BEST PICKS in Every Round! 2026 ADP Values to Draft (09/01 Fantasy Football Podcast)
44m 8s
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We are officially into September, a little more than a week away from the start of the
NFL season. People are doing their fantasy drafts left and right, and we are here to
help. Today on Fantasy Football Today, the best draft picks in every round. We're giving
you value from rounds 1 through 16. And we're giving you value from rounds 1 through 16.
And we're playing a fun game a little bit later on in the show. Welcome, everybody. I'm
Adam Azer. Dave Richard and Jamie Isenberg here. Dave, oh my gosh, you're starting a
draft right now. You can do any format you want, however many teams, whatever scoring,
whatever positions. Give me your ideal draft.
I love a 12-team half PPR with two running backs, two wide receivers, one tight end,
one quarterback, two flex spots, no kickers, one DST.
Jamie, what did he get wrong there?
What did he get wrong there?
I guess a half PPR?
Yeah, I said half PPR, not full PPR.
No, no, no, I'm saying change it however you want.
Yeah, what's your. Oh, um. That's what I was asking.
No, I think that's good. I'd probably go full PPR, but that's good.
Do we need the DST?
No.
Dave, can we get rid of it?
Only if we make it super flex.
Okay, fine. Let's draft.
Oh, yeah, super flex draft today. Let's go.
Yeah, actually, very excited for that. My favorite league. Let's give. And Dave's not in.
That's why it's my favorite, too.
Rounds one through four, but before we do that, let's talk about the Packers,
because if you're looking at CBS ADP or ADP Anywhere,
Marshawn Lloyd is probably one of the best values.
If you go, oh, wow, I can get him in the hundreds? No, you can't anymore.
Let's talk about where all the Packers should go.
Jamie, let's say that in some order, Lloyd, Christian Watson, and Tucker Craft
are going to be the first three Packers.
I'm not making a mistake here, am I?
How would you rank those three?
Watson should go in round five.
And Craft should start to be in consideration in round six.
I would prefer to take Craft in round six and Lloyd in round seven.
Dave?
I agree. What is 75th overall? What round is that in, Adam?
I don't remember.
It's round seven, and that's ideally where I would like to get Marshawn Lloyd.
I know that there's a lot of excitement about him, but there's plenty of uncertainty with him,
and that's why I love the idea of drafting him.
I just don't want to reach too far into round six to do it.
If it's late round six, I'm not going to fall.
But I agree. I think Watson, Tucker Craft, those are the first two Packers that should be off the board.
And then how about Jaden Reed and Matthew Golden?
Jamie, I know you're very bullish on Jaden Reed.
Yeah, I would look for him as early round eight.
I'd prefer to get him in round nine.
His ADP is actually round 11, so that's taking him well ahead of where you could potentially get him.
I think Matthew Golden comes into play round nine or round 10, just looking at what his outlook is.
Hopefully he's not, as we talk about, the sacrificial X,
and he's going to get a lot of target opportunities.
But the thing that we like about the Packers this year,
is there should be concentrated targets.
There should be opportunities for these guys to get plenty of chances to make plays.
135 targets are gone, with Romeo Dobbs and Dontavian Wicks not there.
And so now you're looking at a suspect run game,
the potential of a bad defense to start the season because Micah Parsons isn't there.
There should be more volume in the passing game,
and hopefully it goes to Watson, goes to Craft, goes to Reed, goes to Golden.
And Dave, how did you adjust Jordan Love with the news of Josh Jacobs
being on the commissioner's exempt list?
Well, what I wanted to do,
was move him up.
What I did do,
was not move him up.
Adam, there are just too many quarterbacks that I love looking at late in drafts,
and I do see appeal for Jordan Love,
but I can also make a great case for Jared Goff and Bo Nix,
and who was the MVP last year of the National Football League?
Oh, Matthew Stafford.
And who's been like one of the best stud quarterbacks in recent NFL history?
Patrick Mahomes.
These are all guys that are going late in drafts,
and they might not even be the quarterbacks that I end up gravitating toward.
There might be some that go a little bit earlier that are still a really good
deal on draft day that I'll take ahead of every quarterback that I've just named.
I was a little hesitant with Love before this.
I would take him over Nix,
and I would definitely take him over Mahomes.
I think there's much higher ceiling for him right now,
looking at what the scenario is for Mahomes,
for example,
who is not going to run to the level that we saw last year.
And prior to that,
the two previous years was barely over 20 fantasy points per game.
Love has not done that in the last two seasons.
This year, he's going to do that.
I think he's going to challenge to be a top 12 quarterback.
All right, let's get into the best picks in rounds one through four,
starting with round one.
Obviously, we got mostly great picks here,
but we're looking at guys that are not just great picks,
but good value that are going a little bit later than even we would take them.
And Dave, you're going to start with Amon Ross St. Brown
as your best value in round one.
Yeah, you wouldn't let me take Jameer Gibbs.
I really love Gibbs.
He's worth taking at the 101.
You can even make the case for it in Superflex leagues.
I wonder if you had the 101, Jamie, would you take Gibbs?
Nope, it's stupid Mehron.
Okay, so you don't even have it.
I think Amon Ross St. Brown, once you get to the middle of round one,
is arguably the safest pick you can make.
10.1, 8.3, 10.3, that's not his fantasy points per game.
Those are his targets per game in each of the last three years.
And when I look at this Detroit team, this is another one of those squads.
Jamie talked about it with Green Bay to begin the year.
The Lions do have a great pass rusher, Nate Hutchinson,
but their safeties are banged up.
They're both on the pup list to start the year.
They had to cut one of their starting cornerbacks.
This is a secondary that looks like could give up a lot of points
that means that there's going to be a lot of high-scoring games.
It means Jared Goff is going to have to throw a lot,
and if he's throwing a lot, then the dude that's been getting 10 targets per game
is going to have a great year, and that's Amon Ross St. Brown.
All right, Jamie, who'd you go with as your best value pick in round one?
Yeah, Chase Brown for me.
He's going with the 11th pick in the first round,
and I think that's just incredible value for a guy that could be a top-five running back.
For example, I would take him over Christian McCaffrey this season.
That's how excited I am about Chase Brown.
I just think the upside for him when Joe Burrow is on the field is absolutely unreal.
He had over 20 PPR points per game last season once Burrow came back from the injury,
and I think we're going to get a healthy Joe Burrow.
I love that Burrow is talking him up.
He's having a big season this year.
I love the fact that he's in a contract year.
And yes, Samaj P. Ryan is his competition.
I don't think that's the type of player that's taking him off the field
for significant stretches.
So this offense is going to be absolutely fantastic,
and Chase Brown should smash that ADP.
For example, Devon Achan going 10th overall.
Give me Chase Brown all day.
How about James Cook and Jonathan Taylor versus Chase Brown?
Yeah, I would take those guys over Chase, but those—
those are the guys that he should be in competition for,
not like what we see in a lot of leagues.
Now, for our drafts, I'm glad that he's going in round one,
but in other leagues, other sites, other ADP,
you see him going after Derrick Henry, after Saquon Barkley.
I think Chase Brown's ceiling right now, at least for this season, is higher.
I like Taylor the best of that group.
If I had to rank the four running backs, it would be Taylor one,
McCaffrey two, Chase Brown three, James Cook four.
And it's tough, man, because I know that Chris McCaffrey has all these red flags about him,
and, you know, we've both done the research on it.
It makes us both nervous, but the upside—
the upside for him, he'd be, like, the best player in fantasy.
He's done that before every time he's stayed healthy.
So it's tough for me to take Brown ahead of McCaffrey,
but if you're worried about McCaffrey and you see those red flags
and you want to run the other way, then Brown, James Cook,
you could even make the case that guys like Kenneth Walker and Omar Hampton
should go ahead of Christian McCaffrey.
And speaking of Kenneth Walker, that's Jamie's favorite value in round two.
Jamie?
Yeah, I just love the setup for him.
You know, all you've heard all offseason is just how excited the Chiefs are about him,
how excited Andy Reid is about him.
I think they're going to be cautious with him to start the season
and maybe the entire season.
He has not had a running back like this in the last several years,
and now they have a run game to support what should still be a good passing game,
just not, I think, what we're used to seeing from peak Patrick Mahomes
because of the injury.
But what we saw from Walker, what we've seen from Walker, really,
during his time in Seattle, certainly in the postseason,
when he's a featured act, it's usually 13 PPR points per game or more.
I love, in 2024, he was on pace for 71 catches.
He's going to be involved in the passing game in his offense.
That's just going to set him apart.
So touchdown potential still should be there.
Opportunity to be the lead back there.
this offense should be there, and I think they've been craving
a player like this. So I'm taking him early
round two, in some cases late round one. I think
the ceiling is going to be immense, and Ken Walker,
as long as he's healthy, is going to be an absolute superstar.
There was an under-the-radar move
that the Chiefs made. They let go
of Amari DiMarcato, and maybe they tried to
get him back on their practice squad, but Dallas
claimed him. The running backs behind Kenneth
Walker are now rookie Emmitt Johnson
and second-year player Brashard Smith, who's much more
of a passing-downs guy. So the Chiefs have
now made it perfectly clear that this is their
three-down back, and I had to move them
up after that move happened because I thought DiMarcato
could actually take a few snaps
off of Kenneth Walker, especially on
passing-downs. I think there's a ton of upside
in Kenneth Walker. Borderline round one,
round two pick for me.
And you like CeeDee Lamb, Dave,
as a round two value. And push comes to
shove, I am going to take Lamb in full PPR
ahead of Kenneth Walker. If it's half
PPR or non-PPR, Walker's
the easy pick there because the catches aren't worth as
much. I love what I saw in the six
games last year when Dallas had
Quinnen Williams on the field. We
still saw CeeDee Lamb get
9.2 targets per game, a little bit more than
George Pickens had. 16.4
PPR points per game. Didn't have the same
type of ADOT, didn't have the same type of touchdown
production that George Pickens had
in those games. But remember, CeeDee Lamb was coming
back from a high ankle sprain, wasn't
100%, only scored three times
all year. Do you really think that CeeDee Lamb is
going to score just three times? He's my
fifth favorite wide receiver on draft day, and
I'm willing to take him into late round
one just to have that
option of a receiver who I
can look at and call a stud, 17 PPR
points per game, and not have to worry about
who will be left for me in
early round two, or even worse, who's there for me at wide
receiver in rounds three or four.
We got a few wide receivers
in round three that we're really excited about. Two
of them are Devontae Smith and Chris Olave.
Jamie went with Devontae Smith as his
favorite pick in round three. Dave went with
Chris Olave. Jamie, I know you like both of
them a lot. Who do you like better, Devontae or Olave?
I do like Olave better, but you know,
based on the ADP, Smith is going later than him,
so I think the value is in Smith's favor.
But look, if you can get both these guys in round three, that's
absolute steals. Not that you're going to be able to do that unless you
made a trade, but I think Olave
is going to end up, once we see some
of these drafts happening this weekend, as a
round two selection when everybody realizes
Jordan Tyson is on IR. But in the case of Devontae
Smith, look, he missed some time earlier in camp
with the hamstring injury. That's a concern.
He's over that now. We'll see how this all sort of works
together with Jalen Hurts leaning on
Makai Lemon, leaning on Dontavian Wicks, two guys that have
plenty of potential. But Devontae Smith should
be the alpha of this receiving core with A.J. Brown.
Gone. You have a three-game sample size,
very small, but without A.J. Brown over the last
two years, he scored 16 PPR
points or more in two of them. Average
16 PPR points per game over that span. Really
the most important thing, though, he had nine targets per game
in each of those three outings, and so should
get featured, which is what we've been waiting to see.
So the runway is clear. I think Devontae
Smith could challenge to be a top-ten wide receiver
this year. You're getting him, based on our
ADP, 34th overall.
The average opposition number is actually 37, so
back end of round three. If you can
start, and it's a very great
way to build your fantasy team. Running
back, running back, Devontae Smith,
I sign up for that all day long. I like Devontae
Smith in round three. Adam, I would
take Chris Olave in late round two. I think
he's going to be set up for a huge season,
and we saw how he ended last season
in New Orleans. Tyler Shuck at
quarterback, 9.1
targets per game with Shuck starting,
and that led to 18.8
full PPR points per game,
12.8 non-PPR points
per game. That's great stuff, and he only had
six touchdowns in those games, and his
ADOT was 14 yards. We know
that Jordan Tyson, their rookie first-round pick,
not playing the first four games. We don't know when
he's going to come back, how long it'll
take him to ramp up, how healthy he'll be,
will he get hurt again. Man, throw all that stuff out
the window, because Chris Olave is set up to
see north of eight targets per game. That's
somebody who's worth a round two pick.
Yeah, he was
a top five tight end,
fifth overall, fourth per game
with Tyler Shuck, and that was with Shuck
only on pace for 19 touchdowns.
Most of his touchdown passes went
to Chris Olave.
He's a tough one for me, because I don't think
I'd take him in round two. I'd still take Nico Collins,
I'd still take Rasheed Rice and George
Pickens over him. Do you have Olave ahead of those three
guys? I definitely have him ahead of
Rice, definitely have him ahead of Pickens.
I'm a little worried about both Cowboys
wide receivers being top
ten this year, and I do have him over Nico
Collins as well.
Okay, well, I guess I will not be
getting Chris Olave if I'm
drafting with Dave. You will not. Let's go
to round four, where Colson Loveland
you're lucky if he makes it to the middle
of round four, which is where
his ADP is. That's what Dave
loves that value. Jamie likes Ladd-McConkie,
but Dave, you can start with Colson Loveland. I would take
Loveland in late round three just to lock up
having the next great stud fantasy
tight end. You're not going to get Brock Bowers
in late round three. You're probably not going to get Trey McBride
in late round three. Maybe in a non-PPR
league, you could get McBride there.
But I love what Colson
Loveland, what his outlook
is in Chicago, should be the top, if not
a top two target getter. He was
seeing 10 plus targets in each of his last
four games last year. That includes the playoffs.
20 full PPR points. I don't think
he's going to get 10 targets per game, but
it wouldn't surprise me if he saw seven and a half
targets per game and led the Bears
in touchdowns. That makes
me excited to take him. It's a little bit of a reach
to take him as a top 35 or 36
player on draft day, but that's
the thing you have to do if you want to
get somebody who's got tremendous upside
and that's something that Loveland has.
Jamie, does Ladd-McConkie
have tremendous upside?
Absolutely. You know, you're talking about the
go-to player in the passing game, at least
right now. We'll see if Quinton Johnson, Trey
Harris, you know, maybe one of the tight ends step up
for Justin Herbert, but by
all accounts, it's going to be McConkie. And what we saw in his
rookie campaign, especially the end of his rookie
campaign, but he finished averaging over 15
PPR points per game. I think he gets back to that
level as the floor. So last year
was a disaster. He was banged up, Keenan Allen
being part of this team. I think that
just kind of threw everything off for McConkie, plus
the offensive line concerns. But this team
has a chance to be a very prolific offense with Mike
McDaniel calling plays, with the tackles now
healthy, with Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt back.
And I think we'll see Quinton Johnson move around,
Trey Harris move around. McConkie's going to be on the field
the entire time. And this is an offense that
just think about it. Mike McDaniel, once upon a
time, got a passing yard season leader
out of Tua Tungavailoa, and now he gets to
do it with Justin Herbert. So love the opportunity
for Ladd-McConkie. I would take him middle
of round three. That's how excited I am about
McConkie. So certainly one
thing you're learning here is that there's really
good wide receiver value in rounds three and
four. Chris Olave at the beginning of
round three, Devontae Smith mid to
late round three, Ladd-McConkie into round
four. These guys are players that we are
targeting. We really like them. When we come back,
we'll tell you who we like, the good values
in rounds five through eight when we come
back on Fantasy Football today.
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Our favorite picks in rounds
five through eight, looking at current
CBS Sports average draft position
in PPR leagues. In round
five, Dave and Jamie are each nominating
a wide receiver here. Luther Burden
for Dave, DJ Moore for Jamie, and
Dave, I'll let you go first. Who do you like better, DJ Moore
or Luther Burden? I do like DJ Moore
better. We've seen the track record, and
he's going to be the clear number one target
of Josh Allen in Buffalo, so that seems
like a pretty good spot. But there's a lot to
like about Luther Burden III in
Chicago, playing in more of a
short and intermediate role. Might
not be the top targetter in this offense, but
he'll be close to it. And I think he's got
a shot to lead Chicago in catches
and receiving yards. And we
saw last year, there was a four-game stretch
when Romo Dunze was out for
the Bears. We saw Burden
average 6.5 targets per game,
15.2 full PPR
points per game. If he can
replicate anything remotely close
to that, and remember, Dunze's on the team,
but DJ Moore off to Buffalo now,
then there's a real good opportunity for him.
I don't know, about 15 PPR points, but maybe
in that 13-14 range, if we're drafting
him in round five, that's really good value.
We draft him a lot in round four.
I'm right on that round four or five fence with
him in full PPR.
Jamie, you like DJ Moore or Luther Burden?
I like Moore better, but it's close. You know, certainly now
that Burden is getting healthy, you know, the groin injury was
concerning, and I think we wouldn't be having this conversation
if Burden was 100% healthy
based on his ADP. I think he would be going
a lot sooner, guessing how
everybody felt about him in the pre-draft
process, but I think you look at DJ Moore's situation,
as Dave said, as Josh Allen's now go-to guy,
I don't think you should expect peak Stephon Diggs,
but close to that type of production.
And with Diggs, we were drafting him late round one, early round two.
Now you're getting DJ Moore.
What I would do is take him in round four.
I just think there's that much upside for him.
Got a little scared in the first preseason game when he got banged up,
but looks like everything's going to be fine.
And I think we need to have a player like this
for Josh Allen to maximize his potential.
And obviously, Josh Allen's going to make DJ Moore back to the receiver
that he was prior to last year, which is just an absolute disaster.
85 targets is certainly not something that you expect from DJ Moore.
You go back to his time in Carolina when Joe Brady was his offense coordinator.
Brady now the head coach of the Bills.
It was 130 target season and 140 target season.
So this guy can handle that, can produce at a high level.
And I think you're getting potentially a top 12 caliber wide receiver
in the round five range.
It's just absolute steel.
It's an absolute steel if you can get him in this spot.
What's a bigger concern for you when you draft these players?
When you look at DJ Moore, he's 29 years old.
And throughout his career, he's had two years
where he's been inside the top 24 per game.
And when you look at Luther Burden, he had 60 targets last year.
He had zero green zone targets, one end zone target.
Do either of those statistics matter to you?
And if so, which one's a bigger concern?
I would say the Moore statistic is a little bit of a larger concern.
We've seen a bigger sample size of what DJ Moore can do.
And the fact that you're saying that he's only been top 24 twice,
that's scary, but he's also never been in a situation
quite this good with a quarterback.
I was going to say a thrower.
I almost said a quarter.
A thrower this good in Josh Allen.
So that encourages me that we can squeeze out
one top 20-ish type year for DJ Moore.
I wouldn't expect him to be a top 12 or even a top 16 receiver.
See, the concern I have for Burden is that he's on the field
with two really good wide receiving options.
You know, Colston Loveland and Romo Dunze,
to your point about the green zone opportunities,
like those two guys may just take every touchdown chance that they get,
whereas Burden may not have those chances,
where I think DJ Moore,
in the team that he's on,
you got Keon Coleman, who's a non-factor at this point.
You got Khalil Shakir, who's banged up,
and we kind of know what he is.
You got Dalton Kincaid, who's had a hard time staying healthy.
Like, they made this move for a reason,
and I think that's going to allow DJ Moore to flourish,
similar to his first year in Chicago when he went there.
Finally got in a situation where he was featured
and everything sort of lined up.
I think everything's going to line up for him.
So I have more concerns about Burden than I do about Moore.
It's funny, when Luther Burden,
or when DJ Moore was traded to the Bills,
it was really like almost everybody won in fantasy.
Not Shakir, not Dalton Kincaid,
but it made the Bears guys better.
It made DJ Moore better.
And here we are.
All right, let's go to round six.
Christian Watson for Jamie,
Ramondre Stevenson for Dave.
Dave, since we last spoke,
have you reconsidered your Ramondre Stevenson stance?
No, not at all.
I think that Ramondre Stevenson is the lead back
for the New England Patriots.
I think the New England Patriots
are going to be a pretty good offense this year.
Will they be as prolific
as some of the elite offenses in the league?
No, but I think Ramondre Stevenson
will have the goal line
We saw last year that he averaged
right around two and a half targets per game
for most of the year.
Maybe he can bump that up to three
and he'll get some work in the red zone in that regard.
They've already been saying that he's been doing more
in red zone drills in the passing game.
And so I just think that there's a really good opportunity
for Ramondre Stevenson to deliver
on his average draft position,
which honestly borders on round seven.
I would take him in round six.
And I think he's absolutely worth targeting
as one of those low-end RB2s
that you look at in that round
five, round six range.
Travion Henderson is obviously going to be a factor,
but there hasn't been much optimism
coming out of Foxborough
on Travion Henderson this offseason.
And that makes me nervous
about just how much work he's going to get
when Ramondre Stevenson is healthy.
Jamie Christian Watson,
this guy knows how to find the end zone.
He was on pace for 15 touchdowns
from weeks 11 through 17.
Do you think, not the 15 touchdowns,
but the overall fantasy production
could be even better this year
than what we saw down the stretch,
last year?
Three of his last five games
in the regular season,
he had 18.3 PPR points or more.
And now you're removing two threats
of the passing game,
really one significant one in Romeo Dobbs.
But I think the best thing about it
is two years removed from his ACL tear,
that's usually a good sign for wide receivers
or players in general
when they come back from that injury
is that the second year is even better.
And the runway, again, clear,
because we just don't know
how this is all going to work
with the run game
now that there is no Josh Jacobs
for the foreseeable future.
So I think Christian Watson
steps in as the alpha,
gets the contract,
extension this offseason,
which I think speaks volumes
to what they think of him.
They need him to be that guy.
And I think he has the opportunity
to step into that role
and hopefully stay healthy
and be a superstar.
So you look at that group
of wide receivers
that kind of go at the end of round five,
Jamison Williams,
Mike Evans,
Romo Dunze,
Marvin Harrison,
Christian Watson.
You can make a case
that Watson's the best of that group
just because of what his outlook is,
his opportunity is,
and now the situation that he's in.
So I love the potential
of taking Christian.
I love just taking Christian Watson
in round five.
We saw great stuff from Watson.
We saw great stuff
from Tucker Kraft last year,
who's the number two tight end
in fantasy on a per-game basis,
tied with George Kittle
in PPR leagues.
And he's basically
a younger version of George Kittle.
But let's talk about him
because he is Dave's favorite pick
in terms of value in round seven.
The interesting thing is
we never saw Watson
and Kraft together.
It's like first half of the year
was Kraft, then Watson, basically.
Right.
But you like Tucker Kraft's value
in round seven.
Especially with the big question mark
now at run game for Green,
Bay, here's a short area target
that Jordan Love leaned heavily
into last year.
And he was outstanding
in terms of efficiency.
He averaged 14.7 full PPR points
per game on just 5.5 targets
per game in eight games.
And I know he's coming back
from a torn ACL.
And I know that that sounds scary.
This is the same Packers team
that saw Christian Watson
come back from his ACL injury.
And he looked better
than he ever did in his career.
And Tucker Kraft has already said,
first of all, he said,
well, they're going to need
to work me in a little bit.
It's going to take some
time.
Now he thinks there's
no restriction and he's going
to be a full-time player
in this offense.
I love looking for Tucker Kraft.
If I miss on those first
four tight ends and drafts,
I would take him in round six
as ADP is around seven.
And Jamie, when would you
take Parker Washington,
who's your favorite value
in round seven?
Another guy that belongs
in that conversation,
those wide receivers,
you know, somebody that could
come off the board
in late round five.
So you don't want to overvalue him
because there are a lot of mouths
to feed in this Jacksonville offense.
And we did just see
a small sample size
of what Parker Washington
did last year.
In those final four games,
including the playoffs.
But you all, you have,
if you paid attention,
you've heard all these glowing
things about Parker Washington
in training camp.
I think it's going to carry over
to the start of the season.
There's just so much to love
about the kid,
especially the role that he plays
because Liam Cohen,
the head coach there,
his tenure with slot receivers,
Rondell Robinson in Kentucky
stands out.
Chris Godwin in Tampa Bay
stand out.
Both had amazing years.
Both had over 100 catches.
So I think there's an opportunity
here for Parker Washington
to be the best wide receiver
in Jacksonville.
And when you start to say,
OK, can he do it again?
Well, when you get to this
range of receivers,
certainly if you're getting
him at his cost,
which none of us are going to
let him fall this far.
But if you're getting him
at this cost,
it's a swing for the fence
type of pick.
So when you're looking at him
versus Brian Thomas,
I think you could say, OK,
I'd rather take the chance
on the guy that's been hyped up
and coming off the strong finish
versus the guy that may have
the better profile pedigree.
But Brian Thomas
really struggled last year.
I just think Parker Washington,
if he gets those chances again,
he's going to dominate.
Final four games,
average 10 targets per game.
Hopefully that's something
we see for the majority
of the year this year.
Probably not realistic,
but eight plus targets
is probably something on the table.
All right, he'd be
basically a unicorn.
I mean, I brought up
the question on a show
maybe a week or two ago.
Who's the guy who was
a sixth round pick,
did nothing for two
and a half seasons?
I mean, the first 36 games
of his career,
he averaged 37 yards per game
and then ended up being
a really great player.
So people said Antonio Brown,
but Antonio Brown,
the second year of his career,
he was great.
You know, you just don't
see it very often.
I wish I could get
Parker Washington
in the 70s where he's going.
That's a layup.
If I have to start taking him
in round five,
I'm a little nervous about it.
Like you said, Jamie,
you don't want to overpay,
but I can't help it.
I mean, every single reporter
who has covered the Jaguars
has been praising
Parker Washington.
I mean, I was there
and I saw it firsthand
that Parker Washington
was beating double coverage
against the Bucs in practice
and he had unbelievable
vertical too.
Like that's a part of his game
that I was not familiar with.
And so I'm very excited
about Parker Washington
and I would take him
in round five in full PPR.
And you're also excited
about the value
for Brian Thomas Jr.,
Dave, in round eight.
I'm excited about the value.
I don't think it's a good idea
to try and chase him
up the draft board, though.
And I look at where I have
Brian Thomas Jr. ranked.
Right now, it's round six
and I think that that's too high.
I think I'm going to take
a step back on BTJ.
But when we talk about
wide receivers that can be
boom or bust number three options,
there might not be a better choice
than Brian Thomas Jr.,
who was winning
on downfield targets
in training camp
from Trevor Lawrence.
When I was there,
I saw him bring a couple of them in,
hurt his shoulder,
left the practice,
but Coach Liam Cohen
says he's going to be fine.
And so if this Jacksonville offense,
which has a question mark
at running back themselves,
has Parker Washington
dominating targets,
let's call it inside
of 15 air yards,
this is the guy
who's going to dominate
15 plus air yards
down the field.
And there are going to be
some weeks where the numbers
are going to be lean for BTJ.
But there's going to be
some weeks where he delivers
17 plus PPR points.
And you'll love to have
somebody like him
as your number three receiver.
I think round seven
is the best time to get him.
And his ADP right now
is round eight.
And Jamie,
you love the value
on Chris Godwin.
And I think he might profile
as a more consistent player
than Brian Thomas Jr.,
but maybe he doesn't have
as much upside
on a week-to-week basis.
I don't know.
You tell me,
who do you like better,
Godwin or BTJ?
Godwin.
And I think, you know,
to say he doesn't have
enough upside,
he was a top five receiver
two years ago
before he suffered
the broken ankle.
So the injury's been a problem
the last two seasons.
Godwin obviously
has had a strong training camp.
You couple that with
the fact that you have the mecha buca injury right now, so we don't know
when he's going to see the field.
Hopefully it's week one, but there's still some questions.
Is Ibuka going to live up to the hype
and be that guy that replaces Mike Evans?
Baker Mayfield loves Chris Godwin.
That's very evident, and I think that rapport will show.
Love that Godwin's going back in the slot.
To expect a top 10 finish, I think, is unrealistic at this point.
Now that he's in his early 30s, and if Ibuka does hit.
But I think for what you're getting,
I think he's the best value of any player in fantasy right now
because aside from Marshawn Lloyd, I guess we'll see where he settles.
But just looking at what the upside could be,
he started as like in the 40s.
Now he's crept his way up to wide receiver 36.
I think he's a top 30 wide receiver.
You can make a case that he should go ahead of Parker Washington,
Jamison Williams, Christian Watson, all those guys,
based on his resume, especially if Ibuka's going to miss any time.
So love the setup for Chris Godwin.
He's somebody that's an easy pick, again, if he lasts into round eight.
A lot of wide receiver talk so far, but when we come back,
there's a couple of running backs in round nine
that we really like the value for.
We'll tell you about the best picks in rounds nine through 12
when we come back.
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Jordan Mason or Ja'Cory Kroski-Merritt
in round nine.
Great values.
Who are you taking?
Jamie prefers Mason.
Dave prefers Bill.
Jamie, you can start.
Why do you like Mason in round nine?
His offense.
I think it's better than Washington's,
and so hopefully Mason gets the opportunity
to be the lead running back there
for Minnesota.
It was a guy that averaged 4.8 yards per carry last year.
Had the five games that Aaron Jones missed.
He scored 13 points.
He averaged 13.1 PPR points in those five games.
So, you know, Jones in his early 30s,
that's something that he struggled with
in terms of the last couple of years
being banged up and playing through it.
So, I think Mason's going to get an opportunity
to be the lead running back here for the Vikings
and hopefully lean on him.
Both these guys don't profile as pass-catching backs.
I don't think that's going to be the thing
that separates them for the two of them.
So, hopefully we see the offenses take off.
I just have much more faith in Minnesota
in Minnesota's offense than I do Washington's.
Yeah, I have more faith in Minnesota's offense, too.
I just love Kroski Merritt.
I don't have to say hopefully with what role he'll have.
I know he's going to be the running downs guy
for Washington.
I know his efficiency will spike
when he's paired with Jayden Daniels.
When you've got a running quarterback,
the running back's going to have a good number two.
And to be fair, Kyler Murray will run his fair share as well.
I just think that the commanders have tried a lot
this offseason to improve what Kroski Merritt can do.
They've tried to get him going in the pass game
a little bit more.
There's no question that he's the fastest running back
that they have.
And when I'm looking for a running back in this range,
I'm just looking for somebody that I feel okay
starting to begin the year.
And I feel just a little bit better about Kroski Merritt
than I do Jordan Mason.
And the reason why I feel that way
is because I saw what Aaron Jones looked like
in the preseason, and he looked outstanding.
And I was really surprised by that.
And once I saw that, I said,
you know what, Jordan Mason's good.
I think Kroski Merritt just has a little bit more upside.
And so I'll take him when we're in this round nine range.
And if we look at round 10,
you both went with wide receivers,
but they're so different.
Casey Concepcion for the Cleveland Browns,
Jordan Addison for the Minnesota Vikings.
Jamie went with Addison here.
And I mean, they're both big play potential guys,
explosive guys.
Addison's a touchdown scorer.
But Jamie, you know, you picked Addison.
Do you actually like Addison better than Concepcion
or are you just giving us a different name here?
No, I like Addison better than Concepcion.
You know, I'm excited for Concepcion.
I just think that there's a lot more to like
about Jordan Addison's situation right now,
the addition of Kyler Murray.
You know, we say this all the time
about what Justin Jefferson did in the four games
that Carson Wentz started last year.
Addison's numbers also popped,
scored three of his touchdowns in those four games
with Carson Wentz under center.
And so Kyler Murray being a better quarterback,
love the fact that Addison's in the contract here.
Obviously, Kevin O'Connell being there,
that's going to help.
So a lot of mouths to feed in this offense.
I think you can make a case
there's a lot of mouths to feed in Cleveland's offense also.
So Addison probably second in terms of targets.
But as we've seen, it really hasn't stopped him
from being a very good fantasy asset.
So like both, but I would definitely take Addison
over Concepcion.
I'm going to surprise you guys.
I've got Addison ranked out of Concepcion too,
but it's really, really close.
And I love drafting Concepcion.
In fact, we're talking about somebody to take in round 10.
The ADP is in round 10.
I would take both of these wide receivers
in that round eight range.
But Concepcion to me has a little bit of a higher ceiling
because he can be the number one wide receiver in Cleveland.
And that's like being the best used card dealer
in the middle of Nebraska.
But I just think that it's really tough to find guys
when you're in round eight plus,
who can get double digit targets,
who can make a lot of catches,
who can be used in a multitude of ways.
I know the quarterback stinks.
I think Cleveland's going to be chasing points
in every single game they're going to be in this year.
And I think those targets will be there for Concepcion.
When I watched him in college,
he reminded me of Zay Flowers.
I think Todd Monken feels the same way,
or at least something similar.
It's hard to compare Casey Concepcion to Zay Flowers,
but the numbers at the end of the season,
if he gets numbers like Zay Flowers got last year
when Concepcion was scheming him, or when, excuse me,
when Monken was scheming up Flowers,
if Concepcion gets those kinds of numbers,
this is an absolute steal.
So I'm happy to get either one of these wide receivers,
but I really love the outlook for Concepcion.
- I just can't see double digit targets for him this year.
- Oh no, not double digit targets per game.
I think around seven targets per game for Concepcion
is where I would land.
Did I say double digit?
- I thought you said double digit.
- I thought I said double digit rounds
because the ADP is in round 10.
- Oh, I'm sorry.
I thought you said double digit.
- I don't know, I say a lot of crazy stuff.
Adam, you know this.
- Yeah, you talk about used car salesmen in Nebraska too,
but round 11 is the perfect time
for a Packers round with Matthew Golden and Jaden Reed,
Dave nominating Golden and Jamie nominating Reed here.
Dave, talk about Golden.
- I think it depends on your format,
which Packers wide receiver you take here.
If it's half PPR or non PPR,
I'm actually gonna lean toward Matthew Golden
because I think he's got just as much explosion
in his game as Jaden Reed,
but he'll catch the ball further downfield.
And when the Packers run their two tight end formation,
you won't see Reed on the field.
You'll see Golden and you'll see Christian Watson.
And in the case that Christian Watson misses time,
Matthew Golden will stay.
He'll step up and be the number one wide receiver
in this offense.
I'll let you talk about Jaden Reed.
And if it is full PPR, you sold me on this,
that Reed should be the better receiver.
- Yeah, I would take Reed in any form.
And obviously if Christian Watson misses any time,
they're both gonna benefit.
So I don't think it's one over the other in particular,
but you know, you say 12 personnel
and we see both tight ends on the field.
We may see Jaden Reed in the backfield.
Like they may have to just get him on the field
as much as they can.
It's one of my favorite stats.
The last 23 games, 23 times his career,
he's had at least five targets.
15 of those times he scored at least
13 PPR points, averaging 16 PPR points over that span.
So when he gets chances, he's successful.
He just has to stay healthy.
So last year was a very frustrating season for him.
The shoulder injury, the foot injury,
they gave him the contract extension
despite that this off season.
So I think they're gonna feature him
to whatever degree we start to see.
That's always been the problem
with the Packers pass catchers
is they don't get enough targets.
Well now again, 135 targets removed,
may have a suspect run game, may have a suspect defense.
We see more volume for Jordan Love,
more volume for all these guys.
So I think it's worth your time to invest
in almost all the Packers pass catchers.
But if I'm ranking them, I'm taking Watson first,
Krapp second, Reid third, and Golden fourth.
I just think the ceiling is higher for Reid
because he's gonna do a bunch of different things.
And his track record suggests that when he gets chances,
he's extremely successful.
- I'll add one more thing on Reid.
His best numbers have come when the Packers
haven't been able to run the football.
That's been whether Jacobs has been active
or not for Green Bay.
If Green Bay is able to get their run game going,
and that's kind of a big if at this point,
I would be worried about Jayden Reid
hitting the type of upside that we're talking about.
- Round 12.
He likes Chris Rodriguez here.
Is he actually the better value in the Jaguars backfield?
- I still would take a chance on Tootin.
You know, I don't wanna reach for Tootin too soon.
So if I can get Tootin in round six,
then I think the value definitely is in his favor.
It's when you have to take him in late round four,
early round five,
because you get people that are overexcited about it,
or there's just a huge run on running backs,
then I would say take Rodriguez
because he's gonna have a role,
whether he's just the goal line guy
or gets chances on first and second down.
That's where I think we have to see where he sort of wins
because he's not gonna be
guy involved in the passing game, they'll use LeQuint Allen
jr on third downs they'll probably use tootin if alan's not back from his injury on past
but you always like to see when a coach goes out and gets somebody that he has a history with
and rodriguez was with liam cohen in kentucky and they didn't make a splash at the running
back position there was some talk about jk dobbins they missed on that so if rodriguez does come in
and tootin fails then we see if rodriguez can be the lead rusher he had some good moments in
washington last season and it didn't take much it was like 10 carries per game he got you almost 10
ppr points per game so if he gets those chances gets those goal line opportunities and steps into
the travis etn role we'll call him etn because he was still in jacksville then so i there's some
chance here for him to be really successful it's just an easy guy to take as you're talking about
your fourth or fifth running back a good bench option to stash on your team and dave tell us
why you like juwan johnson in round 12 he plays detroit in week one and we saw what he was capable
of doing last year in this offense and last year jordan tyson was still in college this year jordan
tyson's not going to be there to start the season
so we can end up being the number two target getter for at least september in the new orleans
offense and with tyler shuck nine games last year 5.6 targets per game his target per game average
actually went down once tyler shuck was on the field oh well he still averaged 11.5 ppr points
per game and 6.9 non-ppr points per game 6.9 is still pretty good for a tight end at least a low
end one if you're streaming the position you can begin the year with juwan johnson as your tight
end all right we're going to come back with even more
great values in the later rounds and who had more and your tweets after this on fantasy football
the best late round picks to help you win your fantasy leagues right now let's go to round 13
dave likes malik willis jamie likes jalen coker dave go malik willis has the rushing upside i
think he's got a strong arm too i know there's huge question marks about who he's throwing to
miami and how many points miami is going to score but i still think that he can find a way to
similar to put up numbers close to what he did when he was starting for green bay last year and
those numbers were north of 25 fantasy points per game a tremendous guy to put on your bench just
see what happens to begin the season love the setup for jalen coker last year in the final
five games of the season he outscored tetherall mcmillan including the playoffs same amount of
targets we love offenses that have concentrated targets mcmillan's going to be first coker will
be second easy pick round 13 i would take him as early as around 10 same round 14 a couple of
backup running backs in different situations here jamie your pick is jonah coleman yeah hopefully
he gets a chance to get significant touches that would probably come at the expense of jk dobbins
getting injured but clearly sean payton loves him he's going to play i think in conjunction with rj
harvey and dobbins because i think they just want to get him on the field so we'll see if he's the
goal line option we'll see if he could also work on passing downs he really could be a three down
he does get his chance he may not come off the field a great late round target one of the
potential lottery tickets that could win your league i've been drafting a ton of coleman i love
the fit in that offense and i like what i saw in the preseason from emmet johnson and the fact that
the chiefs did move on from demarcato means that johnson would be the running back to step up and
get a lot of playing time in the event that kenneth walker the third misses time this is another
lottery stash i would rather have coleman but i like emmet johnson too and he's starting to make
my way make his way onto a lot of my teams and
he's on the waiver wire in a lot of leagues that have already drafted you could drop your last pick
and pick up emmet johnson just to see what happens all right we go to round 15 now and you guys
adorable here same initials for your picks kb jamie you can start kaylon black seems like he's the the
leader in the clubhouse to be the number two running back in san francisco and we can't sit
here and say that we're worried about christian mccaffrey not say that the next guy up has a
chance to be a really good fantasy option so we'll see what happens with jordan james coming back from
fbs is both would play if mccaffrey misses any time but they dropped to kaylon black in the third
round they got a lot of negative attention for that i think he'll reward them i think he'll
reward fantasy managers if he gets on the field k'shawn booty's got some good speed adam and that
brings an element to the texans offense that they didn't have last year and really they haven't had
since tank dell got hurt and i'm glad that tank dell has a chance to play this year but it's not
going to be the first four weeks of the season this is a four-week audition for k'shawn booty
who's in a contract year to show out in houston it's a little bit tough to buy it but it's going to
into because cj stroud's the quarterback because nico collins is the top target but we're talking
round 15 this is a good time to get a wide receiver just to see if he can deliver on five
five and a half targets per game and i bet booty can yeah he'll be good on a per target basis
because he is a downfield guy and in round 16 here's another wide receiver with speed chris bell
dave for the dolphins i do think that he can end up as the top receiver for miami this year but
we're going to have to wait and see we're going to have to wait and see but we're going to have to
wait and see but we're going to have to wait and see but we're going to have to wait and see but
we don't know if that means any more than like 700 yards and three touchdowns we'll have to wait and
see but i was encouraged by how he played at louisville and how he looked in the first
preseason game pretty close to the same guy i would imagine it'll take him a little while
to actually step up and play to his best ability if you draft chris bell you need to be patient with
him trey tucker is most likely the number one wide receiver for the raiders that's not the most ideal
situation to be in but when we always talk about tight ends being first or second on the team in
targets tucker should be second on the raiders in targets we'll see what happens with jalen nailer
jack besh some of the other moving parts they have there but i think just trey tucker getting the
chances that he should get and he did look decent in the first couple of games after bowers was
injured last year tucker could be a nice reward with a last round pick yeah if you're not patient
with chris bell go after chris or chris tucker chris sucker is a great comedian but trey tucker
will get you more fantasy points i was just watching silver linings playbook last night
and i forgot chris tucker was in that very good uh
so you've been patient you talk about being patient you all have been so patient and now
it is time for america's 12th favorite fantasy football game show it is time for who has more
except we interrupt this programming to bring you the sister show of who has more who had more
is filling in today thank you very much for watching who had more all right who had more
guys first category who had more used cars in the no i don't have any
who had more catches last season dalton schultz or tyler warren
dalton schultz i this feels like a trick question i think i'm i'm gonna say warren i'll be different
yeah it is dalton schultz that's i love these guys they think i'm like trying to trick them
dalton schultz had 82 catches tyler warren had 76 and this is my reminder joan johnson
and dalton schultz were both top five in catches last year at the position who had more
yards last year derrick henry or jonathan taylor taylor i believe that's taylor
you guys suck at this it's henry he had 10 more rushing and more rushing i mean you can't count
the week 18 game okay i don't remember it was 17 it was a crazy game for derrick henry
uh who had more touchdowns last year davante adams or kyron williams i'm sorry what was it
more touchdowns between davante and kyron uh davante i think it was kyron
he missed all those games but it's still davante who had more end zone targets davante adams in
2025 or puka nakua in his entire career davante puka it is davante finally got one
you think you guys tied oh no i think jamie won jamie definitely won jamie definitely yeah
you are the winner of who had more
an amazing effort do i get like a celebratory bobblehead i don't know but there should be
confetti and a cake for you coming in during the break we'll be right back with your tweets
on fantasy football today
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let's see what's on your mind picking 17th out of 18 in a ppr guillotine league draft i have walker
is it crazy to go kyron williams over drake london bowers in round two yes i think that's crazy
especially in a ppr format where you can have a difference maker like bowers or london
both of them are healthy both of them will give you points each week
i would absolutely go in another direction than kyron williams
next
Keep Dak in the fourth, Burden in the fourth.
the 14th or tootin in the 16th in a super flex lead if you're only keeping one i would probably
keep burden but dak in the fourth is hard to throw back yeah tootin would be last on the list
bird in the hand jamie team name all right next
isaiah likely or jonah coleman i'd rather have likely as much as i like jonah coleman i know
that likely wouldn't necessarily or tight end so he can still get likely and what if mcbride
struggles what if he can trade likely who goes off instead of waiting for coleman he'll cut
i would actually take likely and trade me bride because you probably get good value for it fine
well that's it for fantasy football today check out the fantasy football today podcast anywhere
you listen thanks to dave and thanks to jamie and of course thanks to all of you for watching
and listening paramount podcasts
Thank you.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Stitch Fix offers a personalized styling service where users take a quick quiz and are matched with a human stylist to receive a curated clothing box with free returns and no subscription.
We Share Health provides a non-profit, affordable health insurance alternative with up to 60% cost savings, nationwide PPO access, and unlimited telehealth, ideal for those between jobs or self-employed.
The podcast discusses valuable fantasy football draft picks, emphasizing value over common assumptions, with analysis of Packers, Chiefs, and other teams highlighting players like Marshawn Lloyd, Chase Brown, Kenneth Walker, and Christian Watson as high-impact, low-draft-value options.
Summary:
The transcript blends several topics, primarily centered around lifestyle and fantasy football advice. It promotes Stitch Fix as a convenient, personalized clothing service that eliminates the stress of shopping through human stylists and free returns. It also highlights We Share Health as a cost-effective, non-profit health insurance alternative with access to a large physician network and unlimited telehealth.
A major focus is fantasy football, where the hosts analyze draft strategies and value picks across rounds, identifying standout players such as Chase Brown, Kenneth Walker, Christian Watson, and Tucker Kraft based on their target volume, health history, and team dynamics. The discussion emphasizes value over high ADP, with players like Marshawn Lloyd and Jaden Reed being highlighted as potential steals. The content also touches on career development via Year Up United and reliable logistics through USPS Ground Advantage.
Throughout, the hosts stress the importance of patience and strategic decision-making in fantasy drafts, especially with late-round picks like Matthew Golden, Ja'Cory Kroski-Merritt, and Trey Tucker. The episode concludes with a promotional note about a fantasy football game show segment, “Who Had More,” which interrupts the main content. The overarching theme is practical, value-driven solutions in both personal and financial decision-making.
FAQs
Stitch Fix is an online personal styling service where users take a style quiz, share their size, vibe, and budget, and are matched with a human stylist. They receive a curated box of clothes that fit and suit their style, can try them on, keep what they like, and return the rest—free of charge with no subscription required.
We Share Health offers a non-profit alternative to traditional health insurance with members paying up to 60% off. It provides access to a nationwide PPO network with over 1 million physicians and unlimited telehealth services, making it a cost-effective option for those who feel they’re overpaying.
In round one, Amon Ross and Chase Brown are top value picks due to strong target volume and offensive support. In round two, Kenneth Walker and CeeDee Lamb offer high upside. In round three, Devontae Smith and Chris Olave are strong options with solid target expectations and fantasy production.
In round five, DJ Moore and Luther Burden offer strong target opportunities. In round six, Christian Watson and Ramondre Stevenson are solid low-end RB2 options. In round seven, Tucker Kraft and Parker Washington provide value with high upside potential and improved roles in their offenses.
Jordan Mason and Ja'Cory Kroski-Merritt are valuable in round nine. Kroski-Merritt has a high upside as a running down back with Jayden Daniels, while Mason gets opportunities in Minnesota’s offense after Aaron Jones’ injury concerns.
Casey Concepcion is a strong value in round 10 due to his potential as a primary wide receiver in Cleveland. Though targets may be around seven per game, his ceiling and ability to produce in high-need games make him a worthwhile pick.
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