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April 24, 2026: Growing Season Weather Forecast, and Weed Management Tips

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April 24, 2026: Growing Season Weather Forecast, and Weed Management Tips

Midwestern farmers are grappling with delayed planting due to persistent rainfall, severe storms, and extreme weather patterns across key states like Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois. Despite these challenges, crop progress remains steady, with 11% of the U.S. corn crop planted and 4% emerged—above the five-year average. The ongoing El Niño pattern is creating uncertainty about summer weather, with potential for extended wet conditions that could stress crops and increase drying costs. Meanwhile, federal agencies are responding to emerging agricultural threats, including the new world screw worm, which has been detected near the U.S.-Mexico border, and are strengthening domestic supply chains through new fertilizer production initiatives. Regulatory scrutiny is also increasing on lab-grown protein products, with lawmakers demanding better labeling and safety standards. The USDA reports a shrinking agricultural trade deficit—down to $29 billion from $50 billion—highlighting stronger export demand and rural economic opportunities. On the policy front, momentum is building for a long-delayed farm bill, with proposals seeking $20 billion in support, particularly for specialty crops. Additionally, a new partnership between Western Illinois University and Corn Belt Ports is training the next generation of inland waterway workers, while the FAA is tightening drone regulations to improve safety in agricultural operations. Overall, the agricultural sector remains cautious about both weather and market conditions, especially as global events like South American droughts and El Niño could influence crop yields and global supply chains.

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Today on Agnew Staley. We could get a nice long extended summer. What I mean by that is I think I think we don't turn off cold fast but the question is is going to be wet. Well welcome back to the weekly edition of the Agnew Staley podcast still ain't how we'll hear joined virtually this week by Michelle Stingler. Michelle how are planters looking in your area? Are you seeing any roll yet? Yes but it is still a little wet here in Wisconsin. What about Iowa? Same here as well. Maybe we'll get into the field next week but we got hit with another batch of big storms yesterday. We were looking at the radar last night and there was a huge storm system that was trying to think how far south it went maybe into Missouri all the way up into Canada. So big storm system that swept across a lot of the nation Thursday night into Friday morning but we're going to talk more about weather throughout the show with Eric Snodgrass coming up later on in the episode. Michelle yeah I'm looking forward to to hearing. What do y'all ask to say from our conversation? Well not to take too much of his thunder so to speak but just to give a quick look here at those storm systems that moved through Thursday night into Friday morning caused more than 800 damage reports and from April 1st through the 19th conditions have stayed busy from Texas through the Great Lakes and into the Midwest bringing of course some of those widespread storm systems that have kept planters out of the field. We're also seeing flooding concerns and over 1700 severe weather reports during that time frame as well and looking ahead we're going to see more thunderstorms in the short term forecast but we'll talk more about that with Eric Snodgrass later on in the episode. We'll talk about some crop progress updates midwestern farmers made some solid planting progress this past week even with those periods of widespread rain and severe weather in part to the region. The latest USDA crop report shows 11% of the U.S. corn crop is planted up from 5% last week and ahead of the five year average of 9%. About 4% of corn has already emerged, slightly ahead of normal. So everything plant and the other sign is also moving along with 12% complete of from last week's 6% and well ahead of the typical 5% pace. Meanwhile drier areas of the plains miss out on much of that rain and winter week conditions to decline but just 30% rated good to exit excellent. A decalb as grow agronomous here I read here this week says that some tight industry wide seed supplies during by some record 2025 corn acres and shifting planting patterns could leave farmers without access to the same high red if replanting as needed this season. So while we haven't been getting a lot of rain progress is continuing this past week. Well switching tracks here as we take a look at some USDA headline Secretary Rollins joined leaders from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers this week to break ground on the new sterile fly facility production happening at the more air base in Texas which is part of the next major initiative here to help combat new world screw worm. The $750 million project aims to expand domestic capacity and reduce reliance on foreign production, strengthening protection for U.S. live stock and rural economies. Secretary Rollins called the project a critical investment in safeguarding the nation's food supply and ensuring long-term biosecurity. Meanwhile the threat remains close as new world screw worm has now been detected within 90 miles of the U.S. Mexico border with more than 20,000 cases reported in Mexico during the current outbreak. Most cases have been of course in cattle but infections have also been found in other animals. Industry leaders say the U.S. is better prepared than a year ago thanks to expanded sterile fly releases and increased surveillance but they warn continuous spread could cause risks still to livestock health market stability and producer profitability. But continue and add some cattle news here federal law makers are calling for increased oversight on lab-grown protein products with concerns they might be misleading consumers. We've been reporting on some state-related news on this concern and here is a federal update. During a Senate hearing this week, U.S. Senator from South Dakota Mike Browns pointed to an example of a product made from lab-grown pro-Pork fat cells. Combined with plants protein that's been sold as a meatball and grocery stores raising questions about labeling and transparency. U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told law makers he shares those concerns saying the food and drug administration will increase scrutiny and require companies to prove the products are safe. The comments came from during a Senate appropriations subcommittee hearing as policy makers way to regulate emerging alternative protein products so what does that mean in practice? We'll continue to watch that here on Agnews daily. I'm sure I've got to ask have you ever had lab-grown or some of these alternative protein products? No I haven't. I mean I've had some plant-based protein just to try it but what about you? Haven't had lab-grown definitely plant-based and a few others just to try it you know when they had the big impossible whopper push shit Burger King and some of those others very salty products as what I would summarize for most of those times but good to see that the USDA is tightening up some regulations there. The USDA now says the nation's agricultural trade deficit is shrinking down 42% from last year. Under Secretary Luke Lindbergh says the deficit has dropped from about $50 billion to now just $29 billion dollars marking a shift after the U.S. had been importing more goods than exporting. He says that the improvement means stronger demand for U.S. products and more opportunities to farmers to sell at a higher price springing back added value to rural America. Officials now say trade agreements new trade agreements are key to continuing that progress including expanding access to markets like the United Kingdom. Trade leaders also point to growing opportunities in Southeast Asia while economists know that the deficit is influenced not just by exports but also by imports like coffee, cocoa and seasonal products that we just don't produce a lot of here in the United States. Overall, USDA says they're optimistic that continued trade efforts will further strengthen the ag economy. I'll look into some more trade news but the impacts of the U.S. Iron conflict this week the USDA says President Trump's administration is preparing to invest tens of billions of dollars perhaps funded through tariffs and new trade deals into boosting domestic fertilizer production. Agriculture Secretary Rick Rollins told lawmakers the goal is to rebuild U.S. capacity and reduce reliance on foreign suppliers with a formal plan expected soon. She says new facilities could take 12 to 18 months to come online but the effort is aimed at strengthening supply chains and lowering long-term input costs for farmers. That was some speculation that she had mentioned and hinted towards of what the administration is trying to do though that there with fertilizer prices. Meanwhile volatility in global energy markets continues to impact agriculture. Analysts say oil prices have fluctuated amid tensions involving Iran though recent movement has been more moderate. At the same time debate is heating up in Washington DC over bio field policy. With groups like the Renewable Fields Association and American Coalition for Ethnal, pushing for year round E-15 sales that we continue to talk about here on Agnews daily to boost ultimately at corn demand and ease fuel costs. All makers here this is some new news are considering attaching a proposal to the farm bill but to disagreements remain. When Michelle before we get to some more Ag policy news let's hear an interview with Jeff Moon of Korteva Agresscience on a five-part approach she recommends to weed control. He says the weed landscape is shifting with species moving into new areas and emerging at different times making a more strategic program based approach important for growers. Well we are catching up with Jeff Moon a market development specialist with Korteva to talk about tank mixing as we think about heading into the growing season and all the things coming down the pipeline with making sure applications are going on correctly Jeff thanks for joining us. You're welcome to be here with you today. So Jeff as we think about those growers who are planting in less three soybeans and less cotton and other and less varieties give us your your overview here of how we should be approaching our herbicide passes. Well I think it all starts with that pre-emerge herbicide to begin with so we always talk about a weed control system when we visit about enlist and so setting that barrier here earlier in the spring with that pre-emerge herbicide is really important use something with multiple modes of action with all the resistant weeds or tough to control weeds out there we need to set the stage right and once we do that then we can get into that enlist post pass we can you know that that's going to buy us some time we can make sure we're going to get the the right mix put together for the weeds that are there at the time of application. So for those growers that are using enlist one herbicide talk to us about weed control conversations and decisions. Well again I think it starts with that pre and now we're going into the [BLANK_AUDIO] post application, and a list one is really flexible, really easy to use. You know, we've got a number of different herbicides we can tank mix with, we've got a number of different nozzles that people can use. All this is at our enlist.com website, we want people to go to and check that out and make sure they're using approved nozzles and approved tank mixes, and we're going to design that tank mix to control the weeds that they've got out there in their fields. And so again, just that flexibility that we have with the tank mixing partners, and then the amount of time that we have to get that sprayed enlist is a really friendly product to use, I think, for our growers. Now, talk to me about the five program approach series. So again, we're going to start with that pre-emerge product early in the season to get that first flush of weeds down, to keep control of them. That pre-emerge herbicide is usually that best way to get on top of that. I want to remind people to use full labeled rates, right? You hear all sorts of things, you read all sorts of things. The best way to fight resistance and to set yourself up is to use the full labeled rates of those herbicides. And then timing's really important. We recommend that people spray weeds when they're in that two to four inch tall stage. And that's when we're going to see the best efficacy out there. If we wait until the weeds are too big, what we run into is enlist is a growth regulator product. So it acts on the growing points in those weeds. And so as those weeds get taller, those growing points multiply exponentially. And so when we're at a two to four inch weed versus something that's eight or twelve inches tall, the deck that, excuse me, the deck is already stacked against us. And so we're going to have difficult time controlling there. Then scouting is important. Not only before you spray to see what you're spraying, so you can develop the right tank mix. But follow that up with scouting afterwards to make sure the product worked for you and follow up with you got any problems there. And so those are really the key things and some people might have to throw in a burn down when they do something, some people might do some tillage with a cultivation pass. And those are all great things to do as well as part of that weed control strategy. And a lot is changing in the weed landscape. Final thoughts for us, Jeff, as we think about that? Yeah, you know, if you had a problem with a weed last year, you noticed in the combine. Hopefully it took some notes either in your notepad or on your iPad to make sure you're remember going into the next year. And it's always evolving out there in their field. You know, you might have had a drought situation which has an impact on the weeds that are going to be there next year. Maybe you're in a flood situation, which is going to have an impact on the weeds that are there next year. Maybe you had an area of the field where you just didn't get really good control for some reason. And so the seed bank is going to be fuller or more full of weed seed. And so it's important to do that scouting to pay attention and not just assume from year to year, you're going to have the same problems. You know your farm is better than anybody else, but we can also see some subtle changes from time to time. And that's when knowing what's going on in the environment and what your fellow farmers are doing and working with your retailer to find out what might be changing in the area. Those are all good strategies to use when you develop your herbicide program. Fantastic. Well, thanks for sharing those tips with us today. You're welcome. Thank you. Well, Delaney, what a great conversation you had with Jeff at the most recent commodity classic. So thanks for doing that. What a great conversation there. We're continuing on some app policy news. The SDA said this week more than $9 billion has already been distributed through its Farmer Bridge assistance program with payments reaching producers at a rapid pace. Deputy Secretary Steven Vaden says funds are typically deposited within three business days of a completed application providing timely support to farmers facing financial pressures. While general enrollments has closed, specialty crop growers have until April 24th here today to apply felon extension requested by commodity groups. Deputy Secretary Steven Vaden says accurate acreage data is critical to ensure fair payment rates and avoid running out of funds. The program includes low and billion dollars for row crop producers and one billion dollars for specialty crops and sugar with corn and soybeans accounting for nearly two thirds of payments. I'm a Michelle congressional leaders say momentum is building on a long delayed farm bill. As you mentioned earlier, a couple of other bills trying to get attached to it, but pressure is certainly mounting from farm groups ahead of the 26 planting season. Lomakers on both side of the aisle report progress and negotiations, though key differences remain over spending levels, conservation programs and nutrition policy amongst others. At the same time, House Ag Chairman GT Glenn Thompson says additional financing for farmers is gaining traction, particularly for specialty crop growers. He says proposals in the Senate range from $15 billion, but he'd like to see that increase closer to $20 billion or more. Chairman Thompson expects the farm bill to come up for a vote in the House before May 1st, so the clock is certainly ticking, but he knows any aid packages would likely have to move separately as lawmakers work to provide more short-term relief amid the ongoing economic and global challenges that we've certainly been seeing. On some crop news, the director of operations for the Corn Belt Ports Christmas says a new partnership with Western Illinois University is helping build the next generation workforce for inland waterways. He says the newly formed role logistics and Maria time training and education consortium brings together 10 colleges and universities across Illinois, Missouri, Iowa, and Wisconsin to strengthen the Marine time and logistics career pathways. Smith says the effort will connect students with in-demand skills like welding, electrical work, and maintenance careers that support both those operations and broader supply chains. The consortium will also collaborate with the we work, the waterways and other industry partners to better align training with employers needs, and federal efforts continue to focus on expanding the nation's Maria time workforce and infrastructure, just one of the piece of news that I saw that was really interesting in regards to crop news. While the Federal Aviation Administration is stepping up enforcement of drone regulations, a move that could significantly affect agricultural operators who increasingly rely on unmanned aircraft for spraying, scouting, and field mapping. The agency said this week the changes are intended to improve safety and accountability as drone use expands across agriculture and other industries, including faster identification and penalties for violations such as unauthorized spraying or flying beyond approved limits. Agriculture Aviation Safety Experts say the push comes at a time when drones, helicopters and airplanes are often working at the same low altitudes during the growing season. System industry surveys point to about 20% of manned applicators reported unsafe encounters with drones last year, underscoring growing concerns even as new technologies aim to improve detection and avoidance systems. While Michelle is released earlier in the episode, we're chatting this week with Eric Snodgrass from Nutri and Ag Solutions as he breaks down the uncertainty ahead and what producers should be watching as weather patterns continue to shift. Well folks, we're joined today by Eric Snodgrass, Science Fellow for Nutri and Ag Solutions. Eric, it has been far too long since we've had you on. Thanks for joining us today. Yeah, you bet. I'm glad to be here. This would be fun. It will be maybe fun for some and not so fun for others, depending on where you live and what you're forecast will be for planting season. Let's start there, Eric, as we look at, you know, especially here in Central Iowa, we've just been getting dumped on and it seems like planting is never going to start at this point. Yeah, it's not just you. It's parts of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Illinois and Northern Indiana, Michigan. I mean, all these places have seen just so much rain and I can go just one state in any other direction and find like near record drought. So it's been a very narrow focused spot that's seen incredibly heavy rain. It kind of starts in kind of Central Asia and Texas go straight to Wisconsin. And if you're anywhere near that band, you've not only had a tremendous amount of rainfall, some places having their wetdest spring on record. I mean, it's actually right now wetter than it was in 2019 in some parts of like the upper Midwest. But in addition to that, there's been a lot of severe weather. I mean, Wisconsin, they've had huge hail events. We said a new state record in Illinois for hail. You've had numerous tornadoes in the eastern half of Iowa. But they're rolling planners in Western Iowa. I mean, Nebraska would love to take any rain we can give them and then parts of the mid-south have been extremely dry. And then I think the dryest spot in the country is the southeast where normally spring rains do a lot to revive their moisture and they've had almost none. And there's been wildfires in Georgia. They're waiting on cold fronts to come through to knock the temperatures down and bring in some moisture and it's just not happened. So yes, it's been a very busy spring trying to figure out when this is going to break and who's going to open up to a window to plant in the in the eye states, especially. And we're just kind of holding on waiting. And I'm so glad you mentioned 2019 because that's where my brain automatically goes. I think on our farm, we didn't get planted until like the second week of June. So Eric, what's your outlook here for a lot of those states that are facing heavy, severe weather, wet weather for planting pace and time line? Yeah, I mean, we've still severe weather rolling through the mid-south right now through the weekend. We then open up the Gulf again to a lot of moisture. I think it's going to revive some of the drought problems in the delta and in parts of the kind of the southeastern corbets, so like Tennessee, Kentucky, I think you're going to see some decent moisture. But we really need about 10 day is to dry out in the Midwest and it's hard press to find just big white open windows like that. So they'll get planners rolling when they can. I think they're going to find less than ideal conditions in parts of Iowa and Illinois, especially in Wisconsin, of course. But I think they're going to have to start just pushing, given that we're about to turn over the calendar to a new month. Now, May is weird, okay? And I'm just going to be honest with you. I'm split on what the May forecast should look like. We have this big El Nino building, and we've already watched the La Nina collapse as fast as ever seen in my professional career. Our ocean temperatures are actually technically in El Nino territory already. Only El Nino's don't like fully form until September, and this one's already here. And so if you look at all the years where that's happened in the past, do you include years like 2015 or 1997 or 1982, 1972. Those are some of the big ones. And in May, they tended to put rain back in the plains. They tended to bring rain to the southeast, and they tended to open windows in the Midwest. We're trying to open them wide because we're so far delayed and getting stuff going in places. But then the models like, no, the models like just keep it the way it is, and keep the rain in the same spots, keep the planes dry, try to bring a little bit of reprieve into the southeast, but they're not echoing what the historical analogs are going to say. So I'm honestly, some days I just feel like I'm one step ahead of Mother Nature. There's sometimes I feel like I'm a month ahead, and it's not right now. And I just leave some big questions as to how quickly the crop will go in. What are the conditions that goes in under? And then we pull a fast one like we did in 23, which was another El Nino year, where we had these tight windows early. And then it just stopped raining May 10th. I didn't ride again to the end of June. And to be honest with you, I'm kind of like, well, maybe all of the above, I don't know. I cannot figure it out with any sort of precision. So that's why I'm just living two weeks at a time right now. I know some people had some frost this past week. And are we done with frost? Are we done with cold? No, unfortunately. In fact, not even done with snow yet, not not for not for the three of us. But if anybody's listening from North Dakota, maybe parts of Western South Dakota, maybe even Western Nebraska, there's a chance that they get some snow out of the next couple of systems that come through. And then our friends up in Canada, I was just talking with a good friend in Saskatoon. Last Friday, they had 12 inches of snow. And we're now forecasting there in North more snow. And they're tucked away in some colder air, which means I think the very end of April and the start of May, we find that much of the planes in Midwest are averaging between five and 10 degrees cooler than normal. Now, you ask about frost and frost is it's a very difficult thing to predict more than a couple of days out, which is why you only ever see the national weather service issue frost and freeze warnings within 24 hours or 48 hours. Because we could see in the models, like, oh, look, we think it's going to get cold. Maybe along I 80, just as an example in lady for early May. But if you get down to 36 versus 32, it's a world of difference if you got a crop up. And those probabilities are just not, they're not clear yet. I mean, I do know that, you know, 90% of the frost events that hit parts of the Dakotas, the northern two-thirds of Minnesota, and most of Wisconsin, they happen after today anyway. They typically are later in the season. Whereas where I am in Champaign, Illinois, our last typical last frost days were in April 17th. And I think we're going to get by without another frost here. But don't expect the beginning, or the end of April and the beginning of May to start off warm. I think we're going to have more cold conditions around, which is the opposite of what you want. You want the crop to just jump out of the ground nice and even. And we're going to bring some colder weather back on top of it. Merrick, I want to go back for a second. You mentioned we're heading into an El Nino pattern already. Give our listeners a quick reminder, El Nino versus La Nino weather patterns. Oh, great question. So we live in the west to these, right? Our winds and weather systems come from the west. While along the equator, they come out of the east, they're called the east to these, or they're often referred to as the trade winds, right? So the trade winds typically blow free in the Pacific Ocean. They blow from South America over to Indonesian Australia. When they're really strong, they shove a whole bunch of warm water over to the west Pacific and a lot of cold water services near South America. We call that La Nino when the trade winds are strong. But for some reason, every once in a while, there's an oscillation in those winds. And they slow down, and they reverse sometimes. And that's what the winds have done this year. The trade winds are now blowing out of the east, excuse me, blowing to the east out of the west, leaving Indonesia. And that is what we call El Nino. So all that warm water they got pushed there is now just going to slosh back. And why it's so important is that redistributes the biggest and baddest thunderstorms on the planet around the tropics and along the equator. So what does it all mean? Well, we're just going to reposition where and how the heat and momentum leave the equator and get into the northern and southern hemisphere. And it shoves it much closer to the United States, honestly. So what we're trying to figure out is most times El Nino events tend to be favorable for wetter conditions in the Midwest, more storms in the Midwest in summer. And to be honest, I mean, we want that now. But Delaney, I'll just be truthful with you here. If we end up having the type of summer that's being currently forecast using El Nino as the guide, I mean, if you looked at the new CPC forecast, they're cool in the Midwest in summer with plenty of water. So the disaster is if we all grow a great crop, what will that do to the market prices? Right? I mean, that that's, you know, there needs to be a shock somewhere if we're not going to get it on the demand set of the equation. So I'm torn a bit. I mean, I shoot, I was in Wisconsin last week and I was talking to a farmer there. And he's like, maybe we just need a disaster somewhere. And I said, yeah, and he goes, can you make it in Illinois? And I'm like, well, we kind of want it to be you, you know, and they all want it to be Iowa. So the three of us right here representing those states, you know, we, you know, I think the reality is we'd rather have something that came along and boosted demand to where we couldn't grow enough crop, you know, we needed more. And I don't know where that's coming from, nor is that my expertise. So long story short, Delaney, it's your question. The water is going to be getting very warm across the equator Pacific. And it just changes the way that the momentum leaves that area and gets to us. And generally speaking, maize or wetter in the plains, maize are a bit drier in the Midwest. And then by summer, it tends to be just hot down south and we tend to see a lot of storms running through the Midwest, but it's not a guarantee. You can actually only explain about 9% of the variability and precipitation across the Midwest in summer with an El Nino or a lot of media. So there's other things that'll take shape during that timeframe. So this summer, if I'm here new correctly, maybe to expect a lot of rain throughout summer. If you pin me down right now and ask, they'd say yes, I think I think I think we're going to see a lot of what we call ridriding storms, but not I don't think it's down south, honestly. And then to finish, don't forget, we start the hurricane season in late July, August, generally speaking El Nino squash hurricane seasons. And as a result, if we end up in drought across the south, it's going to be hard to break if we don't have the hurricanes coming through to bring in that moisture. And by the way, you just got me thinking, this is a global issue. These El Nino events have huge repercussions around the world. And just yesterday, I was in Palm Springs talking to a group of the North American spice trade. So this is trading all the stuff that makes our food taste good. And all they cared about was Indonesia, India and Southeast Asia. And I said, well, Indonesia has a, the correlation coefficient is negative 0.7, which means if you're going to have an El Nino event, your drought is almost a guarantee, not a perfect, but it's almost there. Folks from India were talking and they said, well, what's our monsoon going to look like? I mean, there's a billion and a half people that rely on that monsoon. I said, El Nino's tend to make them much weaker and they arrive at different, not at the ideal time frame. And then at the end, I said, there's also something else we got to talk about, which we haven't talked about in a couple of years. Do you remember a couple of years ago when the Panama Canal was running really, really low? That was spurred on by an El Nino event that we had back in 2023. And if you look at the model forecast, they're dry in Central America during this upcoming summer, which is a part of their rainy season. And so we could be looking at some global shipping issues if that particular canal is low again. So, you know, a lot of focus is on us, but the reality is the rest of the world's paying close attention to this too. I'm glad you mentioned some of the other markets to watch globally as well. But then as we shift our focus longer term into harvest, what does all this mean for how the crop actually comes together and comes out of the field this fall? That's a great question. And I think that we could get a nice long extended summer. What I mean by that is I think I think we don't turn off cold fast, but the question is, is it going to be wet? And, you know, it's only one of our friends Matt Bennett, you know, Matt pretty well. Matt's like, do not make this like 2009. And I'm like, wait a minute, where did you come up with 2009? He's like, well, I saw the cool forecast for summer, you know, a not hot forecast. And he goes, last time we really had that was 14 or nine. And he goes, in nine, it was so wet late in the season, we couldn't get a crop out of the drying costs were so high. And I said, well, nine is not really an analog right now. I said, but I told you the big year is like 97 and 15. I'm also thinking a lot about 2018 and also 2006. And those were, I mean, unless you're in the Northern Plains, those weren't terrible years for a lot of us. But there is no year out there that I'm like, oh, yeah, it looks just like, you know, insert here. It's just so it's going to be tricky to figure out what that's going to look like. But if we do have some early season stresses, you better believe the markets might be spring loaded to go after any sort of weird weather feature in summer during rainfall and definitely during harvest. So I think we have something to watch and the world's paying attention to what this El Nino did historically, trying to figure out what it might do in the future. - Well, Eric, we appreciate your time here on the podcast. And I think that we miss that's farmers, especially in the Midwest, should know about. - Well, one last quick thing. I think we should just understand that while most of the growing season in South America has been amazing, they are dry right now. Big chunk of the serratos very dry. And that would mean if it didn't get wet one more time that the monsoon shut down about, I don't know, four weeks early. And that could start to call for some pullback in the total crop production size for corn mainly. We won't get that news until May and June, but it could coincide with about the time we know what our weather struggles could be in the United States from El Nino. So I would just tell folks, pay attention to what's going on in South America. There could be something down there worth talking about because it's dry right now. I think that's about it. - Fantastic, Eric. Well, thanks for joining us. If folks want to join your newsletter, how can they find more resources coming from you? - Yeah, a couple of easy ways. If you want to get, I send out a newsletter every Monday and it just goes, if anybody signs up for it, you just get it. They're pretty long. I put a lot of stuff in there. And I just tell folks, hey, if it's too much, just delete it, I'll do another one next week and you can read that one. But it's a simple URL. It's nutrient-ac solutions. So nutrient-ac solutions right here, I'm sure nutrient-ac solutions.com/weather and you put in your stuff and you'll get the email. The other thing to do is go to the website. I build and maintain. It's just ag-wx.com. We put commentary on there all the time plus weather maps and analysis. Just a bunch of stuff for folks to use. So ag-wx.com, that's how we get the word out about the weather. - Fantastic, Eric. Well, thanks again for joining us on the podcast. - Yeah, you bet. - Well, what a great conversation we had with Eric this week talking all things weather and what to expect in the months ahead. But don't you need what's happening in markets this week? - Well, I'm really glad that Eric mentioned some of the weather-driven pressure that we might see here in the markets because corn and soybeans this week saw some light buying support from weather-driven risk premiums, especially around the delay in planting that we will likely see in a lot of key states. Wheat is also under pressure, despite wetter forecasts and some of their key growing areas and some of the driest of the US regions that could further limit some downside. More than one-third of the US winter greek crop is rated poor to very poor, pointing to notable yield losses early on here in the season. Even as overnight trade has shown some broad gains led by wheat. On the global wheat markets, they remain mixed certainly with production, estimates rising in some countries like Russia, but following in other areas like Australia due to drought. So certainly a lot of attention on the wheat markets this week as corn and soybeans are just slow to roll. But glad Eric mentioned some of those longer term weather forecast shifts to be watching for and maybe a couple key opportunities that we may get to see some jumps in the market that are weather-driven, Michelle. And talking about weather this week, I'll be going somewhere warm next week. That's right, I'll be podcasting from Brazil next week. So hopefully catching up with some Brazilian producers or folks that work in agribusiness as I attend, Agro Show north of the São Paulo next week. So stay tuned, I don't really know what to fully expect yet, but I'll take you all on that journey with me. Well, as a reminder to our listeners, you can watch us on YouTube every week. You can listen to us on any major podcasting platform and then follow back to our social reels throughout our platforms like Facebook and TikTok and Instagram. Just a lot of great news that we continue to share across our platforms. Well, Michelle, what do you say for today? We let the people go. Let's let them go. [MUSIC PLAYING]

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. Midwestern regions including Wisconsin, Iowa, and Illinois are experiencing prolonged wet conditions and severe weather, with heavy rainfall, hail, and tornadoes delaying planting despite some progress in crop establishment.
  2. The U.S. is facing a significant weather-related planting challenge, with El Niño conditions potentially leading to extended, wet summers, raising concerns about crop drying, harvest difficulties, and market volatility.
  3. Federal agencies and industry leaders are increasing oversight of lab-grown proteins, expanding sterile fly programs to combat the new world screw worm, and improving trade and domestic agricultural capacity, including a $750 million project to boost domestic fertilizer production and reduce reliance on foreign suppliers.

Summary:

Midwestern farmers are grappling with delayed planting due to persistent rainfall, severe storms, and extreme weather patterns across key states like Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois. S. corn crop planted and 4% emerged—above the five-year average.

The ongoing El Niño pattern is creating uncertainty about summer weather, with potential for extended wet conditions that could stress crops and increase drying costs. -Mexico border, and are strengthening domestic supply chains through new fertilizer production initiatives. Regulatory scrutiny is also increasing on lab-grown protein products, with lawmakers demanding better labeling and safety standards.

The USDA reports a shrinking agricultural trade deficit—down to $29 billion from $50 billion—highlighting stronger export demand and rural economic opportunities. On the policy front, momentum is building for a long-delayed farm bill, with proposals seeking $20 billion in support, particularly for specialty crops. Additionally, a new partnership between Western Illinois University and Corn Belt Ports is training the next generation of inland waterway workers, while the FAA is tightening drone regulations to improve safety in agricultural operations.

Overall, the agricultural sector remains cautious about both weather and market conditions, especially as global events like South American droughts and El Niño could influence crop yields and global supply chains.

FAQs

The Midwest is experiencing persistent wet conditions and severe weather, with heavy rainfall, hail, and tornadoes reported in states like Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa. Some areas have seen their wettest spring on record, delaying planting progress.

The USDA reports that 11% of the U.S. corn crop is planted, up from 5% last week and ahead of the five-year average of 9%. About 4% of corn has emerged, slightly ahead of normal.

The U.S. agricultural trade deficit has shrunk by 42% to $29 billion from $50 billion last year, indicating stronger demand for U.S. agricultural products and more opportunities for farmers to sell at higher prices.

The $750 million sterile fly facility in Texas aims to combat the new world screw worm by expanding domestic production and reducing reliance on foreign sources, strengthening biosecurity for U.S. livestock and rural economies.

Federal lawmakers are calling for increased oversight of lab-grown protein products due to concerns about labeling transparency and consumer deception, with the FDA expected to increase scrutiny and require safety proof.

El Nino conditions are expected to bring more rainfall to the Midwest and increase the likelihood of summer storms, though there is uncertainty about precipitation levels. The event may also lead to drier conditions in parts of the South and impact global markets like the monsoon in Asia.

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