BOLD Predictions + Patriots vs Seahawks Game Preview! (09/08 Fantasy Football Podcast)
47m 53s
The podcast delivers bold fantasy football predictions for Week 1, focusing on high-risk, high-reward player performances. Dave predicts that three key running backs—Ashton Genty, Jeremiah Love, and Breeze Hall—will fall short of 15 PPR points per game, citing injuries, offensive weaknesses, and personnel shifts. Jamie forecasts Kyle Pitts will exceed 100 catches and targets, while asserting that Jameer Gibbs will outperform every running back in the last decade except Christian McCaffrey due to his goal-line dominance and increased role in a high-scoring offense. Additional predictions include a potential benching of Cardinals QB Jacobi Benet by week five, driven by a difficult schedule and offensive inconsistency. The hosts also highlight the Packers' passing game as a fantasy powerhouse, with Jordan Love expected to reach top-10 quarterback status and Christian Watson and Jayne Reed both projected for top-20 fantasy performances. Injuries and roster changes—such as Mike Evans, Nick Bosa, and Tyler Smith’s status—are discussed as key factors affecting matchups. The Patriots vs. Seahawks preview emphasizes the strength of both teams’ run defenses, though the Patriots’ improved secondary and better matchup in key areas like AJ Brown’s exposure to a weak Seahawks defense are seen as favorable. The hosts stress caution in starting high-upside players like Drake May or Parker Washington, while recommending benching or stashing players like Darnell Washington or Shaheed for later weeks. A key takeaway is the unpredictability of short-term injuries and roster decisions, especially in teams like the Packers and Cardinals, where backup depth and schedule challenges could redefine fantasy value early in the season. The discussion wraps with a lighthearted moment on fantasy drafting rules, including a trade reversal during a draft, and a fun segment on team name submissions from fans, including a 10-year-old’s draft strategy. The show concludes with a reminder that while bold predictions exist, traditional fantasy strategy—such as starting proven players in tough matchups—remains essential in Week 1.
This is fantasy football today from CBS sports It's time to dominate your fantasy league Now here's some combination of Adam Dave Jamie and he Let's get bold today. Let's get preview e today both predictions and Seattle, New England coming up on fantasy football today. Welcome. It is Tuesday, September 8th. It is time for week one I know a lot of you are still drafting today, but most of your drafts have concluded If you want to play in a league, I've been exciting opportunity for you Which I'm going to tell you about in just a moment. Good morning, Dave Richard It's here week one Good morning, Adam. Thank you. Yes. Good morning. Jamie. What do you think about this Wednesday Thursday thing instead of Thursday Friday? Wednesday Thursday thing Well the schedule of the games. Yeah, um, I think it's fun. We get more days of football Well, not really. I liked what I liked the Thursday Friday that they did Dude, how long was the break between the end of the stupid preseason to now get ready for Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday Wednesday nights a great night for football Listen people this is really for the YouTube the people on YouTube right now the dedicated people who are here At 8.40 in the morning or earlier if you're not on the east coast. I've got two teams in the FFT open that We're paid for but never the invite was never accepted and the teams were auto drafted Starting lineups are good the benches are not if you want to be in Put it in the chat or email me right now first two people to email fantasy football at CBSi.com Fantasy football at CBSi.com if you want to manage one of those teams You don't have to pay anything. You're just going to be in the FFT open send me an email right now Fantasy football at CBSi.com if you are listening I'm going to tell you that based on the chat right now the spots have already been filled no need to If you're just listening to the podcast later no need to email me. Okay. Let's start with one bull prediction Dave why don't you go first So I gave these three bull predictions. I'll give one of them now. Obviously, but if you want me to give you a couple of other ones That are a little less bold. I will add them, but let's just start with this one Ashton genty Jeremiah love breeze hall all fail the average 15 ppr points per game this season Ashton genty Jeremiah love and breeze hall Less than 15 points per game. Okay. Who concerns you the most like how would you most likely to score 15 points per game? in that group Jeremiah love would be the one that's most likely to know that's not true ashen genty and then Jeremiah love and then breeze hall So I guess breeze hall would be the one that concerns me the most, but they all concerned me, you know, one thing that got lost along the way for Genty on on top of the injury and everything else is I don't know how good the Raiders offense is going to be as far as scoring touchdowns I believe that Brock Bowers will get a ton of targets. I think genty will get plenty of targets too But once he got hurt. I think the door kind of cracked open a little bit for Mike Washington to take some work away from him. We know about Clint Kubiak and his track record with multiple running backs certainly in Seattle last year Does he does he kind of lean into that at least to begin the year until genty feels closer to 100% I think that these are all realities that could keep genty from hitting his ceiling this year Jeremiah love. He's also got an injury that could hold them back early on in the year and Arizona's offense I think it'll take to the air a little bit too much I think it'll catch some passes and then breeze hall. That's just a Jets offense that I'm trying to avoid The players that I'm taking in New York are either Garrett Wilson or Add and I Mitchell with like a final round pick just to put on my bench to see what happens the first few weeks of the season Yeah, I mean if people are obviously worried about action genty with the Mike Washington thing but like they took action genty Top five what was he top 10 whatever he was seven. I believe seventh overall and So Mike Washington the fourth round. It'd be pretty unusual for Like he's gonna get some work right? You're like Jesse. Sorry starting here. Jenny can't get every touch but I feel like genty's gonna dominate that backfield I know there's been no Mike Washington's good. He should He should he you'll get he'll get the touches that matter. You should You know, I hope that that's the case. I don't think it's gonna be a deal where he's Kenneth Walker and my Washington is Zach Charbonne, right? Right. Right. So imagine Kenneth Walker Taking on more of the Charbonne role and Washington having a bunch of trap back snaps and touches They're gonna be staying a little bit, but I think genty is I worry about the injury and how he does come back for that he was taking six overall by the way Adam Sixson. I think that it's it's I don't think he'll be and and I didn't think it really much until Or I didn't really think much of it at all during the offseason. Yeah Okay, just to move on there there actually been some pretty good round for running backs In recent seasons last year's Tutan and cam scataboo the year before that it was bucket. You're in Tutan was Yeah, that's true. Well, he didn't do that much It was scataboo the year before that it was bucket Irving Damian Pierce a few years before that But most of them don't really do much. Oh Woody marks. Woody marks was the other guy last year. Okay. Jamie. Give me a bowl prediction much There will be three tight ends to catch at least one hundred passes this season With Brock Bowers Tray McBride and Kyle Pitts And Bowers will break Tray McBride's record of catches last season at the position With 126 so he'll get 127 Wow Bowers wow that'd be amazing Man has there ever been three tight ends with a hundred catches? I don't think there's ever been two There have been two that was all you're right. It was uh McBowers record season. Yes. Bowers McBride 1211. Okay. All right. That's that's a pretty big endorsement for Kyle Pitts Jamie Well, I mean the targets should be there If you're into prop bets, I would take the over on his four and a half catches for this week But pits is going to be heavily involved as long as two as the starter and I don't think even matters if two is not the starter Because they're gonna just this offense is going to feed Kyle Pitts as long as he's healthy So I don't think he's getting over like 105 106 But I think he gets over 100. What do you got 88 last year? So it's not like it's a huge leap for him to get to 100 Okay And let's get to I'll give you one here and then we'll get into the news and notes because you probably saw yesterday Christian McAfry was not seen at practice Of course um my um actually he he's it we're in the future now. So he was a practice Yeah, I their time traveling. So we think McAfry should be just fine Um Devonte Smith outscores Justin Jefferson parentheses and Zay flowers But the whole part is that he outscores Justin Jefferson Devonte Smith played three games over the last two seasons huge sample size without AJ Brown He had nine to ten targets in all three games But he played 17 games in the last four seasons with AJ Brown But without Dallas Goddard with Brown, but without Dallas Goddard And in those 17 games he averaged 17.1 PPR fantasy points per game I think it's possible he could do even better than that because that was without Goddard not without AJ Brown Last year Justin Jefferson didn't come close to that Jefferson average like 11 and a half 11.90 The other point eight other point nine PPR fantasy points again Obviously Jefferson usually smashes That 17.1 points per game, but you know, Dave has a bowl prediction or I think no We're doing superlatives. Do you have a bowl prediction about Justin Jefferson? Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, that he fails average 16 PPR points per game. So this would be this would be that too Very I'm I'm with you on this Yeah, I mean, I don't I would still draft Jefferson ahead of Smith, but I think it's pretty It's in the certainly well, it's not even that bold the third round pick could outperform like a one-two turn Pick but there you go, Devante Smith set up for success. We love it. It's ever heath He does like Devante Smith, but not as much as us. All right news and notes Christian McCaffrey's fine Nick Bosa expected to play this game is Thursday in Australia George Kittle trending in the right direction, but we'll see Mike Evans said that his injuries in training camp were minor and he could have played through them. So he'll play and Yeah, I don't know I mean, it's you guys starting or sitting Mike Evans this week Starting him and three. See really sitting mentor. See really yes, number three receiver And Adam Schefter says there's a real possibility that Puka Nukuah avoids suspension this season He says it doesn't sound like he's going to be facing discipline as of right now But he was quick to say, you know, that's as of right now and sort of imply things can change also Aaron Donald's status is uncertain for week one Seattle wide receiver Tori Horton was limited in practice. They're playing tomorrow Arizona optimistic about Jeremiah love playing in week one Romo Dune's a mispractice. So we'll check on that one Kalmanon guy though. He was back Travian Henderson. We're not expecting him right now for week one Sean Tucker's going to be a game time decision for week one due to an undisclosed injury Jamar Chase and T Higgins look like they're going to be fine. A mecca Buka practice You guys expecting a Buka as of right now Yes. Yes. How about Malik neighbors? Have you ranked him? Yes. Yes. Oh, okay. Cool Michael Pennick's junior is going to be inactive and to a tongue-by-low is going to start week one But we don't know how
long that's going to continue, but it's clear that Penix does not, is not fully healthy right now. I mean, they're not even hiding that. He's not quite ready to go to be full-go. They start with Pittsburgh on the road, then Carolina. That's Atlanta. Alec Pierce expected a play week one. Looks like the Colts had a lot of injuries, like minor ones, looks like everybody's fine. They'll be good to go. Zach Sharbanay, we know he's out at least four games, but he's making good progress. The Jets are playing the Titans week one. They could be playing the Titans without their leading tackler from last year, Sedric Gray, who suffered a concussion. Hope he gets better soon. Chargers running back, Keaton Mitchell practice. That's good to see. A lot of guys getting healthy here, ahead of week one. Joey Porter, Jr. is another guy. He's got the health issues and the contract issues, but Mike McCarthy, Jr. expects his top corner back in Pittsburgh. Joey Porter, Jr. to play in week one, and again, that's against Atlanta. Dallas, left guard, Tyler Smith. As Jamie, is this a big deal, Tyler Smith starting left guard, three straight probals. He's going to miss at least four games. He's on IR with a thumb injury, is having surgery. Not good, but obviously there's time for him to get back and hopefully be a big part of what Dallas is looking to do as a team and what we need them to do for fantasy managers. But you never want to see some key piece of an offense, certainly a key piece of an offensive line go down right before the start of the season. You know, there's never an ideal time for injuries, but not having enough practice time to find the right replacement is a little bit questionable. He had the seventh highest grade from PFF. This means something to you. Seventh highest grade and run blocking among all guards last year. So that's a big mess and that interior offensive line. I don't know if it's enough this week to lower expectations for Javante Williams, but there will be matchups coming up where I will. Got the Giants Sunday night. Giants, I would expect to be a little weak against the run. They were terrible last year. They signed a bunch of like washed up defensive tackles. They drafted our Valries, but I'd watch out for that game against Baltimore and week three in Houston and week four. Those could be uglier for Javante. Yeah. I would think that Matt Ibouquet will be backed by then for Baltimore, probably not this week. Cleveland could have a package for rookie quarterback Taylan Green who's a terrific athlete. And the Giants release, Darius Slayton and signed James Winston to a two year $13 million extension. All right. Let's take a real quick break and we'll do our bowl predictions. We'll get those out of the way. We'll tell you who to start and who to sit when the Patriots and the Seahawks meet. These are two exciting teams with good players on offense, but unfortunately they're running into buzz saws on defense. We'll be right back on fantasy football today. I'm going to talk to you right now about Omaha stakes. And this is a perfect time for me to do it because just last night. I cooked four Omaha stakes for my family and they were awesome and we completely devoured them. And tonight Omaha stakes burgers and hot dogs for the family. They also have seafood and side dishes. They have so many things at Omaha stakes. If you want affordable, easy to make delicious food, Omaha stakes is honestly a no brainer. This is like having a trusted butcher and gourmet shop in your kitchen. And let me tell you about the burgers, incredible deal here. Try a burger perfection flight for just $79.99. This is what you're getting. 20 premium steak burgers crafted from five distinct cuts of steak, each with its own unique flavor profile and texture, again, incredible value. So try the burger perfection flight from OmahaStakes.com today. That's 20 premium steak burgers for just $79.99 plus get $35 off with the promo code FFT. That's OmahaStakes.com promo code FFT for $35 off at checkout. Terms apply seasite for details. FYI, for those of you watching on YouTube, the position has been filled. The two FFT openly. So I want to thank everybody for emailing me so quickly and they have been filled. So you can stop. Let's get back to the bold predictions here. And Dave has a Justin Jefferson, Rishi Rice, bold prediction. Go ahead. You already know the Jefferson part of it, Rishi Rice fails average 15 PPR points per game this year. I'm going to point back to what he did in games where the chiefs were able to run the ball over the past. What is it? Two seasons, three seasons that he's done it. There have been 18 career games where chiefs running back is at 15 plus carries. Rice had 17 or more PPR points and eight of them. That's eight of 18, 14 PPR points in one game and 13 or fewer in nine of 18. So half the time, he didn't even get to 14 full PPR points per game. We're all on board with Kenneth Walker having a big year. Sounds like Walker's also going to work in the passing game. That'll take those easy targets away from Rishi Rice. I am nervous about Rishi Rice finishing. They were close to where expectations are. And Jamie, your second bold prediction. So this is depressing if you drafted these guys or a fun if you drafted some of these handcuffs. But by week 10 and from week 10 to the end of the season, the top four running backs in the NFC West will be hailing black for the 49ers, Tyler Algier, for the Cardinals, Zach Sharbinay for the Seahawks and Blake Korum for the Rams. Why am I smiling? I don't know if this is something that I want to hear, but it's interesting. It's interesting for sure. You can easily see it happening because you have, Jeremy I love already banged up. You have the history of Christian McCaffrey after 400 touch seasons. You know what they're trying to do for the Rams and if there's an injury to Cardinals Williams, clearly Blake Korum will be a potential superstar and if Zach Sharbinay comes back and is anything close to his best shape top form, he could be the best running back in Seattle. Don't love to see this happen if it does, but could see it happen if it, you know, some things go a certain way. Okay. My second bowl prediction is that Jameer Gibbs will average more PPR fantasy points than any running back in the last decade other than Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey's been around 29 fantasy points per game and on separate occasions, which is just amazing. He'd have, I think second best is somewhere around 26.5 I want to say it was Todd Gurley someone and maybe Levy on bell or something like that, but yeah, I think the set up is just amazing for Jameer Gibbs. Since entering the league, he's played three years. He leads all running backs and fantasy points per touch. And he's done that with David Montgomery having the second most goal line carries in football in that three year stretch. Montgomery's been their goal line back. Jameer Gibbs is going to be their goal line back. He's been amazing at the goal line. You know, one thing about Gibbs that I mentioned a long time ago that I haven't really mentioned since much anyway is that the guy who really, like people always talk about James and Williams benefited so much from the Laporta injury. The guy who really benefited, I think the most was Gibbs. His catch, his catches went berserk after the Laporta injury and he really wasn't on pace for that many catches before it. So it's one thing to keep in mind is the only thing that could hold them back. But he's an amazing player on an offense that we think could lead the NFL in scoring. That doesn't have to share the touchdowns anymore. And when I, man, I wish I had this, that I think is games where he's like, over the last two years, he's played something like 17 games where he's had 15 or more carries and he's averaged about 25 fantasy points per game. I might be a little off on the numbers, but you get the picture Jameer Gibbs is going to smash fantasy and it's going to be a little unfair. We've had a few years in a row where we haven't had a player that was just completely unfair and you couldn't win if you played against him. Well, Jameer Gibbs is going to win everybody there, fantasy league. Dave, round three for you. Let's, we've got a lot of correlated points. Yeah, sure do. This is another one. Jared Goff finishes top five in fantasy points per game. Lions finish first in the NFL in points per game. And so now you've got me thinking, if Jameer Gibbs is going to have a smash season, does that mean Jared Goff can have a smash season also? Yeah, because Gibbs could catch six, seven touchdowns. Well, sure, sure, sure. But now like, obviously, I don't have the research in front of me, but now I'm curious in all the years where CMC was awesome and girly and you can go back to Lydany and Tomlinson, how many of those years did the quarterback? How about last year? Last year. How about let, look, your prediction is that Goff is top five in fantasy points per game. Last year McCaffrey was number one and Purdy was number six per game. Oh, so I'm way off. Purdy, obviously ran, but no, this could happen. No, obviously, and part of the reason why you love Jameer Gibbs so much is because of what he can do in the passing game. And I'm, I feel okay about the Lions offensive line. And obviously I love the Lions because he's, Jared Goff has been good for, he's been solid for a long time. I worry about that defense. I think they've got three good defenders healthy right now. I don't know what's going to happen if or when their safety has come back this year. They've got to find somebody at corner back along the way. I'm nervous about the Lions defense being, and they weren't great last year. They weren't awesome the year before. I'm worried about them being even just like league average this year. And it just sets up for a bunch of high scoring games. And I think we're going to get our first one this week against New Orleans. Yeah, baby. All right, Jamie, what's your third bold prediction? I mean, you know, I've been excited about the Packers passing game since the Josh Jacobs news. And so I think it's going to be a fun year for Jordan Love for the receivers and for Tucker Kraft. And so love will be a top 10 fantasy quarterback, Tucker Kraft will be a top three tight end. And Christian Watson and Jayne Reed will both be top 20 wide receivers. So I think we get a lot of offensive production in the passing game. We'll see what happens with Jacobs in the court case and if that changes anything from
a run game perspective, but I saw what Jordan Love did in 2023. We all got excited about it in 2024. They added Josh Jacobs, it wasn't the same. And now we're gonna have, I think, a suspect run game, four games, potentially without Mike Parsons, three games without Mike Parsons. And so we get 30 plus pass times for Jordan Love, and that leads to a big season for everybody there, because we get concentrated targets. - What do you think about, for people who are still drafting? This sort of bold statement. The Packer's Backfield is the best backfield to draft both guys in-- - That's quite a statement. You sound like me. If you're gonna draft both members of a backfield, the Packer's Backfield is the best one to do it. - I don't know if I agree. - I don't know if I'd say it's the best. It's definitely a reasonable one based on cost. - Right. - So did this in a draft last night? It's not a matter of fact. It took March on Lloyd, I think, in round six, and Josh Jacobs in round 10. And so have both. You could clearly see if Jacobs is ruled out or stays on the exemplest for the rest of the season. You could just pivot to Christopher Brooks, who's probably available in a good portion of leagues, and well, if we still be available in the next couple of weeks, if we get the decision from the court case. But yeah, I mean, look, there's an easy path here for both two, you're gonna have a backup running back on your bench anyway, and aside from the off-field stuff, what Josh Jacobs does on the field is still the chance to be top 20 caliber. I don't know if he's still got top 10 caliber left, but top 20 caliber running back. So you would stay on that type of lottery ticket anyway. There's similar, I think I said this right. The rank, you know, Zach Sharbanay. - Zach Sharbanay? I mean, like, you know, in terms of like, sit waiting for somebody to come back and be in an impact type of player. - But yeah, but like if Sharbanay comes back, he's not gonna be like an every down back. Or he's not gonna be a primary back. He's gonna-- - Correct, it's not the same, but I mean, just waiting for somebody to come back and be a contributor to your fantasy roster. The difference is that Sharbanay sits on your IR spot versus Jacobs taking up a bench spot. So you'd hope to get some resolution soon so that you can either get that player back or get that roster spot back. - Exactly, yeah, because you're, you know, you have to, you have to roster a player that's giving you literally zeroes as long as he's out. Okay, so my last bull prediction is about, of course, Jacobi Berset. Why wouldn't it be? Jacobi Berset will either be a top 12 quarterback or benched by week five. And you know, we talk about offenses that could be good. Maybe the Cardinals could be pretty good because they're gonna lose a lot and they're gonna have to throw a lot and we've already seen this formula. And Berset was basically a must start guy for a pretty long stretch. Michael Wilson was setting the world on fire and Tremac Bride was one of, you know, had one of the best tight end stretches we've ever seen. So could they repeat it? I think the issue is their schedule is so hard. But like, Chargers and Seahawks to start and then at the Niners, at the Giants to Troy in weeks three through five, he could clean up there. But why I say he could be benched by a week five. It's like, it's just so obvious. So if they, if he starts struggling and they wanna look toward the future, maybe week five's a little bit too early. But, you know, obviously, which Kobe Berset could get benched for the rookie Carson Beck, which we would not want. But, you know, I think Berset entering the discussion as a streamer and basically the Cardinals putting up a lot of points because they have to throw and throw and throw. Happened last year? Could happen this year. - I think we should be a little bit worried about what happens if the Cardinals start O and five and they do make a switch to Carson Beck and whether or not Beck can be even remotely as effective as Jacobi Berset. And it's one thing for Carson Beck to play well in college and then look good in the Hall of Fame game. I'm very nervous about Carson Beck about a first against a first team defense and what it means for the receivers there. And so I can sit here and tell you that I expect the Cardinals offense to have better play designs and the receivers to just have better route combinations and to be open a little bit more frequently under Michael Floor. But I think things get harder for everybody involved. Less so McBride, more so the wide receivers because McBride is such a good short area target in the event that Jacobi Berset gets benched. - There is a wild card to all this though that he could still get benched and they go to Gardner Minchew. - Yeah. - And so if they go to Minchew, we've seen what that's been like, which has been good. You know, so it's not like it's a huge step down for all of these guys if they just feel like Beck is not ready because of the rib injury or they just want to give him some more time and just Berset stinks because that could easily happen as well. And that started to happen down the stretch a little bit last year also. That Berset was not playing at the same level from just a production standpoint. He was still getting us fantasy production but he was just not playing as well. And so I think the one thing that you look at here is to me, it's twofold. The schedule is drastically different and tougher than what we saw last season. - Yes. - And the run game's going to be better. I don't know if that means they are a great running team but they had nothing last year when everybody was injured and now you have love and Alger and maybe Connor at some point healthy. So like it could just take some of the high end production for all these guys off the table. - Well guys, it's time to preview a football game. Do we have a theme song for this? (singing in foreign language) No, no, you can't do it. That's for Thursday. This is Wednesday night football. It's got to be a different song, Dave. - Okay. - Let's hear it. - I don't know, I mean, I don't have one but I did a little boop at the boop, boop, boop, boop, boop. - Why don't you, you know what you should do? This is what you should do. Go back and get Dan's version of fantasy comp. - Yeah. It was so bad. - I know, but so what? - I don't know what that is but I already love it. When we did the show in Fort Lauderdale, the Melvagan Fort Lauderdale, Adam didn't have his mixer so they both tried to sing the fantasy comp's theme. - I nailed it. - He were close. I don't think you nailed it, but you're close. By comparison, Dan, you nailed it. By comparison, Dan, you wrote it. So it was Dan's just tone deaf. - Yeah, he really is. And the thing is 'cause you know him in his false provato. - It's not false provato. - Yeah, he thought he was better than me. Until people told them like, no, you were absolutely horrible. By the way, he drafted with me and my softball team last night we did the auction and he was online. It was online and he just was like trash talking be the entire time. I was like, who is this guy? No one knows him. Some people who listen, but they were like, why is this guy killing you? His team name is Anti-Azer. - Did he have a good auction? - He and I, he had a better auction than I did. It was a weird one, man. - Auction lesson learned, if everyone is going for more money than you plan on, than you are comfortable spending, well, you better get in on the spending or you're just gonna be left out on all the elite players. And that's what happened to me. - Oh. - All right, New England at Seattle. - Did you say that your softball team is better at drafting now than you are as a softball player or have they have the two things haven't caught up yet? - No, I think I'm better as a softball player. Like the $100 budget, I think the first I nominated Josh Allen to start the thing and I think he went for $25 or something like that. - Wow. - Yeah. New England at Seattle. - The two great defenses from last year. Patriots didn't really face great competition. Seahawks did, but the Seahawks, I actually, do we have an update on Nicki Minaj worry? - Do not practice on Monday. Neither did their new safety also tie a cow or a cow. - I thought he was limited on Monday. - Or, yeah. - You know I'm sorry. It was limited, Ocado did not practice. - Right. - All right, so again, they're already without two players from their secondary from last year who are on different teams. Now they might be without a starting safety and maybe another safety. Seattle won the Super Bowl 29-13. They dominated time of possession. 33 minutes, 11 seconds. They had six sacks, but Wil Campbell was playing hurt in that game. Stata the game, I guess would be for both of them is that both teams had amazing run defenses last year. The Seahawks fourth best against running backs. 3.57 yards per carry to running backs. They allowed only five carries longer than 13 yards all season, including the playoffs. The Patriots were arguably even better when they had Milton Williams. That was weeks one through 10, week 18 and the postseason. They weren't arguably, they were better. Running backs in those games average 3.1 yards per carry and scored two rushing touchdowns. By far, the best in the NFL. So are you guys feeling good about these, you know, round five, round six running backs from Andre Stevenson and Jadorian Price, Jamie? - Stevenson more so than price. Obviously not the best start for him. However, doesn't appear like Trevion Henderson's going to play. So giving him all the touches, you know, which is seems like he's gonna get then that gives him the chance to I still think be a number two running back. If you're looking at YouTube, I think Keith is very aggressive with it at number 12. But, you know, again, we love workload opportunities and the talk about him being involved in the passing game should come to fruition. You know, there's Hassan Haskins is most likely the number two running back right now or kinder, the running back that they took off of Arizona's roster. So I don't expect him to come off the field very much and that's a huge plus. So in looking at Stevenson, I would start him in looking at price if you can find another alternative. I would do so because we just don't know and how they're going to use the other band.
most likely George Halani. So when you have a tough run defense and then you have this very ambiguous situation because it's not just that there's no sharpening it's they they still plan to use other guys. Emmanuel Wilson's banged up right now so it'll see if he plays but I think just looking at it as if he comes off the field in a touchdown situation like that's going to really piss a lot of people off clearly and if he's not going to be heavily involved in the passing game I think that be a surprise but if I shouldn't say it shouldn't be a surprise if he's not involved in the passing game because we've seen them in the postseason you know when it was just Ken Walker like he got passing down opportunities but will they trust price in his first NFL game to pass protect in key situations. So I'm just a little bit concerned about price so I would say flex at best Stevenson low end number to running back. How about the Steelers running backs against Atlanta? Would you start the Steelers running backs over the running backs in this game? Stevenson over both easily. If you want to say that there's an obvious Steelers running back then I think that would be easy but the fact that again we just don't know. So they're all essentially back to back. I would lean doubt all first in this game because I think the Steelers are playing with a win of playing with the lead and that probably helps him in terms of a carry perspective. Like I'm going to like Warren Moore when there's more probably shoot out or chasing points scenario. So I think you go if anyone doubt will over price but again right now I think just in the early run of rankings for me I have it for a member correctly price and then both Steelers guys almost back to back to back. All right Dave let me throw some wide receivers at you compared to these running backs. Luther Burton at Carolina. Believe I have burden ahead of all the running backs if it's full PPR. How about Parker Washington against the Browns. You know I'm going to take Parker out of them. Okay how about Carnell Tate against the Jets? Would rather wait against or I would rather wait with Tate. I'm not trying to be cute with words I just would rather wait with him and not using this week. Marvin Harrison Jr. or a running back in this game. I've got MHJ behind Ramondra. Another tough call on this game might be Drake May. How are we feeling about Drake May Dave Richard? I think he's a top 10 quarterback. I lowered him a little bit but don't see him as a total liability. Went back and forth with him versus Jared Goff because I expect Goff to obviously put up a lot of points higher scoring game. I recognize this is a tough Seattle defense but it's just a better situation for him this time around. You mentioned Will Campbell being healthy. He's not going to be a turn style like he was in the Super Bowl. The receiving corps is obviously better and I just feel like I feel like the Patriots are actually going to win this game and May will be a significant part of it. We drafted him to be our starter. Seattle's defensive especially their past rush. I think that stays the same from last year. I worry about the secondary for the reasons you brought up. They're not going to be the same back there and because the Patriots made such huge additions I think that pays off for them and I think that Drake May will be okay this week. I think okay is the right word. I would actually start Baker May filled over Drake May this week. Just giving the potential shootout between the Bengals in the box. I was just thinking if somebody that had ranked that we drafted lower that had ranked higher. So he's outside of top 12 for me. Again, I'm not probably going to the waiver wire to pick somebody up to start in place of Drake May. I think kind of what you got from him in the Super Bowl which was 21.5 fantasy points is the ceiling. Did not play well in that game. Three turnovers in that game. Two interceptions in a fumble. The safeties are definitely an issue for the Seahawks. The receiving core is definitely a plus for the Patriots. I still think that past rush is going to be an issue for Drake May so I don't think we get a huge ceiling game from him. So if you are concerned there probably are some guys on the waiver wire you could pivot to. If you want to go to Tyler Schuck for example who's going to be an issue out with the Lions. If you want to go to Malik Willis. I wouldn't do that personally but just looking at guys that have good matchups or good situations this week. This is just one still a very tough defense. It's a very tough environment to go play and they're getting their Super Bowl accolades here in this game. It's a spotlight game so you know May wants revenge and clearly the Patriots game plan this off season was to help offset some of the things that they struggled with in really the playoffs but including the Super Bowl. So I think May will be okay. I just don't think you're going to get a big game from. So you know you asked Jared go out. Jared got started the week he's top five quarterback Drake May is outside the top 12. Okay. AJ Brown you're going to start. This is not an easy matchup. Seahawks last year they held Nico Collins, DK Mechaf, Devonte Adams, Debo Samuel, Justin Jefferson, Ricky Peersaw once, Tedero Macmillan, John Jennings twice and Stefan Diggs to 41 or fewer yards and 11 or fewer fantasy points. So look this is the way fantasy goes. You have great players. Sometimes they have bad games if AJ Brown does not do well in week one. Do not hit the panic button. You make trade off offers. Jackson Smith and Jigba. He I think he'll probably destroy but he might get shadowed by Christian Gonzalez and he might struggle in this game but you're obviously going to start him. Is there anyone else in this game? Am I forgetting anyone? We got the tight ends. We got the other wide receivers. We got Darnold. Am I forgetting anyone in this game? The odds would be the closest thing I think to the next starting option in the passing game for most fantasy managers. You want to take shots on Shaheed or maybe Cup or maybe Demaro Douglas. He's got some late camp buzz, especially once they moved on from Keishan Booty. I don't know if the tight ends to me just seem a little uninspiring in this game. Barner may catch a touchdown. Henry may catch a touchdown. A touchdown. It just feels like this could be a low scoring field go fest. My favorite, I mean, dobs you drafted. You're not going to cut him. Keep him on your bench. I like Holani's stash. Jamie's been talking in Holani as a good early season stash for a few weeks now. Shaheed, I guess, if you want to just stash somebody from this game, Barner is one other guy. One of those two will end up doing something decent that'll get some attention on Thursday morning. Okay. My dynasty team is hoping that Elijah Arroyo is good. Let's figure his trust for that. We talked about the fantasy cops earlier. I think David has to self-report himself to think, yeah, he has to turn himself in. It's also team name Tuesday. And we've got your emails. Start the DST's in this game, by the way, right? Yeah. Okay, where are the Patriots DST for you? Still top 10, but toward the bottom of that. Okay, so I suppose you like you'd start the Jaguars over them. Jaguars are my number one D-offense. Yes. So, oh, yeah. Chase the Browns every week. We'll pick up the box right now. I'm telling you they'll get them next week. It's just a good idea. Be the way, Roy. All right. We'll be right back with the rest of the show. Team name Tuesday, fantasy cops and more when we come back. Sweet sound of the fantasy cops. I got it right. Nailed it, right, Dave? Sort of. What'd you do while you're turning yourself in? I made a trade in my keeper league during the draft and it wasn't allowed. Apparently, we had passed a rule two years ago that I wasn't allowed to, or not me, but anybody was not allowed to make a trade during the draft. I'm pretty aggressive in my keeper league and the rest of the league doesn't like that I'm as aggressive as I am. So, I pulled off a trade. We had to stop the draft. I'd like to know what you guys would have done as commissioner and then I will compare to what the commissioner in this league did. I mean, I would have done the wrong thing. Which is? I would have, oh, and I would have reversed the trade. I mean, if you're not allowed to make trades during the draft and I was established two years ago, you can't do it. Yeah, why is that the wrong thing? Because that's the rule. What am I missing here? I thought you were saying as a commissioner, you're doing the wrong joke. A joke because I always suck at being a commissioner. Jamie, do you have any other sentiments? No, I mean, if the rule is you can't make trades, then you have to stop the draft and reverse the trade. So, this draft stopped eight picks after the trade. So, I had made the trade. I had taken the player that I wanted. And then eight picks later, everybody decided we need to stop and back this up. So, that's exactly what we did is we reversed the trade and the player that I took it was Jordan Mason in round, I think it was round eight, maybe round seven, who cares? And so, players that took a player after the trade had the option to take Jordan Mason. Mason was gone two picks after we reversed the trade and the draft went on as normal. But I got quite a, what do you call that? Like a chat lashing? Yeah, it's not a verbal lashing, but I got my ass whipped in the chat for that one. That's tough, but that, you know, what seems like you guys handled it well and kind of moved on quickly, right? I mean, we'll see. We'll see. I'm pretty sure everybody in the league is going to name their team after me and how I'm trying to break the rules. Well, Dave, we appreciate you. Dan, want to kick you out? Your integrity. I'm glad I was kicked out. There you go. That's one of your, one of your favorite leaks. Shout out Jonah Amstadder. Love Jonah. Great guy. He's awesome. Yeah. Really good at fantasy for someone as young as he is. How old is he? He's 10. All right. It's his dad was in the league, but he's the brains behind the operation. So a 10-year-old reversed your trade and. No, he's not the commissioner. He was in bed for the draft. No, but we had our, I had my advantage. His dad did the draft.
had my first father's son draft the other night was super fun it's great right yeah it was cool I really he's I said like who do you want on your team you know before we do the draft and he said he wanted McCaffrey he wanted Barclay forgot who else he said and we had the first pick and I was very nervous he was gonna take Barclay with the first pick but he we took Gibbs thank you did you did you said any parameters for when he's what seven now he's eight he's eight so did did he make multiple picks or did you have him just he made pretty much every pick yeah I mean I would tell him stuff like you already have a tight end so you don't need another tight end or whatever but they made all the picks and pretty I think pretty much all the I I was not expecting Israel Abana Canada to get drafted in the seventh round but these things happen it's fun I had my my 14 year old which is obviously the first one that I started with so now they're all doing it themselves completely and you know discussing a lot of there's a lot of trash talking and a lot of we used to do it for no money now they're they're just throwing money left and right so that's gonna be interesting see how rollers yeah let's go it's great I'm just like sitting there I'm like that's right new generation of fantasy of listeners cultivating audience for now do you do you have the the time to help both your wife and your son in their fantasy leagues you know my wife won the league last year so she's on her own now of course she did I mean of course she did but you know what she did which was really cool is you know we have the draft board now on the app and she cast it to the TV so which like okay this is I'm sure people are doing this but this the first time I've ever done that of like casting a draft to the TV it was very fun and seeing the draft board as it all unfolded team name Tuesday you know so many of the good ones are ones I can't read on the air but I'll read some Laporta Purdy that's pretty good to yeah basal toon's been a real gift but tutin up a storm as my guitar gent genty weeps it's good but it's while my guitar but that's either way while my guitar genty weeps is good beast of burden another classic rock song never gonna give you up with the Rick Astley meme thank you for never gonna let you downs there you go Mark Burrow man which was M.A.R.R.R. Burrow it was drafting both Chase and Burrow that was pretty good and then let's say I got some new ones here do you believe in Jim Miracles that's clever oh these are I cannot read these what's wrong with you people the big staphansky is good um we're naming teams after coaches yeah all right I think I probably have to stop there love at the Hampton Inn it's not bad okay these are laughing all the ones you can't say disgusting they're just all disgusting you and you try and refusate and bleep out the bed parts the whole thing is a bleep now they're well they can't all be bad they're just one to me and I'll I'll rephrase it for the show I promise not to curse no no these ones are like offensive I can't read these oh that's not a bad one for Mike if you want to show it oh it's not in the chat yeah let's see where is it Jackson that one yes about Chase so this is one about a human function involving Jackson Darden cam scataboo I'll read it Jackson sharts and cam scatapoo that's good when I saw along came Polly in theaters Ed's Philips Zeeber Hoffman said he's sharp right I mean that is an introduction of something that that will never go away we're gonna be saying that for decades I saw you know some clip pop up you know crediting him for for that and it's just amazing yeah I would love to know the origin of that if it was written if it was improv or well it's just I mean everything about that movies is so like underratedly funny with the basketball scene yeah oh the bad raid dance yeah that's a great scene that's where she said is pretty funny it's not like amazing but it's good okay thank you for your team names good luck this year of course so you're telling me there's E T I E N N E C is the is the best or N N C is is is my best one we don't have any Dan indigestion a lot of submissions a lot of those all right emails fantasy football at CBSI dot com I'll read a few here uh no name on this Dave who's this from oh this is from Adam but where's he from Adam is from Beaumont Texas I am in an archaic 12 team touchdown only league would you rather have Chris Rodriguez or George Halani C rod yeah Maggie says we haven't talked enough about Stefan digs and I think she's right do you think digs will do you think McLaren will far outscore digs or digs will command an equal number of targets or at least enough targets to be relevant the ladder yes far outscore digs far McLaren I don't think will far outscore digs I think it'll be relatively close and digs will definitely impact McLaren to two and a half ppr points per game difference which doesn't seem like a lot but it's a lot yeah I you know what he did last year what Stefan digs last year did sorry did last year I think at age 30 coming off a torn ACL it was really impressive and he definitely made McLaren a less appealing fantasy option it's also the offensive line like you know McLaren is going to when he does well make plays down the field and if Daniel doesn't have the same time to make plays down the field then Stefan digs should have bigger opportunities and if you think about it it was why I like tickle conkels wise accords was very good in 2024 it's you know that underneath player is something I think that Jane Daniels will lean on and I think that's now dicks I would just add that I would expect McLaren's role to change drastically from what we've seen the last two years and they know that their offensive line is going to be great and McLaren will start to get some layup targets I hope so I digs was 31 last year he's 32 now he'll be 33 he'll be 33 late November to old yeah that is old but he's a slot guy now and and that's an easier I don't know about that either I think you line up all over the play well yeah but the last like two or three years of his two years I think of his career he's been a slot guy like 50 percent I would worry about the A dot for Jane Daniels overall all right from Shane I need two flex spots for this week Chuba Hubbard against the bears Jake Ferguson at the Giants Romeo Dobbs at Seattle Dejan Stribbling at the Rams in in Australia the first two especially it Brooks is outer eliminated okay and then for another so that be Chuba and Jake Ferguson for another team but I put Stribbling in over Ferguson that was the I when I responded this I was like I think I'd go I definitely Chuba and I was like I go Stribbling maybe Ferguson I would only go struggling if Evans or Kittle do not play I don't think Kittle would you start Chuba over Stribbling if Jonathan Brooks plays it doesn't sound like Brooks is going to be like the workhorse guy that he may have been if Chuba was out so I think Chuba is going to have a pretty significant role do we know if it's PPR that just makes it easier for me I don't know if it's if that catches count for anything Stribbling in Ferguson should be over Chuba I just wonder how much dribbling is going to play week one with plus against that matchup I wonder how much Kittle all out yeah another flex spot Luther Burton at Carolina or Parker Washington against Cleveland I think I've Washington higher it's easily burden if Odunse is out and it's tougher if Odunse plays I would still probably lean burden but they're close beast of burden that is it for today's show I mean if you can find a way to get both them in your roster in your lineup that'd be great that would be pretty cool the fact that you're asking that question means you have pretty good options thank you all for watching and listening we've got so oh I lied about something I thought we were on CBS Sports Network today we're not we're still recording a show we will be on most Tuesday we're still recording a show in a layer on CBS Sports HQ and you'll be able to see it on YouTube but that show is not going to air on CBS Sports Network thank you everybody so much for watching and listening as I already said being very repetitive today and we'll talk to you tomorrow and we thank you for watching this thank you Paramount Podcasts Sunday the NFL on CBS is back with an electrifying week one double header the early slate features Josh Shallen in the bills taking on CJ Stroud in the Texans in Houston then it's a classic NFC North Battle as Jordan Love and the Packers visit the Vikings it all kicks off at noon eastern with the NFL today live in Minnesota see you Sunday with the NFL on CBS and streaming on Paramount Plus
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The hosts predict that Ashton Genty, Jeremiah Love, and Breeze Hall will all finish under 15 PPR points per game this season, citing injuries, offensive inefficiencies, and roster shifts as key concerns.
Jamie forecasts that Kyle Pitts will surpass 100 targets and reach over 100 catches, while also predicting that Jameer Gibbs will average more fantasy points than any other running back in the last decade except Christian McCaffrey.
The panel highlights that the Cardinals may bench Jacobi Benet by week five due to a tough schedule and offensive instability, while also noting that the Packers' passing game—especially with Jordan Love and Christian Watson—could produce top-tier fantasy production despite a suspect run game.
Summary:
The podcast delivers bold fantasy football predictions for Week 1, focusing on high-risk, high-reward player performances. Dave predicts that three key running backs—Ashton Genty, Jeremiah Love, and Breeze Hall—will fall short of 15 PPR points per game, citing injuries, offensive weaknesses, and personnel shifts. Jamie forecasts Kyle Pitts will exceed 100 catches and targets, while asserting that Jameer Gibbs will outperform every running back in the last decade except Christian McCaffrey due to his goal-line dominance and increased role in a high-scoring offense.
Additional predictions include a potential benching of Cardinals QB Jacobi Benet by week five, driven by a difficult schedule and offensive inconsistency. The hosts also highlight the Packers' passing game as a fantasy powerhouse, with Jordan Love expected to reach top-10 quarterback status and Christian Watson and Jayne Reed both projected for top-20 fantasy performances. Injuries and roster changes—such as Mike Evans, Nick Bosa, and Tyler Smith’s status—are discussed as key factors affecting matchups.
The Patriots vs. Seahawks preview emphasizes the strength of both teams’ run defenses, though the Patriots’ improved secondary and better matchup in key areas like AJ Brown’s exposure to a weak Seahawks defense are seen as favorable. The hosts stress caution in starting high-upside players like Drake May or Parker Washington, while recommending benching or stashing players like Darnell Washington or Shaheed for later weeks.
A key takeaway is the unpredictability of short-term injuries and roster decisions, especially in teams like the Packers and Cardinals, where backup depth and schedule challenges could redefine fantasy value early in the season. The discussion wraps with a lighthearted moment on fantasy drafting rules, including a trade reversal during a draft, and a fun segment on team name submissions from fans, including a 10-year-old’s draft strategy. The show concludes with a reminder that while bold predictions exist, traditional fantasy strategy—such as starting proven players in tough matchups—remains essential in Week 1.
FAQs
According to Jamie, the top three tight ends expected to catch at least 100 passes this season are Brock Bowers, Tray McBride, and Kyle Pitts.
Dave predicts that Justin Jefferson will fail to average 16 PPR points per game this season.
Dave predicts that Rishi Rice will fail to average 15 PPR points per game this season.
Jamie predicts that Jameer Gibbs will average more PPR fantasy points than any running back in the last decade except Christian McCaffrey.
Jamie predicts that Jared Goff will finish in the top five in fantasy points per game this season.
Jamie predicts that by week 10, the top four running backs in the NFC West will be hailing black for the 49ers, Cardinals, Seahawks, and Rams respectively.
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