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Boom or Bust? 4 Fantasy Football Picks Experts Can’t Agree On with Nathan Jahnke | Best of the Fest (Ep. 2162)

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Boom or Bust? 4 Fantasy Football Picks Experts Can’t Agree On with Nathan Jahnke | Best of the Fest (Ep. 2162)

This fantasy football segment from Fantasy Pros features a deep dive into polarizing players, focusing on running backs and wide receivers with high upside but significant risk. Marin Hampton, the Chargers’ running back, is ranked as a high-ceiling mid-second-round pick due to Mike McDaniel’s pass-heavy offense and strong receiving skills, though concerns about offensive line injuries and a tough schedule create volatility. Devon H. Chan is praised for volume and consistent production in a new offensive system, with a strong case for a mid-second-round selection. Kenneth Walker is seen as a breakout opportunity with the Chiefs, where his blend of speed and receiving ability could ignite a dominant season. Rashi Rice remains a debated pick, with strong red-zone targets but reduced volume due to the Chiefs’ shift to a more balanced offense. Luther Bird is highlighted as a high-risk, high-reward receiver with potential breakout growth, particularly if Burrow and Dunes develop better chemistry. The panel stresses the importance of real-time ADP data and context—such as offensive schemes, target volume, and injury history—to make informed decisions. Ultimately, the segment underscores that while polarizing players offer high upside, success depends on balancing talent, volume, and situational risk.

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This is an iHeart podcast, Guaranteed Human. The entire draft room groans because you just took the guy they wanted. There's no better feeling than crushing your fantasy football league. I'm JJ Zacharyson, host of the award-winning late-round podcast. Before your draft, our players to target and players to avoid episodes tell you exactly who to circle and who to cross off. Listen to the late-round fantasy football podcast on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hello everybody, welcome into our three of 2026's version of fantasy fest here at fantasy pros. I'm Ryan Warnley, step it in for the well, she did such a great job holding down the fort here in the first couple of hours. We are rolling on here, another two hours for you on YouTube, and then that after party they were talking about over on Twitch, hope everybody joins for that as well. I am joined for this segment by Andrew Erickson and by Nathan Yankee from PFF, really excited to talk about some polarizing players here in this segment, some boom or bust guys, where we're going to do it. His Erickson has provided his four hardest- to-ring players, we're going to get his opinion, we're going to get Nathan's opinion, we're going to see what the audience thinks as well. Erickson, how are you doing here on fantasy fest day? Dude, I am thrilled, so happy we're already two hours in, but there's so much more that we have to talk about some more players to talk about draft strategies, so Worm, I liked your polo in the ad riddle, but more than this polo here, but it's okay, man. I was really glad that I wasn't wearing the same one on accident, remember when I had recorded that one, so glad to mix up a little, even if it's not quite as nice of a shirt. Nathan, thank you so much for coming on and joining us today. Oh yeah, thanks for having me excited to be on, two weeks till the season starts, two weeks from today, so I'm excited. It's that time, as soon as you hit August, you get really excited, but you get to the last week or so of August, and there's just a whole other level here, we are very excited ourselves. A lot of names to get through, so let's jump right in here, Erickson, who is your number one, not necessarily an order, but number one of the four guys you picked hardest-to-ring players? Well, Marin Hampton, running back for the loss and just chargers, and I believe that we've already talked about him a couple of different times throughout some of these segments because I think that he is a pretty polarizing player. Again, a small sample size last year, really played half of the year, chargers dealt with a lot of offensive line injuries, RB60 and points per game over those nine games, played squad five touchdowns, and now it's the projection of, okay, him and Mike McDaniel's offense. We're all expecting fireworks, but then you also throw into, okay, Senator Tyler Beatish, big splashy free energy signing by the chargers, well, he's on in your reserve. So you're already down one of the interior offensive linemen upgrades, and that's where the question marks are on this chargers offensive line. It's in the interior, you're expecting the tackles between Slater and Joel to be back and healthy, and then to really carry this offensive line to be a top ten unit, but how will the interior hold up? I think that affects a guy like Omar and Hampton, so I've been more bullish on him, I think, through most of the process, I think that when I look at what he could do, especially to start the season, he's got the Cardinals, he's got the Raiders, he's got the Buffalo Bills. Like this guy gets more eight touchdowns in three weeks, and nobody would be surprised. But then the charger schedule gets really, really tough from weeks for onward where he has to face a juggernaut of run defenses. Now, obviously that can change when guys go down, teams are a little bit different than they were last year, but I do think that maybe an up and down type of season for Omar and Hampton, and then there's also the fact that Mike McDaniel has been boho about, maybe I want to use some other running backs. But I think the ceiling case for Omar and Hampton, especially as a big running back with speed that can catch passes out of the backfield, you look at McDaniel last four years as the Dolphins head coach, running back target shares, third, seventh, third, and third. And the last time in Justin Herbert led offense, targeted a running back at a 20% clip, that was Austin Neckler when he was the top two fantasy running back in 2021, 2022. So there's a really high ceiling for a player like Omar and Hampton to, I think, is like a good long shot bet to maybe NFL and touchdowns. Do you feel like Erickson quickly that it's harder for you to rank him amongst running backs or just in terms of the overall as like that mid-second-optic range? I think about running backs, I feel good about him versus the wide receivers in that range because I know that I think that there is a tear fall off after him where you're getting to more of the running back type of dead zone where I don't feel as confident. I'm feel confident about taking him in round two, which is a matter of like, I do want him over this running back or this running back here because the first two rounds, like we talked about a lot of these shows, just stockpiled with a lot of really high upside running back plays. Nathan, what do you think? If you look at his real-time ADP on fantasyprose.com, he's RB 11. He was RB 12 until the Ashen Gentry injury stuff, so he's now at RB 11, 18th picks are right in the middle of the second round. Is that field too high, too low, just right to you? That feels just right to me. I've been happy to get him right in that range. I want to throw out most of his rookie year because of the injury. But he came back. He didn't look like the same player. Even before that, like Andrew was saying, the offense of line issues, I am still optimistic about the line because the tackles are back this year. They did make some changes on the interior outside of center as well. So I think the line will be better this season, so that'll be good to see. I am high on keeping Mitchell, though. He's been great. He averaged 6.3 yards per carry in his career. He's been catching passes throughout training camp. It's been clear through the preseason. He's the number two guy. I do think Mitchell will see a decent amount of volume, which is probably the main reason I'm not higher on Hampton. Because I do think this charge of offense should look really good this season. But then when you look at the guys behind him, like Drew, my love, who is in a worse offense and also could be in somewhat of a timeshare, kind of Williams, who we know is going to be in a two-back committee, Josh Jacobs, who there's some concerns about. So I can't put him any lower than where I have him, but the guys above him, I'm just more certain, are going to have that workhorse role, and there's less uncertainty around them. So maybe more uncertainty with Hampton. When you just strictly think about the ceiling, do you think like an RB3 season is in as possible outcomes, or is there a cap to what you think the ceiling could be? Because you think about like, you know, this ascending offense that everybody's really excited about with Mike McDaniel paired with Justin Herbert, theoretically a healthier offensive line, although with Tyler Viotta, I should obviously that's already starting off. Not so great. We're going to pick a lot of talent, a lot of pedigree here in Nathan. So do you think like in a best-case scenario, the ceiling is like a league winner type of pick in the second round, or is it more just, you're comfortable with this pick, but you're not quite sure on the ceiling. I do think that's where his ceiling is because he was a very highly sought of running back coming out of college. We know he's a very good player. The Chargers offense is one that we for years have known has had the potential. Now they have a different offensive coordinator. That's more pass-heavy. There's always been the injuries, so maybe this is the year that outside of center, hopefully there's fewer injuries in the offense in general. Hopefully there are among the league leaders in point scored. And hopefully he's as good of a player as we think he is. So I think there is that case where he can be that RB3, but I also think there's that case where this could be a three-back committee. We could see the doll in there as well. We could see Mitchell taking a lot of the big runs and Hampton only getting some of the dirty work in there. So there's also that really bad case, which is why he's not ranked up there at RB3. Eric, so what do you think is like the true upside like, like Alfred is pretty much you like this best case scenario, where do you think we're drafting a Mary and Hampton a year from now? It's fun to ask that because I remember doing shows last year talking about who could we be drafting in round one in 2026 and I'm here in Hampton with one of the guys that I remember talking about him and Ash and Jenny. Now obviously, a couple of things I've played out where now neither guy is probably going to be a first round pick when the dust settles on the 2026 redraft season, but I think that he has top three upside. Again, Keaton Mitchell is a concern, but he's also already banged up. Like that's been Keaton Mitchell's kind of Emma where this guy, we want to give him more volume, but every time it seems like teams give him more opportunities, he can't handle that. So if he is really more regulated to, it's that three to five touches, some scheme ones. Again, running routes downfield, running routes out of the slot. He can have thrive in those types of scenarios, but when it comes to who's getting the majority of carries touches, I think the key with Hampton is touchdowns. That's really his biggest path, I think, to him having a monster top five type of season can talk about earlier. Like he was one of my favorite long shots in terms of leaving the NFL in Russian touchdowns. We saw Austin Eckler have monster seasons, which Justin Herbert averaging 19 touchdowns per year when he was a fantasy RB2 for two straight seasons, he also caught a ton of passes. That's part of O'Marion Hampton's game that I think is really underrated. If you look at last year, he played four games of at least five or more catches, seventh and receptions per game at 3.6. So when you look at touchdown upside is there, you look at receiving upside is there. Galveston environment is really good. It's just about, okay, can the player deliver? And that's kind of like the big question mark, again, the draft pedigree would suggest, hey, this guy is good at football, he can deliver. And last year was more of an incomplete because he did get banged up and when he was thrown back into the offense, again, there was nobody left blocking for him. So it was really tough. Although some of the advanced metrics do paint him in a pretty positive light, seven or I mentioned seventh and receptions per game, but PFF ranked in eighth base, eighth best grader, Russia, 11th and yards after contact for attempt at 3.34. So, yeah, I mean, I am trying to paint more of the optimistic picture with O'Marion Hampton, especially middle of round two. We've seen his offense coordinator, Mike McDaniel, have two very strong running backs in the same offense before, very productive for fantasy a couple of years ago. And Miami, let's go to one of those guys, Devon HN is the next player that you have on this list. So we're going from the guy who has Mike McDaniel, now it's the guy who used to have Mike McDaniel calling plays, ECR RB8, 16th overall, real-time ADP RB9, 16th overall, salining up with ECR there, Erickson. Yeah. I actually have him and Hampton ranked back. back to back and I kind of struggle with trying to figure out which guy I like more because I do think that H&N, although playing in Miami's offense is way less fun to talk about because we don't know how good it's going to be, it could be a bottom five off and the Liberals could be absolutely terrible. So that's like the risk when it comes to H&N, but you look at H&N, he's been a top five and he's running back to back seasons. You know, he's a guy that's entering his Uber Prime and he's done it in so many different ways. He's done it with Uber Efficiency, he's done it with catching passes out of the backfield and I think that I wrote off H&N earlier in the off season, you know, citing that, okay, it's really, well, this is a mobile quarterback, but you know, one of the first articles I ever wrote at that PFF was how do mobile coordinates influence running backs in the passing game? And one of my main takeaways from that article was, yes, it does impact them in a negative way, but in terms of their bottom line, if you are a bell cow in your backfield, you can make up for the loss of whatever receptions targets are being taken away from the offense more likely than not. And really, it turns into like one point per game, one and a half points per game and full PPR and half PPR, one point per game in terms of projecting Malik Willis as a Russian quarterback and how it's going to impact H&N in this offense from in terms of how much volume he's going to see. Because again, he could be the number one receiver on this offense. And I don't think that would shock anybody just based on who they're trotting out there. I know I love Greg Delsich, like he's going to be tied down one this year, but the most established receiver is H&N. And I think the bull case for him is a 2022 version of Saquon Barkley, where Barkley was RB6 that season, who is his quarterback Daniel Jones. And Daniel Jones was the top four quarterback rusher across the board in yards attempt scrambles and scrambly yards. He was Daniel Jones best season as a rusher at the quarterback position and Barkley still let the giants and targets during the regular season. So there is a, again, a bull case for H&N, where because of the talent profile that he has his three downs kill set, his head coach is talking about like, dude, we're going to have to drag you out the field because you're going to get so many touches and carries in this offense. So maybe he breaks down and can't survive the season. But I think we can be looking at a player and see easily 20 touches per game overall. And that's hard to find in the middle of round two, those times. But you know the feeling, you make a pick in your fantasy draft in the entire room groans because they wanted that player. Or you grab a small school rookie off waivers and you start him right before he goes off in prime time. I'm JJ Zacharyson, host of the late round fantasy football podcast. We've got data driven analysis, historical trends and the strategies that separate winners from the rest. And your dominance doesn't stop with the draft. All season long, we have our 15 transactions, 10 trends, sleepers and the mail back data driven, quick hitting episodes to help bring home that league trophy. Listen to the late round fantasy football podcast on the iHeart radio app Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. 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Listen to fault line Haditha on the IHAR radio app Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Nathan, when you think about Devon H Ann, I mean, even just comparing him to a Marion Hampton right, it's volume versus the actual offensive in the environment you have. I think like everything Ericson just said makes a lot of sense to me. And then I look at like the chargers, which is an offense. I'm like dying to invested and so excited about like Herbert as like a dark course MVP candidate, all this fun stuff seems like it could be one of the like defining stories of the season. If it all goes well versus Miami, which is like borderline actively taking here. So you just think about the touchdown opportunity. So what do you weigh more Nathan and you think about this, the touchdown opportunity in a, you know, again, an offense that we want to believe in or just a pure volume we're going to see from an explosive player in H Ann. In this case, I'm leaning both his volume and his talent. I think if he was in another offense, he'd be have a case for the number one overall pick. I think talent wise, he's as good as Gibbs or good as Beeson Robinson. It's just a situation that he's been in of being in Miami who hasn't had a good offensive line the entire time he's been there. So that's no different from what he's had before. He's had to deal with that where those guys have great offensive lineman. So I think we've seen H Ann and good offenses before we've seen him and bad offenses before the offense last year. I don't think was all that great. I think the biggest thing that's different this year is the quarterback situation. But I think they will throw to him more on design plays more than we've seen in the past. We might see fewer dump offs because the quarterback scrambling, but I think that I'll even out a bit. So I think his receiving will be fine. And I think he'll be able to make enough big plays to score touchdown. So because I could see him easily leading the league in touches because I don't think they're going to have, like, I don't think Detroit's going to have the four-streamer Gibbs to be among the league leaders and touches this year at Atlanta, maybe with Bijan Robinson, but Miami, like you said, he's going to be touching the ball at least 20 times per game because that's the one offensive weapon that Miami has and he's been able to deal with bad offenses before. So I'm fine picking him late first round. I have him as my RB 6 overall. So I think, yeah, there's the opportunity or possibility that he suffers an injury and that could happen to any running back though. So any running back with a lot of volume in particular. So I'm still happy to get him. I think he's going to have a great season. Well, I think you already answered the next question. I was going to ask which is if you look at real-time ADP, there are four running backs right in a row here in the early to mid part of round two. It's Devon A. Chan, Derek Henry, Kenneth Walker, Omeri and Hampton. That's from about picks 15 to 18. Sounds like A. Chan would be your favorite of that group. Do you like guys like Henry and Walker more than Omeri and Hampton Nathan? How would you kind of shake out that group? Because I think that's a decision. Anybody who wants to take a running back in that range, you're going to have multiple options. Oh, yes. So I'll take A. Chan above all those guys that we just talked about. I have him above Barclay. I have him above Chase Brown. I'd probably take those guys as well as Walker. I had a boatmari and Hampton, but I think A. Chan just the volume. I'd also add with Bobby Sloak, as offensive coordinator, we saw how much he was getting Joe Mix in the ball and Joe Mix was healthy. That's another reason why I think they're just going to give him boss so much. Erickson, for you, A. Chan Henry, Walker, Hampton in that kind of group of players, what do you think? Walker's the one I'd like the most. That's who I would bet on. I think he can leave the NFL in rushing yards this year. I think that the cat's out of the bag with him where he's going to get unleashed finally. Like something that we've just been begging for teams to do and maybe he can't handle the workload and ultimately it burns us. But if he can hold up, he has a three down skill set. We know we can catch passes out of the backfield. Super, super explosive. I mean, he's the perfect fit in his chiefs off at the never show that we've done. We've talked about Kenneth Walker. I get this feeling that in hindsight, we're going to look back at the season. Think, God, Kenneth Walker to the Chiefs was so obviously a smash pick. And such a smash side because it was exactly what they needed to get this offense off the ground and out of purgatory that it's been over the last couple of years, but it is really having been fun to watch. Let's make the Chiefs offense fun to watch again. I think that's going to start with Ken Walker having a monster year. Quick PSA before your next draft, check out the fantasy pros draft assistant. It gives you expert recommendations for every pick real time alerts and even predicts which players could make it back to you. And with fantasy pros premium, you'll get help all season long with lineups, waivers, trades and more. Start your free trial today at fantasy pros.com/free. That's fantasy pros.com/free. All right, guys, let's get to a couple of receivers here that Erickson is struggling to rank. Erickson, who's your first guy here? It's got to be Rashi Rice, right? A player that I don't think you can do a polarizing list of players for this season and not have him on there because you could see cases where, yeah, he should be a top-5 wide receiver because when he played last year, that's what his points for game was. He was a top-5 fantasy wide receiver. And then you have him down here, I believe, so ECR hasn't at Y Receiver 13. The last time I checked real-time ADP, he was Y Receiver 16. That's still what it is. I have it up right here. That doesn't really shock me because when you're in the draft board and you see Rashi Rice's name available to you, it's a hard click to make, even if you're a bowl on Rice and what he can do talent-wise and what his on-field production because of all the off-field stuff, because he's coming off of the injury. He was rehabbing in jail. So there's a lot of factors to play at Rashi Rice. I'm leaning towards how to scooping up the value, though, because I'm just kind of looking at, look, seventh overall in Red Zone targets last year. He played eight games. He was seventh overall. Second in Red Zone targets per game, and I know I've talked about this when you're trying to find that number one wide receiver overall. That guy has usually been accompanied by whoever leads the NFL in Red Zone targets. And maybe it's not as much Red Zone volume for Rashi Rice because of Ken Walker taking on a bigger role in the Chief's offense. But I think that it's still pretty clear that Patrick Mahomes goes to Rashi Rice when they get close to scoring. And even reading some of the training camp report, it's like, "Oh, touch up Rashi Rice in the Red Zone for Patrick Mahomes." So I still think the upside is there for him to be a top five fantasy wide receiver. And in fact, you're not getting that wide receiver 16. I think that's ultimately where I settle on Rashi Rice. But I'm sure to see here what a Nathan has to say about a pretty polarizing guy like Rice. Yeah, Rice is someone that throughout his career, I was high on this year. I'm lower on him. I have him as wide receiver 19 for this year. First off, all the great things we were saying about Walker before with Devon HN that applies here. I think Walker's going to be running the ball a ton for Kansas City this year. I don't think they will be nearly as pass-heavy as they have in the past. And especially in the Red Zone where they have been extremely pass-heavy relative to the rest of the league. I don't think that'll be the case this year, not that they have Walker. So I think the volume won't be there as much for Rice. And I think the change in offensive coordinator will also play a role here. I think we'll see something more similar to what we've seen from Eric the enemy in the past with Kansas City where all of the wide receivers had more middle of the range average depth of targets where Rashi Rice has been someone who at there's a general correlation between how good a wide receiver is and how good his fantasy value is. There's obviously a ton of variables in there. But Rice is kind of at an extreme where pf at grades haven't been as high compared to other wide receivers who have been extremely good in fantasy. It's because he's been getting those low average depth of targets that we don't see as much from other wide receivers. And I think his average depth of target will be higher this year in this new offense. And I don't know how he will adjust to that. I also know he is close to in store for a new contract. And I don't know if Kansas City wants to give it to him. And we also saw last year that they built this offense around Rice and it didn't really work. They didn't make the playoffs even though they're an offense with Patrick Mahomes. So I don't think they'll want to do the same thing they did last year because it wasn't working for them. I also, as they were worthy, I trust last year that it was a shoulder issue that caused him to not play as well as we think he can play. So I think where they will be more involved. And then Cyrus Allen another guy that we've been high on in general. We saw the training camp clips early in training camp. I think things have slowed down a little bit for him, but he's been playing in the slot throughout the preseason. And that's where Rashid Rice plays. So I found it's going to see any playing time. It's going to be at the expense of Rice. Eric said, I want to get to the next player. But before I do, I just have to ask because they are back to back in real time ADP at the position Rashid Rice and your boy Zay flowers that you have talked about in a lot of shows. Who would you rather draft right now? Is it the guy you've been touting a lot of shows with me in flowers? Or is the red zone usage and just the chief's offense of it all enough for you to lean to Rice there? And this one's so tough for me because I think my ranking still have Rashid Rice ahead because I am leaning more into the fact that he was still projected to be the chief's number one wide receiver. And he does get red zone targets, which they flowers till this point still has not really gotten. And I know that's me projecting, but it feels so just gross to say that because I love Zay flowers so much. But right now, I have my rankings that have Rice ahead. So, let's get the changes. You got one more receiver here for us. Luther Bird and I'll just spoil it for you. And the reason I want to bring him up is there. If you look at Expert Consensus rankings at phantasypro's.com/rankings, one of the columns you can see is standard deviation, basically how spread out these rankings are. And it's a good exercise really for a segment like this when we're trying to talk about polarizing players that are kind of all over the place. And he has one of the larger standard deviations on our tracking system of any of the receivers in this range. So I think it's a great pick by you, Erickson, for this section. Wide receiver 24 in ECR. If you look at ADP, I had it up a second ago. He's at about 55th overall. Again, wide receiver 24. Where are you at? No, I want to throw it to Nathan first because he's going to spin the positive for Luther Bird. And I don't want to rain on anyone's parade. I'll do it. I'll save it for the end. So take it away, Nathan. There. Yeah. I'm high on him. I have him as my wide receiver 17. I really like what I saw out of him in his rookie season, 77.7 PFF grade, 2.69 yards per run. Third best for wide receivers. A lot of times when a player is playing in a smaller role at wide receiver in their rookie season, it's often in a particular role, whether it's the slot in 11 personnel or a different spot in 11 personnel, maybe only playing in 12 personnel, but per burden, they were playing him in all over the place in different situations, just not as high as the depth chart as some of the other wide receivers. So we were seeing him sometimes in 11 personnel. We were seeing him in 12 personnel. We've seen him in the slot. We've seen him out wide. We've even seen him in 13 personnel. And where he really excelled was 12 personnel where he averaged 6.51 yards per run. And that's where Chicago is going to live this year. I know a big concern people have around him is the competition for targets. Close and loved ones also great. Roma Dune Zay. Hopefully healthier this year. I think he'll also have a good season, but I think it's fine to have three good receivers when there's not much else to throw to. Philadelphia comes to mind with AJ Brown, Devante Smith and Dallas, Goddard and recent seasons. We've seen all three of them be fine for fantasy relative to their talent. And then it's just Ben Jahan Dotsin at the bottom of the league in terms of target share each season. And also not as many targets to the running backs. And I can see that in Chicago. I don't think they're going to throw too much to any of their other options outside of these three players. So I think all three of these players can do fine relative to their ADP. And then I know there's the injury and hopefully he's okay. But I from what I've heard it sounds like he should be fine for week one and beyond. But there's always a chance that that injury lingers on. And then I end up not doing so well with all my burden shares. Eric said I was going to let you be the rain first. And then Nathan could be the rainbow coming in afterwards. Instead, you want to let him have his parade and then come reenon it. Yes, exactly. You better have an umbrella ready, Nathan. So burden to me, I am out on this year at his cost at ECR ADP wide receiver 24. I prefer Roman dunes. If I'm going to make a bet on a bear's wide receiver, I'm actually going with the adunes. And you've kind of seen their ADPs kind of converge a little bit because of the injury that with the burden is playing through the Scroin injury. I think that's open up opportunities for Roman dunes a to establish even more chemistry and report with Caleb Williams because through two years, it really hasn't been there for those two players. They are not always on the same page, especially when Caleb Williams has been throwing them all down the field. But to me, that just screams, okay, some positive aggression is going to come. Like eventually they're going to cash in on some of these big plays. And that's when you could see Roman dunes having a monster season. I looked at this when I was identifying first year players to become wide receiver ones for the very first time, year three. Like that is the big year, 33% of wide receivers become wide receiver ones for the first time into the third season. Rome is built from year three. So I'm bullish on Rome to take a big step, especially when he did the beginning of last year before his foot injury, his foot looks like it's going to be good to go. And then with burden, I get concerned about what's his touchdown upside. Because when I look at he had four red zone targets last year, he didn't really have a massive role in that offense, even when he was being used in a more efficient ways around the formation. I think he's going to take a backseat to leveling and Odunzai in the red zone, even if they're all seeing a lot of volume because I do think that all three guys can put up yardage and catches because of how bad this bear's defense is going to be. I think from a touchdown standpoint, I think that burden's going to be at least third in the pecking order, maybe even fourth behind the running backs as well. So I think that kind of makes me feel a little bit safer about potentially fading Luther burden. And going back to the price, I've done some studies in terms of just like identifying wide receiver busts based on ADP. And the very common thread for that is it's the player going drafted the highest without the actual production to back it up. I mean, last year Luther burden, again, great efficiency marks on a smaller sample size. He was still wide receiver 48. And now he's going as wide, I mean, he finishes wide receiver 24. Then that's a dramatic improvement from what he did as a rookie. But you feel like it's a disappointment because of where you drafted and what the expectations were. So systematically speaking, that kind of removes burden from my draft or for the most part. And I'm just much more interested in some of those other bears players, especially with adoons this time is going after Luther burden. Quick note before we get to some audience Q&A, stay ahead of your league with real time ADP. I've been mentioning it throughout this segment. Unlike traditional ADP, it quickly detects shifts and where players are being selected. So you see where they're being drafted now. Not yesterday. Get the most up to date ADP on draft day at fantasyprose.com/realadp. You can see on that graphic too. You've got the trends in the last 24 hours, trends in the last week. It's really helpful. I would strongly recommend it for anybody checking any sort of ADP listing. Let's see if we can squeeze in some speed around Q&A here before we get to the next segment. Nathan, I'll start with you. What do you think about Dejan Striblin? I think I was high on hand when he got drafted. as well. But I think with San Francisco, they have so many of the older wide receivers. I know they're already dealing with injuries, but they rotate their wide receivers a lot to begin with. They don't want their wide receivers as much in those two wide receivers set. So I think he's whether or not he's a starter. He's going to see plenty of playing time and could very well be the top wide receiver for San Francisco this year. Erickson, can a lot of a be a top 12 receiver this year? Yes, definitely. He was a top 12 wide receiver last season. He has really no target competition besides like Chauhan Johnson now that Jordan Tyson is sidelined with his hamstring injury. And we don't know when Tyson's going to come back. I had to move a larvae up the rankings after got the announcement of Tyson missing at least a month of the regular season, if not more. And he plays the Lions in week one. Like Chris Olave, 30 burger loading is going to happen. So if you draft him, you're going to feel really good about week one. Nathan, if you have the 101 and a 10 team PPR draft, would you rather bowers at the two three turn, Loveland at the four or five turn or neither? I'm probably going neither. I like some of the later Titans Tucker craft. George Kiddell, I think they aren't going high enough considering their injuries, but they should be ready for week one. So I'm happy to get those veteran Titans a little later. Erickson, what do you think about this one? Same question. I think Loveland at the four or five turn is probably the one I'm interested in the most. And I'm glad that they specified 10 team PPR. I think that's where you get more bang for your buck going with that elite tight end in the specific scoring format versus like a 12 team standard league, having that elite tight end rack up a bunch of receptions. That doesn't help you because one of these late round Titans could just catch touchdown and they outscore your elite tight end because other way the scoring format is set up. I totally agree. Let's do one more for this segment here. I find it a lot of mocks. I have to choose between Christian Watson and Parker Washington because it's hard to get both with where they're going. Who would you guys take in PPR Erickson? Who do you prefer between Watson and Parker Washington? I don't think Christian Watson. Nathan. How do Parker Washington? All right, so we're going to head there. We'll go ahead and wrap up the segment here. Don't go anywhere. We've got league winners and sleeper stacks coming up here in just a minute with Tara Roberts joining us. Nathan, thank you so much for coming on. The fantasy best 2026 and like I said, don't go anywhere. Thanks for listening to the fantasy pros fantasy football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts at fantasyproves.com/review or on Spotify. Follow us on X, Instagram and TikTok at fantasyproves and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/manusiproves. Listen to the late-round fantasy football podcast in the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. College football will hijack your weekend, ruin your sleep and break your heart. And that's why we make the Sullivan Purple College football show. I'm Ty Hildenbrand. He's Dan Rubenstein. Every week, we preview the games that matter in the storylines that are going to ignite your group chat. And you can join us in the aftermath as we react to what happened, why it matters and how the sport went completely bonkers yet again. Listen to the solid verbal college football show on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. On August 4th, 1962, Marilyn Monroe died, then the rumors started and she died again. And now, we're going to set the record straight and learn about the way Marilyn Monroe actually died the third way. I'm Jake Brennan, and on my podcast Hollywoodland, I revisit some of the biggest stories from Hollywood history, separating the myths people want to believe from the reality underneath them. Hollywoodland is part of the exactly right network. Listen to new episodes every Monday on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. In February of 2024, celebrated illustrator and children's book author Patre Mathers and her husband Michael mailed letters to dozens of friends and family members to let them know they had died by suicide. Dear Hunnies, this is goodbye. By the time you get to let her both picture and I will be dead. Next stop Wonderland. Why did they do it? And what did it do to the people they left behind? Listen to death of an artist on the iHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Marin Hampton is highlighted as a polarizing but high-ceiling running back for the Chargers, with potential for a top-5 season due to Mike McDaniel’s offensive philosophy and his receiving upside, though schedule challenges and line injuries create risk.
  2. Devon H. Chan is ranked as a top-tier volume running back in the early-to-mid second round, with strong projections due to Bobby Slovik’s offensive coordinator and consistent touches, though injury risk remains.
  3. Kenneth Walker is seen as a high-upside pick for the Chiefs, with potential to break out in rushing and receiving, especially in a new offense focused on a mobile backfield.
  4. Rashi Rice is viewed as a value play with red-zone targets and elite fantasy production, though concerns over reduced volume due to Ken Walker’s role and offensive shift in Kansas City limit confidence.
  5. Luther Bird is identified as a polarizing, high-standard deviation receiver with potential for breakout growth, especially with improved chemistry between Burrow and Roman Dunes, though injury and target share concerns remain.
  6. The segment emphasizes real-time ADP tracking as crucial for draft strategy, and highlights that volume, talent, and offensive environment are key in evaluating polarizing players.

Summary:

This fantasy football segment from Fantasy Pros features a deep dive into polarizing players, focusing on running backs and wide receivers with high upside but significant risk. Marin Hampton, the Chargers’ running back, is ranked as a high-ceiling mid-second-round pick due to Mike McDaniel’s pass-heavy offense and strong receiving skills, though concerns about offensive line injuries and a tough schedule create volatility. Devon H.

Chan is praised for volume and consistent production in a new offensive system, with a strong case for a mid-second-round selection. Kenneth Walker is seen as a breakout opportunity with the Chiefs, where his blend of speed and receiving ability could ignite a dominant season. Rashi Rice remains a debated pick, with strong red-zone targets but reduced volume due to the Chiefs’ shift to a more balanced offense.

Luther Bird is highlighted as a high-risk, high-reward receiver with potential breakout growth, particularly if Burrow and Dunes develop better chemistry. The panel stresses the importance of real-time ADP data and context—such as offensive schemes, target volume, and injury history—to make informed decisions. Ultimately, the segment underscores that while polarizing players offer high upside, success depends on balancing talent, volume, and situational risk.

FAQs

The episode highlights running backs Marin Hampton and Devon Haden, as well as wide receiver Rashi Rice and Luther Burden, due to their inconsistent performance, offensive line stability, and injury concerns.

Marin Hampton is currently ranked at RB 11 in real-time ADP, placing him in the early to mid-second round, and is considered a high-upside, high-risk pick due to offensive line concerns and a volatile schedule.

Devon Haden is seen as a high-volume target due to the Chiefs' reliance on a three-down skill set and a quarterback who frequently uses designed plays. His ability to catch passes and score touchdowns in a mobile offense gives him a strong ceiling.

Rashi Rice has strong red zone targets and receiving skills, but his fantasy value is questioned due to a shift in Kansas City's offense, reduced red zone volume, and concerns about his long-term role and contract negotiations.

Luther Burden's ADP has risen significantly from his rookie season, and his high draft position with limited production raises concerns about sustainability, suggesting potential for a fantasy bust despite positive stats.

Erickson is more bullish on Hampton due to Mike McDaniel’s offensive philosophy and high ceiling for touchdowns, while Nathan leans on volume and talent, believing Haden has more upside in a stable, high-volume offense.

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