CFB’s Biggest Lies + SEC Fall Camp Scoop & Hot Seat Alerts
88m 50s
This transcript is a college football-focused podcast episode, interspersed with promotional ads for other shows. The host begins by discussing fall camp observations, highlighting quarterback battles at Tennessee (favoring freshman Faizon Brand) and Alabama (between Keelan Russell and Austin Mack), while noting injury concerns and roster questions for teams like South Carolina and Texas. He then shifts to identifying what he calls "big lies" in college football, arguing that records are relative to schedule strength, recruiting rankings are predictive, having two quarterbacks can be a strength (citing Alabama's past), and that expanding the playoff diminishes the meaning of top-tier games. He also dismisses international games as ineffective for growing the sport and challenges the idea that Indiana's success is replicable. Hot seat evaluations follow, with Norvell and Aranda facing significant pressure, Riley and Fickell at moderate risk, and Belichick's tenure at North Carolina deemed a disaster. The host defends his JP Poll power ratings against SEC bias accusations, explaining they are neutral-field predictive numbers, not rankings, and cites betting lines to justify placements. He concludes by announcing a new Friday ESPN show with We'll Compton and Taylor LaWan, emphasizing a campus-based format distinct from College GameDay, and promotes merchandise and subscription support.
I'm Munga Shateekeler and I'm back with a new season of my podcast Skyline Drive. This time I talk to scientists, biopunks, cormugins, blues owners, super seniors, and go as top cryotherapy lab to try to understand this obsession with living forever, and what it means for all of us. And I get into a bit of trouble along the way. I'd say probably start bone smashing, but those are more to make you look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, how to live forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Hey, this is Hayes Davenport, and Sean Clements. We host the podcast, Hollywood Handbook. Each week we talk to someone in show business, and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. Everyone has a good time, and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show. We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman, Adam Scott, Danny McBride, Ben Stillert, and a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Our hometown is not a test tube. 90 miles northeast of Nashville, a battle for the future of America plays out in one small town. Developers with right wing ties have purchased hundreds of acres of land. We need cities on a shining hill. This is our town. A podcast about what happens when a small town becomes the site of a social experiment and fights back. I guess you didn't move in on a bunch of dumb hillbilly's now, did you? Listen to our town on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Nancy Glass, host of the Burden of Guild Season 3 podcast. This is a story about a horrendous situation that destroyed two families. It's a scorched earth war that shows just how far someone will go to get what they want. Cindy said I had to choose between the truth and my family and I had to choose the truth. Listen to Season 3 of Burden of Guild on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What a week. What a week ahead. I put out a question earlier today. I just ask, what's the biggest lie in college football? We got inundated so much so that we're going to leave the show with it on this Sunday, August 16th, the overlord, 2026 jam packed, high atop a 101 degree downtown Nashville, Tennessee. But even having said that, you can sort of kind of smell fall outside. You got to get creative because it's not really there, but you can sort of smell fall around the corner. You've got, listen to that heavy, that stack of papers is a ton, a fall camp scoop intel, some bad news even in the past hour or so. There's been some big injury news break. So we'll talk about that. Put some good stuff to hot seat alerts. What's real and what's not? Lot of rumors and speculation sort to spread this time of year. I want to know who's really on the hot seat and who doesn't seem to be on the hot seat. I'll lie your James Franklin's or your Brian Kelly's from last year, booking and up losing their job anyway. Not fun topics, but then again, this is paid state. So we'll be trying to be educational and we try and be honest. I tried to be honest with JP poll and I got slandered all over the internet. So I'm going to go to some of the greatest hits, some of the most popular bits of feedback we got from the JP poll the other night. Remember, people, this is not my product, it's the model's product. I disagree with it just as much as some of you every now and then. All that more. We're jam packed. When Chester Tennessee tuned in, Cairo Egypt checked in, yes, not Cairo, Georgia, Cairo Egypt checked in in the live chat Portland, Oregon, Amarillo, Texas. I don't like to give away all of our secrets and I don't like to publicize our business and just put it out there in the streets, but a paper popper of a nugget here. And I have it in my own handwriting on this piece of paper. It says, I heard the Thursday show could be interesting. Who knows what it means, could mean anything. Let's dive into the show tonight. What do you think the biggest lies in college football are? As we get close to every season, I sort of like to refresh this here at paid state. I put this out earlier today and it went crazy. So hey, I've got some opinions on this, but really, I want to save the whole back half of this for what you guys sent because some of it was spot on. Some of it was egregious and frankly, some of it was just a categorical misunderstanding of what we're trying to do with this. But that's fine. I appreciate the submission. So the first and biggest lie in college football has been and continues to be, you are what your record says you are. I know some of you may be dabbling in college football this year and your huge NFL fans. And to you, this makes perfect sense. Of course, you are what your record says you are. Of course, wins and losses is ultimately what kind of what it comes down to. Yes. Yes. Yes. But in college football, with a little bit of an asterisk next to it. So last year, and I'm not advocating for Texas to have made the playoffs, nor am I advocating for JMU to have been out, kind of thought they mostly got it right last year. But just for the sake of argument, I think we all understand that if teams were just measured equally last year, JMU's 11 and one was not as impressive a feat as even Texas's nine and three. And Texas under achieved last year, Texas lost a game at least they shouldn't have lost and then had two more come down to the wire that they won because they didn't really look impressive against Kentucky and Mississippi state. So I'm going to start off tonight by saying, I'm not trying to advocate for Texas having made the playoffs last year because I understand how the world has to work here. However, just in a comparative analysis vein, if I were to remove the three losses, okay, Texas nine and three, let's get the three games they lost out of the way. They won nine of them. Even among the nine games, Texas won. They had three wins, Oklahoma, Vandy, A&M more impressive than anything JMU did. So there's a lot of relativity in college football. It's not as simple as you are what your record says you are. If I opened against Ohio State and Oregon this year and you open against Western Kentucky and Kent this year and I lose two games by three and you win both of those games by three. I've been more impressive than you so far in the season. I should be ranked higher than you in any kind of subjective poll, even though I'm o2 and you're 2 and o. Again, if you're new to college football, I know it sounds like a circus, sounds like a freak show, sounds like this world makes no sense. It doesn't and that's what some of us love about it. Next lie. This is an age old lie. It's mainly a defense mechanism lie and that is recruiting rankings don't matter, slash star rankings don't matter. It's all just to crap you, you know, Steve Wolfong's on the take and the rankings committee is just they're baking this and they're in the back pocket of someone and none of this really matters. And yet every discernible metric that's ever existed in this industry says otherwise. And I have noticed over the years that a lot of times the teams that are landing the big time recruits are not the ones saying that star rankings don't matter. No, it's the programs and fans of teams that don't necessarily land them all the time and it's never more on display than when you lose out to a five star who commits to LSU or who commits to Miami and then it's the star rankings don't matter or sometimes what will happen is you'll have a team slash roster loaded with four and five star players like you'll see the on three talent composite at the beginning of the year and it'll say like last year LSU is one of the 10 most talented rosters in the country and then they'll crash and burn. And someone will in bad faith manner take that to mean see star rankings are overrated. They're not overrated. They're properly rated actually. They're just not the end all be all that's like saying a yeast pretty overrated when it comes to making bread. That's not true yeast alone will not make bread but the absence of it is going to lead to a far different product when it comes out of the oven and likewise with raw talent. You've got to have it if you're going to win. There are some recent somewhat exception to the rule type examples Indiana is the glaring one but I I would look at that and I would say on the back end of Indiana doing what they just did and then you watch a lot of those guys go on to the NFL draft maybe part of the bias that does enter the equation in the recruiting rankings process which I'm not saying is infallible. I'm just saying it's the best predictive metric we have in this sport to tell who's going to be good down the road. I think one of the things that people are struggling to wrap their minds around is yes there's somewhat of a blind belief in a kid that has offers from Georgia and Oregon and Alabama and Miami and yes you may not have given benefit of doubt to kids that are just going from J.M.U. to Indiana yes maybe that was a loophole like maybe that was a weakness that was a little fly in the ointment that had to straighten up things but by and large star rankings have always been very predictive with exceptions to the rules recruiting rankings have always been a great predictive metric with exceptions to the rule. What about this lie? It is it is bearing its ugly head again even as we entered
2026 fall camps. Where have you heard this one before? You got two quarterbacks. That means you don't have any. Sounds good. We call that bumper sticker logic. We call that fortune cookie logic, as Mimo used to say, it kind of rolls off the tongue. It's catchy. It makes people go, yeah, that sounds about right. Until it has to bear the brunt of scrutiny, in which case it just falls apart completely. We could talk about Alabama now with a question mark. You've got Austin Mac, you've got Keelan Russell. We could take this age-old colloquialism and we could throw it down to Tuscaloosa and say, "Uh-oh, Kaelin DeBora has not named a starter." Well, if you've got two quarterbacks, I don't have any. Interesting because I seem to remember at that very university, less than a decade ago, there was a kid by the name of Jalen Hurtz there. Then he's got a backup Hawaiian kid to a tongue of something. Yeah, he comes off the bench in the national championship game after you've heard rumors that he's really good all year. It turns out, Bama had two quarterbacks and they just had two quarterbacks. Then the next year. Then the next year, two a tongue of Iowa starts all year, but then he gets hurt. Then the dude that he took the place of the year before comes off the bench and they win the SEC title again and it turns out again they had two quarterbacks and they just had two quarterbacks. That doesn't necessarily mean anything. You could just have two really good players who knows how it turns out for Alabama this year. I will grant you, there is some germ of validity to this. On a conditional basis, it is true that sometimes there's a quarterback battle that goes well into fall camp because both dudes just suck and no one's taking the job in your season's cooked already. Sure, that happens, but this is not a catch-all. Every single quarterback battle is not created equal. This one's one that's been relevant as of late. Another big lie in college football. A bigger playoff is a better playoff. This comes from the backwards logic of if something is good, then more of that good thing always equals a great thing. Law of scarcity be damned. More of a good thing is always a great thing. By that logic, we should just go print money. We're all fans of money. We have some money. We would like more money. Let's just go print more money. I'm told they do this. I'm told it hasn't turned out well, but I'm told that that law does not apply in college football playoff. Why? Well, because if we have 12 teams and that's good and I will grant you, it has been good. Well, then having 24 would be twice as good. No, it wouldn't. Josh, but don't you understand this is the worst part because they're defending a terrible point, but they're talking down to you. Don't you understand, Josh, that if you have 24 teams in the playoff, then that means you have more meaningful games. No, I don't understand that. Just for the sake of argument, teach me casual, teach me expansionist, how we have more meaningful games. Well, thank you for asking. Josh, how that works is, whereas in the past, the number 21 team versus the number 25 team facing off in late November wouldn't have mattered when it comes to the playoff. Now it has a ton of meaning. Do you see now? Let me get this straight. So you're telling me if, oh, I don't know, let's say Arizona State and Kansas State are ranked 21st and 25th and it's late November and they play each other. And that game all of a sudden has playoff implications on it, whereas in the 12 team model, it wouldn't have that gives that game more meaning. Yes, that's what we're saying. Is that it? Is that the end? Yes, that's the end. I don't think it is. I don't think it is because you haven't finished the equation. This is the problem with the expansionist. This is the problem, especially with the casual expansionist, because all they talk about is what you gain by expanding. And what we gain is some meaning. Manufactured though it may be, we gain some precious meaning on these college football games, you know, because nowadays you can't have meaning on a game if it doesn't have playoff implications. But that's a side road. I'm not even going to go down that one. Let's stay on the main road. You gain meaning on these games that feature fringe playoff teams, number 22 versus number 25 and late November and man, think about the implications. Well, what does it come at the expense of? And they would tell you nothing. Nothing. All the other games have the meaning, they always said, no, they don't. No, they don't because if Texas is number 6 and Texas A&M's number 8, and they're going into college station or Austin the day after Thanksgiving last game of the regular season. You're telling me that game has the same urgency and the same nail biting tight rope walk, puckering feeling that it always would have had. Nothing changes there. And just these games featuring lower ranked teams, they just magically increase in their meaning. No, that's not what it means. Any sane person understands in order to gain meaning on the games that ironically feature teams that won't be capable of winning the national title. We have to somewhat turn down the meaning and turn down the urgency and must see nature of games featuring teams that are capable of winning the national championship. And so if you spell out the equation that way, it's stupid. And so that's why some of us, in fact, I would say the vast majority of us if Twitter polls are in the indication are against a 2014 playoff. But you know, Jesse, if you say that, that just means you're doing ESPN's bidding. You can't possibly feel that way. Absent a network you work for more on that later. How about international college football games? You know, these are all the rage as of late. I think one of the big lies in college football right now is international games are a way to grow college football. No, they're not. Because college football can't be exported. NFL can. If I take the chiefs and the Broncos and they play in Kansas City, that's awesome. If they play in Denver, that's awesome. However, if I were to take them to London, England or Dublin, Ireland, theoretically, it's still an NFL football game. And theoretically, it's still the best football players on the planet. It may be in a different time zone. You may watch it early morning, instead of early afternoon, mid afternoon or in prime time, but it's still an NFL game. That product is largely exportable. College football's not exportable. I cannot take what is great about Tennessee football on a Saturday afternoon and place it in Dublin, Ireland. I can't take what's great about Oregon football on a Saturday afternoon in Eugene and export it and have it feel the same. Because feel is the optimal word here. College football is a very vibes-based sport, but more so, it is a campus-based sport. And in order to experience the greatness of college football, you have to experience it on campus. That can't be exported, you see. What makes the NFL great is it's the greatest players on the planet, playing against each other. What makes college football great extends well beyond the field. In fact, I'd say if you asked a normal person what makes college football great that lists like half a dozen things before they ever even got to the game on the field. It's a cultural thing. It's awesome. And the best way to describe that to someone is not to try and haphazardly take the game to them 6,000 miles away. It's to do what Freddie and the German boys did. You guys need to come over here. You need to come down here. You need to go up there this fall. You need to go to Madison, Wisconsin or Auburn, Alabama, and you need to experience that. That's how you experience college football. NFL, totally different ballgame. Major league baseball. Go play it wherever I don't care. But to experience Oklahoma football, you need to be a normal Oklahoma. Sorry, it's just the way it is. Here's a lie that has very, very recently been told. A lot of people are telling this to themselves, Jesse. If Indiana did it, anyone can do it. And what a shot. What a stray at Indiana. By the way, do you believe that? Well, if Indiana won a national championship, man, anyone can do it. Indiana, Indiana has been culturally poverished for a long time. Or what word am I looking for? Impoverished. Yeah. For a long time. And Indiana was the drugs of college football. So now if they could do it, if they could get up off the mat and win anyone of us can. Yeah, I guess technically that's true in a sense that if you see someone win the lottery, that means man, one at once, I can win it three times. Yes, mathematically, you can. It's a very small percentage chance. Mathematically, you can. I just like anyone out there can say this to themselves. But here's probably what you lack. You probably lack Kurt Signetti. But even beyond Kurt Signetti, if I could clone him, man, it takes a full university putting its weight behind you. And Indiana, and I'll paint myself as guilty here too. Indiana is a powerhouse of an athletic program if it has all of its alumni base invested. I didn't understand that because I had never had to think about an Indiana football and Indiana athletics that way in my lifetime. They just always been terrible. I don't think many other programs out there that haven't done anything of national relevance actually possess that capability. However, if you tell me what's the NIL era now? So theoretically, if anyone wants to put big
money behind it and they have big money to put behind it, they could do it. I'm not going to push back on that in theory. I think that's really, really, really selling the Indiana formula short is all I'm going to say. And it's 2026. So let's check back in 2034 or something like that. Give it eight or nine years and let's see if anyone's pulled off the old Indiana blueprint if you will. So those are some of the ones I said you guys came like a thousand deep today with replies to this. So start rolling them off the assembly line here. More college football hit us with a good one. One of the biggest lies in college football. Strong TV ratings equal the sport is healthier than ever. Great submission. Wish I would have thought of it myself. We've talked about that a lot on the show. Strong TV ratings equal this evergreen like go to quiver for anybody that's arguing to expand this or to realign that you hear it all the time. You hear it all the time. Anyone someone's trying to take another whack at the tree and you say stop swinging that axe at this tree. We don't want it to fall down that's what TV rings have never been higher. That equals what I'm doing right now must be good. Well actually it equals what someone did prior to you being around here must have been good. Also it equals that trees really strong that tree it must take a lot of swings to cut that tree down. That is true. But strong television ratings and the sports health are not always correlated in the way that they pitch it. Another one. This is going to be a little more controversial. Ohio divide Ohio divided front of the program came to us and said one of the big lies in college football is big noon kickoff is good for the sport. Now obviously this is an Ohio state fan and Ohio state fans have long been victimized by big noon kickoff. I think one of the rarest things that you could ever see in society is a big Ohio state home game played in prime time because of the way the big 10 TV deal works. Now as everyone knows I have a recently applied ESPN tattoo on my lower back here. So I'm not allowed to say anything good about Fox. So you really really need to plug the years for just five seconds for me to say I love big new kickoff. I've always thought Fox was on the money with this but I'm not a Ohio state fan so I haven't had to deal with this. So in a way if I was an Ohio state fan I think I would despise big noon kickoff and yes the big 10s TV deal in general has bothered me with like the Penn State example because there's so many obvious lay up white out opportunities that they've had to forego because they can't get the game in prime time. Be that as it may I thought Fox made a good move on big noon for a long time only because the window was there to be had I mean they could easily today make that another prime time game if they wanted to and it kind of gets lost in the shuffle of all the prime time inventory. So I thought Fox did a good job also this is selfish and I'm very much in the minority on this but a lot of times when we go to big noon games I love that it's a new game because we get to get home but that doesn't concern everyone else that's just a selfish reason but yeah I get it for Ohio state folks especially I get it. Next up yet Carson said it's a lie that G 6 teams can't compete in the playoff that's not a lie brother that's 1000% factual this is a situation where have not equals cannot. The G 6 is best shot was back in the 4 team era really it's more so to do with the 4 team era in the pre portal in NIL era because what happened is back then since an addy for example got in the playoff which means they were in the semi finals causes only 4 teams back then no G 6 teams ever sniffing the final 4 now not only because it's really hard to do and you're a disadvantage but your average G 6 today is at way bigger a disadvantage come playoff time against Notre Dame or against Texas than the previous generations teams would have been because back then and we're talking less than a decade ago in theory you can just have a bunch of veteran guys that stuck around at Boise or stuck around at Cincinnati because they were a G 16 back then and if everything goes right and they force a couple of turnovers they could take you to the wire this is why all the Cinderella examples people use Boise O 7 UCF 17 they come pre portal pre NIL because now even if you start to develop that kind of team Lane Kiffin just comes in and take some Kirby smart will just come in and take those players even if they miss them the first time around and you did a great job at Boise or a great job at Tulane of evaluating and developing you're just doing Florida a favor they're going to come take them so your rosters get gutted your coaching staffs get gutted they've actually never had less of a shot to compete in the playoffs than they do now so that's not a lie the G 6 has 0.0 percent shot of winning a national title getting to the playoff well they're contractually obligated to get to the playoff they will they won't advance any further than that and even if there's one year where there's a freak upset that's it this is not basketball it's not the way this tournament works and lastly this was an interesting late submission here j vitt said it's a lie that conferences are required regionality is what we're missing in nostalgic about not conferences and I set there read that earlier today and I said wait a second I think he's saying how I feel better than I've said how I feel because once conferences stopped being regional they really lost their purpose so I was trying to envision a world where there are no conferences I mean the the the big 10 has a team in LA and New Jersey even the SEC which relatively speaking has maintained more of a regional footprint you're you're talking about going from Austin Texas to Columbia Missouri all the way over to Columbia South Carolina down to Gainesville again relative to the big 10 that's regional but the ACC's a joke the Atlantic coast conference has multiple teams on the Pacific coast so the the regionality of conferences doesn't exist anymore therefore I am forced to agree here what's the purpose of a conference if I'm all about regionality in college football they make them make them all go independent and then just let me the future commissioner of this sport handle scheduling I'll make it regional we'll bring regionality back really quick move on Jesse that was a 25 minute segment a lot of lies being told about the sport these days it's a shame it's a crying shame but we're here to call it out what would you do if I told you that we have had more traffic in the paid state store in the past five days then we had the entire year combined because that is a factual statement because we have dropped the don't tread on Saturday line and I have no idea how we're keeping things in stock other than Alex is really really good at what she does even I'm in on it Jesse and all I do is wear white t-shirts but even I threw on a don't tread on Saturday this morning those glasses are pretty nice too so got flags in there dropped a double-sided vertical flag just in the past few hours those flags are moving move I think every U.S. citizen may own one by September at this rate so we love this concept it's the name of our tour this year but it's it extends well beyond a tour name this is a way of life for people like us we just never put a name on it that's this fitting until now but the don't tread on Saturday lines there several more items coming this week what is the limit to the amount of don't tread on Saturday merchandise items we can put in the store the limit does not exist it does not exist paid state material.com is where you want to go hey this is Hayes Davenport and Sean Clements we host the podcast Hollywood handbook on the big money players network our show is extremely accessible to first-time listeners each week we talk to someone in show business aka the biz and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us everyone has a good time and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show we've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman not that great I actually can you help me can can you help me shape this yeah how about we flip it on his head no how about we flip this around okay how much the surprise one man who actually you think is the straight man is actually the one who's acting weird Adam Scott love this entire time you've been expecting Adam Sandler to come to visit the show I would never let go of that I have I would never set expectations for something like that sounds like if the universe allows for something like that to happen I am open to I'm always going to accept you know Danny McBride fine yeah it's all this fragile masculinity exuding I could smell it walking on the hallway to be honest with me I was like I was like exactly nope it's fragile masculinity yeah Ben stiller no because a lot of times in out of context people don't get it or even know what a circle is you know what I mean like you're going to work to save it everyone's so dumb and fake right fake
and also not interested or just like, "Oh, I've got my life, I don't care about your life." - And a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. - Oh, and by the way, Will Ferrell told us personally he loves the show and he wants to be a guest on every episode, but he's just so busy. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. - I'm Mungus, you together, and I'm back with a new season of the podcast Skyline Drive. This time, I'm diving into a rabbit hole of peptides, organoids, blood boys, blue zones, and brain replacement to try to understand what this longevity obsession is all about. And what it really means to live forever for all of us. 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I've been listening to a lot of stuff out of Tennessee. They scrimmaged on Saturday and we've had George McIntyre phase on brand and we've had a quarterback battle there. And you continue to hear just more and more buzz about phase on brand. And now that is a true freshman, highly touted, but a true freshman, I'm not sitting here saying that's the runaway favorite to win this job. It's just the guy I'm heavily leaning towards. I think a lot of people who follow Tennessee or leaning towards him. I'm not at the scrimmages. I have not been at one of these Tennessee practices or watch them scrimmage, but the people who I would trust who are around the program, every time they talk about him taking reps and they were talking about scrimmage reps the other day, it's just a little bit more rhythmic. Things feel like they flow just a little bit better. More big time throws baked in. And also if you think about his skill set, I would argue a scrimmage isn't even the best setting to showcase it. So my default is always on brand and on phase on brand it has been if it feels like they're even and they trust him to have a full enough grasp of the offense, he's gonna be a bigger time player in games than he is in practices because he gets to use his mobility. And so if it already feels like he's got the edge, that's the guy's circle is the one I expect to win this job. That's where I stand right now, second week of August. However, every August, every fall camp when they open, we have two or three teams across the country that we feel start to become like disproportionately snakebitten, whether it's injuries or whether it's guys just not there, Tennessee's kind of becoming one of those teams to me. So Chaz Coleman, that's long since been documentary, comes to Tennessee by way of Penn State, but he's never gonna play it down 'cause he just doesn't wanna play there. So then, Aryan Carter, the linebacker, one of the big time players for them on defense, he gets suspended, he's gonna be out for two games then he'll return, Judge Richard, the corner, he's out for the year, now for Rook, starting safety just goes down. I think in the scrimmage, right, Jesse? He goes down in the scrimmage. Ethan Davis, the tight end, still hadn't practiced. Harmon, a linebacker earlier, lost him for the year. So you can't bubble rat people. You gotta practice, you gotta hit, you gotta tackle. You've gotta work on this sort of thing. Eventually, the law of average is, tends to go disproportionately against someone every August, and this is not insurmountable for Tennessee, it's just it hasn't been a great August for him. They, on both lines of the scrimmage, I think, need some honesty here. If we're talking about Tennessee, line of scrimmage, we gotta be honest, 'cause there's good and there's question mark. The good is, that offensive line will be very solid. If they stay healthy there, there's seven, eight, nine guys, they think they can win with. And if you combine that with what they'll have in the backfield with Dishon Bishop, and Gordon from Tulane who transferred in there, he's a guy who looks really good. It sort of starts to crystallize. I think what their identity should be, which may be a blessing in disguise, it's not like Hyples learning about his team, like he knows his team, but sometimes in fall camp, you can have false hope that this'll happen, or that'll happen. This guy'll come along, that guy'll come along. And with Tennessee, there's no mystery how they're gonna have to win this year. It's gonna have to be O-line, it's gonna have to be Bishop, who was a thousand yard rusher last year, at least be that again this year. And they need to shorten games, they need to limit possessions on the other side. That's kind of the style of game that Tennessee needs this year. So, I kind of view things differently right now. People are looking at quarterback competition thinking, oh, there's so much up in the air, which is true. But I think a lot of this, I mean, if you talk about, you lost Brazil, you got a couple of wide receivers, like a solid one, too. It's not the deepest wide receiver room in the country. There's no big time impact tied in here. It just crystallizes what you have to be about. That's not always a bad thing, man. When you understand who you are early, that's not the worst thing in the world, but on the defensive line. That's kind of the flip side of this, 'cause it feels like it's really a work in progress. Devon Hobbes, okay, good. Dave, you're good. Pass that. There's talent there, it's just improving. A little bit more raw. They gotta have production at the defense of InSpot. And that's kind of what Fall Camp is about. And so ultimately, they'll get in the season. We'll start to answer that. But I'm just interested to see how committed they are to just that being the offensive approach this year. Quick reminder, I haven't actually talked about this in three shows 'cause I keep forgetting. So you remember when we were on the drive to 500,000 subs, Jesse, it feels like a long time ago. I guess that puts us on the drive to a million right now. You don't want you to get past 500, just go to a million. Quick reminder for those of you watching this show, many of you are subscribed to the channel already. Ignore the next 10 seconds. Just wanna let a lot of you know who are coming to the show for the first time, who are checking back in, 'cause college football season is almost here. Subscribing to the YouTube channel in the podcast helps us greatly in many different ways. A lot of times when people ask me to subscribe to stuff I don't, 'cause it calls money and it signs me up for stuff and my email inbox gets filled. I just wanna remind you, this does none of that. Subscribing on YouTube in the podcast feed, it is free forever and it doesn't sign you up for anything. There's no form you fill out, there's no registration. It's just you click a button and you're done. So it's nothing for you, it just helps us. So please do that and then tell what would, at least five of your friends, five's a good number. Good, good, odd prime number there. We appreciate it though, a lot of you already have and you continue to do so, we appreciate it. Back to camp scoop. Another quarterback battle happening. I would say the highest profile quarterback battle in the country right now happened in Alabama. Now as is the case with quarterback battles, usually there's two guys involved. There are two guys involved here. The worst part about quarterback battles is when they're dead even, someone's gotta run their mouth and say so and so is gonna win this job and it isn't even close. and unfortunately someone will lie about this
quarterback battle and end up being right. There's someone out there saying Keelan Russell's, by a mile, he's taking this job, it's not even close. Guys, I promise it's close, I vow to you, it's close. And if Keelan Russell ends up winning this job, he will not win it because he actually already had it in the bag in mid August. He'll win it because he ended up doing things after mid August that won him the job. It's very, very much up in the air. There are shades of gray here. There is no definitive one way or the other. Keelan Russell's a stud in spring. He was my pick to win this job. Ultimately, I think I fall in the same category even now. Whether Austin Mac ends up taking the first nap against ECU week one or not, I just want to remind you, highlights are not film. So highlight culture is the kind of mentality where if you were to go watch these two dudes practice, you would see Keelan Russell do some things. No one else can do because athletically he's that gifted. That's not film. That's not an e-vow. An e-vow is you take the best, the highlights, you also bake in the worst. And if there's a guy who's steady as you go and he's more poised, play in to play out, and he's a better communicator and a staff trust him more and he's more knowledgeable of the system, he's starting 10 times out of 10 over the dude who goes, wow, play, wow, play disaster, wow, disaster, wow, disaster. I'm not telling you Keelan Russell has been that per se. I'm telling you the default that I've entered fall camp at is I think they trust Austin Mac more because he's been in their system several more years. I think Keelan Russell's ceiling is higher. It may be higher than anyone else in the country, but it doesn't matter if he doesn't fulfill on the potential, that's what fall camps about. So that's what we're on the quarterback battle right now, but I will maintain my stance with Alabama. That is not my biggest focus. I think both of them can win. I think both of them are really good players and have the potential, especially in Russell's case to be a great player, whether that's in year one or not of him starting remains to be seen. But if they're not good on the offensive line, if they can't run the ball, it's all a moot point. Anyway, Bama's not going to do all that much, which brings me to my next question. How good are they going to be on offensive line? And I'm really conflicted here because I've talked to a few people who've watched Alabama practice this fall. People I trust, football people now, not media folks, football people. In some cases, people who have played that position. And they've had really good things to say about the offensive line. You know, things like, wow, it's a lot better than I thought it would be. The vibes night and day different with Adrian Clem, who's the new offensive line coach there. Also, another familiar refrain is their way ahead of where I thought they would be. Okay. So I take that. I listen to reports from their scrimmage this past Thursday, and it sounds really hit and miss. It sounds really up and down. And then I compare that to the news at the running back position, where AKD or who sounded like he had probably been the best in camp so far at that position is out for an extended period of time. I think Pete Neko said six weeks or so. And look, that's just to get someone back. You don't know if you're getting 100% of them, Xavier Crollell, the five star true freshman, expect big things, but he hadn't practiced much. There's been injury there. So, you know, availability, especially with a true freshman, doubly, especially if you're trying to learn things like, I don't know, pass pro stuff like that, because you're going to have a new quarterback back there. That's concerning to me, not the end of the world, but concerning to me, which just means it falls on Daniel Hill, Kevin Riley, Tracey on Browns, a kid we talked about in spring. I went down there and watched him in spring. And within five minutes of me being in the building, a couple of staffers had already mentioned Tracey on Brown, who was a three star tail back. They took it the last minute, who I think was like a Boise commit or something like that. So, it was a real surprise to people that he came in and immediately boom. He better be like, especially early on, he's probably going to need to play for them. So anyway, that's my focus, not the quarterback situation. I do start imagining sort of how the season could play out and without Obama, I'll start asking myself, let's say first, first third to first half of the season. Could we be looking at a situation cause this seems kind of realistic and could we be looking at a situation where offense just needs time. You just got to buy them time eventually, they'll be good, but we can tell week two, week three, week four is still, it's a low-herky jerky, it's not all, it's not all flowing like we want it to yet. If that's the case, do they have the kind of defense they can buy their offense time? Schedule sets up well for that cause the back half of their schedule is a lot tougher than the front half, but having said that, I saw that floor to state game last year. So, if you told me BAM is going to be in a dog fight, it can tuck yearly in the year. Oh, wouldn't be surprised by that, wouldn't be surprised at all. So if they have to go up there and win a game, 21-16 or something like that, can this defense do it? Enter, Devin Tompkins, Enter Terence, Green, London, Simmons looks good, Ezra Kill. This is a really good, really deep defensive front. Matches up perfectly what we talked about in spring. Same at DB, they got one of the best defensive back rooms, plural in the country. Linebacker, I'd probably be a little more out on, but is this the kind of defense that can do that? Maybe, it may be, that's the big question to me with them. One room, I think, moving on from Bami here, but with huge variance for them is Y receiver. I don't know what to expect there. Ryan Coleman Williams has had great reviews in fall camp so far. So like, if he's the best version of himself, he's a superstar. It's got to be a lot better than it was last year, but if he's the best version of himself, that's a total game changing fact in the SEC, not just in Alabama, lots of your books. If he's healthy, he could be a really, really big difference maker. Rico Scott still hasn't had a breakout year. Theoretically, it's there for him, Meadows said Morgan's a true freshman. I could see that surprising someone and being a top three receiver room in the league. I could see it not being top half of the league. Anything and everything is in play for that receiver room. Lower Rogers was a big time transfer from NC State, shined for him in spring, got hurt. We think he'll be back at some point so that receiver room still very much up in the air for me. They're watching us in Dallas, Texas. Albany, Georgia is tuned in Seattle, Washington is tuned in. Thank you guys so much. I wanted to work my way around a little bit here on fall camp and then I've got a lot in the way of hot seats. It brings me, I wish everybody could win 11 games a year, but they can't. A lot more fall camp until here. So Alex Gold is first year at Auburn. One thing I do think I know about Auburn, post Jackson Arnold era, is at quarterback's going to be upgraded. You can talk all you want to about release points with Byron Brown, whatever. I think it sounds like he had a fairly solid day Saturday. They scrimmaged down there, ups and downs. I don't ever know a first scrimmage that hasn't had ups and downs at any position. Much less quarterback. I'm gonna play some sound from goalish here and then I'll kind of circle back, but this, if you were to predict what Alex Gold is just press conference was going to sound like after Auburn's first scrimmage, even six months ago, this is probably what you would have expected it to sound like. We need a bunch of work, pre-snap, we need a bunch of crowd noise work. I told the entire team, coaches, everybody, humble the heck out of yourselves here, coach, take the coaching. I would walk out and say, overall, a sloppy day on both sides. Make an excuse and say, man, first scrimmage, first time really, we didn't look like a veteran team. We look like a team that has highs and lows and is emotional and rides with that, which is the complete opposite of what we want. Yeah. Pretty predictable there. Chaz Nimrod, amongst all those USF players they brought in at wide receiver, sounds like he's maybe stood out a little bit. Cody Siggler at defensive tackle. Sounds like he had a good scrimmage transfer from Arkansas state, but both of these lines of scrimmage are totally rebuilt. It's gonna be a lot up in the air. In Auburn, I mean, they play Baylor week one in Atlanta, week two, I forget. I know week three. They got Florida. So Southern Miss week two, all due respect, all due respect. It look anything and everything is in play for them this year, big time wild card team in Oklahoma, kind of a less of a wild card team. They're coming off a playoff appearance last year. Look, it's very clear. It has been very clear, Isaiah Satania is wide receiver one. Next time, Trell Harris, really important player, he's a Virginia transfer and it sounds like he's embraced that role in that receiver room. It's always about wide receiver one and then everything kind of fitting in. The tumblers fallen into place downstream of wide receiver one, PJ at a borough, five sacks and three years. We've talked about him a lot, Oklahoma fans have talked about him a lot. This is the quintessential golden opportunity, but sort of put up or shut up opportunity. That's the number 10 overall prospect. What three cycles? Like a four cycles ago, I guess now, so 2023 and it's, you've had this kind of guy on your team before. If you're a fan of a top 20 program, you've watched high four or five star guys come in and you think you think they're going to be great.
to be true freshmen, all Americans, but whatever. Okay, well then it'll happen next year. And you know, not yet, but trust me, all the potential in the world will happen next year. Well eventually you run out of next years. So P.J. Atabara is that player for Oklahoma this year, but here's the thing, unlike sometimes, this is not a situation where he's got to be the guy calls, they don't really have anything else. It's him, but then that would happen in conjunction with Taylor Wein still being there. He got Stone and Jackson, the defensive tackle. It could be a hellacious front. Should be anyway. This could just contribute more to that. So just some things I'm watching, just some things we're watching with Oklahoma's, could be a really good team. Could be a really good team. Some other quick notes here, just down the road, Saturday, Vandy scrimmaged. Now the universal consensus is Vandy just got to drop off because Diego Pavi is not there anymore. Jared Curtis comes in, five star quarterback had been committed to George of Vandy got him and he's been in a quarterback competition with Burlewitz. It sounds like he had his best practice so far when they scrimmaged yesterday. I expect that to be his job. And if I hear anything else, I'll let you know. But it sounds like that's gonna be his job. I, for the record, am not a blind believer that things just have to drop off for Vanderbilt this year. That doesn't necessarily equal a prediction because we're not predicting tonight. We're just doing camp scoop tonight. I don't think that things have to fall off a cliff for Vandy this year. And South Carolina, this was the injury update that I was talking about earlier today. I mean, what, that's in the last two hours. Don't like this. Don't like this. So David Cloninger just tweeted this out. Bad news for South Carolina as the last open practice is about to commence. Jaden Gibson and Jaden Sellers are each out for the season, lower body injuries for each. Those are two receivers. And one of the million dollar questions for South Carolina is behind Nick Harbor. What are they gonna have at receiver? Well, the answer is a lot thinner depth chart at the very least. So it sucks because the feedback that we had started to hear from South Carolina scrimmaged yesterday was great for the offense, which as our boy, JC Sherbert pointed out, is never the headline. JC Sherbert has practice, has scrimmaging tell from the 1830s in his journal. And he goes all the way back. It says, I don't ever remember the offense winning. One of the first false scrimmaged situations for South Carolina and they did. And it probably has a lot to do with Kendall Browse coming in there. New system, the theory is Lennora Sellers fits a lot better in that system. Sounds like it was good day. Sounds like it was a great day. We can't have wide receivers continuing to drop though. So keep an eye on that. And then Texas, there was some video that circulated of archmaning, presumably throwing some picks yesterday, Jesse, which means arch is washed. And Texas is an eight and four team this year. The internet is the source there, not me. Defensive line, depth and talent. Sounds like it's shined again in the scrimmage. I mean, Alex January and Maraud Watson. We're two names that popped. And yet if I were to ask you about Texas's defensive front, those wouldn't be some of the first three or four names out of your mouth. So the depth they have, there's pretty insane. I will say this about archmaning because I want to be reasonable. I expect him to have a big year. The hype that you would feel about arch right now probably has not come from practice reports or scrimmage intel. I'll put it that way. Doesn't mean he's had a bad August so far. But it hasn't been like we've had our ear to the ground. And all the Texas sources have been saying, oh, arch has been unstoppable. Hadn't been anything like that. So the expectations probably more 50,000 foot than ground level, but I'm not coming off of it. Also, Jesse, did I see Relique Brown and Hollywood Smothers on the field at the same time? Yeah, I think I did. Interesting. You go get two big time tail backs in the portal. Just put both of them on the field. It is legal, after all. Let's roll on. We still got a lot of show left. The hot seat. The hot seat is not a fun topic, but it's a necessary topic, especially every August, as we set expectations, as we try and figure out what is what in the world of hot seat rumors and the general consensus out there. So let's run through this. All right, I'm going to go on the record here. These are my personal feelings on where these situations stand. Start with the obvious. Mike Novel at Florida State, significant hot seat alert. Don't think there needs to be a whole lot of talk on this. The end of last year was the cap on a pretty bad season. We've had back-to-back seasons of 2 in 10 and in 5 in 7. And this is two years. Three years now removed from a 13 in one year, but it starts to look like the outlier. What it starts to look like is Florida State just happened to be a little ahead of the curve on the portal. But now that everyone does the portal, they have no other answers. They could throw a 91 mile an hour fastball, and you didn't expect it, but now you expect it. Oh, and they don't have secondary or tertiary pitches, and they're just getting lit up. So yes, if there's no answer there, I think it's pretty obvious what happens. Next up is Lincoln Riley at USC. I think we would call this moderate hot seat alert. The difference between USC and FSU is there's legitimate buzz they can make the playoff at USC. And it's not that normal. We're going to say that about this team because of the logo and what happened 20 years ago, although some of the public would still disagree with that sentiment. No, I think there is legitimate outside potential of USC making the playoff this year. And because the potential still there, people haven't sold Lincoln Riley down the river. Like there is a scenario where three years from now, Lincoln's made the playoff three years in a row, completely turned USC around and they're humming. I don't think people feel that potential with Mike Norvella at FSU, for example, having said that if they don't make the playoff this year, he's probably out. So yes, it's moderate. Yes, it could swing in an instant. Yes, if they lose to Oregon and then even lose one of Washington state or Penn State, and they're already a two-loss team by mid-October. Jesse and they still know they got to go to Wisconsin. They got Ohio State coming up and they got to go to Indiana. I think we all understand what the math is there. So I'd call it moderate hot seat alert for Lincoln Riley. Luke Fickle, would you say moderate to severe Jesse? Okay, I think that'd be a fair way to start the year. They went five and seven in 2024. In fact, every year he's been there, it's gotten worse. So seven and six, five and seven, four and eight. That's kind of a lazy way to look at it because you've also got to bake in that quarterback injury situation's been a disaster here. So they really haven't been able to play much with the guy they brought in, and then you add onto that. The fact that Luke Fickle, if he had it to do over again, probably hires differently offensively from the outset, but that's in the past. That's neither here nor there. It's there, but it's not here. So I actually think they're going to be okay this year. So I don't think this is going to be the conversation at the end of the year. I think Wisconsin could be a surprise team in the big 10. Not to contend, but still you get my point. You look out September 26, Jesse. It's not a layup. It's not a give me. I say that seriously, like we've discussed that game. We haven't, but I know how you feel. I know how hashtag you people feel about that game in state college. So look, Fickle. Yes, moderate to severe because if I'm wrong about this, and they're like six and six again this year, yes, they make a move. Yes, Jason X probably still rolling out at New Mexico. Yes, everyone thinks that that's a simple plug and play. Who knows, maybe it is, but I'd say moderate to severe right now. You don't get to have three consecutive losing seasons at Wisconsin. Dave Aranda, 1000% severe, significant hot seat alert, probably not there now. If there's not a shake up in the administration last year at the athletic director position, but whatever. I remember 2021, Dave Aranda. I remember classic big 12 championship game against Oklahoma State, Dave Aranda. And then six wins and then three wins and then eight wins and then five wins and then question mark. And if it starts poorly and it could, they play Auburn, they're over a touchdown underdog in week one. It probably doesn't get a whole lot better. And so if you're trying to find the job that opens early, if it goes sideways early for Dave Aranda, that's probably one of the jobs. And I will, I'll say this. Some of the feedback in the coaching market about how the Baylor job is viewed. A little bit more complimentary than maybe how the general public would view the Baylor job. Next up, Mike Loxley at Maryland, significant hot seat alert, significant in a sense that they peaked in 2022 and 2023. A pair of seven wins in the regular season. They won the bowl game. So a pair of eight wins seasons back to back. Things were looking up and then four wins in 2024, four wins in 2025. They just lost their star edge player for the season. Got a good quarterback in Malig Washington, but the over underwent totals five and a half here. If they go over, if they're six and six, is that good enough? Do you think it's good enough? I don't know. So I just, you can sense the general unrest up there. And so I would say significant for Mike Loxley. What about Shane Beamer at South Carolina?
I'm trying to tell you what I think the market is saying, not what I'm saying. Like I've long since spoken my piece on this. I think if you are one year removed from borderline making the playoffs at South Carolina, I'm not speaking this way about you yet, but I do understand four and eight shakes everyone back to earth really, really quickly, which is what happened last year. So I've got to say moderate to significant for Shane Beemer when it comes to the hot sea alert. Again, not my personal field, but whatever. I don't make the decisions over there. I guess here, one of the other differences is, there is some thinking that South Carolina may have a sneaky roster. There is some thinking that South Carolina could be a sneaky contender. Give me their schedule right quick. I had to do this with Marlor the other day, who I allowed to social media peer pressure me into appearing on his show. I tell you what he did. This Joker tweets out a schedule for his podcast, and he's got Beemer on there. He's got a list of laying on there. I can't remember who else. And then he just announced that I was going to be on there before I had agreed to do it. So then I'm the bad guy if I don't go on to Chris Marlor, man, just a minute, just a total miscreant. Good friend of the program though. So he puts the schedule up the other day. He was asking, what do you think the magic number is? Like, what do you think their ceiling is? Is really what he asked me. So I said, all right, in a ceiling kind of year for South Carolina, they're going to be Kent, they're going to be Towson. They're going to be Mississippi State. They're going to be Kentucky. So that's four wins, all right? Then I looked at the other seven games or eight games. Ad Alabama, at Florida, Tennessee, Ad Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Ad Arkansas, Georgia, at Clemson. I think I gave them ceiling-wise five more out of those games. So like nine would be a ceiling year. You could even count Arkansas as part of the first four. So like they are part of the first three in Kentucky. So they kind of start with five wins. Can they win three or four more games? That's a ceiling year. The question is, what's the average year? What's the most normal outcome here? And what if it's seven and five? Is that good enough? I have no idea. Because again, this is not my personal thinking on Beamer to begin with. Now, one situation that's a lot clearer to me is North Carolina. Bill Belichack, significant disaster, actually. It's a significant disaster. So this is soon to be, you know, pusher-broomed on out and then the North Carolina job opens up, not much to say here. It's a move that never should have happened. It's a joke of a coaching search in the way it was handled. You very well could have had John Summerall there who could very well be entering year two with Daryen Mensa as it's starting quarterback, who instead is at Miami right now. But you know what, if you can start the 33rd NFL team, why would you wanna go with Summerall and Mensa? Anyway, I think mistakes were made, mistakes have been realized. There's not much more to say here. There's probably gonna be a change in Chapel Hill. Some other names that are in no shape former fashion on the hot seat and everything I'm about to say is insane. However, I can't ignore what I hear. We live in a different world. The college football world we live in now, where you're allowed to go spend $40, $45 million on a roster is different than the one we used to live in. In a sense that everything about goodwill and equity is burned. And now it's if we gave you what it took to put together a championship roster, you've either gotta win a championship or you gotta come really close to winning one. Which is why I wonder how it could turn out at Texas if they go nine and three. And they play the toughest schedule in the country, so that's not insane at all. The conversation could get so warped on Steve Sarkisian. It doesn't matter how little sense it makes. Forget about logic. Forget about the way that you've learned this sport and how it works forever. I'm telling you it works different in 2026. I'm telling you this applies to Joy McGuire at Texas Tech. Same thing. That's a phenomenal. Well, there's been a lot of off the field stuff. And so they've kind of taken on the heel persona. But in terms of quality product on the field, second to none in their conference right now, they've put themselves on the map. So like culture's great. Like everything about it, you would think is humming. That's one, 10 and two, nine and three missing the playoffs away from an insane conversation happening. And then there's the dabbo, swiney piece of Clemson. And honestly, I have no idea how that would go. That is its own planet. That hot seat conversation if it got to that with dabbo, if they had another support year, would be its own planet. I have no idea. Dabbo, swiney is like one of one in terms of the current landscape of existing head coaches and how it would be handled if it started to go downhill. Quick reminder, a lot of you watching live. I appreciate it. You know, tomorrow, tomorrow's a pretty big day, Jesse. It's Monday, firstly. Trash day for some of you, maybe big meetings for some of you. But you know what we're doing here around midday is I'm going to show up on a Monday and I am going to react to the A people because it's dropping, I guess about 11 a.m. here in Nashville. And I'm going to do it because Ram allows us to do it. Ram is on the bottom of our screen right now. It gets, it chills, Jesse. Chills when the Ram just drives right by. I look for Dorothy in the back, not there. Maybe we can make adjustments on the graphic. But Ram is proudly partnering our AP reaction segments every week. These were really fun last year. Now, should I let people know that the AP invited us to vote in the AP poll this year and I turned it down? I won't let them know. Okay, I'm not going to let you know that. But what I will say is we had a ton of fun with this last year. And it's fun to be on the outside looking in. And it's fun to look at the AP, have nothing to do with it. Therefore, be free to totally speak our minds about it. Because as we know, the early season versions of the AP can be full on brought to you by Ram in a real sense. But in a more fictitious sense, just brought to you by drugs. And so who knows what they're going to offer up. But we will be here to react to it tomorrow. So check the YouTube channel, check the pod, be Mitch. We're going to upload this as a pod. Yeah, why not? Well, we'll react to it tomorrow. Hey, this is Ace Davenport and Sean Clements. We host the podcast Hollywood handbook on the big money players network. Our show is extremely accessible to first time listeners. Each week, we talk to someone in show business, aka the biz and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. Everyone has a good time and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show. We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman, not that great. But actually, can you help me, can you, can you help me shape this? Yeah. How about we flip it on his head? No. How about we flip this around? Okay. How? What is the surprise one then? Well, actually, you think is the straight man is actually the one who's acting weird. Adam Scott. Love this entire time you've been expecting Adam Sandler to come to visit the show. I would never let go of that. I have. I would never set expectations for something like that. It seems like if the universe allows for something like that to happen, I am open to it. I'm always going to accept, you know, Danny McBride. Fine. Yeah. It's all this fragile masculinity exuding. I could smell it walking on the hallway to be honest with you. I was like, is that what I was like, is that what you need? Nope. It's fragile masculinity. Ben stiller. No. I think there's a lot of times in out of context, people don't get it or even know what a circle is. You know what I mean? You're like, I go, it's so stupid. Everyone's so dumb. And fake right fake and and also not interested or just like, Oh, I've got my life. I don't care about your life. And a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. Oh, and by the way, Will Ferrell told us personally he loves the show and he wants to be a guest on every episode, but he's just so busy. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the I Heart Radio app Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm mungushy together and I'm back with a new season of the podcast Skyline Drive. This time, I'm diving into a rabbit hole of peptides, organoids, blood boys, blue zones and brain replacement to try to understand what this longevity obsession is all about. I can make a brain for you. And then we can test what draw is the best for your brain, as opposed to his brain. Here's some hard truths. I would expect Indians to age faster, but I did not expect it to be almost a 4 to 5 year acceleration. And get myself into a world of trouble. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make you look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, how to live forever on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Nancy Glass, host of the "Birden of Guild" season 3 podcast. It started more than seven years ago when Cindy and Kenny were two 40-somethings who had just gotten engaged. This later, they walked into a scorched earth war they never saw coming.
prize, her fiance Kenny was charged with abusing one of her children. "I never once doubted Kenny, and I always doubted the accusation." On season three of Birdon of Guilt, you'll hear a story about the length someone will go to in order to get what they want. "This case has got to be one of the most despicable." Listen to season three of Birdon of Guilt on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. "Our town is small taters by most standards, right? But to the people who grew up here, it's everything." What happens when a quiet Tennessee town becomes the front line in a battle over the future of America? Developers with right-wing ties have purchased hundreds of acres of land in the area. "The first thing you see when it pops up is high nears and apple at you." But they weren't just planning houses. "We need cities on a shining hill that exemplify and embody the Christian way of life. Stop right there. Is that normal?" A podcast about what happens when a small town becomes the site of a social experiment. "God need men to rule great!" and decides to fight back. "Do not use my hard work to sell your bull***." "They're not just opposing what's being planned for here." "Our hometown is not a test too." "They feel like they're standing in opposition to an entire administration." "Guess you didn't move in on a bunch of dumb hillbillies now, did you?" Listen to our town on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, back to the hearing now. We had a question about Lane Kiffin. Paul, down in Louisiana, said "What's more likely in five years? Lane has won a national title at LSU, or Lane is no longer at LSU. I'm going to pause. This answer is easy to me. I want to know what you think about this. So I'm giving you the five seconds, play the jeopardy music in the background. No, we don't have licensing to it. Okay, just pretend you hear the jeopardy music. It's already been five seconds anyway. More likely, Lane has won a national title by 2031. Lane's not at LSU. In 2031, Jesse, maybe he's won a title and he's not there. In 2031, but Paul did not list that as a possibility. It's far more likely he's won a title in 2031. The people agree with me on this, is this something I'm out on an island on? Like, I understand everyone wants to paint Lane as this like a iningmatic, volatile, actually, he's all these things. But I think it's far more likely that he's won a title. And I want to remind everyone for people who think, oh, in Lane Kiffin years, five years is like 50 years. He was at Ole Miss longer than five years. He was there for six years. And unlike his stay in Oxford, there's no other place he'd be going from LSU. He's not leaving LSU for anywhere voluntarily. So I guess what we're asking is, is it more than likely that he wins a title or that he gets fired? And I'm never going to say never on Lane every day's a new headline. I'm not saying that. I'm just saying, I think it far more likely be winning a title than be out of here. So he's 51 years old. And age is all relative here. He's 51. He operates his 30 years old. And that's not even a joke. Like, that sounds like it's taken a shot. Although I don't think that's a shot to him. It's a compliment to him. I mean it in terms of adaptability. A lot of times when you get older, one of the biggest self-owns you do is you kind of imprison yourself into one way of thinking. But Lane did the opposite at Ole Miss. Like remember how when the portal started to really take shape, he fully embraced it. At Ole Miss, and as a result, they won. They did things there they've never done before. Why? Because they were able to put a big-time roster on the field. How? Because they portaled guys in. And he even looked at it and said, I don't like this, but it doesn't matter what I like. It's the way we got to do it. That's adaptability. So I don't really care how old he is. Not that he's old anyway. But age is not going to be a factor here. Certainly resources aren't going to be a factor. Think about the position he's in. He's in the position now where he could do it however he wants. He could put the roster together however he wants. If they want to lean fully and recruiting, they can and spend 40 plus million a year. If they want to lean hard on the portal, I wouldn't recommend it, but they can. Or the far more likely path, blend both of them, and just go get the best players in the country that you can possibly get no matter where they are, and how you got to go get them, they're going to be able to do that. Every single cycle. So to me, one of the questions I wonder about is they got a really good staff down there. Blake Baker won't beat your DC very much longer because he'll probably get a head coaching job. He is an American hero after all. So after him, maybe after Charlie Weiss moves on. If they do, like how does the staffing cycle work? Landings had to deal with this. At Oregon, it does lane at LSU. Start pumping out future head quote. Jesse, do we ever utter the words the lane kiffin coaching tree? Do we start to say that in the next five years? No. No, I'm not saying what you just said in my ear on air. And I'm making people think you said something a lot worse than what you actually said by saying that. I guess I wonder about staffing. I don't know, but I will say this. Neither of these scenarios would mildly shot me. So even after all that, I gave you a solid answer. Yes, I think he's more likely to win a title than he is to not be there. My stance in life is that I refuse to let anything that happens with lane kiffin even mildly shot me. You could wake up tomorrow and put whatever you wanted to on an ESPN breaking headline on the home screen of my eye Josh. And I would say, Lane bought twin Siberian tigers. Oh, oh, cool lane kiffin. One back to back to back national titles. Oh, lane kiffin is not an LSU anymore. Oh, that's it. I will not be worked up. I will not be taken by surprise. Moving on. You know, we're going to this is not an official announcement. Mind you, the official announcement will come next week. But I'm just going to leak something that I think I already leaked earlier. We're going to be at LSU in week one. But mind you, that's not an official announcement because we have another way that we need to officially announce that. So we're going to be an LSU in week one. Anyway, you could be there too because Seat Geek will allow you to do such things. It's going to be a big ticket. That's the biggest game in week one. Clubs in at LSU. I know a lot of you want to be able to say that you and the kiddos or whoever it is you roll with were there for lane kiffin's first game. You know, when he's winning a national title down the road, you want to look back and say you were there from the beginning. You could get there and you could get there a lot cheaper. If you buy your tickets through Seat Geek and right there when you're checking out, when it asks you for the promo code, put in paid 10 PAT E10. That will get you 10% off all orders up to $200. That will get you $20 off any order above $200. Either way, it's a guarantee that we're saving you money. And if you're going to a college football game, the game will take care of the rest. Let's move on. I released the JP poll the other night or scratch that. The model released the JP poll the other night, which is not a ranking. It's a power rating. If you don't know the difference, go listen to me on previous shows. This is just meant to show neutral field favorability. It's not the fan dual numbers, but it's kind of trying to do the same thing the fan dual traders do, which is have a set of power ratings, which really boil every team down to a number. And then the difference between those two teams numbers is what the point spread would be according to the model if they played on a neutral field. It's predictive in nature obviously. And obviously, the general public loses its collective mind every time I put the JP poll on. So I thought that we would circle back around here. It's been out for 72 hours now and feedback is rolled in. It death tax is an SEC bias. The first bit of feedback is, wow, holy SEC biased, even Vegas is screwed up. Tennessee and Missouri both stink. How is Alabama in the top 10? Those aren't the questions to ask, Jesse. I just yell at you because you're there. If if the model has SEC bias baked into it, but the model applies its criteria evenly and blindly across the board, why does it allow Ohio state to enter number one and Oregon to be three and Notre Dame to be four and Indiana to be five? For that matter, why does it have SEC member institution Texas lower than the general public does? If this thing has SEC bias baked into it, it is broken. Now, I think the model is screwed up, nine ways from Sunday on some of the teams here, but it's not because of SEC bias. I would ask if the criteria is equally applied and it pumped out Ohio state one, Oregon three, Notre Dame four, Indiana five, what must those factors be? It's almost like it's a blind rating of probably a lot of pre-season talent because you don't have anything else to go on. And if you believe that it's wrong, you can't bet my numbers. You could bet Fandals numbers. So I mean, if you think SEC bias is baked in, we'll go bet against all the SEC teams and make a lot of money. It would be my advice to you. Someone had a really big issue with Florida. Florida.
22 there. Daniels at Florida rated in the preseason again. Hey, I've lived this life with you, Daniel. I've bought into Florida. I've watched the JP poll power rate them top 25 and agreed with it recently and been burned. I understand. I don't have to be smoking a sig with Ben Affleck out back to understand that feeling. I get it. We all get it. But here's the problem. They've got a lot of talent. That's the problem. And so if that is the crux of what's baked into a lot of these predictive power rating models, it's not going to have Florida outside the top 25. It's just not. And again, if you believe they're overrated, you need to go back against them free money after all. Next up, I mean, this one totally came out of left field. This may fall on me, Jesse. Maybe I haven't done a good enough job of explaining this, even though we all know I have for five years. Greg said no team should be top 10 of anything if their strength of schedule is not in the top 30. That's not how it works. That's not how any of this works. The model doesn't even know what your schedule is for this year. Power ratings do not equal rankings rankings. If you want to get to the end of the year, Greg and then punish Notre Dame because they went 11 and one, but the only game they played against the top 10 opponent, they lost in by double digits and you want to keep them out of the playoff fine. But that's not how this works to walk it through to a radical logical conclusion. Here's how it works, Greg. If I took the Seahawks, if I took the Rams and I were to bring them down here and play Miami of Ohio schedule, they'd play a very soft schedule and they'd go 12 and 0 and splatter everyone in the process. You're telling me that if we were to go neutral field favorability and let's say Seattle makes the playoffs and they're going to play Texas A&M first round. You're telling me A&M needs to be favored because A&M would be in the top 10 of the power rating. Seattle can't be in there though because they didn't have a strength of schedule. What are we talking about? That may be just a fundamental misunderstanding. That may be just a complete misunderstanding of how this works. We're trying to comparatively rate teams in a vacuum. Schedule has nothing to do with this. This is way different than a playoff resume. Next up, the Clemson factor. The headball coach, I think this really may have been Steve Spurrier, actually. He said, "I'm ready for someone to give a proper explanation on Clemson." Well, I can't because I don't get it either. But the model is picking up on something with Clemson. They put him number 20. It's very possible they're overrated. It's very possible, but I did want to offer this small word of warning. If you look at where LSU is, they're ninth. If you look at where Clemson is, they are 20th. I'll go ahead and tell you there's about somewhere between like a 10 and 1/2 and 11 point gap between LSU and Clemson. If you bake in home field advantage because those teams will play at LSU in week one, it adds up to about 14. I'm just going to warn you, if LSU beats Clemson by 13 or 14 points in week one, the model's not doing anything with either of them because that would be validation in the model's mind and it has one, that it's dead on the money. Now, if LSU wins 38 to 10, that's when we dunk on the model, which we do, gladly, when we can. Sometimes the model's ahead of the curve. Like it thinks it's ahead of the curve with Illinois being at 23. Even though Fandall hit us up and said, "Hey, you realize Washington at 25 would be a seven point favorite neutral field against Illinois, right?" at 23. I'm like, I know, don't tell me, tell the model. Anyway, next up, we take a time out from SEC bias to acknowledge Kyle who is saying that it is biased against Oklahoma. He said, it's so bad. USC ahead of OU and any type of pole is ridiculous. We got a lot of this. We got a ton of folks that said, if OU played USC on a neutral field, it wouldn't even be close. It'd be seven plus points. No, it would not. I will grant you, Kyle, that I thought the model was a little low on OU at 14. I'd probably have OU, like 11th or 10th, but that's like one and three quarters points different. We had what we have, Jesse. We had USC and OU back-to-back, right? The model has a 0.2 point gap between USC and Oklahoma, meaning, if it set a line on the game, if USC opened with Oklahoma in Dallas, neutral field, the line would be a pick-em according to the model. We hit up Fandall. We said, how crazy is that? Pretend the game happens in week one. You guys really have to put a number on it. What would the number be? They said USC minus one and a half, or they said OU minus one and a half. So OU would be a very, very short favorite against USC if they played in week one. It's not a grigis at all. Just because you hate Lincoln Riley doesn't mean that we have to bake it into the model. That is bias. The model theoretically is not. So that was just some of the feedback we got on the JP poll. SMU, by the way, not top 25 JP poll. And I'm doing this for Retlashley. So I mean, Retlashley is hardcore against pre-season strength of schedule, pre-season ratings, pre-season, all that. Imagine when he wakes up tomorrow or, oh, man, God forbid he goes to bed tonight. And this is the last thing he finds out that the predictive models out there did not have his SMU Mustangs pre-season top 25. And he's got 12 weeks to prove it wrong, Jesse. 12 weeks to prove it wrong. I just hope Retlashley does not take his anger out on the model against someone else. That would be a shame if that were to happen. Let's move along. Got a couple more things to get to here. Long show, but a necessary show tonight. James from Westerville, Ohio said, Hey, is this new ESPN show with you and the bus and guys going to be another version of Game Day? Good question. No, it is not. College Game Day is an incredible product that is aired forever. And it has been an integral part of all of our lives. And it happens on Saturday morning on a campus that is charged because it is quite literally on Game Day right before a big game is about to happen. What we are doing with ESPN is going to be a Friday show. Friday is very different. This news broke last week, but some of you weren't around last week, so just a quick reminder. Myself, we'll Compton and Taylor LaWan, guys with bus and with the boys. We do a Wednesday show together, but now we're doing a Friday show with ESPN, and we'll be live from a different campus every week. Actually, I think I did a pretty good job of summing up how this is going to work with Bobby Burak who covers a lot of stuff for Outkick. I did a wide-ranging interview with him the other day, so to save my own voice tonight, I'm just going to play you a couple of minutes of this. It's pretty surreal to be honest with you. Myself, we'll Compton and Taylor LaWan, the guys with bus and with the boys. We will be on a different campus every Friday because that's what we wanted. We didn't want to be in a studio. We wanted to be on campus. We wanted to be with college football fans, and so we'll do that every Friday. It'll eliminate from a different campus. Maybe sometimes it'll be where a game day is. Maybe other times it won't be, but I mean, we want to see the country. We want to see the entire college football landscape. I've always believed this, and I still believe this. Saturday is awesome. We all know that. The entire infrastructure is built around Saturday. College Game Day does a phenomenal job of capturing what the vibe is on a Saturday morning, leading into a big college football 12-hour marathon that starts at noon eastern time. Friday is a different vibe, and if you're around college football, you know what I mean. A Friday in a college town, there's sort of this rising action vibe. It's like the balloon starting to inflate. It's like a quiet but palpable energy. Everybody's made their predictions already. Everyone's spoken their piece. It's almost like you got to Thursday, and you feel like the bucket's emptied. In Fridays, just you're checking your watch. You're checking your watch. You may check the kids out of school. If you're taking them to the game, the entire tailgate scene really starts to come together on Friday. And there's just this nervousness, man. Your leg can't quite sit still, but it's not time to kick off yet. Still 12 to 24 hours away. And you just want to you just want to hang man. You want to hang out preferably with buddies who feel the same way you do. That is the vibe that we want to capture with this show. Thanks Josh. Good stuff there. Nothing changes with this show. Every time we sign a deal or we're going to do something new. I always forget to make sure I mention at right at the outset, nothing's changing with this show because I'm never signing a deal that changes anything with this show as the whole point. So to ease any of the fears that I've seen in the comments, this show will air Sunday, Tuesday, Thursday, just like it always has will still be the same format. It's always been anything we do above and beyond that. Cool, but it's not messing with this. So there's There's that. The show's not moving to ESPN. Nothing like that. Nothing's happening like that. Second.
partly to ease some more fears. We have full autonomy on this show. It's the only auspice under which we were going to enter into a deal with the ESPN. Frankly, it's what they wanted to. So I know there are misnomers out there about people who have never been in this business about how the media business actually works. And I can't comment on how it works for other people, but I can tell you the way it works for us is ESPN gives us a show and then they ask us to format the show and they ask us to choose wherever we want to go. So we got full autonomy on picking locations. We got full autonomy on formatting the show. I mean, Jesse, you've been involved in this. So you can confirm this. Like literally it is, all right guys, build the show and we'll check in with you the week of week one. It's going to be great. We'll be down in Baton Rouge for week one, by the way. Again, that's not an official announcement because I can't announce our tour yet, but we're going to be down in Baton Rouge for week one. All right, let's move on. I got to get to bold predictions in just a second, but first, the exclusive odds provider of this show is Fandool, as we know. You may have just heard me a couple of minutes ago say that if USC and Oklahoma played on a neutral field in week one, Oklahoma would be a short one and a half point favorite. How do I know that? Because I know Fandool Mike. And Fandool Mike knows all the traders, aka the guys that set the lines. And so he's just a quick text or a phone call away even when he is on vacation. I know that because he was last week and he still picked up the phone. So OU and USC, I hope it happens in the playoffs, but it's not going to happen to the regular season. A lot of other games are, you can go bat him right now. You can bat him later. You can choose not to bat him at all and you can just go look at the numbers out of curiosity. You can do whatever you want at Fandool. You can also check out the Heisman market. You can check out odds to make the playoff, odds to miss the playoff. You can check out conference races, all sorts of things. It's a seemingly endless supply of markets over there at Fandool right now. And we, I think, bake Fandool into our show and probably the most resourceful manner of any partner they have, because that's what I told Fandool when we partnered with them. Like, hey, if we do this, there are a couple of other conditions I had, but I want information. And they said, okay, and sure enough, they've delivered it every time we've asked them. Just be 21 plus and present in select states for Kansas, in affiliation with Kansas, Starkicino or 18 plus and present in DC. First online real money wager only $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non withdrawal bonus bets, which expire seven days after receipt, restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandool.com, gambling problem, call 1-800 gambler or visit fandool.com/rg. Call 1-888-789777 or visit ccpg.org/chat in Connecticut or visit ndgamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gamblinghelplinema.org or call 800-327-5050 for 24/7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8 hope-NY or text hope-NY in New York. All right. Let's wrap up the show with this. I've got pound for pound four of the boldest predictions that we've ever had in combination on the show. The way it works is you make predictions. I give it a 1-10 boldness scale. Anything 9.5 or bolder if it hits, gets you a chalice of supremacy, and I got six boxes of them. In the back of my car right now, press remind me to give them to you before we leave tonight. First up, Nick from Toledo, Ohio. Four teams that have been members of the pack 12, past or present, will make the playoff. Four of them. A third of the playoff is going to be either former or current pack 12 members. So Oregon could be this, USC could be this, Washington could be this. You talk could be this. Those are the only teams in the top 25 of the playoff odds. And if all four of them make it, congrats this hit. If less than four of them make it, probably far less than four of them make it. You got to get one of the Arizona schools to make it. You got to get Cal or UCLA or Stanford. Now, what you could do is you get Boise because they are, if you haven't checked yet, a new member of the pack 12, Texas State as stupid as this is. They are also a new member of the pack 12 and a G 16 has to make the playoff. So I suppose they could do it. Fresno could do it. This is tough. I'm going to make this a 9.75 on the boldness scale. Next up, we got our first 10 of the evening, Brandon from Columbia, South Carolina, South Carolina and Clemson will play each other twice. Now we're halfway there because they're going to play each other once. And yet this is still a 10. Because the only way this happens is if they face off in the playoffs. Because even if they're both bowl eligible, no bowl game is putting them in the bowl game when they just played at the end of the regular season. So realistically, the only way this happens is if they both make the playoffs. They are both extreme long shots to make the playoff. So even if both of them make it, which they're not going to, but even if both of them make it, then they have to meet up in the bracket. And they probably have to meet up early in the bracket or else one of them will end up losing. So this is a clear 10. If this happens, I think we got to put a picture of this dude on our wall if this happens, Jesse. I'm not even hesitant in saying it. That makes me not a least bit nervous. There's no way this happens. That's a 10. That may be like the rare 10.25. We need to have our own little 10 and a quarter club. That's what we need to call it to chalai, plural of chalice. Next up, let's see. This is Matt in Seminole, Oklahoma. He said he's going to up the ante to make the show. Well, it worked, Matt. Let's see what you have to offer. Six out of the top 10 highest odds to win the national title will have lost a game by the end of week four. That's a 9.75. Now let me reread it for you if you're listening on podcast. So he said, take the top 10 teams in the odds to make the playoff. Six out of those 10 teams will have a loss by the end of the first four weeks of the season. Because of head to head games, you're guaranteed to have three of these teams have a loss. So you're already halfway there by default, but even them, like I can, I can probably get rid of Notre Dame, the only competitive game they'll play as Wisconsin and their favorite by three touchdowns. I can probably get rid of Indiana because the only competitive game they'll play as north of the Western, I think I can get rid of Miami because they play Wake and pretty much nobody else. So what are we talking about here? Texas Tech. Are they going to lose to Houston? Texas plays Ohio State and Tennessee. Of course, we know Ohio State plays Texas. They play Illinois, Georgia plays Oklahoma. You need to owe you to win that game because they'll use not a top 10 team. So that would work for you. I just think that these are long odds here. So I'm going to put a nine and three quarters on that 9.75. And the last one, this is creative. Had to think about it. Antonio from Fresno, California, all the powerful conference champs will be teams that have never won that conference. Now think about it for a second. It's a 9.75 for me, but there, there are catches here. So like in the ACC, this, in fact, I don't see how it doesn't happen in the ACC. So if Miami wins the ACC or Louisville or SMU, the three favorites, I'll go a step further. If Cal were to win it, the top four favorites have never won the ACC before. I don't know how that's even a possible sentence, but it is. So this will probably happen in the ACC. The SEC, Texas, Texas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, there are a lot of good teams, Missouri. If they won the league, that would qualify. The problem is you got LSU in here. You got Georgia in here. You got Alabama in here. You got old, actually, Ole Miss Jesse, would they, that Ole Miss has won the league, right? Yeah, Ole Miss has won the league. Okay. So anyway, the ACC is a question mark. The big 12's a question mark, Brigham Young could win it. You talk could win it, but the problem is the favorite is Texas tech and they already have won it. Let's call the big 12 a question mark. I think the big 10's where you get into a mess here. Because in the big 10, we're going to Ohio State, Indiana, Penn State, and Michigan have all won this league. So you have to have USC or Washington come through, or you got to get a miracle out of UCLA or Nebraska or someone like that. And I just, I think the big 10 derails, even if the other three cash, so I'm going to put a 9.25 on that one. Thank you so much for watching. Got a huge live viewership tonight. Make sure you are subscribed to the channel. It's free for you. It just helps us out. I appreciate you guys so much. AP reaction on the channel tomorrow. Be looking for that video and then we'll be back Tuesday night. Same time as always. I have previews for individual teams like there's a lot that's on the YouTube channel right now. That's not necessarily in one of the live shows is what I'm telling you. So it's very important to be subscribed to the YouTube channel and be checking it. For director Bradley, producer Jesse, I'm Josh Payt. Take care. Start to your week and God bless.
2021 plus and present in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas, Starkisino or 18 plus and present in DC first on my real money wager only $5 first deposit required bonus issued as non withdrawal bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot fan dual dot com gambling problem call 1 800 gambler or visit fan dual dot com slash rg call 1 888 789 7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Connecticut or visit nd gambling help dot org in Maryland hope is here visit gambling helpline ma dot org or call 800 327 50 50 for 24 seven support in Massachusetts or call 1 877 8 hope and why or text hope and why in New York I'm mungusha together and I'm back with a new season of my podcast skyline drive this time I talked to scientists biopunks, cormugins, blues owners, super seniors and go as top cryotherapy lab to try to understand this obsession with living forever and what it means for all of us and I get into a bit of trouble along the way I say probably start bones mashing that doesn't work make you look more defined they say it works I don't know listen to skyline drive how to live forever on the iHeart radio app apple podcast or wherever you get your podcast Hey this is haze davenport and Sean clements we host the podcast Hollywood handbook each week we talked to someone in show business and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us everyone has a good time and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show we've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman Adam Scott Danny McBride Ben stiller at a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us listen to Hollywood handbook on the iHeart radio app apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts our hometown is not a test tube 90 miles northeast of Nashville a battle for the future of America plays out in one small town developers with right wing ties have purchased hundreds of acres of land we need cities on a shining hill this is our town a podcast about what happens when a small town becomes the site of a social experiment and fights back I guess you didn't move in on a bunch of dumb hillbilly's now did you listen to our town on the iHeart radio app apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts I'm Nancy Glass host of the burden of guild season three podcast this is a story about a horrendous situation that destroyed two families it's a scorched earth war that shows just how far someone will go to get what they want Cindy said I had to choose between the truth and my family and I had to choose the truth listen to season three of burden of guilt on the iHeart radio app apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The transcript contains multiple podcast promotions, including "Skyline Drive" (longevity obsession), "Hollywood Handbook" (show business interviews), "Our Town" (small-town political conflict), and "Burden of Guilt" (true crime).
The main content is a college football discussion covering fall camp updates, quarterback battles, and preseason predictions for teams like Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, and Texas.
The host critiques "big lies" in college football, such as "you are what your record says you are," dismissing recruiting rankings, "two quarterbacks means you have none," and claims that a bigger playoff is better.
Hot seat assessments are provided for coaches like Mike Norvell (Florida State), Lincoln Riley (USC), Luke Fickell (Wisconsin), Dave Aranda (Baylor), Mike Locksley (Maryland), Shane Beamer (South Carolina), and Bill Belichick (North Carolina).
The JP Poll power ratings are defended against accusations of SEC bias, with explanations of how the model works and comparisons to betting lines.
The host announces a new ESPN Friday show with We'll Compton and Taylor LaWan, traveling to different campuses, distinct from College GameDay.
Summary:
This transcript is a college football-focused podcast episode, interspersed with promotional ads for other shows. The host begins by discussing fall camp observations, highlighting quarterback battles at Tennessee (favoring freshman Faizon Brand) and Alabama (between Keelan Russell and Austin Mack), while noting injury concerns and roster questions for teams like South Carolina and Texas. He then shifts to identifying what he calls "big lies" in college football, arguing that records are relative to schedule strength, recruiting rankings are predictive, having two quarterbacks can be a strength (citing Alabama's past), and that expanding the playoff diminishes the meaning of top-tier games.
He also dismisses international games as ineffective for growing the sport and challenges the idea that Indiana's success is replicable. Hot seat evaluations follow, with Norvell and Aranda facing significant pressure, Riley and Fickell at moderate risk, and Belichick's tenure at North Carolina deemed a disaster. The host defends his JP Poll power ratings against SEC bias accusations, explaining they are neutral-field predictive numbers, not rankings, and cites betting lines to justify placements.
He concludes by announcing a new Friday ESPN show with We'll Compton and Taylor LaWan, emphasizing a campus-based format distinct from College GameDay, and promotes merchandise and subscription support.
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