn around
and hand the ball off
and run it kind of offense,
they have not been
effective at all.
They're 61st nationally
in success rate.
They're 98th in EPA per rush
and they're 70th
in yards per carry.
They just have not been able
to get things going
and that's a difficult spot
when you have
a very talented quarterback
in Keelan Russell,
but he's also
a very young quarterback
in Keelan Russell.
So when you get
to these big games,
when you're playing Georgia,
when you're possibly
getting to the SEC championship
or college football playoff,
You would love to have a reliable run game
to kind of take the load off of your young quarterback's shoulders
and help ease the offense down the field.
Right now, it seems like everything is relying on Keelan Russell,
and that's not a great spot to be in with an inexperienced QB.
Tom, I agree with you.
I think a lot of this is going to come down to,
do they get healthy on the offensive line?
It was not a good time to deluge your center
and then have to go to Knoxville and play Xavier Gillum,
who might be the best defensive tackle in all of college football this year.
He pretty much wrecked them on his own.
And then you had to go play an A&M team, which still is a pretty solid defense.
Offense is an absolute disaster area.
But if they get healthy, when they were healthy,
they actually ran it at times against Georgia.
They ran it on FSU, which is certainly not a really difficult proposition this year.
But I do think that if they get healthy, they might see a bit of an uptick there.
Agreed.
And that's one thing, when you lose your starting center,
that is the quarterback along your offensive line.
Not only is a good player seeing a drop-off with that,
but it is the communicator up front directing traffic
with some of those blocking schemes.
But I do think you hit on something.
Like, they were running the ball earlier this season
against a little bit lesser competition.
It's not getting any easier down the home stretch.
So are they able to kind of ramp things back up and go right where they left off?
And I do, you know, I've been impressed the way Keelan Russell bounced back,
but I have seen think teams have kind of figured out,
all right, let's try to keep him in the pockets.
Let's not let him beat us with his legs.
And that's just a tough proposition for a first-year starter
to be sitting in their pocket, putting a lot of stress on them if you can't run
the football.
So clearly, same question that was there for the last year for the Tide
is still looming there to finish this season.
Can they run the football more effectively?
Yeah, if you want an answer to that absolute X factor of a question,
then you're going to have to wait at least another week.
The Crimson Tide are off this week in advance of their just sort of annual
early November showcase game against the LSU Tigers.
Now, LSU, you might be able to pick out some red flags.
After all, they're six and two, and in those two losses,
there have been some concerns.
But these teams with two losses that we start talking about,
the red flags might be easier to identify,
but even more important for these teams to address.
So, Bud, when Lane Kiffin and his staff are getting together,
and they're having their off-week meetings,
what are they addressing internally to say,
we got to get better at this because this could be a red flag for us moving forward?
Yeah, Chip, and these two SEC teams,
they're six and one against the other P4 competition,
and the average margin is 16 points, right?
So,
they're really just the SEC for the most part beating each other up here.
They killed the other league.
So, I do think all these teams we're talking about today that have two losses
from the SEC are actually really good.
And I think that league is really good this year.
But when I look at LSU specifically,
how are they going to be against the better defenses?
Like, who are the best defense that LSU has seen so far this year?
Like, you might argue Clemson,
but that whole team looked like they were a total mess in that ballgame,
especially after we saw, you know, the offense kind of self-destruct.
Ole Miss, like, they've been very up and down so far.
Auburn is not a good defense.
Like, Kentucky's kind of okay on defense.
You know, A&M kind of held them in check a little bit
until, obviously, the A&M QB just started turning the ball over
like he does pretty much every week.
But now, now comes Alabama, now comes Texas,
now comes Tennessee in back-to-back-to-back weeks.
Like, how does your rebuilt transfer offensive line hold up against that?
How does Sam Levitt hold up against that?
Like, the competition defensively for LSU is about to get a lot harder,
and I'm just curious to see how they look when the pressure rises.
I can't, too.
I think it's going to be a ton of fun.
Sam Levitt looks more comfortable in the system.
You know, kind of his injury has kind of helped that process.
I texted Tom during the last game.
I'm like, he kind of looks gimpy, which he does at times.
But then you look up, and he, like, runs around and makes a play when he has to.
So I'm curious to see if he ramps up his level of carries
as they place these better defenses.
And one of the other things, with Trades Green, when he was out,
Jackson Harris kind of emerged as the number-one wide receiver.
So I think this roster's trying.
They're starting to come together at the right time.
But they will be much bigger tests against some of the better defenses
in the conference coming up.
Yeah, it is a huge question mark to see how they're going to perform in these games.
But I will say, if there's reason to be optimistic,
because I was looking at some stats this morning.
Over the last three, four weeks, pretty much the month of October,
few teams have been playing better than LSU.
Now, as you went over, Bud, the schedule,
not exactly compared to what they have coming their way,
has been overly impressive.
But they are seeming to figure things out.
They are getting better at receiver spots.
As you mentioned, I think the return of Trades Green at tight end
has been huge for them and will be huge for them going forward.
But yeah, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, a little bit of a different animal.
Oh, I am excited.
I am giddy to overrate LSU over the course of these next couple weeks
based on what's happened.
I mean, this is like all the optimism of the Lane Kiffin experience, right?
We had it at the beginning of the season, kind of lost it for a little bit.
And now we're coming back into that home stretch,
absolutely believing the team can win a national title.
But yeah, quality of competition, we will find out here in the next couple of weeks.
Going to keep it in the SEC with another one of those teams with a thin margin for error.
Now, I'm going to look at the Texas Longhorns here.
And unfortunately, the red flag is trust issues.
It is something that cannot be addressed with a scheme change.
It is something that cannot be addressed even with a personnel change
because right now, Steve Sarkeesian and Arch Manning
have shown a wide, wide gulf between the ceiling and the floor of the performance,
both in terms of play calling and performance on the field.
And that understanding that if we're taking Texas seriously
as a national championship contender,
that means being able to win multiple games against other college football playoff teams
with a consistency that isn't going to have them get got.
And unfortunately, it has been really hard to find over the course of the last two seasons,
three game, four game runs where you're just getting the kind of consistency
that would back that up. Curious to hear, there might be something
more personnel related that you want to turn the attention to.
Tom, is there anything that could be shown that would bring you back to the table
feeling like you could trust this coach quarterback duo across an entire CFP run?
No. To be blunt, it's not really a Sark question for me.
I don't trust Arch and I just, it's reached the point for me where like,
even, you know, they had the huge win last week against Ole Miss.
He made some couple really nice plays.
Cam Coleman dropped, which should have been in the easiest touchdown of
his life. But you can't get through a game without Arch turning the ball over,
without Arch making some really kind of head-scratching decisions.
And now, yeah, they've beaten a lot of really good teams so far this year.
They have some of the best wins in the country and they deserve tons of credit for it.
And their defense has played a huge role in that.
But can you do that three weeks in a row?
Can you get to the college football playoff and play a top 10 team for three straight games
and continue to win if your quarterback keeps giving the other team the ball?
I don't think you can.
I don't trust Arch.
That is my biggest problem with the Longhorns.
That's really a concern for me as well, especially with Trevor Goosby,
your start-left tackle now being out.
I will say, down the stretch against Ole Miss, when Arch got a little squirrely,
they just turned and handed the ball off and it worked.
Like those backs they have are really good.
And maybe if that run game, a little more downhill, a little more trusting of the backs,
maybe they just kind of stick to it.
Maybe they can be there because guys like the defense is nails.
We don't need Texas to score 30 every game. There may be a game where they need two
to score 30, but they don't have to get 30 every game, even in the playoff.
If the defense keeps playing like this, they might be able to overcome these very justified worries.
Same. Agree with everything.
The conversation I thought, when you see Texas' offense start to operate with efficiency,
it's usually because Arch is hitting the passes he's supposed to.
When they start to struggle, he's either missing guys, taking sacks,
or he's throwing an interception.
So you tell me, is it on the offensive play caller or is it on the quarterback?
Executing it. I've always thought all along.
It's been more Arch centered than it's Sark's fault calling the plays,
but to get the trust like they need to continue to go more like I don't want to see a quarter.
I want to see four quarters of consistent football
because they're way too much of a roller coaster ride for me on offense.
Yeah, I think the fact that it's even a question,
the fact it's even a debate is why it's a red flag that we just we shouldn't be talking about this
when we're talking about the Texas Longhorns in their pursuit of a national championship, but
we are and that's why it's the red flag coming up on the other side.
We continue the conversation with the team and hasn't even lost yet,
but there are red flags.
Yeah, we'll take a look at the UCLA Bruins the Florida Gators and more next.
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back here on the cover three podcast looking at some red flags some real concerns for some of the
best teams in the country now we turn our attention to the Ole Miss Rebels but you've
been doing the deep dive what are the red flags what's standing out about Pete Golding's team
that could be a concern moving forward yeah Chip I think it's defensive consistency like you see
this team play wildly inconsistent on defense not only from game to game but man from like
quarter to quarter and I know there's a little bit of like paper rock scissors in the game of
football with what you call and what they call but man like they're
overall stuff and I know the schedule's been hard like your non-con game was it was a healthy Jeff
Braum team where they're really running and throwing the ball really well and they've also
played you know what Texas and and Florida and LSU and a couple other difficult opponents so far
but these defensive numbers are just not good enough if you expect Ole Miss to be able to get
in the playoff and then also do something in the playoff they need to get about one or two more
stops a game which is easier said than done and a lot of it is like does the d-line show up on that
day when Will Eccles shows up and dominates the game and then he's going to be able to
do something and then he's going to be able to do something and then he's going to be able to
the defense kind of follows when it doesn't they kind of fall apart yeah you've seen this thing
way up and down the roller coaster ride for them has been on the defensive side of the ball the
shootout with Louisville when we're all looking at Lincoln Keenholz being like this Heisman contender
and then you realize oh maybe it was just because he was facing Ole Miss's defense then they get run
all over by Florida's you know offense and it's Duke Clark and Jaden Ball both going for over 100
yards and then it was like at the point of a season where like okay it was Vanderbilt but they played
pretty good then they hold on to it and they're like oh my god I'm going to be able to do something
Missouri to three points and you're thinking okay this is going to be they're going to be like just
fine they're just rounding out into form and then they don't look great and they get run all over
and you know some pretty good pass plays they gave up to Arch Manning in Texas last week so
I totally agree with you why is it is that the competition they should be able to get back on
track because it's pretty one-dimensional against Auburn keep Byron Brown in check
but down the stretch they're going to have Georgia you know they're going to have to stop that team
so they're going to be facing much better uh you know offenses they're going to have to slow down
yeah you mentioned it but Will Echols is a very good player and when he is on he is able to kind
of you know completely disrupt an offense's game plan and we saw that in that Mizzou game in that
Arkansas game it's just he's the only real player that you know like if you ask a casual fan about
anybody on Ole Miss's defense there really isn't a stud that stands out and I think that that is
what probably costs them and that's probably why they are so inconsistent because if you're relying
on one guy to be a game wrecker and you don't have anybody else who can step up when he's not being it
's really hard to be a good defense from week to week let alone from drive to drive and bud you
mentioned the play calling side of it it's it's hard for all of your play calls to work when you
don't have the true game wrecking players the the ones who can be able to be erasers out there if
something does go slightly wrong or if you're caught a little bit out of position all right
Danny at one time Utah had two quarterbacks even on the field at the same time very dynamic very
versatile um is is this offense something that's going to be a little bit different than what you
think it's sustainable for some of the biggest games of the year what's your red flag for the
youths moving forward they're a little too run heavy which is a good thing right you want to be
able to run the football but if they have to throw the football and if they're not running the ball
successfully that concerns me in the last two games against Colorado even Devin D'Ampierre his
legs were held in check he had two interceptions and then this past weekend he had another two
interceptions now he was able to run all over him this past weekend so like if you can run
the ball fine you don't need that consistency but if you stop way Sean Parker Devin D'Ampierre
and Bird Ficklin can Devin D'Ampierre do it through the air I remember last year the Texas
Tech game they took away the run he struggled in the air there their pass offense is something
that concerns me something they have to get more consistent because they're going to be off weeks
or you're going to be a team that loads up and is actually able to stop the run like maybe a BYU in
the holy war that's where they need to step up to me and get better in the pass game yeah I'm 100%
million percent with you on that when you look at Utah they are essentially a team that needs the
game to stay on script because they do play a very certain way or you mentioned it like they like to
run the ball and they like to play defense and they like to you know just stick to that and then
win games just kind of kind of man balling you I guess is the way to put it but they are not a team
that can afford to get behind like if they're only down a score and they could stick to what they
want to do fine but if you put them down multiple scores it is very difficult for them to come back
because of what you just touched on Danny they just are not reliable and they're not going to
be reliable in the passing attack and Devin damp here for what his strengths are they don't really
involve his ability to drop back and throw the ball down the field he is a rusher he's a running back
at QB who you're just asking to make short quick throws when you need it to keep defenses honest
but you do not want them to be playing you know the drop back game consistently and look this is
probably a concern that is more of if they make the playoff because I I think that's where the
real challenge would come for this team there are some good teams in the big 12 this year quite a
few in fact I'm not really sure
there's a whole lot of teams that have like a whole lot of elite players on them in the big
12 they can really challenge them and take them away from that run game I guess we'll see down
the stretch but like their schedule also this year within the big 12 is incredibly light compared to
like your average big 12 schedule so like they may not really have to answer these questions
until they get to the playoff we have an absolutely stellar production team you know not only do they
provide us with uh so much support something they tie these things together thematically
we got to talk about LSU and Alabama in advance of their showdown that everyone's looking forward to
and now we go from Utah to BYU who have their own showdown which could expose whether these red flags
are going to end up derailing any hopes for a big 12 title or a college football playoff so Tom
uh you gave a hard look at Kalani Sataki's group what are the red flags for the Cougars yeah you
know we just discussed what Utah's problem was with the passing offense and how that could be a
problem for them well BYU's red flag they don't need to be concerned about Utah because BYU's red
flag is past defense they are not you know if you look at them statistically so far this season they
have not been great against the past they're 54th in success rate 61st in epa per drop back which
is more just slightly above average than bad where things really kind of start to fall off the cliff
though is when it comes to getting after the quarterback they are 85th in pressure rate 113th
in sack rate and 123rd in pressure to sack ratio so it's just a little bit of a stretch for them
so they don't get pressure on opposing quarterbacks they don't bring them down and if they have to get
pressure they have to bring extra rushers to get there which typically leads their secondary and a
lot of man coverage which frankly they're not that great at you know executing and you look at their
schedule and this is where things get a little scarier because it's like who's the passing offense
that they have faced that might skew those numbers a little bit there isn't one they haven't really
faced any great passing attacks outside of the Notre Dame game and I don't know if I consider
Notre Dame to be a really great passing offense so I don't know if I consider Notre Dame to be a
really great passing offense so it's just a little bit of a stretch but it's a little bit of a stretch
I don't know if I consider Notre Dame to be a really great passing offense so I don't know if I consider
great passing offense so you look at the rest of their schedule like I touched on Utah probably
don't need to worry about it a lot of the teams that are left on the schedule in the big 12
probably won't be a big problem to me this is a BYU in the playoff problem because when you get
to the college football playoff that's where the Jeremiah Smiths and all these great quarterbacks
of the world will be congregated together and you're going to have to get through three of
them at a minimum to win a national title and frankly from what we have seen from this BYU
defense I don't like their odds of being able to do it
yes I'm right there with you like I don't think BYU is a team that's very likely to win a national
title I I'm not really sure how many elite passing attacks we have out there this year especially if
saying is out for the year for Ohio State like like Georgia and we previously like two segments
ago talked about how you know they still need a playmaker to emerge that receiver it may be that
Notre Dame which has a probably good but not amazing passing attack it will be one of the
best ones in the playoff this year I think passing is just kind of down across the sport this year
it's a very valid concern because like you said they're going to have to win three in a row if they
want to go ahead and win this thing and somebody's probably going to get hot like what if you face a
Trinidad when Trinidad is really on like is BYU going to be able to score 30 if Ole Miss is able
to score in in the 30s I don't know or what do you face the Keone Jenkins who gets hot and he
almost throws three right three touchdowns zero interceptions or and they really kind of I don't
say lucky because they did win the game but CJ Carr missed a couple wide open touchdown passes
never was open and then he missed them so you know if if CJ Carr hits a couple of those we you know
we're probably talking about BYU as a two laws team we're not talking about them in this conversation
so clearly some areas they need to improve if they want to reach you know the postseason and further
okay so I get that passing's down so we shouldn't necessarily overreact to not seeing the same kind
of numbers but when the Tennessee Volunteers led by Josh Heupel or last place in the SEC in passing
offense like that's a problem that is a huge problem because while they do have one of the
best running backs in the country and Deshaun Bishop and while their defense led by that nasty
defensive front has done a great job against even some of the best competition if this team has to
go out and throw for a boatload of yards and find the end zone through the air it could be tough now
Faison Brandon obviously his injury and his absence has put George McIntyre into into the starting role
enough from Brandon against top competition that you would say that this is a difference making
group uh Danny Tom Budd I'd love to hear from all three of you like DK is there an answer here or is
already hit its offensive ceiling as being a run heavy team the and they're a run heavy team and
the thing about Josh Heupel systems is they always have been they've always been more physical than
they get credit for but like when they're at their best they have a Hendon Hooker back there
who is a high completion percentage guy who takes those shot plays and is able to hit them at the
right times you can't have a Faison Brandon back there taking 10 sacks holding all the ball too
long or you can't have a George McIntyre who's just looked a little bit overwhelmed so like the
only answer really is to get one of those two quarterbacks up to speed in a hurry but that's
really tough to ask to do at this point in the season you would like to feel more comfortable
there so barring a surprising kind of breakout breakthrough game for one of those two young
quarterbacks I think this is the limit for Tennessee yeah Chip I mean this is not good
the difference to me Danny like you're right like historically Josh Heupel's offenses have had like
that power run element to him and it has always been a core of what they are the biggest difference
and I think this year's offense has scored points and this year's offense is not scoring points and I
think Josh Heupel deserves a lot of credit because when you think about his history as a head coach
he is just somebody you always thought of as an offensive mind and a guy who's able to score
points and even in a season where his offense is really struggling look who's still in the
playoff conversation yeah and I I think their formula is their formula this year the passing
offense is more than a red flag it's like a flashing light you know flares we got the helicopter up like
this is a well-known thing at this point you know and yet like because the defense is so strong
because the run game is so strong they're still in the playoff hunt now do we think Tennessee can
win a playoff game make probably not unless they got the five seed they were able to play Boise and
then it's just like whose run game and defense is better right but you know like can they win two
that's where I really have my doubts for a team like Tennessee with this passing offense
I think they win the game at home I think that's like because their defense with crowd noise
like that's where I could see him winning a game but I don't see them traveling yep coming up on
the other side we continue a little bit further down the board some teams with multiple losses
what are the red flags that they've got to address right now if they want to stay in this college
football playoff conversation all that and more next from kickoff to the final whistle trade the
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back here on the cover three podcast live on cbs sports network we continue to roll through our
our red flags for the college football playoff contenders a little bit short on time so we're
going rapid fire with this last one so Tom you've got the Florida Gators uh who or what is your red
flag for John Summerall's team yeah you know when our producers handed us our homework it's going to
be our homework assignments for the show today as soon as I saw it was Florida I was like great I got
the easy question I've got the two plus two equals four because it is not difficult to figure out what
the red flag for the Florida Gators is it's their defense in short it stinks if you look at them
statistically they've been like below average against the run and that is the absolute best
thing you could say about this Florida defense so far this season you look at their approach
like they're trying to limit explosive plays and force you to put together long drives to go down
the field and for the most part they've been pretty good at limiting explosive plays the parts
they're not good at are getting off the field stopping you if you do get to the red zone and
forcing turnovers they really don't do any of that so they're just kind of forcing you to put
together long drives and then they're letting you score points at the end of the day anyway which is
then forcing their offense to have to go down and answer so they find themselves in shootouts if
they want to win the game which is great when you're playing inferior competition when you're
trying to win the sec you're trying to win some playoff games it typically doesn't work that way
typically doesn't work well unless you have a truly elite offense but oh wait oh yeah they've
got a quarterback controversy right now so I don't think they have an elite offense either
Tom we call that the bend and break defense
all right bud what you got all right so we're gonna UCLA like I really think comes down to
this like they have not played a real hard schedule so far they I think outplayed expectations
even against that that schedule to this point but if it comes down to a game
where they really have to throw it can they do it we would Nico being out for the year the backup
is played like admirably operating the system but they really have not asked him to drop back and
throw it when you kind of had to have it they really have not faced those critical you know
third and eight type situations in the red zone where you got to go ahead and get seven and you
know I like to me I think that's kind of the major question here for UCLA but the rest of
the formula has worked great I'll take a look at Texas Tech the Red Raiders last year one of the
best defenses in the country across the board this year their secondary is something that has caught
my eye as a concern for them where I saw last week JC French lights him up for tour four touchdown
passes through the air but it really did start early in the season when we saw Braden Atkinson
and a Jesse LaGre lighten them up for 400 yards through the air three touchdown passes for Braden
Atkinson Arizona State through for almost 400 against them before that Colorado had almost 300
now they were able to get the turnovers against Colorado but and I would say even this weekend
we'll find out just how good or bad they are Noah Fafita coming to town I think this is a secondary
he could light up and potentially anybody else they're facing down the stretch so that is what
needs to get corrected for me for the Red Raiders I had the assignment of looking at the Kentucky
Wildcats and it was difficult because they've done a lot really well they're good at a lot of things
but are they elite and specifically what about the Red Raiders I don't know I don't know I don't know
that resume because you've got the loss to Alabama and you've got the awesome win against LSU but for
the rest of it looking at a lot of good wins I don't know how many great wins well the good news
about this red flag Kentucky is big blue nation you're going to know right away because you've got
Tennessee Florida Missouri Louisville that is your final four opponents so any resume concerns
they'll be answered one way or another on the field this fall well coming up on the other side
we turn our attention to the week nine slate with a couple players to watch
and more next
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point your toes west a couple of weekends ago we
escaped to Washington DC and honestly we could have used a whole week the Smithsonian museums
are free so we bounced between air and space and natural history then watch the sun go down
at the Lincoln Memorial dinner was a half smoke from our favorite local spot half beef half pork
topped with a hot dog and burger chili sauce truly nothing compares and we wrapped up the
weekend with a great meal and we're going to take a quick break and then we'll be right back with more of our show.
at airbnb.com slash host back here on the cover 3 podcast one of the things we love to do is leave
you with a player to watch in the week ahead let's go tom bud danny tom who's your player to watch
week nine yeah i'm gonna go with arizona quarterback noah fafita he is at the head of
an arizona team that has been playing well all season long but has been kind of flying under
the radar which is kind of odd even in a year where we are talking about the big 12 having
multiple playoff hopefuls arizona seemingly never gets anybody's attention and it's mostly
because they haven't put it together like a big spotlight resume win this week against the texas
tech defense whose past defense has been kind of prone to giving up yards noah fafita is going to
get a chance to announce the wildcats to the country tom that's a great pick i'm going to go
with florida defensive lineman lj mccray all right when i take a look at this guy former five star
freak of an athlete great frame he finally broke out against texas and had some real impact plays
in that game
if florida wants to have a chance to upset georgia they're going to need some impact plays from that
defensive line get off the field maybe cause some turnover so i want to see if lj mccray
can step up here and wreck georgia's day i'm going to go with what appears to be a game of
eeny meeny miny moe who is playing quarterback for the iowa hawkeyes this week it is hank brown
after losing the job to jeremy heklinski last week who went in through a couple interceptions
it goes back to hank brown had one of the greatest throws in michigan in iowa
history with the game winner against uh michigan at the big house can they settle things down it's
not going to get any easier without kamari molten now in the backfield and going against a very
tough wisconsin uh defense that probably explains the point total which is at 36 and a half points
but can he step forward and erase any doubts about the qb at iowa who's still in the playoff
conversation at five and two i'm going to take your attention to smu quarterback kevin jennings
and i understand why you're going to be thinking chip smu's playing against syracuse why is this a
spot well because all the things that smu wants to accomplish this season are in front of it there's
a game against notre dame there's a game against wake forest that's an elimination game but those
five interceptions that we see on the schedule represent the real fear here represent why kevin
jennings is a player to watch because he is able to create a lot of points but he has also had some
issues this season holding on to the football and
smu's offense in general has had some issues holding on to the football so it's a little bit
of a trappy spot as kevin jennings goes to play syracuse at syracuse team which remember did just
beat north carolina down in chapel hill you know you've got the wake forest game you know you've
got the notre dame game you've got those opportunities where college football playoff
acc championship implications are going to be on the line just take care of the football you don't
need 400 yards probably to beat this syracuse team but you do need to be able to beat the syracuse team
to be a turnover free game well if you liked hanging out with us and discussing some of
these red flags i invite you to come and join us on the cover three podcast we are live on youtube
at youtube.com slash covering three every monday tuesday thursday and saturday nights saturday
nights 11 30 p.m eastern time we want you to come and hang out with our instant reaction shows
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college football season is modello season there's nothing quite like a college football saturday the
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The podcast identifies red flags in top college football teams, focusing on offensive instability, lack of dynamic playmakers, and defensive weaknesses.
Key concerns include Georgia’s lack of elite receivers, Notre Dame’s inability to stop strong offenses, Ohio State’s quarterback uncertainty, and Miami’s pass defense vulnerabilities.
Texas Longhorns face a major red flag due to inconsistent quarterback performance and lack of offensive reliability.
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FAQs
Georgia lacks a reliable receiving or tight end threat, with no player averaging over 44.3 yards per game. Their offense may struggle in high-pressure playoff situations without a dynamic playmaker like Brock Bauer, who previously helped them get out of tight spots.
Notre Dame has struggled to get off the field against strong offenses, as shown by their loss to BYU. Their defense has not proven effective against high-powered teams, raising concerns about their ability to handle tougher competition in the playoffs.
Ohio State faces uncertainty at the quarterback position with multiple inexperienced backups. The team lacks a proven playmaker, and if the offense is pressured, it could lead to inconsistent performances in critical playoff moments.
Miami’s pass defense has allowed over 300 yards to multiple teams, including Clemson and Florida State. This raises concerns about their ability to contain elite quarterbacks in high-stakes playoff games.
Josh Hoover has shown inconsistency, especially in recent games, with poor passing accuracy and visible injury signs. His performance has been shaky, raising doubts about whether he can carry the team to a playoff run.
Alabama struggles to run the ball effectively, despite having a talented quarterback, Keelan Russell. Their team is 61st nationally in rushing success rate and 70th in yards per carry, making their offense heavily reliant on Russell in high-pressure games.
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