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Charlotte Yonge (Troy) - Keeping It Real

45m 48s

Charlotte Yonge (Troy) - Keeping It Real

In this podcast episode, fund manager Charlotte Young discusses her path into investing, influenced by her mother's career and formative experiences during the 2008 crisis, which highlighted the importance of capital preservation and multi-asset approaches. She analyzes current inflation, noting it stems from fiscal policies, labor market shifts, and supply constraints, but is balanced by disinflationary trends like technology, making the long-term outcome uncertain. Young explains that Troy's strategy focuses on safeguarding investors' real capital against inflation through tools like inflation-linked bonds and gold, while avoiding overpriced equities and maintaining cash or short-duration holdings for flexibility. The approach prioritizes resilience across various economic scenarios, rather than betting on specific macroeconomic outcomes, emphasizing cautious, valuation-sensitive investing in high-quality businesses with pricing power.

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The contents of this podcast and any reference to specific securities are for information purposes only. Past performance is not a guide for future performance and the value of an investment may fall as well as rise. Welcome to Far From the Finishing Post, a podcast that explores the ideas and practices of leading investors in an effort to continuously grow our collective knowledge. I'm your host, Tom Yeert, and I'm joined by my co-host George Feini. In this episode, we're joined by Charlotte Young. Charlotte manages the Trojan Ethical Fund and is the Assistant Fund Manager of the Trojan Fund and Persona Laszeth's Trust. Please enjoy this episode with Charlotte Young. Charlotte, welcome to the podcast. Thanks for coming on. Thanks very much for having me. So I believe your mum was a fund manager. Was it always inevitable that you would follow in her footsteps? She was and she was a fund manager at a time where there were even fewer female fund managers. So she was a bit of a pioneer and it definitely helped having exposure to that precedent and having information about investing around the house. The FT was always there at the weekend. I would say that on account of her having been a fund manager, I was initially determined to do something different. I'm slightly contrary in nature and set out doing French and Latin thinking this is quite a natural progression to potentially becoming a lawyer. Then decided for whatever reason during one summer that I wanted to work for a company in Edinburgh that was exposed to the wider corporate world. I applied actually to a few law firms and a few asset managers and I was really fortunate that one of the asset managers gave me some work experience. I worked for Angus Tulloch at what was then first date. That got me very, very interested in investing. I did pursue it and I think it really, really did help having that role model in the form of my mother. Also my grandmother was an investor of her own pension and I would give her updates when she was in her 90s. I would go over to Northern Ireland and she would ask about the all price and she would say, "Hey, how's my glass are doing?" We had a line of female investors. You did modern languages at Cambridge and then you interned at Troy, went to Ruffa, came back to Troy. Is there something innate in your nature that you like very risk of earth's places? I think that first experience in the summer of '08, that first exposure to investing was quite formative. I think that just coloured the way I saw the job. I think doing the job well, you need to be aware that things go wrong and markets go down 30%. Actually, that experience at Ruffa, which was private client, very much engaged with the end investor, I became very aware of the experience. It's not just the total returns over five years, but actually how it feels to be an investor through really difficult times. I just appreciated the fact that firms like Troy and Ruffa both made money in 2008. I do remember buying my first very small amount of gold ETC on my year abroad, having worked at first date. They got me doing a project on commodities and gold. That multi-assets influence was there even working for an equity house. I think any stage of their life is a sense of volatility. You don't know when you're going to need your money. People buying houses or before then, you're potentially buying your first car. You don't know when you need to take that money from the portfolio. Your experience over different time horizons, even shorter ones, does matter. That's what feeds into my willingness and desire to hold more than just a straight equity ETF, for example. There's been an interesting companies for quite a while as well, in that when I think the motivating things for you to come to Troy. I remember at your interview, is you're really into individual companies and their stories and being a long-term investor in those assets. Tell us a bit about that formative experience and what got you interested. That was definitely first date. I was just 20 when I worked there for the summer and they took me along to every company meeting. They're invested in emerging markets. We met some pretty cool businesses from Latin America, from Asia, that had come over to Edinburgh to see what was a very highly regarded team of investors. I very quickly got interested in just what makes a good business. They have a very stringent set of criteria that they look for in any company, but they were also quite early, and this is going back 14 years on the ESG element of that. All of that got me really interested in businesses. That was a big motivation as well for joining Troy, where clearly the bottom up and the stock analysis stuff is front and center. Shall we let's talk about inflation since the multi asset mandates that Troy are really there to first and foremost protect the real value of investors capital. We've been fascinating to understand with inflation at generational highs, the yield curve recently inverted that's often a sign of impending recession. How you see the various forces at work in terms of trying to overcome that inflationary hurdle that you've set yourselves. That preservation of capital has to be in real terms and therefore the risks to that we have to manage for and that is what the non equity part of the portfolio in particular is therefore. So in terms of the risk of inflation, first of all, this is now a risk in a way that it hasn't been for the past decade. So the decade following the financial crisis, there was asset price inflation, but there were not the wheels in motion for real economy inflation. That was largely because of a huge amount of disinflationary forces which still exist today, but also the response to the financial crisis was a monetary one, not a fiscal one. So you had a quick return to austerity. You had no transmission mechanism from the huge supply of money that was created actually finding its way into people's pockets. So you were actually spending that money on goods and services. This recent COVID crisis hugely different for a number of reasons, but the fiscal response is a really important one. The change to the labor market is another. So there has been a huge access particularly in the US, but in Europe and the UK as well from particularly the baby boomer segment. There's a tightness there which has at the same time that you got political support for higher wages provided that bargaining power for workers. There is now an agenda which Biden is putting forward which other politicians are putting forward which sees that owners of capital have done really well over the last 30 years. Your average worker hasn't real wages haven't grown in the same way and now that has the potential to change at the same time that we've got a huge amount of other issues going on in supply chains in energy markets which are up in the cost of living. So the longer that those last the more that this bargaining power this desire but also this propensity of businesses to actually change their mindsets and say I'm going to pay you more the more likely that is to gain hold and actually you see something that looks like the 1970s in terms of negotiating power not necessarily the relative inflation. That actually looks like wage inflation beyond a few quarters and at the moment we're right in the middle there's so much going on we don't know how this is ultimately going to pan out but wages a key and it really remains to be seen as to how long the supply chain bottleneck particularly last the longer they last. The longer that this is likely to become more ingrained because psychology's behaviors change. How do you weigh all those issues you highlighted against some of the counter failing forces so yes clearly there's a focus on labor gaining the expensive capital but there's also a very powerful corporate incentive to keep profit margins high and perhaps to automate more so how do you weigh the high levels of debt, aging demographics, technological progress against the issues that are clearly at the for at the moment. You can't quantify this stuff I think that's why we need to remain really open minded because it's the balance of the two and it's ultimately a huge amount about politics that fiscal support continuing and wages just gaining traction in a way that they haven't done the balance is already moving but is it going to do so on a permanent basis that's what we have to be very honest about the fact we don't know. I think your point is a very good one when people talk about the rate of inflation so it's very easy to say oh this is a rerun of the oil embargoes of the early 70s but the reality is we've got a very different. Labor market in particular, all of the things you've mentioned are hugely changed versus that time, but COVID has accelerated a lot of the disinflationary structures that will already in place. So for example, the gig economy, this atomization of work, ultimately you can just pay for someone to do a job for a few hours because you can find them on the internet. That's disinflationary. People can work from anywhere. That's presumably disinflationary. We've got much greater talent pool from which to hire from. So I don't think that we're going to get back to double digit inflation. We haven't even got there in the US, the UK today. And we're at a real crunch point in terms of oil prices. So I do see us in a scenario where inflation's above where it was in the last 10 years, how much above is exactly what you mentioned. It's the balance between disinflationary forces and now that changing narrative when it comes to the inflation. I think there's been some assumption that the war in Ukraine, the resulting energy and food crisis could take us to a different level of inflation. But the bond markets may be saying something else. It actually ultimately some of the building up of inflationary forces when it comes to pent up demand and supply chain bottlenecks. It crushes people's propensity to spend and spending power to such an extent that it tips the economy over into potentially recessionary conditions. So I'm fascinated by the time dependency of this. They may be structurally higher inflation gets cut off at the knees by ironically inflation, spiking up because of the war in Ukraine. I think that's a huge probability. High prices is the cure for high prices. It all depends on demand. So is demand robust enough to endure those high prices. And that's why wages matter because that can ultimately hold up demand in the face of a much higher cost of living. And the US specifically, you look at how generous the transfer payments were during COVID, balance sheets are at an aggregate level pretty strong. Now, when you drill down and no one that I have asked and I've asked a lot of people has the data on how that balance sheet strength looks by income profiles. So by desiled the lowest earners, we would assume that their balance sheets have been run down. But the most important thing is that actually it's those lowest earners that are also seeing the most wage inflation sectors like leisure and hospitality are seeing those incomes coming through. So can that offset the pinch and it's more than just a pinch for that demographic of high energy bills? And we will see, but it's important to remember that we don't have energy comprising more than 10% of the CPI basket today. Now for those consumers, it's about the same as a proportion of their disposable income. I think the lowest quintile of earners in the US spend a high single digit percentage on energy. So that is very different from four decades ago. It's also very different from emerging markets. So when we talk about inflation, you do have to be quite geography specific and I think the US is in a pretty good place to withstand this. In your sense, the moment still is that the fair and other central banks are very much reactive agents in this whole drama. You don't subscribe to the view that they have changed their tone and they're becoming more prepared to see inflation getting to levels that are uncomfortable for them and going after it proactively. I don't think it's proactive. I think it's reactive. There's a huge amount of political backlash to inflation and they realise they miss a step by not doing anything last year. They're very clearly behind the curve. They will act as far as they can, but we've seen the Fed pivot just within the last three years in two pretty major ways. One is obviously through this recent turn. So we're going to tighten a lot in 2022. If you look to what they said they were going to do in September, they were going to do barely any rate rises as a consensus. Same happened at the end of 2018. They said they were going to tighten and then financial conditions got too tight and they did the U-turn. So I'm not ruling out of U-turn. I think the key message is that you need to be open-minded. You need to respect the fact that there's quite a range of inflationary outcomes. And I'd love to learn how you're balancing those broad potential outcomes in the portfolio. Yeah, it's a good question. So ultimately we don't think bond yields can rise much because levels of indebtedness and the Fed's huge awareness of that will mean they cannot raise the service in cost of that debt. We'll see where the crunch point is, but I think we're witnessing that in real time this year. In terms of therefore how we gain protection against what is a future environment of negative real yields, financially repressive environment. It's terrible for savers. This is where our mandate has to come in. We own US indebtedness bonds which aren't pricing in a great deal of inflation at the moment. And we also own gold, which is the currency that central bankers can't print. In terms of the equities, we get asked a lot to you by commodity related equities or do you buy energy exposures. Ultimately, as you say, we don't know how this is going to pan out. Inflation could be 3% for a three-year period or it could be 6%. And if you get your macro call wrong and try and gain exposure or protection against that via specific equities that do well in just that environment and that outcome doesn't materialize, then you're left holding this equity, which you don't really like as an inferior business. And that is just the wrong way to invest. We want to own businesses that have resilience against inflation, but aren't necessarily just geared towards that single outcome. So the companies we own, we own them because they are fantastic franchises. They have IP, they have pricing power. They have brands, which mean that if we do get them, we're already seeing it in input cost, particularly in the consumer staples companies. They can pass that on to the end, consume all the end customer. Just obviously spoken about fundamentals, but if we get sustained inflation feeding through to higher interest rates and higher discount rates, that will impact equities that are on really high P multiples. You can already see that in the periods of inflationary fear that have escalated in the past three months or indeed last year, you get these periods of rotation where long duration equities do badly. The way that we have to counter that is just make sure that we're not overpaying for the companies that we do hold. So we're valuation sensitive, but we're not going to start buying low PE stocks, which ultimately don't have great business models to back them up. We want them to be exceptional businesses and just not pay too much. If there aren't huge amounts of opportunities available, which there aren't today, we can reflect that in a cautious equity allocation. How do you think about cash and more inflationary world historically we've owned it, both to help protect on the downside, but also for its option value. And arguably that option value is eroded with higher inflation. So how do you think about the cash weighting? It's only eroded if something else does better. So if everything's going down and your cash in nominal value terms has remained the same, then it's still got great option value. The ballastic classes are moving together, which quite often they do. That's very helpful. You got dry powder still. You're right though, over long time periods, particularly if we are getting a standard inflation, you don't want a lot of cash. The way we think about it is having short duration in the portfolio. So we have short ish duration and the indexing bonds majority of our tips exposure is one to three years. The average duration is below five years. Also the cash we invest in predominantly UK T-bills of six months duration. And a lot of those are shorter because we roll them. So having that and lots of stuff coming up for reinvestment soon, you have the ability to reinvest at higher rates. So a lot of our lower duration tips waiting we actually see as cash with inflation protection added in, but that pure cash, we see that as constantly there to be reinvested. So where are the opportunities? What's better than cash today on our time horizon on our five year view? And at the moment, there are a couple of things which look more interesting, but we are very, very aware of the fact that valuations have run up a long way. And there is still that risk that the discount rate climbs and you see those equities to your rate. And for us, it's got to be that safety first approach. We can't be sure what's going to happen with what the Fed does this year with how the war pans out with a and other risk that's yet to materialize. And we often talk about this. It's not really about trying to predict any catalysts or any single event. It's just knowing that valuations are high and bad stuff happens. And we need to just be prepared for the optimism that is reflected in valuations to be dislodged by any number of risks that we can see and also the risks that we can't. Back to your mandate and the protection of the real value of capital, is it correct to see the index link bonds, in particular as protecting the portfolio? It, we see that scenario of higher and more sustained. inflation and maybe if you could just explain how you think that element of the portfolio could offer that protection. So within net sync bonds, the prices are determined by two things. The first is nominal yields and the second is the break even. So the break even is the markets implied rate of inflation. What the market thinks inflation is going to be. So whatever you pay in terms of your break even at the start of investing in an index link bond, if inflation turns out to be a lot higher than that, on that component you make money. Looking at break evens generally, even going out to sort of 10, 20, 30 years, the market saying and particularly when you ex out the next five years where the market thinks there is going to be some mid single digit inflation. Once you take that out, there's no expectation of inflation running away. So we think that if we get this scenario which isn't going to be great for other asset classes either, we are getting paid to hold that protection now. The protection is not coming at a premium. The other part of the real yields is clearly what the conventionals do and again, it's about to that question of what's factored in to interest rate rises, what's the market expect and they actually expecting quite a lot now. We were talking about maybe three, four rate rises this year. Now it's up to eight or nine. And so I don't think necessarily that will be disappointed on that nominal component either because I think the market's already run quite a long way. So I think real yields go lower from here and particularly at the long duration we added a little bit to our 20 year. The 20 year tips is pricing in 0% real yield. So basically if you were to buy that today and hold it for 20 years to maturity, you will return at a 0% real yield. It's going to be whatever inflation turns out to be. So say you have 5% inflation per annum, that's what you'll get if you hold to maturity. So Charlotte, you talked a lot about being open-minded and agile. I'd love to hear more about the team dynamic and how you Sebastian and Mark DeVos interact with the team but also how you complement each other. I think we're all very different. I think that's essential to having a good team but we share common values which sounds trite but actually it's just essential. This mandate is really important that we all have the attitude of this is money that someone can't afford to lose. Every decision we make, stock selection, asset allocation, you've got to have that at the front of your mind. And I think that's why for Sebastian clearly he started this as a family office. So he had a very clear end client in his mind when he was making his decisions. I've worked in private client for management and I think that really has helped. It's just that link to the end individual and you can just see the pain or the gain if you do it wrong or if you do it right. So that's very clear in our team. And in terms of how we get there, that's the bit where you've got to be a bit more adaptive. You've got to be a bit more open minded to new ideas, realise what works last decade or last year. Essentially isn't necessarily going to work for the next 10 years. And as long as you don't have an ego which I think again our team is great because frankly we want to just focus on that end outcome and pride just goes out the window. You will be flexible and adaptive because you know that the world changes. We're looking to do the homework before we invest in anything. So in terms of due diligence, feeling comfortable, feeling like, oh I could own this for the next five years at least. Hopefully 10 years plus. The hurdle is just incredibly high. And Sebastian's always talked about avoiding unforesterious and I think I have a bit of that mindset as well. I remember my French teacher A level had to give me a reference for university and I was a little bit disappointed because it was a backhanded compliment but he said to the professor at Cambridge Charlotte can translate a whole three paragraph piece without making a mistake. And I thought maybe he'd refer to my analytical flare or something more creative. But it was actually just that version to making mistakes clearly in investment. Everybody makes mistakes and you can't be a perfectionist and you can't know everything either but you can certainly know what you don't know and just be humble enough to say we're not going there. And then that really raises the bar in terms of what goes in the portfolio. And then when things change there's no pride in having low turnover for the sake of it. If you really can't be clear as to where the value creation is going to come from for the next few years you just say, this has changed. You shouldn't have a sort of want to prove myself right mindset just by being dogmatic and holding it until we get to the point where it eaks out a better return. I don't want to use Jeff Bezos quote but it's a bit like every day it's day one right. You've got to think today without any of my previous decisions what would I do? What's the best thing to do? How would you say the portfolios evolved over the last few years? It's been an ongoing evolution that was already there before I became the assistant on the Trojan Fund in 2018. Sebastian is highly adaptive and we were already acutely aware that the types of companies that might have served you really well, let's say in the in the 2000s and in the early 2010s. A lot of them were becoming just less competitively advantaged. So for example, the coal gates of this world they just don't have that same growth opportunity that they used to and they have more competition and partly because they've gained really high rates of penetration in emerging markets with their brands and we also see better emerging market competitors and better developed market competitors and online has facilitated a huge amount of that in the US and Europe and the UK in particular. So we are quite clear that we still need to just invest in great businesses that can produce recurring revenues and fairly predictable growth and actually a lot of those types of returns are elsewhere now. So they might be in the payments networks or they might be in Microsoft which was already in the Trojan Fund has been since 2010. That's a preeminent staples company. It's a business with generally low ticket repeat purchase software items. If you took out the word software and you explained how the motor and that business is largely rooted in the trust of the brand and the fact that what they sell works and it does what it says in the tin and there's just a huge ecosystem around what they sell. You could see the parallels between what we owned before that we perhaps don't own any more today. So we're still looking for the same types of things. It's just you've got to look in different areas in the markets. The imperative of not losing money in equities is still there over the long term that capital preservation mindset and making sure that we do enough research to really understand the risks that any individual business faces. But clearly in a information age and businesses with very little physical capital you need to look for those risks in different ways. And I'm always reminded in particular Charlotte of your trip to Des Moines in Iowa in the care of Dr. Pepper. First of all, tell us about that experience. I think it was 2014. It was an investor trip, although I think the only other investor there was short the stock. And there was a sales side analyst and me and we just joined a team of Dr. Pepper warehouse workers. So from the manager to the person loading the trucks at 4 a.m. for two days observing what they were doing. So they found it a hilarious that we woke up at 4 a.m. because they thought those investors in their suits, they're not going to join us for the heavy lifting. And actually I got really into it as you can probably imagine. And the whole aim was from Dr. Pepper's side to show how they were applying effectively six sigma efficiency frameworks. And ultimately they had quite a few tools of their own which they hadn't just lifted out of a textbook which were reducing the number of steps that people were taking on the floor in order to get the seven up from over here into the truck. Spaghetti mapping was one of the things we did where we literally would just follow somebody in charge of that pack of seven up. We would follow around the warehouse floor to see how their route could be optimised a little bit better. And I apparently got really good at spaghetti mapping. So good that you got a certificate which is still on your desk. Yes, it's still proudly on my desk. I really liked the culture of that business and that was something that you couldn't really have leaned from just reading all the transcripts and the annual reports. The risks to a business like that are around consumer habits, preferences and how brand loyalty gets built and the risks around that brand loyalty being eroded over time and there's other social and demographic elements to that. But that's very different to the risks that might around a visa where the business is incredibly entrenched within its network and perhaps the risks are more technological or surround government intervention regulation. So how is your thinking changed to think about risk and the different sorts of risks as the equity component of the multi asset funds has shifted? The reason that visa works is because consumers accept and trust and know they are able to use at tens of millions of merchants around the world their visa branded cards. So there's still a brand element this and there's a virtuous circle which is pretty unique to payments. It's an industry which it makes a lot of sense to be in my mind invested in the networks because they're effectively the umpire in this game they are the trusted players not just by the consumers but also by the banks who rely on the networks. So it is totally different from a consumer goods company. The competition as you mentioned is very different so I like the fact that there is a pretty stable competitive structure. The reason that we hear more about regulation is because that is at various points deemed to potentially be so optimal but actually historically when the regulators looked into it and it's usually because the merchants are saying I'm paying too much it hasn't necessarily for the reason that these card networks don't extract the most value it hasn't at all eaten into their economics it's eaten into the banks and this that consume a preference which as you mentioned is different from the Dr. Péphus of this world but there's still a brand loyalty but in Visa's case actually rooted in something that is practical. Would you say are the big risks that visa face? Well, I think regulation is a big one. I think there's a lot of disruption going on and the attempt to convert to national networks so countries that are becoming more nationalistic or potentially are being excluded from payment systems and account of sanctions they are incentivized now to come up with their own alternative domestic network and really that's happening only at the margin and so there's a technology is changing so for example real-time payments, ACH the ability to transfer from one bank account to another in real time visa is saying and Mastercard as well we won't necessarily own all of these networks but what we will be able to provide is the services that run on top. We will be able to provide the full protection. We ultimately are a trusted party when it comes to aggregating data for example and we can talk about disruption in terms of FinTechs as well. I think that's very very clearly something which has gathered pace particularly during COVID but are they circumventing the networks? In the end no has been the reality they want to partner with a visa with a Mastercard because they can get access to all of those acceptance locations which have taken decades to build so in my mind that competitive advantages remain as strong as they have been. You are responsible for the ethical version of the Trojan Fund and that's recently passed it's three year anniversary so congratulations on that and I'd love to hear more about how you think ESG is done within a multi asset context at Troy. So I think most importantly ESG makes a lot of sense at Troy whether it's in the actually funds or in the multi asset just because of the way that we invest with long term. So these so-called non financial risks they are financial risks if your time horizon is 10 years. Ultimately a company's carbon footprint they are going to have to pay for that over time even if there isn't a carbon tax in place today. The same goes for if you don't have good diversity at senior management level you're going to miss things you're going to make poor decisions because you don't have that variety of inputs that leads to good decision making. We look at a lot of what people would term non financial risks competitive advantages, culture, these things increasingly sort of overlap and intermingle with ESG given our downside a version and our focus on capital preservation. You need to be really aware of companies that might get it badly wrong and ESG is increasingly a risk zone for businesses that don't have good practices. There are financial penalties which will come from regulators but actually first they're going to come from consumers no longer buying their products no longer buying their services if they for file of an ESG risk that's really material to them and they're going to come from investors punishing the valuations of those companies. You can't use one size fits all approach to this because every company has different issues that it ultimately has to take responsibility for. You have to do it joining up the dots really between the lines and if you're willing to do your homework that can give you an edge as an investor. You are initially about in a multi-acet context. There are beyond equities even greater issues with integrating ESG in a way that is standardized in a way that ultimately leads to something that you can quantify or report. For example, gold has a variety of ESG issues, particularly if you're invested in mining companies which we aren't but if you're invested in physical gold like we are, you still need to ascertain how that's been sourced. So has it come from refineries which are complying with the London Bullion Market Association's Responsible Gold Guidelines and are those guidelines as stringent as we would like them to be? The answer is no, they're not today but the LVMA we're engaging with and we have found really good traction with them in terms of moving towards gold that is less environmentally impactful but also in terms of the social implications, the way that they treat local communities. Having very clear standards that if a refinery does not adhere to, they are then excluded from the London market. We're already some way towards that but there's more work to be done. With government bonds, the way that we've approached this in the ethical fund and I'm here specifically drawing a distinction between ESG and ethical screening but the way that we have implemented screens for ethical is that any bond which is subject to EU or UN sanctions or which for reasons of good governance, strong institutions falls out with of the G7 is excluded from the portfolio and that is a binary screen. After you've done that you then need to do the homework in terms of a K-Wall invested in US government debt. What are the big risks here to this country not being able to issue debt at an affordable rate of interest? If there's a risk that hits that bottom line then we can sell but it's not as straightforward as a company that's behind on this particular measure because you just can't enact change in the same way. Charlotte, you mentioned earlier the advantages of being long term patient shareholders and engaging with management and building the mosaic over time. Are there examples of where our engagement has led to positive change? Yes, quite a few and I think increasingly because what's great is that ESG has really opened companies eyes to the role that investors can play and the really good companies are becoming more receptive. They're asking us and they are listening to us. For example, we are assigned up to the net zero asset managers initiative and as part of that we want all of our companies to have net zero targets and not just net zero targets that use a number of clever devices to get there but ones that are robust that are science-based. If you get a management team that gets it understands it's in their business interests. This isn't just to a piece shareholders. They know that there will be a compessive advantage here or at least a risk aversion to be achieved if they get Amos root and certain companies potentially just haven't had the pressure to set those yet. For example, Agilent which is a medical technology company in the US, they aren't as large cap as some of the other businesses like Microsoft which have set pretty ambitious targets and did so well ahead of time. Agilent didn't have anything in the summer of last year and they very readily took a call with us to find out what we wanted to see and ultimately that was something that was science based. It was more ambitious than there at the time target for 2025 reduction rather than elimination of net emissions and they listened and they came out with a target October of last year in line with the recommendations we had made. Science based reporting in line with the TCFD and an interim target for 2030. You mentioned at the beginning of the conversation that your mum was in a minority as a female fund manager and sadly women remained in a minority today and I know you are one of the founders of girls our investors all gain and it was set up to address and imbalance and I'd love to hear more about what you're doing. trying to achieve in the progress you've made so far. I actually thought it was really normal for the women to be doing the investing, as I've mentioned, that was the case in our household. So I just found it shocking when I joined the industry that we were so poorly represented. So four of us co-founded the charity in 2019, really with the name to address what we found to be the reasons why women weren't applying for that entry-level decision-making role. And the reasons are twofold. We did a large survey at the start and we asked lots of 16 to 21-year-olds, "Are you interested in career and investing?" And if not, why not? And the answers were invariably no to the first and to the second. I don't really know what this is. Don't you have to do maths at university? I don't like investment banking. And also, they said in response to the second, "I don't really know anyone like me in the industry. There's no role model for me there." So there's really this problem of, "If you can't see it, you can't be it." And also, "What is the job?" And we set up gain with a view to address those two issues. So ultimately, provide the info. What is this about? Are we sitting behind screens looking at spreadsheets all day and then just making an investment decision on the back of a formula which doesn't require any interesting analysis? Or is it actually quite rewarding job and quite a creative job in many ways? And is it something where, frankly, lots of different disciplines, whether it's a history degree or a modern language degree, come into play? And if you're different, great, get into the industry because we need more diversity in terms of perspectives. So we go into schools, we go into universities. We now have around 40 universities in the UK where we have ambassadors on the ground. So students who are already sort of signed up to investing, they already know they want to do it. And they spread the word to their peer group. We have lots of schools around the UK as well where we go in and we speak to the students. And the second part is ultimately that exposure to a potential role model. And that doesn't have to be female, though it really does help of our 800 volunteers, the majority are female. But we also have lots of men who are supporters of gain and increasingly involved in the panel discussions that we hold at universities and the talks. And they are saying to these young women, we want to hire more of you because there is a real business case and this is the reason we set it up. If we don't have women at the table when decisions are being made about which startups to finance, which public companies to invest in, how to hold them to account, then we don't make optimal decisions. And that's a social issue, more diversity of thought leads to better decisions. We know that this data on that. So long answer to your question is that ultimately we hope to, by setting up gain, increase the participation rate, which is currently for entry making decision roles around 20%. We hope to increase that to 50% in the next decade. And it's really just about inspiring that next generation and getting them interested in applying. And any asset managers that might be listening to this podcast, they're invited to get in touch if they'd like to participate in gain. Definitely. We are always looking for people to get involved in a variety of ways. The gainuk.org is the website and you can become a volunteer by speaking, by mentoring. You can take part in our internship programme, which is coming up. It's closed for this summer, but we do have over 100 interns that will be joining the industry as part of this gain programme. Hopefully next year it will be even more. So please get involved in that. And we just have huge opportunity to ultimately get out to those women and spread that message that this is a really interesting career. Turning to our closing question, what piece of advice would you give a young Charlotte young at the beginning of her career? I think it's really important to be aware that no one really knows the answers to anything or everything. There is so much overconfidence in this industry and particularly when you're starting out and perhaps on average when you're in a minority or if you're a female graduate, you might get the impression that you're the only one in the room who doesn't have a really clear conviction or doesn't have that single answer. There isn't one. You need to be very, very clear that there's a huge amount of very compelling narratives swirling around your perspective is no less valuable than everybody else's and ultimately we're all finding our way and trying to work out what the future holds. That's the nature of this job. So don't be deterred by the fact that perhaps you're more senior or perhaps male colleagues sound more confident, actually back yourself a little bit more. Great answer. Thank you, Charlotte. Thanks. Thank you for listening to Far From The Finishing Post. We'd love to hear from you, so please do leave a review and rating and subscribe to hear future episodes.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Charlotte Young's career in investment management was influenced by family role models, particularly her mother, a pioneering female fund manager, and her personal experiences during the 2008 financial crisis, which shaped her focus on capital preservation and multi-asset strategies.
  2. Current inflationary pressures are driven by fiscal responses to COVID-19, labor market tightness, and supply chain issues, but are countered by long-term disinflationary forces like technology and demographic changes, creating uncertainty about whether high inflation will be sustained.
  3. In managing portfolios, Troy emphasizes protecting real capital value by using assets like inflation-linked bonds and gold, avoiding overexposure to speculative equities, maintaining valuation discipline, and holding cash or short-duration assets for flexibility amid economic unpredictability.

Summary:

In this podcast episode, fund manager Charlotte Young discusses her path into investing, influenced by her mother's career and formative experiences during the 2008 crisis, which highlighted the importance of capital preservation and multi-asset approaches. She analyzes current inflation, noting it stems from fiscal policies, labor market shifts, and supply constraints, but is balanced by disinflationary trends like technology, making the long-term outcome uncertain. Young explains that Troy's strategy focuses on safeguarding investors' real capital against inflation through tools like inflation-linked bonds and gold, while avoiding overpriced equities and maintaining cash or short-duration holdings for flexibility.

The approach prioritizes resilience across various economic scenarios, rather than betting on specific macroeconomic outcomes, emphasizing cautious, valuation-sensitive investing in high-quality businesses with pricing power.

FAQs

The primary purpose is to protect the real value of investors' capital, especially against inflation, by managing multi-asset portfolios that include non-equity components for risk management.

Her early exposure through her mother, a fund manager, and an internship at First State in Edinburgh during summer 2008 sparked her interest in investing and understanding company stories.

Key factors include fiscal responses to COVID, labor market tightness, wage growth, supply chain bottlenecks, and energy market issues, balanced against disinflationary forces like technology and the gig economy.

The portfolio uses index-linked bonds (TIPS) for inflation protection and holds gold as a non-printable currency, while focusing on equities with pricing power and strong franchises, not just inflation-specific bets.

Cash provides downside protection and option value; it's held in short-duration instruments like T-bills to allow reinvestment at higher rates if opportunities arise, balancing erosion risk from inflation.

Central banks are seen as reactive, not proactive, and may pivot if conditions tighten too much; investors should remain open-minded due to a wide range of potential inflationary outcomes.

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