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BREAKING: Supreme Court Blocks Trump Mail-In Ballot Scheme

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BREAKING: Supreme Court Blocks Trump Mail-In Ballot Scheme

The U.S. Supreme Court has decisively blocked a controversial plan by former President Donald Trump to impose a barcode-based voter verification rule on the U.S. Postal Service, which would have required states to match ballots to Trump’s voter list and disqualified voters who didn’t comply. This rule, designed to interfere with mail-in voting and undermine state control over election processes, was blocked by a 7–2 decision, with Justice Kavanaugh joining the majority despite expressing caution about future enforcement. The ruling reaffirms that state authority over election administration—particularly regarding time, place, and manner—is protected under the U.S. Constitution. While the dissenting justices—Alito and Thomas—contend that the Postal Service has statutory immunity and that the rule is within its regulatory power, they fail to acknowledge that the rule fundamentally infringes on state election rights and creates arbitrary disqualifications for voters. The decision builds on earlier rulings, including one in Missouri, where the Court blocked Trump’s attempt to override state election laws. Even if Justice Kavanaugh withdraws from future considerations, the Court still maintains a six-to-three majority, ensuring that the rule cannot be implemented in 2026 or 2028. The ruling is a significant victory for state sovereignty and electoral integrity, signaling that federal agencies cannot use postal operations as tools to suppress voting rights. Despite the dissent’s arguments about standing and statutory authority, the majority emphasized that the rule would be arbitrary, capricious, and impractical for states to implement before election day. This decision reinforces the principle that election administration remains a state responsibility, not a federal directive.

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This is the big one we've been waiting for folks breaking news. The United States Supreme Court has officially blocked Donald Trump's election ballot scheme whereby Donald Trump imposed a new rule on the U.S. Postal Service, which would have changed the way that states were able to handle the mail balance. The states were going to have to comply with some Trump Postal Service rule that had a barcode that had to match Trump's voter list. Then if the states didn't match Trump's voter list, he would disqualify the state voters. This was part of Donald Trump's plan to interfere with the midterm elections. As I reported earlier today, the Trump-appointed district court judge in Washington, D.C. Judge Nichols made that order at 12.30 a.m. this morning blocking Donald Trump's rule with the Postal Service. As I explained, I think that he was trying to send a signal to the United States Supreme Court that a Trump-appointed judge from Trump's first term, Judge Carl Nichols agreed with an Obama-appointed judge in Massachusetts. Nichols is from D.C. He's a district court judge there. The Obama-appointed judge from Massachusetts is Judge Talwani. She also blocked the Postal Service rule. The fact that you had an Obama judge and a Trump judge, both agreeing, I said, I think they're sending a signal. Remember the video I did to the United States Supreme Court that they were blocking it together and so that the Supreme Court should do the same. By the way, the video I dropped about an hour ago also predicted this outcome. I just I released the video ultimately before the ruling was made. So if you were watching that video and you were like, okay, I get it. The Supreme Court is warning about that they're going to try to enforce states rights over Donald Trump trying to have his own rule with the Postal Service that infringes on the state time, place, and manner rights under the United States Constitution. I released that video and then five minutes later, the Supreme Court made this ruling. Now the Supreme Court's ruling was a seven to two decision. There were two dissents. You had Justice Thomas in the dissent along with Justice Alito. In the majority, you had Justice Kavanaugh, a Trump appointee, although Justice Kavanaugh said, there may be a fair prospect that in the future, a rule that Trump wants to implement may be something that could happen, but we're too close to the 2026 midterm elections. So I'm going to side with the majority. But even if you put Kavanaugh in the group with Alito and Thomas, that would still make it a six to three decision, right? With Justice Coney Barrett and Justice Roberts joining the three liberal justices, right? Katanji Brown, Jackson, Kagan, and Soto Mayor. So you would have them along with Justice Roberts, along with Amy Coney Barrett. So you would still ultimately be able to have a majority in the future if Trump tries to implement this rule in 2028. Let's take a look right now at this order so we can look at it for ourselves in the Supreme Court of the United States. The application for stay presented to Justice Jackson and by her refer to the court is denied. The government is unlikely to succeed on the merits of its challenge to the district court's preliminary injunction. Remember, there was the district court preliminary injunction in Massachusetts, Judge Tellwani, and then earlier this morning, a district court injunction blocking the Trump Postal Service Rule in DC. That was the Trump-appointed judge, Judge Carl Nichols. And the equitable factors applicable for obtaining emergency relief from this court do not favor a stay. Justice Kavanaugh said, "In my view, based on the briefing, the court has received at this interim stage, there is at least a fair prospect that the final rule falls within the Postal Service statutory authority. But applying the rule of the 2026 election would be arbitrary and capricious in violation of the Administrative Procedure Act, because state and local election officials do not have sufficient time to reasonably implement the rule before the election. For that reason, I concur in the denial of the application for stay. But only Justice Kavanaugh said that. So in terms of other Trump-appointee judges, justices who agreed with the majority, you had Justice Gorsik, you had Justice Coney Barrett, George W. Bush appointed the Chief Justice Justice John Roberts, and they cited also with Kagan, with Sotomayor, and Katangi Brown Jackson. So even if Kavanaugh gets peeled off before 2028 and sides with Alito and Thomas, who knows if Alito's going to be there or not, you would still have a six to three decision. Even if you lost Kavanaugh, you would have a five to four decision. So this is good news, not just for the midterms, but this is also good news for the 2028 election when Trump tries to pull this scheme as well. It's certainly disconcerting, though, that you have Justice Kavanaugh and Justice Thomas and Alito still saying that they would, you know, the Justice Kavanaugh says, "I'm not going to do it now." Alito and Thomas would do this now. And for people who purported to care about states' rights, the idea that they would say the postal service can implement a rule at Donald Trump's demand that creates a Trump barcode that supersedes the state voter rolls such that if you are voting in a state and you don't match Trump's voter rolls, you get disqualified from voting. Also, if you don't match, identically, the rules that Donald Trump makes for how a ballot needs to look like, and it's like a complicated puzzle to actually vote by mail, they Trump regime tries to make their portal as complicated as possible and make the procedures to vote by mail very difficult. That Donald Trump can disqualify not just your ballot, but if you're not on the list or you fill out the ballot incorrectly, it would give the Trump regime the power to disqualify batches of ballots, 5,000, 10,000 ballots. They'll just disqualify ballots. So the fact that you even have some justices who would go along with that is deeply disconcerting. In any event, this is a big deal, though, because it was still a seven to two decision, even if you lose Kavanaugh, it's a six to three decision. But let's just take a look to see what the dissent had to say, just so we can try to, I don't want to say understand, but we should know what their words are to see what they're going to say in the future as their argument. So you had justice, Alito, and Justice Thomas, by the way, Alito was appointed by George W. Bush. Justice Thomas was appointed by George HW Bush. That's how far back that goes. And here's what they say. The court incorrectly denies the government's application for a stay of a universal injunction that bars implementation of a final rule concerning election ballot mail. Some of the plaintiffs lack standing while the remainder are pursuing a claim that this court has recently called a Hail Mary Pass that rarely succeeds. The government has made the showing necessary for a stay. So I respectfully dissent some five months ago, Donald Trump issued an internal directive to his subordinates mandating among other things that the United States Postal Service initiated a proposed rule making regarding election ballot mail just days after the president's directive issued numerous organizations and groups of states led by California sued in the district of Massachusetts. The district court entered a series of injunctions blocking implementation of the directive. This court eventually stayed one of the injunctions because the district court likely likely lacked jurisdiction because the suit was premature. Remember that ruling from a few weeks back where the Supreme Court ruled that there was no standing or justish ability because the Postal Service rule had not been implemented yet. And thus there was no injury that the states and plaintiffs faced. The rule had to be implemented for the lawsuit to proceed. So when the rule was implemented, then these states and these groups filed suit because then there was justish ability. By the way, I believe there was justish ability anyway, right? I mean, as an example, I've given if you're someone who in the past threatens to shoot people in the face, then you shoot them in the face all the time, then you threaten to shoot somebody else in the face and they sue you to block you from shooting them in the face to court should and say, let's wait until you get shot in the face. Then you have your injury as I argued and as the states argued, the states were injured by the very process of the Postal Service rulemaking because no matter what the rule did, it would injure the states control over elections because the constitution provides that states control the time place and manner of elections, not the feds. So any rule would be violentive and threatening the rulemaking process violated these States rights under the Constitution because it created confusion and the States didn't know how they were supposed to respond. Anyway, the Supreme Court didn't buy that argument, the one that I just made, I think they were wrong. The right wing Supreme Court that is, but they said, all right, wait till the rules pass. The rule passed. Then these injunctions were issued at the district court level. Then it went up to the Supreme Court because the Trump regime didn't emergency petition. That's what they lost right here. I just wanted to give you the procedural background. So then it says, within days of the final rules, issuance, the district court then entered into this temporary restraining order. That's in place. Then Alito and Thomas say to obtain a today, the applicants must make a strong showing of likelihood of success on the merits and irreparable harm. In close cases, we also consider the balance of equities. This is what Alito and Thomas say. The government is likely to succeed on the merits of its appeal to begin the district court issued a nationwide injunction based on claims asserted by several plaintiff organizations that likely lack standing. These organizations first claim a direct organizational injury because the rules supposedly thwart their ability to educate members about voting. So one of the arguments by these two right wing extremist justices is a standing. Nobody can sue. Nobody has the right. You don't have, if you're not really injured, they then go on to say, as for the plaintiff states, their claims are unlikely to succeed. They claim the rule violates the election clause, article one section four clause, one of the constitution. This claim, however, collapses into an inquiry about whether the postal service has statutory authority to promulgate the rule, even assuming the rule here is a regulation of elections. Congress may create such rules under the election clause. And by statute, it may authorize the postal service to issue such rules because litigants cannot convert claims at a federal entity has acted in excess of its statutory authority into constitutional claims. The crux of this dispute is whether the postal service has statutory authority to issue the rule. They're like, Ben, that sounds like a lot of word salad. It is a lot of word salad because these two right wing extremist justices are trying to grasp that straws of how something that's clearly a state's right under article one section four clause one can be converted into just every day rule making by the postal service. As though, yeah, of course, the postal service can change the way states do elections and then start to disqualify voters for mailing in ballots. You see what they're trying to do here? And then goes on to say, as for the to assert a claim and an agency exceeded its statutory authority, the challenger needs a cause of action, which is typically provided by the administrative procedure. However, Congress broadly exempted the exercise of powers of the postal service from review under the APA. It also challenged many claims against the postal service to initial review before the postal regulatory commission followed by a review in the United States courts of appeals. These provisions tightly constrain APA review of the postal service actions. Let me explain what they're trying to say here. Because what the postal service usually does is deal with mail, Congress has basically said, unless you're so far outside the bounds of what the postal service is going to be doing. The postal service isn't subject to the same administrative procedure at claims because Congress never envisioned that the postal service would be used as a tool of an authoritarian regime to attack people's ability to vote, especially when Republicans profess to care about states, rights and elections are a major one. So people said, let the postal service be the postal service. So the Trump regime tried to exploit that and basically say, well, the postal service has immunity. So we say they have immunity now to infringe on state rights of elections. And so these two justices are saying, well, we've allowed the postal service to do what they want before to which my point is in the common sense point is, yeah, deliver mail, not interfere with elections. What are you talking about now from the video I made this morning? What did the Trump appointed judge in the DC district court judge nickel says judge nickel says, well, we can still overturn postal service action. If it's clearly remember the word ultravirus, O L T R A separate word V I R E S it's Latin. So italicize ultravirus. So outside the bounds of what the postal service is supposed to do. And the Trump appointed judge nickel said, yeah, this is so outside the bounds isn't delivering mail. They're interfering with states running of elections. That's the issue. And so judge Tawani, the Obama point to judge said that. The Trump appointed judge in the district court in DC said that and while the Supreme Court majority didn't give their rationale, other than with just this cabinet said when he concurred and said, I might be okay with this later. The implied rationale is that voting is a state's rights issue. Stay the hell out. Exactly what I posted before was what the Supreme Court I thought was warning against in the Missouri state case where the Supreme Court blocked two attempts by the Trump regime and the magas in the state of Missouri to impose an unlawful map after the Missouri State Supreme Court said, get out. We're ruling that you have to go through a referendum. You can't just go around the legal process. So as you then kind of read more of this descent over here, they go since plaintiffs cannot proceed under the Administrative Procedure Act, they must instead invoke an equitable cause of action because such claims rely on judicially implied causes of action and may be used to do end run around statutes created by Congress that restrict judicial review. The court cases have strictly limited non-statutory ultravirus review to a narrow set of circumstances. Crucially, the relevant agency action must be entirely in excess of the agency's delegated powers and contrary to a specific prohibition in statute. Such a claim is thus essentially a Hail Mary Pass that rarely succeeds. And then it says ultravirus claims are confined to extreme agency error where this agency has stepped so plainly beyond the bounds of its statutory authority or acted so clearly in defiance of it as to warrant the immediate intervention of a court inequity. The Hail Mary Pass Alito and Thomas argue is unlikely to be successfully completed here. The Postal Service has broad authority to regulate the mail. It holds the general powers to adopt a mend and repeal such rules and regulations not inconsistent with this title as may be necessary in the execution of its functions under this title. If the questions of the Postal Service's power were before us in something other than the context of an ultravirus claim, the government's argument would present a difficult question, but here the question is different. In order to assert an ultravirus claim, the plaintiffs must show that the challenge regulation envelopes here in order to assert an ultravirus claim, the plaintiffs must show that the challenge regulation of envelopes here is entirely in excess of the power to govern collecting, handling, transporting and delivering, forwarding and returning of mail. The same is true of the requirement to pass along information about each recipient of ballot mail. At the very least, the Postal Service did not act contrary to a specific prohibition is what they're saying. Do you see what they're arguing they're basically making an immunity argument by trying to say, because Congress said that the Administrative Procedures Act doesn't generally apply, you have to show that the conduct is so outside the bounds of what the Postal Service does and because the Trump regime is trying to act like all we're doing is putting our own barcode on. All we're doing is changing the format of mail and the states are like no, you are giving yourself authority to delete and destroy ballots and prevent people from voting and that's a state's rights issue. This isn't what the Postal Service is supposed to do. Anyway, I'm arming you and I spent all that time on the dissent so you can see the bad faith argument but how they tried to use certain immunities that were given to the Postal Service to try to bring in this massive, massive overhaul and this massive corrupt scheme to block state mail ballots. The good news is, in summary, the Supreme Court has blocked this scheme, at least on a six to three basis but for purposes of this ruling, if you include Kavanaugh with the majority, although he concurred on different grounds, a seven to two ruling blocking Trump scheme, the mail ballots proceed as they should. That's a good story, that's good news and on the heels of the ruling affirming the Missouri State Supreme Court that blocked the Trump magazine there. These are multiple good rulings preserving what little is left of what exists in our country which is this midterm election process. So now it's in your hands of odors, that's where it's at. Hope you appreciated this analysis longer than probably some but I wanted to give you all the granular details. Thanks for watching, hit subscribe, let's get to see. 7 million we appreciate you so much.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The U.S. Supreme Court has blocked Donald Trump’s proposed rule requiring the U.S. Postal Service to implement a barcode system that would match Trump’s voter list, thereby disqualifying voters who don’t match it.
  2. The decision, 7–2, was supported by a majority of justices including liberal appointees like Kagan, Sotomayor, and Roberts, and even Justice Kavanaugh, who agreed the rule would be arbitrary and capricious due to lack of time for states to comply.
  3. The dissenting justices—Alito and Thomas—argued that the Postal Service has broad statutory immunity and that the rule falls within its authority to regulate mail, claiming plaintiffs lack standing and that the claim is a rare and unlikely “Hail Mary” maneuver.

Summary:

S. S. Postal Service, which would have required states to match ballots to Trump’s voter list and disqualified voters who didn’t comply.

This rule, designed to interfere with mail-in voting and undermine state control over election processes, was blocked by a 7–2 decision, with Justice Kavanaugh joining the majority despite expressing caution about future enforcement. S. Constitution.

While the dissenting justices—Alito and Thomas—contend that the Postal Service has statutory immunity and that the rule is within its regulatory power, they fail to acknowledge that the rule fundamentally infringes on state election rights and creates arbitrary disqualifications for voters. The decision builds on earlier rulings, including one in Missouri, where the Court blocked Trump’s attempt to override state election laws. Even if Justice Kavanaugh withdraws from future considerations, the Court still maintains a six-to-three majority, ensuring that the rule cannot be implemented in 2026 or 2028.

The ruling is a significant victory for state sovereignty and electoral integrity, signaling that federal agencies cannot use postal operations as tools to suppress voting rights. Despite the dissent’s arguments about standing and statutory authority, the majority emphasized that the rule would be arbitrary, capricious, and impractical for states to implement before election day. This decision reinforces the principle that election administration remains a state responsibility, not a federal directive.

FAQs

The Supreme Court blocked Donald Trump's rule requiring the U.S. Postal Service to implement a barcode that would match Trump's voter list, finding it violated states' rights to control election procedures.

Seven justices voted in favor, including a seven-to-two decision, with a six-to-three outcome even if Justice Kavanaugh dissented on procedural grounds.

The rule infringed on states' rights to control the time, place, and manner of elections, as protected by Article I, Section 4, Clause 1 of the U.S. Constitution.

Yes, Justice Kavanaugh joined the majority in blocking the rule, though he stated it might be possible in the future for such a rule to be implemented in 2028.

They claimed the rule was within the Postal Service's statutory authority and argued that plaintiffs lacked standing, calling the challenge a 'Hail Mary Pass' with little legal merit.

Yes, the rule would have allowed the disqualification of ballots that didn't match Trump's voter list or ballot format, potentially affecting thousands of votes.

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