At War in the Middle East, Again with Christiane Amanpour and Amb. Wendy Sherman
97m 6s
The U.S.-Israel military action against Iran has been marked by a lack of planning, transparency, and legal justification, sparking widespread chaos and civilian casualties. Experts highlight that Iran’s resistance is rooted in a long history of foreign intervention, including the 1953 coup and 1979 hostage crisis, which has fostered deep distrust. The attack, described as a sudden and poorly coordinated escalation, lacks a clear political strategy or exit plan, with the U.S. failing to assist civilians in evacuation. Iran’s complex theocratic power structure, with multiple councils and a strong cultural resistance to foreign domination, makes regime change unlikely. The Trump administration’s approach—based on military dominance, grievance-based politics, and zero-sum thinking—contrasts sharply with the Iranian people’s enduring demand for freedom, dignity, and basic rights. Analysts warn that the war risks deepening regional instability, damaging international norms, and creating a power vacuum. The episode underscores a broader failure in U.S. foreign policy: a lack of long-term vision, respect for sovereignty, and commitment to democratic values. Meanwhile, the conversation draws parallels to historical turning points like the fall of the Berlin Wall, suggesting that democratic transformation in Iran might be possible—but only if civil society, youth movements, and international support coalesce. Ultimately, the crisis exposes the dangers of projecting power without accountability, and the urgent need for diplomacy grounded in mutual respect and shared human rights.
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Hello, everybody.
Welcome to the weekly show podcast.
My name is John Stewart and I will be your host.
And pilot for this evening's flight.
It is Tuesday.
It is March 3rd.
And we had a banger.
A banger planned for you.
We had election experts.
We had experts in dark money.
We had experts in social media.
The point of the conversation was going to be that, you know, there's all this focus on undocumented people that are completely throwing our elections and all that.
And yet everybody ignores the billionaires who are putting $350 million and changing outcomes.
And what's really out of those two things, the one that is more damaging to a free and fair election and our democracy.
And it would have been decisive.
It would have been informative, decisive, entertaining.
I think it would have been exactly what you are all looking for.
And then this motherfucker bombed another country.
And so we once again.
The best laid plans of mice and men.
Man plans and Trump laughs.
Or I don't know if he can laugh.
All he can really do is look at the drapes.
So we are going to talk about Iran.
And everything that is going on there.
And with two people that I think have both wonderful areas of expertise about Iran.
And I think can help us get through a little bit of some of the confusion and lack of justifications.
And all those different things that are flying around in the moment right now.
So let's get right to them.
We've got Christiane Amanpour and Ambassador Wendy Sherman.
So as we try and navigate through these somewhat chaotic times.
And these somewhat malleable justifications for a war that we have just launched.
Or maybe not a war, perhaps.
It is not a war, in fact.
It is just merely a long distance explosion hello.
We are joined by Christiane Amanpour.
CNN Chief International Anchor and Ambassador Wendy Sherman.
Former Deputy Secretary of State and Lead Negotiator of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran.
Thank you both for being here.
I can imagine that you guys are burning up the wires with people talking to you all.
Christiane, can you give us just very briefly any kind of sort of real-time update about where this all stands right now.
As we are entering days four and five.
What are you seeing?
What are you hearing?
Well, for me, the most important signifier of where we are right now is the order given by the United States for all Americans to leave the Middle East.
But do it on your own dime.
Do it on commercial.
We can't get you out.
For me, that speaks volumes.
It means it speaks to me to a lack of planning, to a lack of having talked about this war in any public forum.
Certainly, they didn't go to Congress.
But there was no speech to the American people.
There was no advice to American civilians, businessmen, and women, tourists, and all the people who live out in the Middle East and in all those areas that are vulnerable, which host U.S. bases, to leave.
And now they're panicking.
So I don't know what that – I can't say that they're panicking inside the White House or the Pentagon, but that was a panic message to me.
And the whole thing is very different than people expected.
There are civilians dead in many places, not to mention in Iran, more than 500.
Plus, you know, some of those were children, about 160, according to the Iranians, at a school.
There are allies targeted.
You know, there's shifting reasons for this about why they're doing it.
Not only that, what they want to achieve.
In one 24-hour period, maybe even less, 12 hours, Hegseth, Trump, Vance, Rubio, all gave different and I don't know what kind of justifications.
And Rubio ended last night.
By saying, you know, actually, I mean, he didn't say it like this, but he implied that, you know, Trump was essentially rumbled by Netanyahu into this.
He was bullied.
But the thing that strikes me about it, and Wendy, maybe you can speak to this, is in the chaos of all that, in the idea that maybe we didn't understand the justifications, also buried in the briefings is this has been planned for months.
They and the Israelis.
Have planned the attack meticulously.
And so they may not have been prepared in any way for the aftermath or the collateral effects of all this.
But they've clearly put more effort into this than they did to any kind of negotiation for a nuclear deal.
Would that is that fair or unfair?
I think that's absolutely fair, John.
I think that.
You know, our military is extraordinary and they plan for plans for plans.
There is nothing they do not plan for and do it meticulously.
And that's what we're seeing, a meticulous military plan.
But the objective, as Christian pointed out, keeps changing on a minute by minute basis.
And as a result, there was no real political strategy.
There was no overall strategy.
There certainly was no regard for people, whether those were our diplomats who now have to leave embassies or American citizens who are told, as Christian pointed out, leave.
But we're not going to help you.
The State Department has just now.
Is that unusual?
Oh, yes.
Extremely.
I'm not in a war zone.
Extremely unusual.
If you recall, John, the first day of the Afghanistan withdrawal was tough and it was brutal.
Utter chaos.
And it was not done.
Well, and we got excoriated for it.
No question.
We then got our act together.
And that was very sudden and very unexpected.
But we got our act together and we got out one hundred and twenty five thousand people.
What this administration has done is called a neo, which means everybody has to get out.
But they did no planning, no preparation.
They have axed the State Department budget in those 14 countries where Americans are to leave.
Eight do not have confirmed.
One hundred and twenty five percent of Americans are in the United States.
And they're not going to be able to get out.
They're not going to be able to get out of the United States.
And they're not going to be able to get out of the United States.
And they're not going to get out of the United States.
Yeah.
Yeah, they had to get, I guess, to the
border and get out of there on land routes and that kind of thing. I mean, that's how chaotic
it's gotten. Well, there you go. I mean, usually we would see, you know, military planes deployed
or the government renting big, you know, transport carriers or big airlines. And this is all for
employees. This is all for American personnel, not necessarily just American corporate.
No, it's for everybody. It's for everybody. Oh, everybody. The Europeans have chartered
airplanes to take their people out. Oh, man. The United States has not chartered airplanes.
And we have done this in every other circumstance. We pay to get airplanes to difficult places to
help get people out, not just our diplomatic personnel, but Americans. And right now,
the American government has basically given the order, get out of there. And God,
specifically, the American government has basically given the order, get out of there.
Good luck. Yeah, pretty much. And airports are all closed, as you just mentioned.
That's incredible. Now, Christiane, is that an indication, though, that the United States
believes that the escalation is this will this is going to spread to a variety of like that? It's
not just going to be the Iranians targeting American base in these areas that this this
actually may spread. Well, look, I think it is an indication because of what happened in the first
24, 48 hours. There was response immediately. And then there was more response after they had
buried Khamenei or the remains of Khamenei and done some kind of, you know, official
prayer ceremony, because like Jewish people, Muslims get buried immediately. So that's basically
what happened. And some of my contacts said that wait for a even bigger response once they once
they've got that out of the way. But the thing is, again, to Wendy's point, when you plan for war,
you plan for the day after.
And you have an exit strategy as well. Of course, reality hits against reality and things change.
But you're meant to have a plan going in. And the problem exemplified by a the surprise and shock
that Iran has retaliated. Number one, I'm sorry, they said they were going to do exactly this.
Oh, that can't be a surprise. I mean, I well, it is obviously they are they are saying how could
this be? These are countries that didn't want this war to happen. Iran could have, you know,
maybe had them on side. But they're not just targeting the Iranians now with their missiles
and drones, the American bases. They're also targeting some of the economic hubs. And at one
point, very sadly, a civilian hotel in in Dubai. Now, some of these hotels are housing
military and other personnel. So I don't know what Iran's justification is, but it's not allowed to
hit civilians. So so there's that. Forget about justification, just strategy wise. If this is a
you're already being, you know, overwhelmed by a two on one fight. You've got the United States
and Israel who have both have vaunted militaries, seemingly who got married and blended into each
other. And now they all fight together. Why in God's name would they then provoke the Saudis
and any other country that has our military equipment to get into this? Wouldn't they want
to limit the participation? Or is the idea that if they cause economic damage, they're going to
damage in these other countries, that that will put pressure on the United States to back off?
So it has put pressure on the United States. The stock market is way down today. Energy prices are
way up. This is only going to get worse. LNG as well. That market is off because it comes out of
Qatar. And so I think the idea is to sow chaos, to sow economic damage. We know Donald Trump. We know Donald
to avoid dealing with the real affordability issues in the United States, to deal with the
Epstein issues. Well, we saw the same thing with the tariffs. As soon as he levied the tariffs,
when he saw that the bond market was about to crash, he suddenly backed off of that.
Does that give him a justification? Because they're being so all over the place for what
the aims of the war are, does that then make it easier for him to declare, oh my God, we won.
We did everything we intended to do. Now I can, now I can leave. Is that where he's going with
this, Christiane? To add to Wendy's analysis of why all these, you know, lashing outs by Iran,
many Iranian experts have said that, you know, when Trump killed Qasem Soleimani,
the head of the Quds Force back in 2020, Iran practically telegraphed a very limited response.
Right. They gave us, they gave us a heads up beforehand.
Yes. And then in the so-called 12,
12 day war. And even before that, you know, the actual encounters with Israel,
you know, Iran really didn't land a punch. Israel was doing really, you know, well,
and its allies were doing well, helping it with a defensive shield and all the rest of it.
So this much vaunted sort of Iran will wipe us off the face of the earth didn't even come close
to happening. And Iran was, in my opinion, revealed as either not having the wherewithal
or the ability or the desire to go further. So then,
that became an issue within the Iranian regime. We were limited and restrained, they say,
last times. Now, if we're attacked like this, with our weakened, we're weakened because of
all the Israeli and US strikes in this past year, we're weakened because of the, you know,
I mean, I'm saying legitimate uprisings of people in Iran, they're weakened from the outside,
they're weakened from the inside. A war now was going to be existential for them. And I think,
they decided, no more proportional. Now we have to give it all that we've got because it didn't
work the last time. And now they're after us. And they know that because both Netanyahu and Trump
and everybody else was saying, this is about regime change. You remember, we can quote left
and right Trump and Netanyahu. They even were saying it in the opening hours of the war.
Oh, Netanyahu very explicitly said in an address, I've been working on this for 40 years.
40 years.
Think about it.
As long as my people were in the desert, I've been working on changing the regime. I mean,
this is the greatest moment for his political career. It's the only way he,
I think, probably had a prayer of staying in power in the first place.
Look, the algorithm is killing us. The algorithm, the way that it incentivizes the hostility and
weaponizes ideology and all the, it just, it's, it's,
it's not right. But the, the antidote, the antidote is information. And that's where
ground news comes in. Ground news, it's this website nap. It's designed to give readers
a better way, an easier way to navigate the news. It pulls together every article about the same
news story from all outlets all over the world and puts them in one place and not, not incentivized
for like the worst, most hostile, most partisan take. It tells you where,
it's coming from. You, you can see starkly in black and white, how these different organizations
and algorithms are manipulating the information that we get. They show you how reliable the
source is and who's funding it. Who's funding it. Follow the money. Know who's behind the headline.
Oh, who is this? Uh, Rupert Murdoch fella. He seems delightful. Hmm. He seems to have a, a somewhat,
uh, pointed view of the world. I'm telling you, man, the Nobel peace centers even mentioned that
ground news is an excellent way to stay informed. Noble peace center. That's I think the one that
Trump started. I think it's the 3d Prince Nobel peace prizes. It just hands them out. The platform
is independently operated, supported by its subscribers. So they stay independent and they
stay mission driven. They don't get sucked into this slop. If you want to see the full picture,
go to ground news. They can help you.
Through the noise and get to the heart of the news. Go to ground news.com slash Stewart
subscribe for 40% off the unlimited access vantage subscription discount available only for a limited
time. And this brings the price down to like $5 a month. That's ground news.com slash Stewart
or scan the QR code on the screen. What I'm curious about, and Wendy, maybe you can speak to this.
I feel like the hubris and arrogance of the Trump administration is reflected in the idea that they
think they cracked the code on regime changes by go, you know, we all remember what it was four
weeks, five weeks, they went into Venezuela, they took Maduro. And what they did is they just
basically decapitated the leadership. And rather than trying to foment a democratic revolution or
bring more liberty to the people who've been suffering.
They just cut a deal with the next in command, basically by saying, you see what happened to
that guy. If you don't want to get to the back of the head, you'll cooperate with us.
Is that the strategy now that they think they can deploy on any other nation?
Like now with Iran, hey, we took al-Khamenei, the next guy up, you'll just make a deal with us.
We're not necessarily going to free the people.
We're just going to get a slightly less reactionary dictator to work in American interests.
Right. One of the things of the many objectives laid out that worried me the most was Trump saying that Venezuela was a template.
And if Venezuela is a template, then he somehow believes of the various scenarios the CIA offered.
He's choosing the one that somehow he can find a pragmatic person in Iran who will cut a deal with him,
maybe give him access to Iranian oil or economic possibilities and all of their enrichment and their missiles
and somehow control the economy of Iranians.
But help out Donald Trump.
This is so naive.
Christiane has looked at Iran and been in Iran for many, many years.
And she knows as well as I do.
There are many layers of Iranian leadership, many plans for succession.
It is a culture of resistance.
Ostensibly, this morning there was a hit and come against the council that was meeting to elect the next supreme leader.
Another effort to decapitate.
The leadership of Iran that will not stop Iran that will just double down to try to keep going.
And maybe this time they won't have a public meeting.
They'll do it in a bunker somewhere to make sure that they get a supreme leader.
If in fact everyone was killed in this attack.
I don't know yet.
But the bottom line here is a total misunderstanding of what Iran is, who Iran is.
And if a deal is made, that's freedom for the Iranian people.
It's not going to happen.
And remember, that's how this all started.
President Trump said to the protesters who were being killed, we have your back.
Sure.
Rise up.
We're not going to give you weapons, but we have your back.
Christiane, can you explain a little bit about, so what is the power structure?
And when we talk about the Iranian power structure, this is obviously post-1979 revolution.
It was very different when the Shah was there.
Still autocratic, but not dogmatic in the theocracy.
What is the power structure there beyond sort of the supreme leader?
Then there's a council, right, of mullahs.
Can you walk us through that a little bit?
I can walk you through it, but it's really complex.
So I'm going to give you a general picture.
It's based on what's called the Velayat-e-Farhi.
Essentially, the supreme leader, so-called, is the representative of God on earth.
That's like a pope, right, in the Catholic faith.
And therefore, what he says, because it's always a he, it's a mullah,
is their state policy, both religious and military and economic and foreign and domestic and everything.
Under that, there are various councils.
There's the Council of Experts.
There's the Assembly Council.
There's the Guardian Council.
There's a number of different councils, which are so medieval to try to pick through.
But they have a certain internal logic and a bureaucracy and an administration that works to put, you know,
the next leaders or to map out the policy or to, you know, to do all the things.
And I know Wendy's familiar with this because she would have had to go through all their machinations
when they did the JCPOA, the Iran nuclear deal.
But suffice to say, immediately Khamenei was killed.
The state television and Ali Larijani, who I know very well, he is currently the national security honcho.
He comes from a very hardline family of Larijanis, and he used to be speaker of the parliament.
He can be described as pragmatic, but nonetheless, he's a true believer.
And he's in charge.
That's all I'm telling you.
That's what I've been told.
He's in charge, along with the current speaker of the parliament, who is named Barger Ghalibaf.
But Larijani, he's not eligible to be the supreme leader, though.
No, no, no, no.
But right now he's running the country because of what has happened.
The leadership has been decapitated.
They're trying to get, you know, a new supreme leader.
And so all of this stuff is going.
And it's very, you know, unique to that place.
But the real issue for me, no matter how much we talk about whether America was, you know, will succeed,
whether Israel was, you know, pulled America into it, what the retaliation is,
the real issue for me as an Iranian and as a journalist is the promises made to the Iranian people.
And as Wendy says, I have covered this place for nigh on 35 years, ever since the first Gulf War.
Obviously, I grew up there.
Then fled with the revolution, etc.
But went back and continued to cover it.
These are the most extraordinary people I've ever met in my life.
And you just had a conversation with the Iranian director, Jafar Panahi, who showed you how extraordinary the Iranian people are.
And all they want is freedom, democracy, a standard of living that they can actually afford to live and survive and have three meals a day,
pay their rent and send their kids to school, not to mention try to travel and be normal human beings.
That's what they want.
And in every opportunity they've had, whether it's these so-called elections,
they've always, in the last 30-odd years, chosen the lesser of the two evils.
The more pragmatic, the more reform, except for Ahmadinejad and Raisi.
But that's where they are.
But even then, they chose really Mosavie and not Ahmadinejad.
That's exactly right.
It just wasn't allowed.
Because you know it, the 2009, and that's the last time I got banned from there for explaining,
and showing with CNN's new technology, how all the people were in the streets saying,
this time we're going to rise up, madam, we're going to take our country back.
And they were crushed.
So the people, John, have risen over and over again.
And they've been crushed by their heavily armed IRGC, Republican Guard, Revolutionary Guard, the foot soldiers, the Basij.
They have the guns.
Then Trump said, help is on the way.
And Reza Pahlavi said, help is on the way.
And then they got crushed.
Crushed again when help didn't come.
So now-
They were massacred.
I mean, they're saying now 30,000, 40,000 people.
Now, there are a faction of people there who are desperate and hoping that this will liberate them.
But there's another faction, which are also on the streets, that are pro-regime.
Now, it's smaller, but it's very, very, very fervent.
And it's backed by the thugs with the weapons.
So this, to me, is what we're going to wait and see.
Who is going to-
Who is going to win the battle of the streets if there's a military resolution to all of this?
Wendy, when you were-
So you've dealt with them in a slightly different capacity when you're negotiating with these.
When Christian is talking about the power structure and, you know, there's the mullahs and it's dogmatic and it's theocratic.
Are you-
Who are you-
What layers are you having to walk through to get agreements that are-
That can hold?
Are you walking with the pragmatists first?
To create these frameworks and then they are sort of pushed up the ladder to the mullahs to make sure that they abide by, you know, a different standard?
Exactly.
The current foreign minister, Abbas Arachi, was my counterpart during the Iran negotiations.
And his deputy, Majid Takravanshi, also was my counterpart.
And they particularly-
Arachi speaks perfectly.
Perfect English, writes perfect English.
Most of these folks spent time in the United States.
Foreign Minister Zarif at the time, who built a relationship with Secretary John Kerry, had lived in the United States for 30 years.
He understood us very, very well.
But even though these folks understood us very well, Arachi and I both became grandparents and we shared photos of our grandchildren.
At the end of the day, they answered to the supreme leader and to the-
And we were able to get to this layered bureaucracy and theocracy that Christiane laid out.
And so for months, we could not put anything on paper because if we put it on paper, they had to send it up the chain and they would be told no.
So we had to do everything in all kinds of machinations way to get to a deal.
And when we finally thought we had parameters that we'd all agreed to, and we really thought we were on the glide path to a deal,
the supreme leader gave a speech and changed every threshold, every single one.
So the red lines in a deal for the bureaucratic state are different than the ones for the theocratic leaders.
Without a doubt. Without a doubt.
And so then we had to twist ourselves into pretzels to figure out how to meet the supreme leader's parameters while staying true to what had been agreed in this multi-party negotiation.
What are the types of parameters that came from on high that complicated it?
In other words, what would we have to do to satisfy their vision?
So their vision was much stricter.
A lot of it was on technicalities in the deal.
And one of the things I think people need to understand is Witkoff and Kushner did a drive-by negotiation.
Well, they're also real estate guys.
I mean, they're viewing this as a development.
- Exactly.
- Like that's, it's just,
just a different animal. Right. And if you can't build one building, you just go on to the next
building. This is national security. This is the geopolitics of the world. And so their drive-by,
they said, well, Iran wouldn't agree to anything. They didn't understand Iran's need to hold on to
its dignity, though we all find that sort of strange. They didn't understand Iran's need to
have a deterrence. You know, what sovereign country doesn't want a deterrence, even if we
hate and find an anathema what this country does? And so they wanted a quick fix because Trump
always wants a quick fix. They couldn't get a quick fix. Negotiations are tough work,
really hard work. But worse, I'm really interested to ask
Wendy,
because you mentioned the last drive-by negotiations in your words. I was stunned,
and I'm sure you were, John and Wendy, I'm sure you were. Last week, just before the war started,
Witkoff said to Fox, you know, the president and we, we're, quote, we're frustrated. I don't want
to use the word frustrated, but we're frustrated. I don't want to use the word capitulate, but
because they haven't capitulated, which in one word to me said, they just don't get it. Wendy,
you know, I'm not going to use the word capitulate. I'm not going to use the word capitulate. I'm not
a capitulation. And it seems that for Trump and the Trumpies, negotiation means zero-sum game. I win,
you lose. And that's not what this lot in Iran are all about. But again, I also want to ask Wendy
and John to respond to something that I can't answer to, but Vance and Trump and all the others
have been, now they're basically saying that this negotiation process was rubbish. For the longest
time, you all know that. And I'm not going to answer that. I'm not going to answer that. I'm not
talk, talk, talk, talk. Iran was never going to do X, Y, or Z. We had to get to this point today.
That's their latest justification. And maybe they really believe it that, you know,
2015 JCPOA wasn't good enough. Well, they didn't believe it was good enough, Christian.
They were critics at the time. And what we said to them is we have a choice. We can stop their
program. We can verify it and monitoring it to the nth degree, or we face the prospect of an Arab
Persian war, which is what we're getting. Oh, wow. Well, that's the question, Wendy. So when
you talk about, you know, in that nuclear deal, the big trigger was that international inspectors
were going to be going, this is the JCPOA. Yeah, JCPOA. That international inspectors would go in
there and that they would be able to monitor the Iranian nuclear program. And Iran was saying for
our national sovereignty, we have to be able to enrich uranium, not for weapons, but for energy
and other types of things that seem to be very crucial to them. Now we've expanded the aperture
to the development of missiles. I don't know if that was in the JCPOA. I don't. And also their
support for proxies and other things within the region. I don't know if that was also. So they've
included, it's a much broader negotiation, it seems. And get rid of their Navy. So it's a long
list of things that we're doing now. So it's basically, though, in some respects,
a castration. Absolutely. Without a doubt. But here's the thing, and this, again, I don't
understand, okay, because it's different words being said in public. So after the 12-day war,
Israel and the United States brought all the intelligence images and all the pictures and
said, we have obliterated their nuclear program. And by and large, I think most people agreed that
they'd at least put it out of commission, that they have not been able to enrich since the 12-day
war. And a lot of them said, we have obliterated their nuclear program. And a lot of them said,
the main production centers and enrichment centers have been obliterated, or at least
extremely badly put out of action. And we also read in the lead up to this war,
that these aerial satellite photos and things had shown that the Iranians were not, in fact,
going to enrich and doing that. They weren't doing that. They were plugging some of the holes.
But what they were doing was trying to rebuild their missiles and all the rest of it, which,
as Wendy said, is a very, very important thing. And I think that's a very, very important thing.
Is there a sort of defense thing and deterrent? But even now, Raphael Rossi, who's the head of the
IAEA, the UN agency to monitor the nuclear issues, said that in this round of bombings,
the nuclear stuff has not been touched. So it's just really confusing.
Well, it appears, Christiane, that they may have gone after Natanz today.
Okay.
So, you know, but the tell is exactly what you said.
President Trump said that we obliterated all of their facilities. Clearly, we said it way back,
but we did not obliterate it. And did I think that Iran would try to start enriching again?
Yeah, probably they would. But as you pointed out, the real way to ensure that you know what's
going on is to have the inspectors inside. And we had the most unbelievable monitoring and
verification management. And we had the most unbelievable monitoring and verification management
mechanisms that didn't exist anywhere else in the world that Iran agreed to. We had eyes on
everything. We had for 25 years what's called uranium accountancy. Whatever you take out of
the ground, you follow it through the process. And you know that what comes out the other end
is exactly what you put in. It hasn't been taken off to some covert supply chain to create a nuclear
weapon. So there was just tremendous work because we had an amazing cadre of experts. And obviously,
as you know, Secretary of Energy Ernie Moniz, who was just completely brilliant,
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Are we searching for answers that maybe aren't even there, that this is a much simpler,
they've sort of decided, and this happens sometimes, they did it with Saddam Hussein,
they are bad actors, Gaddafi, Saddam Hussein, Khamenei, and the Americans decide in a somewhat
cavalier manner, in my opinion, these are bad actors and we're going to take them out.
And whatever comes next will probably be better than these bad actors. Somehow we didn't do it
to Assad, but we're going to do it now in Iran. And we set terms that we know a country cannot
meet.
Similarly to what Netanyahu is doing with Hamas, basically saying, I'll just bomb you till you
disarm, knowing that, well, and now they won't. So it just turns into this weird siege. But is it
simpler? You know, are we looking for justifications and strategies that don't actually exist?
Go ahead, Christiane.
I just, look, you have a, you know, the broader, more governmental, I have the more, you know,
on the ground reportorial view of this.
So, look, a number of things have struck me in the aftermath of the launch of this war.
The United States said, says, the US officials say, there is no international law.
There is only American law and we do whatever we want for our own national interest.
And that's what they're going by right now. In Britain, and in most of the other part of the
world, parts of the democratic world, there is international law. So why did Britain decide not
to go with Trump?
In the initial opening salvos, because there was no legal justification for it. There was no
imminent threat. They call it, you know, the US and Israel preventative, preemptive and all the
rest of it. But that implies a imminent threat of which there was none, despite the false claims
of many of the Trump administration and their foot soldiers. So Britain then, now it's expanded,
there are reasons and Britain is now letting the US use some of its bases. So that's one thing.
The other thing is that,
what's really, I think you're right, the president has decided that might makes right. And this is
what has been playing out since last January, since his inauguration. I was at the Munich
Security Conference of last year when J.D. Vance read the riot act to his allies, not his
adversaries, his allies, and basically said, we're going to do what we want. You're a bunch of
pussies. You don't even enable your far right and all the rest of it. I mean, it was mad.
And then sort of cozied up a little bit, as you saw play out in the White House to Putin
and dissed Zelensky and all the rest of it. So yes, I think they think that they can decapitate
whoever. But here's where it's a problem in Iran. There is no known modern or ancient example of
regime change from the air. Okay? Doesn't happen. Maybe this is an exception, but right now it
hasn't happened yet. And it hasn't happened before. It takes an invasion.
Wouldn't Libya, would Libya be that?
No, it wasn't regime change. No, no, no.
They just, I think, and correct me if I'm wrong, they bombed Benghazi,
but Gaddafi stayed until his own people massacred him, basically. You know what I mean? And it's a
total chaos. And you don't want that kind of regime change because to this day, Libya is chaotic.
And my fear about Iran is that already, even before the war, experts in Washington,
people like Kareem Sajjapoor, I said to Kareem, what are they saying to you in the State Department?
The Iran experts. First, he said to me.
There aren't any.
I haven't found any.
Right. There aren't any.
And second, he said to me that they seem to be talking about doing a deal with a pragmatic
revolutionary guard or somebody. Whoa, that's not what the opposition wants. The US-based
opposition of Reza Pahlavi has basically said anybody who does anything with anybody in the
current power structure is appeasing or collaborating and we won't have it. So there's no clarity on the
day after.
Who, what, where, when. And in the middle of this, there is no clarity for the Iranian people. And
I'm very fearful because it's already being said by the Trumpies, we're just providing the
environment for you Iranian people to go seize the moment.
Yeah, I think there's, John, I think you're totally on to something here that this is just
about might makes right. We're tired of this. We're just going to use our military. The president,
you know, when we heard Hegseth the other day do his very macho,
announcement of why we were doing this, he said, we're not going to have any stupid rules of
engagement. It was a very telling statement about how to go about these things. We will do what we
want to do when we want to do it because we're the United States of America. And we know that
that arrogance has gotten us into big trouble in the past. We all loved the shock and awe of the
help Vietnam, the South Vietnamese, create a democracy. And then it turns into a quagmire.
So whether this is a forever war or not, I don't know. But it's certainly a war of choice and a
war of chaos and a war of confusion. There's no doubt about it. And it has second and third and
fourth term effects with our allies in Europe, in terms of Ukraine. The president's going to China
at the end of March. I think he wants this to be over before he goes to China, unless he's
succeeding and then scares the devil out of Xi Jinping, which I don't think is going to happen.
I think what it says to Xi Jinping is he can take Taiwan because might makes right. And the U.S.
will let him do what he wants to do because the president wants to be his partner, not his
competitor. We are in a really different world. And what about Zelensky, Wendy?
Absolutely.
Certainly.
Putin has said, I mean, he has, Putin has said explicitly, gloves are off now. Now we get to do
whatever we want. There is no moral order. But Wendy, I want to ask you, because I think you're
more, you know, familiar in these negotiations. I'm struck by the Trump team's air of grievance
and victimization. The United States created this rules-based order. It was our design
after World War II. We're the ones that rebuilt Japan and
Germany and the rules that they were going to be militarily neutered. And we created the trade
rules and we created this world order. And now we're saying everybody is taking advantage of us
in this, this world order that we created in the United States and have been benefited from
more than any other country. We have had the most successful 80-year run of a country,
you know, in the modern times.
Yeah.
But we've been getting ripped off. And so we're going to burn the whole thing down
and go with the old world, more sort of monarchical, colonialist version of,
I need something, I'm going to go take it. Is that the frustration you're seeing from
negotiators that treaties are for losers? Is that where we're at?
Well, you know, Donald Trump famously said that John McCain,
a patriot and a war hero, was a loser because he had been captured.
So a lot of this is out of Donald Trump's mentality. He has always been a fan of McKinley,
the president who believed in spheres of influence, who believed in tariffs,
who got us into a lot of trouble. Yes, may have acquired a couple of territories,
but we shouldn't be a colonial power. We should not be an,
an oppressor ourselves. This is like nuts. And I think we're beginning to see politically in the
U.S. MAGA beginning to have some concerns about all of this because it was supposed to be America
first and no wars abroad. And the president instead is projecting power.
But do they really believe that the world order, it has existed, the democratic world order,
I'm talking about Europe, Canada.
That they've existed to exploit the United States and that we have been victimized
by the world we designed?
I think the president has always worked on the concept of grievance and globalization,
which was part of that world order after World War II, helped people get better food,
better pharmaceuticals, have possibilities. But it also meant that some people no longer
had their manufacturing jobs in the United States.
Right. It's collateral damage.
And we never had an employment assistance program worth anything.
And so those folks feel like they were left out and left behind, that that world order didn't
help them. They saw huge cultural change in this country where gay people could be married. Women
would go to work. A woman might even become president of the United States. Their wife had
to go to work, even though that wasn't their deal. People moving into their community spoke a different
language or went to the mosque, not to their church. And people felt untethered and filled
with grievance. And Trump has worked really hard to milk that grievance and say, everybody's against
us. Yes, we are the most powerful. We're going to show it with use of our military. I'm going to get
you what you deserve through tariffs. Instead, what he's gotten is a tax hike for every single
American and a war that may not have an end anytime soon.
Sian, I'm struck by what Wendy is saying in that the seeds of that grievance can be found in the
seeds of the religious movements in the Middle East. The sort of a response to modernity. If you
were to look at the University of Cairo graduating class in 1966, you'd probably see women in mini
skirts and you'd see a whole thing, you know, back when there was sort of Nasserism and we were going
to have rapprochement with the West and everything got liberalized. And Beirut was the Paris of the
Middle East. And the seeds that Wendy is talking about, it feels like those were the sort of
cataclysms that occurred in the Middle East that turned it into this much more conservative area.
Do you see the echoes of that, Christiana?
Yeah, I do. And I actually think it's really interesting that you bring it up. Of course,
those kinds of grievance-based politics are very dominant in Europe, but also, as you say,
in the Islamic world, particularly since the Islamic Revolution of Iran. Some of it is
based on, you know, the grievance of the Iranians when the Americans and the Brits had that coup,
as you know, in 1953, brought the Shah back when their democratic prime minister
had been kicked out in a coup, et cetera, et cetera. But if you read the history of Shiism,
the Shiites, of which Iran is the most powerful country and the most populous Shiite nation,
it's 99% Shiite. And the history of Shiism is the same kind of grievance, victimhood and martyrdom
that you're seeing in a much more different religious way that you're seeing now, you know,
all these centuries later by post-industrial Western nations who have used, you know,
all their politics and fear of the other to gin this stuff up. But that's why both these
countries are talking past each other. There's actually no understanding. And if you go back
and read a little bit of the, which I'd be doing in this last week to refresh my memory, I mean, I was
in Iran during the revolution, but to refresh my memory of everything, you know, the Americans are
still haunted by the hostage crisis. You know, in 1975, it was the United States. It was the United
The Iranians are still haunted by the coup of 1953 and, and, and it goes on and on and on.
And so there's a wall of mistrust.
But Christiane, I want to ask you, in 1979, though, it seems like that revolution against the Shah wasn't necessarily a religious one.
I don't think Khomeini.
Yes, it was.
But no, but I'm saying, don't you think Khomeini appeared to be a more moderate figure before he got there?
You don't think that when he was living in exile?
No, I don't think he was more moderate.
He was a true believer.
But what he did do, because you did get quite a lot of the, I don't even know what to call them, the upper middle class deciding to go into the streets against the Shah and vote for him.
He managed to lie and dissemble.
But he managed to tell everybody that he was going to bring democracy.
He was going to bring this.
He was going to bring that.
And oh, no, a mullah will never be in charge.
You know?
So all of this stuff, you know, was a lie.
And actually, very gullible Western politicians believed him.
At the time, the British government, maybe some in the U.S. government thought, wow, we're going to get democracy in Iran.
Let's throw the Shah over our, you know, decades-long ally, who, yes, was authoritarian.
But I think the difference there was that in 1979, after a full year of revolution, and I just have to tell you, in New Year's 77 going into 78,
Jimmy Carter and Rosalind came to Tehran, and they had a state visit, which culminated in a state dinner.
And President Carter told the Shah that you are our greatest friend and an island of stability in the Middle East.
Okay?
That meant they knew nothing about the rumblings.
Their ambassador there knew nothing about.
Eight days later, the revolution started.
It took a year.
And one year later, Khomeini came back.
Eight days after.
After Carter's famous, you are my best friend and you are, you know, the stability of the Middle East, which means that nobody knew anything.
Or if they did, the message wasn't going up the chain.
I mean, that's a simplistic version, but that's basically what has been happening.
To this day, to this day, I'm going to just say, I think 47 years of Western policy to Iran has been rubbish.
Literally rubbish.
Literally rubbish.
In the sense of the sanctions and the way that they've isolated them?
You know why?
You know why?
Because they focused only on the hard power.
Nukes, missiles, foreign mercenaries, never on the rights of the Iranian people.
And the Iranian people are some of the most sophisticated people in that whole region.
The best educated, the most female empowerment, the most technologically savvy, the best scientists, doctors, artists for thousands of years.
Right?
And we just lump them all as quasi-terrorists, all the people of Iran.
Never.
Never put their human rights or their democratic rights, not just at the top of an agenda, but anywhere on the agenda.
That's what I meant, Christiane.
Even with Khomeini, it felt like a bait and switch, not to the world, but to the Iranian people.
And to the world.
He said, we're going to give you democracy and to the world.
And to the world, who backed him.
And then he gets there and they start massacring everybody and imposing these religious customs.
Because I agree, and Wendy, maybe your experience there as well.
The country over there that seems most inclined to be kind of brethren with the United States, it's Iran.
Their culture, their people, seem much more aligned with Western sensibilities, no?
Well, without a doubt, as Christiane pointed out, highly literate country, very sophisticated people, technologically, culturally, intellectually.
And just look at Christiane.
So, I think that. That's right.
I think there's no doubt that there could have been another story written here.
But I think that the searing of the hostage crisis in 1979 lives with us forever.
And certainly for my generation, it lives forever.
In the same way that Vietnam lived. Lives with me forever.
Madeleine Albright, with whom I worked both at the State Department and in business, really was a daughter of Munich, not of Vietnam.
And had a very different view of the world and the United States because of that experience.
And we all are a creature of our history.
And this generation, as we're seeing, where Israel is concerned. I know my own daughter, young people around the world, yes, they think Israel has a right to exist and they're for the Israeli people, but they do not consider themselves Zionists in the same way that my generation perhaps did.
And we see a huge split in any of the polling that is done for the first time.
The American public has greater support for the Palestinians than for Israel.
That's really astonishing.
And it has to do with our own experience and Bibi Netanyahu's decades now of deciding how the world would go.
I'm very, very much certainly feel horrified by what happened to Israel on October 7th.
No doubt about it.
But I'm also horrified about everything that is happening now.
And the rights of the Iranians. The Iranian people, not the mullahs, but the people.
Yeah, I'm always talking about the people.
I mean the people, not the structure.
The people are going to get left behind, I'm afraid, in all of this sound and fury.
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Okay, one question.
Yeah, please, Christian.
Could it be a Berlin Wall thing?
Because I'm very nervous.
We've explained all the possible downsides and the possible cynical deals.
That might be made around the back of the Iranian people to end this.
But could it be, Wendy, John, I didn't cover the fall of the Berlin Wall.
I wasn't a foreign correspondent yet.
But it was like, no, no, no, no, no.
Until one day it happened.
Now, it did have Gorbachev sign off and the soldiers didn't shoot.
And that was crucial, which it will be crucial in Iran.
But I wonder if you think there might be the space, Wendy, created by this war to allow that there.
Christian, you should be. You should be a journalist because. Let me tell you something.
That is an incisive question and one that we had not considered previously.
You know what?
Send me your resume.
Can I work for your show?
Oh, please.
Absolutely.
Anytime.
I hope you like basic cable money because that's where it's going.
Wendy, what about that question?
I mean, I think there's always that possibility.
Anybody who lived through the Berlin Wall falling in the fall, the USSR and all those things.
What is your feeling on that?
These guys could collapse.
And there could be a sort of different renaissance.
Look, I think we would all find that a wonderful outcome.
I think that we don't have an organized opposition in Iran.
There were organized groups in Europe and ready to take the seeds of the fall of the Berlin Wall.
And we had West Germany, of course, who could help usher in that change.
Perhaps that can happen here.
We didn't have a Shia-Sunni split in the same way that we do here.
Nonetheless, that was a hard integration between East and West Germany.
We'll see how that plays out in Merz's visit with the president today, the chancellor of Germany.
But look, nothing would make me happier, not in terms of our politics in the United States,
because I am not a fan of President Trump's
But for the Iranian people, I'd be delighted if there were such a situation.
Christiane, you covered Arab Spring, and it does bring up, I remember being in Egypt right before,
it wasn't before Mubarak fell, but before Morsi fell. And the Arab Spring had that feeling of
young people and a democratic movement. But what we saw was exactly what Wendy is saying,
without having the infrastructure or organization, the only groups, because civil society has not
been fostered necessarily in those countries in the same way, the only groups organized enough
were either the ultra-religious groups like Muslim Brotherhood or the military. And so what
you don't get, and maybe this is the legacy of Arab Spring, you don't get that fostering of
that democratic society.
Yeah, I think it was absolutely the problem there. And what happened is that because the
Muslim Brotherhood had civil society in its pocket, having been the sort of humanitarian
lifeline for so many years, it was a problem. And so I think it was absolutely the problem there.
Egyptians, through the mosques and through their foundations and this and that, they were the only clear organized group first.
And when there were elections, they won.
And then the military said, no, no, no, no, no.
And they had the weapons.
So what, you know, it's the weapons versus, you know, and nobody wanted to see what they thought may be radical Islamic groups taking over any of these countries.
It was different than Iran in that there was no outside intervention.
Here you've got Israel and the United States bombing.
And I fear very much for the backlash in generations to come, because I think it's very controversial to be liberated in a Muslim country by Israel and the United States.
But I know a lot of people are saying, whoever it takes, whatever it takes.
But I worry about that for the future.
Christian, what are the, are there tent posts within Iranian society that would make them better ground for that type of democratic infrastructure?
I think that you have a very young population.
It's very, very young across the board.
But most especially, it's essentially called like a Gen Z uprising right now.
These are people who are incredibly plugged in.
But I worry a little bit that they're also incredibly plugged into TikTok, you know.
So there's potentially a little bit of an unrealistic notion of how you have to do the grassroots and the groundwork.
And most particularly, unifying.
You know, what you don't want is to have.
like behind the scenes, they facilitate
and agree with a lot of these actions. So what is your feeling about their role in all this?
I think Saudi Arabia, more than anything, wants stability and wants to have the economic future
that Mohammed bin Salman, really the person who's running Saudi Arabia,
hopes out of his 2030 plan for the economic future of Saudi Arabia, which also has a very
young population and an understanding that oil will not exist forever and that, in fact,
the royal family will be at risk if they cannot create a future for the young people in that
country. He has tried to create a relationship with Iran, even starting diplomatic relations.
That was really to protect his back. But now Saudi Arabia has been attacked. And of course,
Saudi Arabia didn't want to be attacked by Iran again after they went after the Saudi
Iraqis.
Some time ago. So this was sort of like his I'm going to make sure that I've got a back channel
and a way to make sure we don't get targeted again so that I hold on to the future I want
for Saudi Arabia. What's his how does his public relationship with the United States and Netanyahu
differ from what you believe is going on? Because you're that portrays him in a much
more conciliatory role with Iran than I would. I don't think he's.
Oh, I think he's trying to have it always all of the time and and stay in control. And as we've
seen, he's a very controlling person. We all know about the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, which
many of us will never, ever be able to forget. It was so horrifying and so outrageous. So I think a
very transactional. And Saudi Arabia has bought enormous number of weapons from the United States,
truly important to us as part of our economy. They don't know how to use these weapons sometimes
very well. We saw that in Yemen, which hasn't gone very well for Saudi Arabia.
And now that Saudi Arabia has been attacked, but some of those targets have been U.S. targets,
not just Saudi targets. So we will see where Saudi Arabia goes and whether they will now be
all in. One other point I'd make about all these Gulf states and reports this morning,
which is they all have munitions often bought from us and they are running out of those munitions.
And one of the big debates to come in the United States now is whether we're going to spend more
money to help all of these Gulf countries.
Increase their munitions as well as get more for ourselves. And our military industrial complex
is very slow going. Getting those munitions in storage and in stock is not something that
happens in five days. And we don't have the manufacturing base for it anymore.
Exactly. We do not have the manufacturing base for it. And you can't start up those
manufacturing on a dime. So we are about to see,
how this is all going to play out. UAE, ostensibly United Arab Emirates, only has
maybe a week at most left of its munitions.
To keep those missiles from talking about all those shields that they've created.
Christiane, what's your thought on where the Gulf states play in this and Saudis in particular?
Well, I would just add that I think it'll potentially cause Saudi Arabia and UAE and
Qatar and their people to potentially maybe question the wisdom of having American bases
on their soil.
Particularly when they're not being defended by the United States, their allies. And I don't even
know, I don't even know whether they were alerted that this was happening on Saturday morning. I
don't know. But I also think that the, for the UAE and Qatar, especially, and now Saudi more and
more, they have branded themselves as this place that is modern, that is stable, that is a
financial hub, a business hub, a negotiating peace hub, you know, World Cup here, this and
that there. They have completely branded themselves on being a safe bolt hole for very rich people
and those who want to, you know, have some tourism and sports and all the rest of it.
Whoa, now they are in the line of fire. So they're going to have to make some decisions
and it's going to be very weird and interesting to see how this all plays out for everybody.
It really is so huge, the ramifications of what's just happened.
And I will go back to the whole business of Israel, because I was pretty shocked two days,
two weeks before October 7th, to learn that the then National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan had
said publicly, you know, things in the Middle East are quieter and more organized, and I'm
paraphrasing, than in a long, long time. So all I'm saying is there still seems to be a knowledge
gap. There just seems to be a gap between what's going on. And what is actually happening and what your best friends think halfway around the world.
And that affects everything. Even Netanyahu, it's been written recently that he asked the
Qataris to increase the funding for Hamas practically on the eve of October 7th.
So guys, something's got to change. This same policy that's been, you know, sort of had
for the last half a century is not producing the optimum result.
Well, certainly not a learning curve. I mean, I would say, you know, you had talked earlier about,
you know, the lessons of Vietnam and the lessons of Iraq. But it doesn't seem that we've tried
every version of this game, whether it's bombing for a little bit, whether it's bombing and then
invading and then occupying and holding it until. And we've seen in Afghanistan and we've seen in
Iraq and we've seen in Vietnam and we've seen that the collateral damage and the downstream effects
that we just don't know are going to be. But the one thing we never seem to stop doing is meddling
and trying to control. The hubris of a nation, even as strong as we are, thinking that it's not
just about influence, it's about control. And when you put it into control, you know, our
Constitution very clearly states people want to breathe free. They want self-determination.
And when we have policies that use these other countries,
as puppets, how can that not be disastrous? I still think the Americans have one big
superpower and they have to use it, either this president or the next one, to force peace and a
just solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. I genuinely believe that that is the source. You think that's a nuclear reactor. It is huge, this. Everything else is a
tentacle that hangs off that. Everything else, I believe, is a tentacle. I'm convinced that a proper
lasting peace will do so much to quieten most of the tension in that region. I really do. And I
think focusing on the human rights and democratic rights of a people like in Iran is very important
too, along with the national security. Not just the transactions.
Yeah. Along with that, you have to have something for the people, you know.
Yes, I agree with you, Christiane. I think that's absolutely critical. I don't think
it's about building a resort on the beautiful waterfront of. It's not. Gaza. But I do think that
giving people the dignity they deserve to live a decent life.
Right. And the dignity of their own identity.
And maybe understanding it's not ours to give.
Yeah, good point. That we cannot be patronizing
when it comes to the dignity of other people. It's their unalienable rights. We don't grant them
the ability to get those. But I really appreciate the conversation and the insights here today. I
think you've both got bright futures. I just hope the people of Iran have bright
futures and the people of Israel and the people of Palestine and the people in the world, because
they are treated as, you know, unfortunately, second fiddle to everything or fourth or fifth
fiddle. And, you know, when you talk about it, it just, it all seems so much simpler
than what it is, which is like. Hey, women rule. We should go and do it.
Right, exactly. Indeed, indeed.
Christiane Amanpour, CNN Chief International Anchor, Ambassador Wendy Sherman, former Deputy
Secretary of State and lead negotiator of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran. Both of you,
thank you so much for your insights. Thank you, John. Which Trump pulled
out of, don't forget. Yes, because it was a
disaster of Barack Hussein Obama's doing. And he's the only one who prevented nuclear war.
Right. A man of great dignity.
Always. Thank you guys.
Thank you.
Thank you.
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I am always somewhat taken aback when two experts, one in the field of diplomacy,
one in the field of journalism, both come to the same conclusion.
That this will not end well.
I mean, it really can't. There's no goals, like real concrete goals, no strategy. I mean,
how can it end well?
Yeah, it's shocking in that, you know, they're describing sort of the dynamics of it. And then
they say, now, there is a way for this to go right. But it's not going to.
Not going to happen.
No.
Even when they say, like, could this be a Berlin Wall moment? Then they took a moment to think,
like, yeah, no, probably not.
It's also crazy. There is a board
of peace in the region. I wonder what their take is.
Has anybody thought about calling them?
Yeah.
So the problem is they're still in the hiring phase. They're still taking resumes.
So they're not fully. Now, you can call there and there's a, obviously, you can still get through.
Of course.
There's still not a lot of follow through.
Right. They're fully funded, though, just ramping up the hiring.
Well, because it costs a billion. What is it? Was it a billion dollar? He runs everything like a
country.
A country club. Like, it's a board of peace. You pay a billion dollars and there's a dining budget that you have to fulfill.
But the food's not that good. There's a three year waiting period. Yeah.
How quickly after the war started did the board of peace puns? The board of peace is board of peace. Like, the Internet is undefeated.
Well, I think when he fell asleep at the meeting, board of peace just became very easy to make jokes on.
That did become the meme. But don't you think, like, his ADD?
His ADD. I really do wonder, like, he just doesn't have the long term. He likes demo day. He's a big demo day guy, but he doesn't like to be in there the day where they're like, yeah, we're just framing out the siding. We're, you know, we're painting the trim. Like, he's, that's not the shit that interests him.
I mean, he's falling asleep in meetings. And I imagine that once these, you know, big, beautiful attacks or whatever aren't as big.
Or as beautiful.
He's probably going to move on. Yeah.
Yeah.
I saw this great thing that was like, Trump is not a day two president. He's just day one. And anything that happens day two is like, I have no time for that.
No. He moves on. The thing he's most interested in.
But the ballroom does continue to captivate him.
I was just, Jillian, that's so, I was, I was going, but the one thing that he brings up in any situation is the ballroom.
He loves gold.
I think it's because it's right outside the window. Like, it's like.
It's like, you can't forget about it when it's right outside your window.
We need to start putting some wildlife right outside.
Right.
Have him divert to zebras.
Yeah.
Right. That'd be so great if they did it like one of those Disney hotels where you say, and the giraffes just walk up to the window.
Yeah.
That's what he could open up on.
We got to get those like fly-by planes, like the Jersey Shore.
Yes.
Yeah.
You could really.
With lawyers that you can call to sue people.
No, I like what's, I like what's going on here.
Distract him with benign things that can't get the world in trouble.
Just like baubles and trinkets and, and such.
But somebody said to me the other day, which I hadn't even really considered.
And they go, and by the way, like, I'm not like a construction guy, but how can a ballroom cost $400 million?
And I was just like, that's great.
Like, I, I don't know what kind of sound system you're putting in there, but $400 million does seem like a lot for a one story.
Yeah.
Like.
Especially DC real estate.
Right.
Like this is in New York.
This is in New York city.
We're talking about.
Yeah.
$400 million.
What?
I can't wait to go to my first party there.
Yeah.
Maybe the speakers are like, I don't know.
Camouflage does other things.
Like you can't see.
Here's my point.
The sound.
It's all built into the curtains.
I don't know.
I'm trying to imagine.
I don't think he's getting his money back is what I'm saying.
I think even when he sells this, he's going to take a hit.
No, right off the depreciation.
Because by the way, he's never moving out of there.
He's living there.
Brittany, what do they got for us on, on, on this?
It's fine.
Weak.
Okay.
John.
You said you thought your guy, David Ellison should have it all.
Looks like he's about to.
That's right, baby.
I called it.
You still good with that?
I am the king of polymarket.
I may now don't, don't look into the transactions too much, but there, there may have been a
whale that came in towards the end of the bedding and threw down, you know, a quick half
billion on whether or not Netflix would, would bow out.
I didn't have the inside information.
No, it's, it's, I mean, they are accumulating.
They are, it's, Santa's bag is, is, is full.
Were you guys surprised that it like Netflix, that it, it ended with such a weird kind of
whimper?
Yes, completely.
I was.
No, Lauren, Lauren says no.
What, what, what were you thinking?
I don't know.
I just remember.
Lauren had the inside scoop.
Oh yeah.
I wish I would have cow sheet all over it now.
Yeah, baby.
I just think I've seen these types of, of issues in the past.
Like, I don't know.
Like during the first Trump administration, I just, and how much things have ramped up.
I mean, the meetings we're seeing these executives taking with the president, the, you know,
subservience in the public to him.
I just had a feeling it might be inevitable that what Trump wants will happen.
Right.
Well, how astonishing is it for, for the president of the United States in a business merger
to go, I haven't decided yet who I'm going to give it to.
Where it really is.
It's like, we are all just things on his desk that he can hand out to, you know, party
favors to be distributed to the loyalists.
John, were you surprised?
No, I was not surprised at all.
I never thought Netflix had a chance to be honest.
Oh really?
No, no.
Because of how clearly the president wanted a loyalist.
Look, that's how they ended up with TikTok.
That's how they, CNN is too big a prize for them to risk handing it over to news people
like, or, or people that are going to let it just operate.
So I never thought that I always thought that they were going to use the lever of, you know,
FCC approval as a manner by which to, to tilt the scale.
And I thought the one thing Zadlov did smartly was,
use Netflix to drive Paramount insane and make them pay $110 billion for something that
clearly, you know, and if you look at once Paramount got awarded the deal,
their stock looks like a fucking luge course.
Just curious what you thought was going to happen to CNN.
Does it just become CBS too?
I kind of think so.
Like I'd be astonished if they don't, uh, if they don't walk in,
if they don't go in there and go like, Hey, a nice show you got here.
It'd be a shame if something happened to it.
Uh, I mean, I think the kinds of changes that you're seeing at CBS are, are in the offing.
Uh, and he's also, he's got a much more personal grudge against CNN than he does against CBS.
Right.
That's such a good point.
So I, I have a feeling he's going to go in there and like their studio, I would be surprised to
see that looking more like the oval, like you're like, are those gold cherubs behind him?
Are those gold cherubs behind Wolf Blitzer?
Like, I think, I think he's going to be more involved in that.
And I wouldn't be surprised if one of these media properties was handed over to Trump
Inc.
That Donald Jr.
Had his hands in.
Look, those guys run a drone company.
There's nothing he can't do.
And as far as I know, they're not either one of them real aeronautics guys, but, uh, I,
I would not be surprised to see, you know, at one point Trump going like, why doesn't,
why isn't my, why are the Ellison's getting all that?
Why isn't my family getting a taste?
Of this empire?
What about Jared Kushner?
Kushner will go in there and develop a mall around it.
The Saudis.
I mean, look, look at the.
financing there's a lot of money from i think the middle east that's also going through there this
is it's so explicitly corrupt that it's almost breathtaking and to think that you know they
consider it on the par with hunter being on the board of burisma you're like you have no fucking
idea it's so quaint i mean yeah remember that no this is this is like you know real fucking monarch
shit for sure you know what i thought was interesting was that uh over the weekend i
guess there was all this drama blowing up with the uh prediction markets and kalshi wound up
shutting down the common anyone and saying that it's not appropriate for people to benefit from
death or to make money off of death and it's like that's their whole business model you know that's
where they draw the line these are these are moral operators meanwhile they're offering prop bets on
like how long his
beard would be when he got out of the rubble like they're you know we've gamified our entire
existence and the sub economy the sort of speculative economy i think is probably so
much larger than the actual economy that that's the thing that's going to blow us up it's sort of
like the derivatives market you know we have a derivatives market now on our lives everything
is gamified everything's you know everything's a prop bet i think you'll get divorced in the third
quarter of you know fucked up i can't tell if it exposes you know that you know we all have a taste
for gambling or if it exposes that our real economy is also just kind of a speculative game
like i'm not i'm not sure what ends up looking worse throughout all of it is our our amorality
or the fact that maybe our entire fucking economy is a bit of a shell game yeah with all that
what else what else you got brady last question uh john godford
forbid but your last meal taco bell or arby's oh that's not even really yes did you just say so
last last uh moment on earth a hug or a punch in the face like that's that's not even a question
that's that's like the worst would you rather that i've ever you know would you rather
uh you know fall asleep eating ice cream or be burned alive
like arby's and taco bell all right there's a follow-up question really to the arby's and
taco bell question yes all right what's your taco bell order uh crunch wrap supreme uh no meat uh
with refried beans to give it a nice uh i like the refried over the black bean because the black
bean i don't like to see my beans as individuals okay i feel like uh then i get a melting pot
i get attached to them it's not right that you see them as individual nuggets of being
the refried bean then feels more like a substrate something in which the other ingredients we all
exist together in this but the black bean always felt like who are you you arrogant you're not even
mixing with my other ingredients so i like the refried and then if i'm feeling particularly
celebratory
and i apologize for having thought about this too much uh is i'll go the nachos bel grande
no meat and that what i like about that is you have the individual each chip is its own experience
his own you can get the the couple of chips that are in the corner that nobody has decided to touch
so they're empty and devoid and you can create whatever bite you want a little bit of refried a
little bit of cheese a little bit of sour a little bit of tomato boom adventure but then there are
others that are in a come as you are you will eat me as is i am loaded for bear and so you you have
all these different what what what would you guys do i cannot stress how hungry i am right now like
it's it's lunchtime are you guys are you are you taco bell people
people well now i am jillian were you not a taco bell do they even have them in brooklyn probably oh
yes there are a few yeah i honestly didn't think it was very vegetarian friendly and you're just
like blowing my mind this is thrilling it's the best one how many times have i had to like roll
through mcdonald's and be like i'll have a big mac without the meat and they're like sir i'm
going to have to ask you to leave like they're not that's a crime they'll make it but they'll
be like you'll walk up there and be like you know i'm charging you extra right even though you're
not getting the thing but taco bell is made for that i have to say your uh taco bell spiel sounded
a lot like a fake ad just for nachos that is the beauty of nachos by the way is it's one of the few
foods that you're served where you decide the proportionality somebody makes you a sandwich
you don't get to go in there and go like oh on this bite i'd like all turkey with just a little bit of
you know that people do that but the nacho it really is i'm sorry i didn't want to get choked
up this is beautiful it is it is america it is i understand that it doesn't seem to be native to us
but it is an emblem of freedom where each chip allows you to express your individuality
every chip a possibility i think fdr said that what wait what lauren just dropped a bar you just
dropped a bar
hit that again oh god i don't know if i should no just a new possibility with each chip every chip
a possibility there you go we're opening up our own taco bell i would love that i hope we get
sponsored at some point oh i don't they want nothing to do with they want nothing it's gotten
to the point at my taco book because i go there regularly and generally like oh it's always right
right before band practice because you know if i'm gonna go act like a 14 year old at band practice
i should eat like one uh so now i come up and whenever i roll up uh you know they come on the
thing and they go are you using the app and i'm like i don't know what that is and uh what do you
want crunch wrap supreme no meat refried beans and they're like you again all right sir so it's
all good it's all good uh guys thank you so much uh britney how did they get in touch with us uh
twitter we're on twitter we're on facebook we're on facebook we're on facebook we're on facebook
we are weekly show pod instagram threads tiktok blue sky we are weekly show podcast and you can
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always fantastic uh great job uh very very interesting uh conversation uh lead producer
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tolo audio editor and engineer nicole boys and our executive producers chris mcshane
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Paramount Podcasts
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The U.S. and Israel’s sudden military action against Iran lacks clear justification, public planning, and a coherent strategy, leading to chaos and civilian casualties.
Iran’s response reveals a deep-seated resistance to external interference, with the regime aiming to defend its sovereignty and leadership structure despite U.S. claims of regime change.
The attack was meticulously planned by military forces but lacked political strategy, exit plans, or consideration for civilian safety or international law.
The U.S. government failed to provide evacuation support for Americans abroad, showing a lack of preparedness and prioritizing military action over civilian safety.
Iran’s leadership structure is complex and theocratic, involving multiple councils, and negotiations with Iran require navigating deep layers of bureaucracy and religious authority.
The Trump administration’s approach to diplomacy is rooted in grievance, zero-sum thinking, and a belief in military dominance over negotiation, undermining long-term stability.
The Iranian people overwhelmingly seek freedom, dignity, and basic rights, not regime change, and have repeatedly resisted oppression through peaceful protests.
The current crisis risks deepening regional instability, undermining democratic values, and potentially creating a power vacuum that could lead to unpredictable political transformations.
Summary:
-Israel military action against Iran has been marked by a lack of planning, transparency, and legal justification, sparking widespread chaos and civilian casualties. Experts highlight that Iran’s resistance is rooted in a long history of foreign intervention, including the 1953 coup and 1979 hostage crisis, which has fostered deep distrust. S.
failing to assist civilians in evacuation. Iran’s complex theocratic power structure, with multiple councils and a strong cultural resistance to foreign domination, makes regime change unlikely. The Trump administration’s approach—based on military dominance, grievance-based politics, and zero-sum thinking—contrasts sharply with the Iranian people’s enduring demand for freedom, dignity, and basic rights.
Analysts warn that the war risks deepening regional instability, damaging international norms, and creating a power vacuum. S. foreign policy: a lack of long-term vision, respect for sovereignty, and commitment to democratic values.
Meanwhile, the conversation draws parallels to historical turning points like the fall of the Berlin Wall, suggesting that democratic transformation in Iran might be possible—but only if civil society, youth movements, and international support coalesce. Ultimately, the crisis exposes the dangers of projecting power without accountability, and the urgent need for diplomacy grounded in mutual respect and shared human rights.
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She noted the lack of public warning, no preparation, and no evacuation plans from the U.S. government. The sudden order to leave on one’s own dime, without aid, showed poor planning and a lack of regard for civilians, indicating a chaotic and unprepared response to the crisis.
The conflict highlights a lack of long-term strategy, inconsistent justifications, and a failure to consider civilian casualties or diplomatic consequences. The military plan was meticulous, but political decision-making was reactive and chaotic, showing a disconnect between military plans and broader geopolitical goals.
Iran has a complex, layered political structure with deep-rooted resistance and a culture of resilience. Past military actions have failed to produce regime change, and the Iranian people consistently choose pragmatic, reformist leaders over radical ones, showing their resistance to external pressure.
Ground News is a platform that aggregates news from global sources, showing the source, reliability, and funding behind each article. It helps users see how algorithms and bias shape headlines and provides a clearer, more balanced view of global events.
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