Go back

An Underwhelming Jobs Report Sends Stocks Higher

11m 8s

An Underwhelming Jobs Report Sends Stocks Higher

U.S. job growth in September fell short of expectations, adding only 29,000 positions—about a third of forecasts—while the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%. This signals a steady, not overheating labor market, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates at its next meeting. Meanwhile, the G7 nations have agreed to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel from emergency stocks within four months to curb escalating fuel prices caused by wars in Iran and Ukraine. The move aims to prevent a potential U.S. diesel export ban, which could have destabilizing effects on global supply chains. In a separate incident, a Fly Dubai co-pilot, previously banned by Oman for radical views, allegedly stabbed the captain, sparking international concern about security and airline oversight. On the business front, Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery’s merger is set to close, forming a new entity named Skydance, with key brands like HBO and CNN retained. Paramount has confirmed that CNN CEO Mark Thompson will remain, easing fears of internal conflict between CBS News and CNN. In political developments, a Republican Super PAC has shifted funds from North Carolina to Kansas ahead of the midterms, reflecting realignment in key battleground states. Additionally, sexual assault allegations at Cornell University have prompted New York Governor Kathy Hochul to appoint Attorney General Letitia James to reopen the investigation, citing failure by local authorities. These developments highlight ongoing economic, political, and social challenges shaping the current landscape.

Transcription

1901 Words, 11252 Characters

English
September hiring fell short of expectations, but the job market's still pretty steady. We'll get into what that means for the Federal Reserve. "This basically solidifies the idea that the Fed's probably not going to raise rates at its next meeting." Plus, G7 countries will release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude oil in an effort to keep prices in check. And we now know what the combination of paramount and Warner Brothers discovery will be called. This Friday, October 2nd. I'm Alex O'Solev for the Wall Street Journal. This is the PM edition of "What's News," the top headlines and business stories that moved the world today. More news is coming out in the investigations into the Fly Dubai flight bound for Israel that was nearly downed earlier this week. We're exclusively reporting that the Fly Dubai co-pilot who stabbed his captain had previously been banned from flying by Oman. The journal understands that the ban was over concerns that the pilot, an Omani national, had adopted radical ideological views. Fly Dubai hired the pilot despite the ban, the airline and Oman's government didn't respond to requests for comment, and it couldn't be determined whether Oman had shared concerns about the pilot's radicalization with other countries or airlines. The nature of the pilot's radicalization also couldn't be learned. Meanwhile is really Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Senior Foreign Policy Advisor in the United Arab Emirates on Warr Gargash, both said that what happened was terrorism. Other officials haven't gone as far in defining the attack. Saudi Arabia said the co-pilot assaulted the captain, but didn't suggest a motive. In other international news, the group of seven major economies has agreed to release 100 million barrels of crude oil and fuel from their emergency stocks within four months. They're also not going to restrict oil exports. Diesel prices have soared because of the wars in Iran and Ukraine, squeezing businesses, farmers and households, and putting pressure on governments to act. Releasing the stocks is an effort to bring down those costs. And Matthew Dalton, who covers energy for the journal in Paris, said this agreement effectively heads off an export ban on U.S. diesel, which President Trump had supported. But that analyst warned could have a catastrophic impact on global supplies. President Trump administration essentially took this opportunity to pressure other governments to do more. And the administration gave some assurances that it would not be a ban on U.S. diesel exports. U.S. energy companies have highly bottled talks that the White House has gone to explain how an export ban would actually eventually raise prices in the U.S. which would be really that for U.S. drivers. U.S. hiring slowed last month. The economy added 29,000 jobs, that's about a third of the jobs that economists predicted. And the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2% from 4.1%. 29,000 jobs is historically low. It's nothing like the 200,000 jobs we were seeing added every month before the pandemic. But WSJ economics reporter Conrad Puthir says September's jobs report actually shows the labor market is pretty steady. Before economists are saying that this is an okay jobs report and the key number that economists look at of course is the unemployment rate which went up slightly to 4.2% but is mostly unchanged. And that is really a clear signal that this is overall a stable, healthy job market that isn't really adding a lot of new positions but doesn't really need to add a lot of positions to keep the unemployment rate stable. Conrad says these numbers, along with comments this week from Fed officials including Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams suggesting that a rate height can wait, mean it's looking more likely that the central bank would hold off on raising rates again at its meeting late this month. This basically solidifies the idea that the Fed is probably not going to raise rates at its next meeting. If there were real signs that wages are surging and the labor market is super hot, that would have really increased pressure on the Fed to raise rates to fight inflation. But we're not seeing that at all. The unemployment rate is stable, there aren't a lot of jobs being added. And so what that basically means is there is less pressure for the Fed to raise rates at its next meeting. It's also the last jobs reading before the midterms next month and Conrad says one number in particular might weigh on voter's minds. The figure that most people will actually care more about is wage growth. Slow down to 3%, which sounds great until you remember that inflation is like 3.4%. So Americans are already really upset about the high cost of living. This is another sign that this cost of living squeeze is not going away and that it might even be getting worse for many Americans. And I'm sure that will play a big role in midterms. That not too hot, not too cold jobs report was one that markets like today with investors hoping that the Fed is going to be less aggressive with rate increases. Stocks rose across the board with the NASDAQ leading the games and closing up more than 1%. Meanwhile, in commodities markets, US crude futures fell 1.9% to just over $91 a barrel after the G7 agreed to release oil and fuel from their emergency stocks. Coming up, white Republicans are pulling money out of a North Carolina Senate race and putting more into deep red Kansas. More after the break. The midterms are a month away and there's been a notable development in the battleground state of North Carolina. The journal has learned that the Senate leadership fund, a Super PAC aligned with Republican Senate Majority Leader John Thune, has paused future spending in the state. This is a deep pocketed GOP group pulling out of the Senate race where Republican nominee Michael Wattley is trailing Democratic nominee Roy Cooper. The move is going to free up as much as $19 million. And the journals learn that at the same time, the Super PAC is shifting funds to prop up the Republican Senate candidate in Kansas, a solidly red state. It's an indication of just how quickly things are changing in the last weeks before the midterms. Democrats have made inroads in red states, so they have more pathways to retake the Senate. Meanwhile, Republicans are eyeing possible flips in Michigan and New Hampshire. Turning now to New York, where sexual assault allegations made by a Cornell student continue to put the university and local law enforcement under scrutiny. The student alleged that seven members of a fraternity drugged and raped her in 2024. No charges were filed at the time. At a press conference today, New York governor Kathy Hocal said she was troubled by how the students' claims had been handled. This woman, this young woman, had already endured something that is utterly unspeakable. And that at every turn, she was failed by people and institutions with an obligation to protect her. Hocal has appointed New York Attorney General Letitia James to take over a reopening of the case, saying she's lost faith in the local district attorney to handle it. We will review the facts, gather evidence, interview witnesses, and if warranted to pursue prosecutions. James didn't say how long her investigation could take. On what's new Sunday this weekend, we'll have an episode about a different crisis affecting American universities, the enrollment cliff. We'll look into how three different schools are handling a drop-off in students signing up for college. That'll be in your feed on Sunday. We're exclusively reporting that the Federal Aviation Administration has determined a new Boeing 737 MAX software glitch does not pose a flight safety issue. The problem means that pilots could be left to fly manually without some autopilot functions. And the problem has threatened to complicate approvals for Boeing's latest MAX-10 plane. But the agency today determined that the glitch isn't a safety issue, because pilots stay in control of the plane and instructions to the flight crew are clear. The FAA said Boeing would issue a bulletin to airlines explaining how to recognize and respond to the problem if it happens during a flight. Boeing didn't immediately comment. Tesla sales fell 2% in the third quarter, reversing gains from the first half of the year. Still, the sales numbers beat analyst expectations, and Tesla's stock closed up almost 5%. The company will report its full earnings later this month. And after a long and complicated journey, Paramount's deal to take over Warner Bros' discovery is finally expected to close next week. And there are still questions about how the combined company will operate. But Paramount CEO David Ellison is starting to give some indications, including naming a new co-CEO, Mattel's E-Non-Cries. Now a new corporate name. It's Skydance, the name of the company Ellison founded, which then went on a run of acquisitions. Journal media and entertainment reporter Joe Flint joins me now with more on-house Skydance would function. Joe, WarnerMount, ParaBrothers, there are all these possible options for what a combined company could be named. Is Skydance a better option here? It doesn't mean we're getting rid of the brands of Paramount and WarnerBrothers. We're still going to exist in this new entity. But these forced names, WarnerBrothers' discovery we've had, and the idea of combining Warner and Paramount, it just becomes a mess. And I think the important thing here is for this company to have a new identity. The names in these brands are very valuable. There's still going to be an HBO. It's not going to become Skydance, oh, you don't get rid of these big brand names. One of those valuable brands is CNN. Yesterday, you reported that Ellison had asked CNN's CEO, Mark Thompson, to stay after the deal closes. CNN is, of course, owned by WarnerBrothers, and there have been questions about how CNN would work with Paramount's CBS News. There was some fear among employees that he would try to combine the two. So does this news about Thompson's start to answer the question of what would happen between CBS and CNN? I don't want to overstate the significance of trying to keep Mark Thompson. I think it's very important for the CNN people they want Mark to stay. There is a lot of concern at CNN about whether Barry Weiss, the editor-in-chief at CBS News, would end up over CNN and that's something not in the carbs right now, but it doesn't necessarily mean that there aren't going to be combinations between these two units where it makes sense. That was WSJ Reporter Joe Flint. Thank you, Joe. Thanks. What's news for this week? Tomorrow you can look out for our weekly markets wrap up, what's news in markets, and we'll be back with our regular show on Monday morning. Today's show is produced by Danny Lewis and Anthony Bansi with supervising producer Tali Arbel. Michael Laval wrote our theme music. I shall muslimize our development producer Chris Zinsley is our deputy editor, Lee Tal Malod is our senior director of shows, and Samantha Henning is the Wall Street Journal's head of multimedia. I'm Alex Osola, have a great weekend, and thanks for listening. [MUSIC]

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. U.S. hiring slowed in September with only 29,000 jobs added, below expectations, but the labor market remains stable with unemployment holding at 4.2%.
  2. The Federal Reserve is likely to hold off on raising interest rates at its next meeting, as weak job growth and stable inflation signal no urgent need for rate hikes.
  3. G7 countries agreed to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel from emergency stocks within four months to ease soaring fuel prices driven by conflicts in Iran and Ukraine.
  4. The Fly Dubai incident, where a co-pilot stabbed the captain, revealed the pilot had previously been banned by Oman over concerns of radical ideological views, though the airline and government declined to comment.
  5. The combined entity from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery will be named Skydance, preserving key brands like HBO and CNN, with Paramount CEO David Ellison appointing Mattel’s E-Non-Cries as co-CEO.
  6. There is ongoing concern about potential operational overlaps between CNN and CBS News post-merger, though Paramount has signaled Mark Thompson’s retention to reassure CNN staff.
  7. U.S. diesel prices remain under pressure, and while the G7 release may prevent a U.S. export ban, analysts warn it could disrupt global supply chains.
  8. Political shifts ahead of the midterms include a Republican Super PAC pulling funds from North Carolina and redirecting them to Kansas, signaling strategic realignments in key battleground states.

Summary:

S. 2%. This signals a steady, not overheating labor market, reinforcing the view that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates at its next meeting.

Meanwhile, the G7 nations have agreed to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel from emergency stocks within four months to curb escalating fuel prices caused by wars in Iran and Ukraine. S. diesel export ban, which could have destabilizing effects on global supply chains.

In a separate incident, a Fly Dubai co-pilot, previously banned by Oman for radical views, allegedly stabbed the captain, sparking international concern about security and airline oversight. On the business front, Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery’s merger is set to close, forming a new entity named Skydance, with key brands like HBO and CNN retained.

Paramount has confirmed that CNN CEO Mark Thompson will remain, easing fears of internal conflict between CBS News and CNN. In political developments, a Republican Super PAC has shifted funds from North Carolina to Kansas ahead of the midterms, reflecting realignment in key battleground states. Additionally, sexual assault allegations at Cornell University have prompted New York Governor Kathy Hochul to appoint Attorney General Letitia James to reopen the investigation, citing failure by local authorities.

These developments highlight ongoing economic, political, and social challenges shaping the current landscape.

FAQs

The job market remains steady with slow job growth and stable unemployment at 4.2%. There are no signs of rising wages or overheating demand, which reduces pressure on the Fed to raise rates.

The G7 agreed to release 100 million barrels of crude oil and diesel from emergency stockpiles over four months, without restricting oil exports, to ease rising fuel prices.

The co-pilot stabbed the captain, and the pilot, an Omani national, had previously been banned from flying due to concerns about radical ideological views. Fly Dubai hired him despite the ban, and no official response was given from either the airline or Oman.

The combined company will be named Skydance, a name previously used by Paramount CEO David Ellison's venture. The brands like HBO and CNN will still exist, but the company has a new identity.

Yes, CNN will remain part of the new entity, and its CEO Mark Thompson is expected to stay. However, there are concerns about possible editorial overlap with CBS News, though no formal combination has been confirmed.

Tesla sales fell 2% in the third quarter, reversing earlier gains, but still beat analyst expectations, and the company's stock rose almost 5%.

Chat with AI

Loading...

Pro features

Go deeper with this episode

Unlock creator-grade tools that turn any transcript into show notes and subtitle files.