Adam Jentleson and Pablo Torre: This Country Is Being Scammed
72m 38s
Adam Hamilton, former deputy chief of staff to Senator Harry Reid and founder of the Searchlight Institute, discusses the Democratic Party’s strategic path to power in his new book *Supermajority*. He traces the decline of the Obama-era Democratic supermajority to the backlash against policies like the Affordable Care Act and a failure to meet voters’ economic needs. Drawing on historical examples—from 2010 to the FDR era—Hamilton argues that Democrats must break from rigid ideological purity and adopt regionally tailored, pragmatic candidates in states like Kansas, Iowa, and Texas to win back swing districts. He emphasizes that candidates who diverge from party orthodoxy—on issues like immigration, healthcare, or Israel—gain significant media attention and voter engagement, especially in conservative areas. This approach fosters a "big tent" party that welcomes diverse viewpoints while maintaining core democratic values like universal healthcare and wealth taxation. Hamilton stresses that winning a 54-seat Senate majority in 2024 would be a critical milestone, creating the political space needed to pass structural reforms—like ending the filibuster or achieving statehood for DC—so that policy changes endure. He warns that without such reforms, Republicans will reclaim power and undo progress. The Fetterman controversy is cited as a cautionary tale about the dangers of personalizing leadership and the need for collaborative, grounded political figures. Ultimately, Hamilton sees the current political moment as a test of whether Democrats can unite behind a vision of broad, lasting power over narrow, short-term gains.
hello and welcome to the bulwark daily i'm your host tim miller in segment two we got my guy
pablo torre the man of the moment i'm looking forward to that make sure to stick around
we also have coming up the live shows if you haven't got your tickets jack go get them now
we're in columbia we're in charlotte we're in atlanta go to the bulwark.com slash events in
october we might be adding a super special secret live show coming up in two weeks in the midwest
so hold tight for that i'm gonna have more news for you tomorrow our first guest today is amazing
and he's wrote a great book that i want you to read i just want you to know that you can buy
his book in good conscience because his book isn't out till next week so he's not competing
with the more important book of the week sarah longwell's how to eat an elephant
right now the number one new york times bestseller is ted cruz's biography of clarence thomas
he and sarah are in an internet fight so it is important for god and country and democracy for
you to buy sarah's book today so that she can beat ted cruz but here we go up first he was
deputy chief of staff to senator harry reid more recently he was chief of staff to john fetterman
he's the founder of the searchlight institute and his new book is super majority how democrats can
build lasting power it's adam jennison what's up bro what's up man it's good to be here i'm
welcome to the show first time love it we'll see how you're doing we'll have the commenters rate
and review you yeah please you know give me i love the feedback you know i want to get to the book
we have a ton of alignment which is nice i have some a little skepticism too so we'll explore all
that but first coming off labor day weekend i just want to chat with you about a little bit
of the politics news trump's this week got his midterm convention i've kind of barely talked
about it because it feels so unimportant and and as we start to
you know get closer and closer to it it's feeling more and more sad to me but i'm wondering if this
is a little bit of hopium on my part or if it's true it's just kind of like who would even want
to go like it's hard for me to see a lot of excitement for for this convention but what
are you seeing coming up this week i don't think it's hopium i i think it matches up with the
numbers i mean you know republican enthusiasm is way down uh his approval ratings among
republicans are you know in the 80s which is fine but not really great usually he's up in
the 90s so you know i think it was this holding this midterm convention in the first place is a
massive mistake because democrats want nothing more than to make these midterms all about trump
and trump seems to share that goal so you know by by doing this he's he's giving democrats an
enormous gift he's doing it after labor day which is for many people when they start to tune into
politics and so it would be the first thing they see and sort of set the tone for the home stretch
i mean you know i think it's going to be a major gift for democrats and that's even before we know
you know we're going to have to do something about it but i think it's going to be a major gift for
democrats and that's even before we know what kind of crazy stuff he's going to say at this
thing so you know this is this is a week of news about trump uh and how the party is his and how
he's on the ballot i think that's you know you couldn't ask for a better gift if you're a
democrat it also i think is going to be like i can't imagine it's full they're gonna fill a
basketball arena for this like people just want to go and sit i think about those turning point
conventions i went to and you know it's just speaker after speaker and sometimes like the
place would be like a quarter folks it's just like who wants to hear you know mike rogers talk
and then roger marshall and like it is it's kind of a boring prospect and the one thing trump has
always had over the democrats is that like he's entertaining to a certain type of person right and
he can dominate the conversation it feels like he's lost that a little bit i mean i don't we'll
see i think he's lost a lot of his riz you know i mean he's lost a lot of that magic that he used
to have you know just just objectively he used to be a big crowd pleaser he would hold these you
know and this and that but i mean you know look at look at the you know the the bicentennial that
he decided to again make all about him you know nobody showed up to that you've got a bunch of
things recently where he sort of made a big deal out of it and then people just haven't showed up
i think people are tired of this guy i think they're sick of him i think trump fatigue is is
setting in a big way across the country with democrats with independence but also among his
supporters so you know we'll see i mean i'm not going to underestimate his ability should we
explore the counterfactual could we be wrong is trump i mean should the democrats be sometimes
you look at this stuff and it's like i don't know maybe are we
in a different era and it's like people are more engaged and there's that you got to feed the beast
on the internet and so having a midterm convention makes more sense than it would have in the past
is there anything to that do you think i think it's always important to you know keep your mind
open to different possibilities but but by the same token you know we've got a very modest uh
agreement of that counterfactual well this is the thing is that i think it works in the other
direction too right like we've sort of come to accept that trump has a pretty high
floor that the bottom can never drop out for him right and that sort of led to us you know to make
different strategic decisions but i think we should be open to the to the idea that perhaps
the bottom finally is dropping out i mean we've been disappointed here before right we've expected
it to drop out again and again and again and it hasn't but maybe it's happening now you know i
mean we saw this with bush after katrina the numbers are looking the same so i think even as
we you know sort of keep in our minds that this could be another instance where we thought his
supporters are finally going to abandon him and they don't they show up in mass for this convention
i'm totally open to that possibility this will be a really good test we should check back in at the
end of the week and see where we're at but i think we should also be open on the other end that you
know even though it hasn't happened yet it doesn't mean it can't happen because people are exhausted
by him he promised to bring down prices he promised to not start foreign wars and he's gone
back on all of these promises that were core to his appeal especially with his bag of coalition so
you know let's see let's see and the nice thing is we can just watch i think i'm making things
about him have you seen this ai voice ad i've tried to decide whether i'm allowed to play it
on this podcast because i have a
self-imposed rule where we don't play trump's voice but this wasn't technically his voice
they put out an ad where it's about housing and it's like an ai trump voice talking about how
you know the front door is so important it's kind of like a nice fake trump it's like what if he was
a normal candidate you would have him do they can't even lock him in enough to to read the
voiceover on the ads yeah i mean you know trump you can't script him and he gets mad when you try
to
do right and so you know all of his advisors and the republic the leaders of the republican
committees in the house and the senator telling him don't make this about you you know try in a
more optimistic tone like what you're describing and he won't do it so i think they're kind of you
know working with what they can hear and you know doing an ai voiceover might be their best option
because the man just won't be scripted and i think that's really working in democrats favor right now
i feel like maybe for some democrats we could do it the opposite way but we have a voice so ai
voiceover that kind of punches them up 20%
more
yeah yeah democratic ad makers out there something to think about all right one last piece of hopium
we'll end with this and then we'll get into you know the real business of winning gallup party id
over the weekend i had the democrats up 10 points only to 49 but still like pretty notable republican
party ideas down i thought this like thing which at some level i think political professionals a
kind of like there's a lot of noise here but like republican party id going up and republican
registration going up was like a little bit more i think of a canary in the coal mine in like 2014
on in this kind of era that you start to get into in the book then i then i realized at the time and
i do wonder if you think there's anything there or if this is more just like people that are already
democrats just finally feeling okay to say it which i guess is not nothing as well i think it
is indicative i think it's it's the start of
a trend and it's certainly you know you don't want to look too much at the specific numbers
there you want to look at the direction of the line and the line is pointed in the right direction
for us and it tracks with what you're seeing in the states right in in key swing states
pennsylvania georgia north carolina you're seeing democratic registration start to catch up with
and even outpace republicans so you know there's sort of supporting data
in addition to what you're seeing from gallup and you know that's just a function of the fact
that the democratic brand is recovering a little bit you know i think that we've we've
had a lot of damage to our brand over the last five to ten years republicans have you know been
branded by maga which has been appealing to some people i don't get it but you know whatever
and and that's starting to wear off you know and i i think this is this is consistent with what
we've been talking about here today which is that people are just exhausted by this guy
and trump is the republican brand right there is no brand beyond him and so if people are
exhausted by trump you know they're going to start to leave the gop and democrats i think
are starting to do a good job of you know opening the door back open to people who who were chased
out of the party or felt like the party left them you know and i think we're doing a better job
inviting those people back into our coalition in a in a way that is that is promising for the future
give me the pitch in the book i know what it is but for people who you know don't know what what
your pov is talk about what you're trying to get out of supermajority yeah this this book is about
how we got here right it starts in election night 2016 and it's basically my journey of trying to
think through how we lost the obama era supermajority the dominance the democrats had in
that era how we got trump and how we can you know how we can you know how we can you know how we can
get out of this era of narrow polarization because the thesis is you know to enact the big change
that we need not just to improve the lives of working people but also to beat fascists these
narrow majorities that we have been winning that we've gotten used to are never going to be enough
right if you win by eking out a narrow victory you've got a narrow majority in the house in the
senate you can pass some stuff but then you hand back power to republicans right away they undo
everything and you're sort of back at square one you factor in the fact that conservatives have
deep structural advantages in the senate in the supreme court in gerrymandered districts
we're never going to have enough power to undo those uh advantages and level the playing field
until we win bigger majorities. So this is saying, how do we win on a grand scale? How do we dominate
not just the next election, but the next generation? And that's what this 10 years of
trying to think through how we got here from 2016 to today comes through in the book. And I think,
you know, the first half is a recent history of, you know, losing the Obama era supermajority to
today. And the second half goes back through history and says, what lessons can we draw from
the other eras in history where Democrats did have supermajorities and were enabled to enact
that big structural change? Let's talk about the Obama one first. Bill and I on yesterday's show
did respectively kind of did deep dives on 94 and 06, kind of look at what lessons can be learned
about a potential wave this year. But I think that learning from 2010 is important. And I think that
there is, I think, a sense among some Democrats, not you, that like this 2010 backlash was kind
of inevitable. Like the country was, the country's racist. And like there was the first black
president.
There was a backlash to that. And there's like something to that, of course. But like,
also, it's like, this is just how things go. And, you know, that there was always going to be a big
wave in the first midterm. And, and I don't, I think that, that just kind of allowing that
conventional wisdom to set in, like prevented anyone from the Obama administration or after
from like looking into what kind of changes could be made that would have mitigated that,
you know, going from the Democrats having whatever it was, 59 Senate seats and a,
a big House majority to, to the opposite.
That's right. I think we shouldn't accept losses on that scale ever. I think Democrats
expected to be rewarded for everything that we did in 2009 and 2010, including passing
the Affordable Care Act. And we were sort of surprised when voters didn't say, "Hey,
thanks guys. You know, we love you. We're going to, we're going to sustain you in power."
So I think, you know, one of the things we've learned over the last 10 years is that especially
in this attention economy, you know, you can't necessarily expect to be rewarded for the
things that you do. You should, you should do good things with your power.
And you should tell people about them, but you're going to have to meet them where they're
at. And people have a natural tendency to sort of get disappointed by the party in power
to, you know, feel alienated and, and tired of that party. So, you know, you're going
to have to make accommodations. One of the most reliable things in American politics
is the pendulum swinging back and forth. And so you can't necessarily hope to have an unbroken
string of successful elections. And this is part of what I talk about in the book. A big
part of the, about this is sort of maximizing your gains when you can and minimizing your
losses when you have a bad cycle. And so in 2010, what we could have done a much better
job of was meeting people where they were, they were still recovering from the financial
crisis. Democrats were out there bragging about all these things they did, but people
weren't feeling those benefits and at the kitchen table or in their bank accounts. And
so we should have met them where they were at. Maybe we still didn't have an amazing
cycle, but we got blown out, right? We lost 55 seats in the house. We lost three seats
in the Senate. We could have done a lot better. And that's what we're going to need to do
going forward.
And so I think that's, I think that's the key to success is, you know, both be conscious
of the things that we did and why we should be proud of them, but also keep a close eye
on where people are at in terms of what they're feeling in their pocketbooks. And when those
things don't match, we should be smart about it.
What do you say about, you know, the idea that, Hey, like maybe Obama and, and, you
know, those guys, there's like a little bit of hubris and, you know, they're forcing a
lot of red state senators to take tough votes on, you know, whether it was the big stimulus
or whether it was the ACA.
And, you know, maybe there could have been a different policy approach that would have
yielded not that kind of backlash.
Yeah, there was definitely hubris. I mean, you know, I was there at the time, guilty
of that too, you know, that expectation that we're going to be rewarded. Avoiding tough
votes for red state senators is inevitable. I think, you know, the reason that they are
there is to do something meaningful with their power. I talk about Mary Landrieu in the book,
Senator from Louisiana, you know, who voted was the deciding vote to pass the Affordable
Care Act. And you could argue that she lost her seat over it. She wasn't up in 2010. She
lost in 2014. But when she was asked, would you do it all over again? She said, yes, you
know, and over half a million Louisianans now have healthcare because of that vote.
So I think it's really about, you know, mitigating those losses saying we're going to, we're
going to deliver for people with the power that we have. We're going to take care of
our red state senators. We're going to do everything we can to defend those seats and
help them win, you know, but some losses are inevitable. And then it's just a question
of when the pendulum swings back your way.
You know, regaining them because you know, 2010 is, is worth learning from, but also
2012, you know, when, when Democrats defied expectations and many people thought Obama
was going to lose and that we were going to lose seats in the Senate. And instead we picked
up two seats. So we clawed back some of those gains from 2010. So a lot of this is about
sort of riding those waves and sort of mitigating your losses when you can and running up the
score when you have a good cycle.
Trevor Burrus: So what's the plan for getting more Mary Landrieu's though? I hear you kind
of taking a noble principled vote. The cost of your seat is good. That's, that's a good
thing. Sounds nice for the legacy, but a lot of those Democrats, you know, we're look,
I guess we're getting kind of old, but we're not that old. And you, both of us were in
politics when the Democrats had centers in North Dakota, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana,
West Virginia, Montana, like none of these places are even really in play right now.
And so like, what's the plan for getting them back in place?
Adam Hamilton: Well, you know, where is in play is Kansas. We've got Adam Hamilton running
competitive in Kansas today in a big New York times story about Roger Marshall. You know,
suing people who had medical debt and sending some of them to jail.
Trevor Burrus: I love that story. You love that debtor's prison is really popular. Somebody
a C-section and you know, then, then the result is that that woman ends up in debtor's prison
for a little while.
Adam Hamilton: Yeah, exactly. When was the last time we were discussing a S a Democrat
with a, with a real chance to win a Senate seat in Kansas, right? Iowa, which Trump won,
you know, by double digits in 2024 is in play with Josh Turek. Georgia is looking for a
vote. Georgia is looking like it might not even be competitive. North Carolina Roy Cooper
is, you know, on the verge of walking away with this race. So, you know, we are competitive
in places where we haven't been competitive in a long time. You know, it is possible to
do this. People say, don't sleep on Mississippi. Scott Coloma is an incredible candidate down
there, you know, catching a lazy incumbent napping. I'm skipping over Texas. Look at
James Tallarico, you know, leading just about every poll in the lone star state. So we are
putting states in play where we have not been competitive for a long time. So this is possible.
It is possible to do again. The key is to have senators running in those states who
fit those states, right? Part of the problem with what we've done over the last 10 years
as a party is we've embraced this rigidity that requires everybody to sort of swear allegiance
to a very rigid set of mostly left-wing ideas. Now, some of those ideas are good, but they
don't fit a place like Texas, Kansas, or Iowa. And what we're doing now is we're starting
to break out of that rigidity. We're starting to break away from those purity tests. And
you've got people running, you know, Texas, Kansas, or Iowa, and we're starting to break
James Tallarico is running in Texas and embracing the oil and gas industry because that's critical
to Texas's economy. You're not going to win working class people in Texas over by villainizing
an industry that employs hundreds of thousands of working people. Adam Hamilton, Josh Turek are
running on sort of a hard line on immigration in those states. We are seeing candidates who fit
their states running on sort of a mixed ideology that weaves together some conservative themes with
hardcore liberal positions. And that's what's working. And that's what's going to win us back
those states. I'm a little skeptical of this. And I think that like if the thesis for the book is
that the Democrats need to maximize in good times, like it feels like this year is the year to be
maximized, right? Like this is the test case for this year. When else are you going to have
an 80-year-old president with approval rating in the mid-30s who is like spending more time
redesigning his ballroom and actually like trying to win people's votes? I mean, like it's a pretty
prime cycle. And I look at the cycle and think, man, if the Democrats don't win Kansas, Iowa,
Nebraska, Montana, whatever, Mississippi, like when are they ever going to do it? Like this should
be the prime time. And I look at some of these races and I just let you use Osborne, for example.
Osborne, when he ran last, was like really running as a hard line around immigration. Basically,
you know, being like, I fully agree with Trump on the wall. And this isn't my politics. I'm just
trying to be strategic. And like this time, you know, he kind of sounds like any other Democrat.
Anyway, is he different from Joe Biden? Like it's hard for me to identify anything based on
my interview with him, based on what I see in the campaign. And I feel like across the board
in this way, like we're not really getting a lot of Heidi Heitkamp's and Joe Manchin's out there.
We're kind of, it's a pretty soft pivot, I would say, in these states.
Well, I don't know what's going on with Osborne. He's a bit of a mystery to me. I don't know why
he's tacked further left. But in the other states, you are seeing candidates break away. I mean,
you had John Ossoff, you know, doggedly,
refused to take, you know, all of these left wing positions on, you know, Medicare for all,
open borders, sort of alarmist approaches to climate change. And again, you know,
those may not be your politics, but those are the right positions to win those kind of states.
And, you know, to your point, I mean, we are winning in a lot of these races.
Kansas is basically tied. And we're just starting to get into the Labor Day stretch. So I agree with
you that this cycle will be a test. You know, if we can do it, we should be able to do it in
this cycle with Trump's numbers, as devastating as they are. But the good news is that,
we do seem to be on track to doing it. If Democrats won every Senate seat where we're
currently polling ahead or within the margin of error, we would pick up seven seats, which would
stake us to a 54 seat majority. So these are the kind of numbers we haven't seen be possible
in a long time. Over the weekend, I was reading Charlie Cook, right, a very sort of small C
conservative in terms of, you know, the scale of his predictions, saying that he's never seen
anything like this for Republicans, that the conditions that they're experiencing, you know,
are sort of gale force storms here. And, you know, this is, this is the kind of cycle where
this is possible. And when I, we talked earlier about, you know, sort of not ruling out scenarios
that we haven't seen before, I think it's very, very important.
important for us to realize that sometimes the bottom just falls out for the party in power
that is when you can run up the score and that's what democrats are on the verge of doing right now
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how possible this is compared to the past um one of it is it's kind of the internet and discourse
around the internet and kind of social pressure around a bunch of these issues you know i do think
that like whatever internet and discourse around the internet and social pressure around a bunch of
these issues you know i do think that like whatever internet and discourse around a bunch of these issues
you know i do think that like whatever internet and discourse around a bunch of these issues you know
mark prior as senator in arkansas was able to kind of take a bunch of arkansas positions
and do local news and talk about it and like a lot of democrats in the rest of the country didn't
even really know like what his position was on a lot of issues right or care or even if they did
know he wouldn't hear their feedback and now it's like there is a lot of social pressure on the
internet for democrats to conform i think that there's social pressure among the donor class
to have democrats conform
to have democrats conform and i think that there is just i think that there is a culture of kind of
aligning around you know kind of one view on a lot of issues that makes it hard for candidates
to stake out independent brands what would you say to that i think there's an opportunity there
which is that you know that level of rigidity and alignment means that when you do break
you get a lot more attention than you used to you know part of the problem with mark prior
was that by the time he was doing it it was sort of you know boring and it wasn't interesting
and you know it had been part of his his shtick for a long time and you know he was beaten by a
republican who ran a more nationalized race and that was the trend at the time but you know trends
sort of evolve and the key thing to do is to is to seek opportunities where you can run against that
trend and so today you know as a democrat you can get more attention for diverging from your party
on an issue than ever before and here's the other thing is that it's completely free to do right it
right it doesn't cost a dollar to take a position that you know diverges from the orthodoxy of the
left and you will get a tremendous amount of media attention and the kind of media attention that
breaks through right so you know this this culture of rigidity that we've created has also created
opportunities to define yourself and again you know this may not be the politics of some of your
listeners here but the question is what are the politics that can win in texas or iowa or
nebraska or kansas and so you know if you have candidates there who are you know very dedicated
to core liberal politics you're going to be able to get a lot of attention because you're going to
be able to get a lot of attention because you're going to be able to get a lot of attention because
positions like universal health care good schools for our kids a safety net that catches you when
you fall right but occasionally there are going to be issues where you know they are going to try to
be more in line with the conservative electorates they're trying to win when they take those
positions they're going to get a massive amount of attention you see this happening in iowa right now
right where rob sand has said you know he doesn't agree with his party on issues like you know
trans kids playing sports now you know that's not the politics of a lot of our listeners here
but that's what's you know a position that can help
him in iowa maybe who knows yeah all right well the point is i think that a lot of these positions
a lot of democrats are actually more in the middle of the road on some of these issues than the sort
of debate would let you know but anyway rob has gotten a tremendous amount of attention for that
position and it's all for free right so it's i think it's actually a bit of a hack here you know
in our attention starved economy where you know these sort of constructive debates generate a
tremendous amount of media attention and and that's the way you define yourself as an independent kind
of thinker i have two thoughts on that one uh kind of going both directions one is um
um a lot of times you take positions like this and it feels like there's back more backlash than
there actually is because what i was talking about about the internet and social pressure i mean like
look i i'm not trying to run for office when he votes so obviously it's different being a podcast
host and one but like i think back to you know when we were talking about biden's age a lot
in 2024 and like there were a lot of very vocal board plus subscribers who we love and appreciate
commenting their displeasure about that and like creating social media threads about how we're
focused on this and that so i think it's a great question and i think that's a really good question
on this too much but like simultaneously to that like my private correspondence the emails the
text was all people being like you're right thank god somebody's saying this i kind of
feel like that's true for like rob sand and in differentiating on some of that stuff and i think
that democrats get too scared to do things that just because they're worried there'll be a pile
on now you can overstate this like sometimes you know you have to each case is individual
sometimes you're getting piled on because you up but like i do think that sometimes
that there's a little too much fear on that yeah 100 i mean you you know the sort of internet
culture is not real life right people say twitter is not real life and i think that couldn't be more
true i mean you know democrats are not super far to the left on every single issue they tend to be
very middle of the road on a lot of these things and so you know the fear of getting yelled at
online is part of what's led us to this place and you do see candidates more and more start
to say hey listen you know i'm not going to let that fear be the thing that dominates my position
taking because the argument i'm making here is not an argument to pick fights for no reason right
it's actually an argument to just be honest about what you think because most of these candidates
do not hold exclusively left-wing positions across the board in fact they are taking those positions
in an inauthentic way because they feel pressured to do it by the internet culture and so you know
the actual authentic move is to just say hey listen i don't agree with my party on everything
and then to explain the points where you don't agree because i don't think there's a single
person out there who's going to be able to say hey listen i don't agree with my party on everything
there who you know agrees with the part in every single issue so just be yourself you know articulate
the places where you do disagree and you know you will get yelled at but getting yelled at is part
of why that's going to break through and and create some constructive conflict although i think
you do it in the spirit of you know constructiveness of family debate you don't want to ever sort of be
trying to pick fights for no reason but you know respectfully and with a you know with a sort of
uh principled stance you should say where you disagree and don't back away from the conflict that comes
with it what do you say about people who say that that the same principle should hold about people
differentiating from the party brand from the left i think that you know there's sometimes a
frustration among those on the left and and this is one element of their critique i agree with where
it's like the focus on swing voters is always like focused on either you know my people like suburban
former republicans or people who have very conservative views on social issues and like those
voters exist but there are also voters who have been pushed out of the democratic party or feel
left out of the party because they want more aggressive oversight of corporate america or
because they want the democrats to be really the anti-war party again and like less support for
for israel in particular but for middle east wars in general people who criticize the democratic
party for not going far enough on health care like what would you say to that i think we should be a
big tent you know i mean i think there's room for for those kind of criticism from the left
and you know to be honest the left doesn't pull its punches about differentiating themselves
from the right side of the party right they are very willing to criticize the national party the
national party leadership and and criticize other democrats and you know i think that's fair game
but you know people should do it from the other direction as well and that is how you build
a big tent you know we shouldn't be in the business of trying to police who is and isn't
allowed in our party there are core things that we believe in as democrats that differentiate us in
clear ways from republicans we believe in universal health care we believe in making the wealthy pay
believe in raising taxes on the rich and big corporations and using that money to help provide
social services to people who you know are down on their luck or who work hard and play by the rules
but are having trouble getting ahead so every single one of those things is a core democratic
belief every single one of those things differentiates us in clear ways from republicans
right and so as long as you agree with those basic parameters like that's what we are in the business
of doing where we want to win elections so we can get power to enact those kinds of policies
and if you basically agree with those things you're on our team
if you have differences over you know corporate money
or you know exactly how you achieve universal health care you know how we raise money
taxes on the wealthy? Do we do it through a millionaire's tax or do we raise rates? These
are all disagreements that we should welcome. But, you know, those are only disagreements you're
going to find within the Democratic Party because, you know, Republicans don't want to do any of
those things. So I won't, you know, the left should make their criticism. The folks in the
center should make their criticism and we should welcome them all into the into the Big Ten.
Well, if you run into issues where people say to you, I'm sure you see this like this isn't sorry,
like heterodoxy is impossible on this issue. This is a human right. This is a moral right.
And like two of the hot buttons that come to mind on this are, you know, on the trans issue,
you look at what Seth Moulton did. I think he took a pretty modest differentiation from the
party base and was basically, you know, really castigated and protested about how he didn't
support trans people. And then on the issue of Israel, I mean, like you look at right now with
Abdul, you have some Jewish Democrats saying like this is not acceptable, the types of people that
he's associating with or that his view, his lack of support for Israel isn't acceptable. On the
other side of that, you have.
Some left Democrats who say, like, if you don't say the exact word genocide, then you're not
supportable. Some of these stuff is just like these are real principled positions for people
and just saying heterodoxy, like accept it, like isn't going to be good enough for some parts of
the electorate. I think we should welcome disagreements, but reject purity tests. And,
you know, there's this phrase everything bagel liberalism, right, which is, you know, everybody
has their topping on the bagel and everybody puts their topping on and all of a sudden you've got
this everything bagel. And, you know, we don't know.
We stand for it because we stand for everything, you know. And I think if everybody has, you know,
says I'm not for litmus tests except for this one litmus test. Right. And then everybody says that,
but they all have something different. That's how you get to everything bagel liberalism. Right.
And so people should have very vehement and, you know, impassioned disagreements over things like
support for Israel, over, you know, how you achieve universal health care, over civil rights.
But, you know, fundamentally, we are the party that is.
Pointed in the right direction on all of those things. And I'm strongly in favor of articulating,
you know, those differences out in public and hashing it out and having that debate.
But, you know, once you start saying, OK, well, those people aren't allowed in the party at all,
that's when you get into the business of litmus tests. And I think that's an important distinction.
What do you say to people who say that, like, sorry, the genocide in Gaza is a litmus test for
me and I hear what you're saying and I want to be a big tent, but that is, you know, my issue or
frankly.
The inverse of that saying, like, you know, that Israel states right to exist as a litmus test for
me. Like, how do you how do you talk to those voters? What's your view on it?
If those voters, you know, think that that issue is so important that they want to vote for the
Republican, then they should go ahead and do that or not vote. That's that's fine. I would
recommend against that. I would I would recommend for those people to sit and think about what other
issues they care about. I bet a lot of those people also care about making sure that every
American has access to the right to vote. And I think that's a really important issue.
I bet they also care about making our tax system more fair and raising taxes on the wealthy so
that they are paying their fair share. I bet they also care about providing good schools, about
lowering crime rates, about building more housing and making housing more affordable. And, you know,
if you truly believe that one issue is so important to you that you can't see your way to supporting
the party on these other issues where you share a lot of agreement, these issues that are going to
improve lives of millions of people, I would say that's a really important issue. And I think that's
of Americans, you know, I don't know what to tell you. But I think for most people, they can take a
look at the big picture here and take a step back and say, I am really upset about this issue. I
feel this disagreement very strongly. But there are a lot of other things that I care about. And
the business of politics is to pass policies that help people. And so I am going to put that larger
interest of the public of advancing all these other causes that I care about ahead of my
disagreement over that one issue. Okay, so let's say that you're right. And the Charlie Cook wave
happens. 54. The Democrats get 54 senators. And obviously, they're not gonna be able to get
anything past that matters the next two years when Donald Trump is in. But say the 2028 comes
and Democrats pick up a seat in Wisconsin and end up with 55 seats in the Senate or something along
that in 2029. There'll be some tension in prioritization about what to do with that
majority with all the things you just laid out.
policies about, you know, trying to improve people's lives versus addressing the structural
changes that, you know, you get out in the book about why the, why there are these problems for
the Democrats, whether it be the Supreme court or gerrymandering or adding DC as a state,
or there are a million things you could do. How does whoever the next Harry Reid is,
I don't think it can be Chuck Schumer, but whoever that is, how do they, like, what are
your lessons from that time about like this question of prioritization and how you manage that?
You're going to have to operate on two tracks. You're going to have to have one track where you
advance all of the policies that we care about things like expanding access to healthcare,
achieving universal healthcare, expanding the social safety net. And then you're going to have
to have another track where you address the structural reforms. And this is possible to do,
you know, Congress can actually function with an aggressive push, but the question isn't just,
what can we pass in a hundred?
Or in the first two years of a trifecta, it's how can we also pass the structural reforms to make
that those changes stick, right? We can pass a lot of policies, you know, under a democratic
trifecta, if we have control of the white house, the house and the Senate. But if we don't pass
the structural reforms to make them stick, Republicans are just going to come back into
power and undo them. So the white house should work very closely with the Senate leaders and say,
we need to deputize leaders in the Senate and the house who are in charge of each of these areas,
and then work closely together.
And we need people who are in charge of each of the policy areas that we care about. And we need
people who are in charge of the structural reforms. And I'm talking about things like
ending the filibuster, passing court reform, statehood for DC and Puerto Rico. These are
all critical priorities. And, you know, the key to all of them is eliminating the filibuster so
that you can pass them with a simple majority. The topic of my first book, I'm strongly in favor of
this. The challenges that will face the next democratic administration are on a scale unlike
any that they've ever, ever faced. And so, you know, having people who can take those challenges,
and work through not just the policy challenges, but the structural reforms we need is going to be
key. You lived through this the first time, though, and you saw the stuff firsthand, like it's,
it's tough to wrangle. I mean, you know, you just look at like the Obamacare debate, for example,
where they're trying to get to 60 votes. And like, there's all this horse trading, and you end up
with, you know, kind of Nebraska exception, or you got Joe Lieberman to deal with any of Scott
Brown running. But like, I mean, Harry Reid had a much firmer grasp on the Senate than,
than the two subsequent majority leaders, and even still was challenging. I mean, like, this is
easier said than done. That's true. But, but, you know, the number of things that we got passed in
the first two years, the Obama administration, you know, made that Congress the most productive
since the Great Society. Now, we should not be satisfied with that we should do more, and be
even more ambitious when we take back power. But that's part of my argument, you know, we are going
to need to win margins on a scale that we haven't seen. And so, you know, offering some flexibility
for candidates to be able to run in states like Kansas, Iowa, and Nebraska, you know, on policy
positions that better fit those states is going to be necessary, because you are going to need
those votes. I promise you that every single vote in the Senate is going to be necessary at some
point in this process. If it's just a majority of 50, you know, tied with the Vice President breaking
the tie, or 51, it's going to be very difficult to get things done on this scale. We should still
try, you know, absolutely. I'd be the first to say that. But, you know, our job between now and
January 2029, when hopefully a Democratic President takes the oath of office, is to run up
the score as much as we possibly can, so that we have the room to maneuver, to do those big things,
to pass those big policies, and the structural reforms to make them stick when we're back in
power. Cornhusker kickback is what it was called. It took me a second. You know, it's like you're
starting to. Not to be confused with the Louisiana purchase for Mary Landry, you know.
Those are the kind of things that it takes to get stuff done, you know, but that's why you need
people, you know, a Democrat in those seats, as opposed to a Republican. And that's got to be our
priority for the next two cycles. Last thing, after Harry Reid, you went to work for John
Fetterman. He's back in the news. More staffers leaking about, you know, private conversations
where, you know, he was basically saying he didn't, you know, want to meet injured veterans,
just wants to do Fox News, things of this nature. What lessons do you have from the
Fetterman experience? And how do you kind of process all of these leaks? And like,
how do you process all of these leaks? And how do you process all of these leaks? And how do you
what the honorable way is to handle a situation like this?
I think the honorable way is, if you're going to say something critical, you should put your name
on it. This was the approach that I took when I left. It took me a long time to think about
whether there were things that I felt that I thought the public should know. I took a year
to think about it and decided that there were some things that I thought people needed to know,
but I did it on the record. And, you know, then voters can decide whether that's material to
their decision-making or not. I think the same way that I thought people needed to know,
I think the same way that I thought people needed to know, I think people needed to know,
over his identity. And I think it's honestly really sad to watch because this was a guy
who had a tremendous amount of promise, who has let a lot of people down.
down. And it's incredibly disappointing to watch. What do you think about my plan, which is you have
to deputize another senator like Brian Schatz or Ben Ray Lujan or somebody to just go and be his
friend and have lunch with him every day and complain about the libtards and like do whatever
it needs to kind of keep him feeling loved, that he's kind of like just a wayward child that needs
that needs some handholding. It can't hurt, but he has had those relationships in the Senate and
he had some of those folks who basically did that early on. But the pattern is, I mean, early on,
it was Peter Welch, Bob Casey, who unfortunately lost, Senator Padilla, you know, there were there
were folks who he really connected with. But the pattern with him has been anytime people get close,
he ends up chasing them away. And it's it's been really sad to watch. So I would say go for it,
man. I think it can't hurt to try. But I think there are deeper things going
on here that are going to take some time to resolve. One other thing about the situation,
I wonder that, you know, Matt Iglesias has made this point that kind of made me reflect on it,
because I am one of my things is I'm encouraging Democrats as part of your supermajority effort.
One way I agree with it is like you want some kind of anti-establishment types of people,
right? Like that is what's appealing to voters right now. If you don't read Sarah's book or your
book, if you learn from history or focus groups, it's like people are not looking for typical
politicians that are just going to tow the party line. Right. And so whether that's coming from the
center or from the left or from some kind of more heterodox kind of populist viewpoint, like Democrats
want candidates like that. But if you look at like the types of candidates that have fit that bill
recently, you know, Tulsi, Fetterman, Sinema, it's like not not a great kind of list. Plattner like
the it's a lot of the people that that have gone against the party establishment have turned out to
blame out in different ways. And and maybe, you know, it maps on to psychological issues that
they have. How do you think about that question of like wanting heterodoxy? But all of the
heterodoxy people that we've had lately have gone a little kooky. Well, you can be heterodox,
but also capable of doing the job and working with people. You know, these two things aren't
mutually exclusive. You can. Not lately. Well, not lately. But I mean, you and I were talking
earlier about all these senators we used to have in the caucus who did that. Mary Landrieu, Mark Pryor,
and Nelson, you know, and they were great colleagues. So there's no inherent contradiction
between having a heterodox approach. I think we've gotten a little too, you know, preoccupied with
this cult of personality. And that's that's a big problem. So a lot of those folks that you mentioned,
there's two things going on with them, right? One is that they are unconventional and anti
establishment. And the other is that they don't have a track record of working well with others,
right? They tend to be people who got a lot of attention for themselves.
Or in the case of Tulsi, like they do have a track record of just doing what a guru tells them to do.
Yeah, exactly. Right. Well, there you go. You know, but even Pennsylvania, you know,
before he ran the Fetterman had a reputation is not sort of, you know, working well with others.
And so, you know, I think if you have somebody who who's got a lot of attention for themselves
without really sort of, you know, collaborating or working in a legislative body or being a
business leader, you know, that's when you should really be skeptical. And this hype machine kicks
in. And there's all this branding and image stuff that goes on, you know, and ads with, you know,
the certain the guitar track and all that stuff. Hate the guitar track. Somebody get rid of the
guitar track. That's that's when your red flag should go up and say, like, wait a second, you
know, is this is this vibes, you know, is this or is there something real here? Does this person have
the potential to be a leader? Do they have the willingness to do the job? So, you know, there's
no contradiction between ideological heterodoxy and a commitment to the work and a commitment to
being a good colleague. We've seen that in the past and we can we can have that again.
All right. That's Adam Johnson. The book is Supermajority. He has a bunch of history
stuff that we don't have time to get into and like lessons from the FDR era, et cetera. So, uh, yeah.
So, uh, go check it out. It'll do you well. Uh, appreciate you very much, Adam. Uh, up next,
Pablo Torres. Stick around. All right. We are back, uh, with the man of the hour. He's the
Pulitzer prize winning host of Pablo Torrey finds out is reporting on the LA Clippers and Kawhi
Leonard led to an NBA investigation, uh, and the most severe punishment in league history. Yeah. And
people were doubting the reporting and here he is right now vindicated right here on the Bulwark,
Pablo Torrey. What's up, my man, Tim, it's been a strange roller coaster and I just like it
sometimes, uh, when three institutions all sort of have to point guns at each other. And I just
get to sit over here and be like, man, that seems, that seems dicey for everybody involved. So yeah,
that's how ESPN, the NBA and, uh, Steve Ballmer and his $174 billion have kind of found themselves
in a bit of tension, even after the re the report came out. I love it, man. I'm, I'm so proud of you
and happy for you. I wanna, for people who haven't been following this, who aren't like as much into
sports or wondering why you can have trouble on a politics podcast. I've been thinking about that.
There, there are a lot of politics sports stuff to talk about that we wanna get to, but this always
Clippers investigation in particular, there's like one element of it that really stuck with me as I've
been thinking about why the, the Pablo stands were like waving the bloody shirt so aggressively on
your behalf over the past week. And I, and I think it's this, it's like, we're living in this era
where it feels like there is free reign for the richest people in our society to control everything
grift, screw people over, break the rules, and they still get rewarded for it. Time. And again,
we have a corrupt guy controlling the presidency. They control the biggest tech platforms are
controlling sports.
And like, there just hasn't been a good story of accountability for someone in that class in like
a minute. And in this case, like you were, you know, not to compare Steve Ballmer to Donald Trump,
but like you were investigating one of these kind of elites that seemed to be getting all of the
bounty of our society and they circled the wagons around him and accountability came anyway. And I
kind of think that's the story. And for people who haven't been following, maybe give a little
summary of that. Yeah. So I'll summarize it with the context that you laid out, which is that the
bar is on the floor when it comes to what feels like a win when it comes to anything resembling
the richest people on the planet. And Steve Ballmer, again, I lose track because his wealth
is Microsoft stock largely, but he's at $174 billion and ninth richest person on the planet
right now with all the resources to hide the truth of what his money is doing from the public.
And so sports provides this funny context, Tim, when there are cardinal rules like
salary caps or convention, which are sports financial crime effectively, where essentially
you can't just pay whatever you want to buy the thing you want the most, which is kind of the
premise of what makes sports so special and valuable. Yeah. Right. Like if you're a team,
you can't just go get whatever, because you're, you're the richest, you gotta earn it. You gotta
win it. There are these regulations around that. And that's a not so subtle metaphor
for everything resembling financial indiscretion happening broadly. But then
you add in the factor and this is why I think it's broken through is, is that accountability is so
scarce. And so anything resembling forcing a billionaire to tell the truth to us is something
that I think is renewing. And I don't want to be like, uh, naive about this. Cause look,
there are way more serious political stories happening all the time.
You know, this is a sports story, but it's a sports story that made people feel like, oh my God,
the consequences are possible. My sort of, uh, thing that I care about is, is the story and
getting it right. The consequences for other people to levy the consequences enabled a feeling that I
think, yeah, I felt too in my mentions and beyond. So for the people, you know, who do not monitor
sports at all, don't know who you are, don't know who the clip, what the Clippers are. You know,
some of those people listen to this show, uh, and have to suffer through my LSU tigers takes from
time to time. I appreciate your discretion and not just leading with lane. I wanted to play the
locker room audio, which I will link in the show notes for people of link Kiffin, just being a
fucking boss after just the 51 to 10 beat down of Clemson. We did this weekend. I don't know if
anybody noticed that he was counting 51 to 10 beat down. It was, it was nice to be in tiger
stadium for that. But for people who don't know any of that, just, just give like the most basic
kind of reader's digest version. Like what happened to you? This wasn't just paying a player more than
he is allowed.
To be paid. This was for concurrent financial schemes operated by the LA Clippers owned by
Steve Ballmer, former CEO of Microsoft, in which they figured out ways to get money funneled from
a to B to C where a was Steve Ballmer's Clippers. C was Kawhi Leonard. And B was a series of
companies that the Clippers partnered with Daktronics, a scoreboard manufacturer aspiration,
a tree planting, good guy, carbon credits, startup locked
in insurance, a private insurance broker, as well as of course, Boingo Wireless.
Wow.
The wireless provider of the LA Clippers into a dome building. And so in these four.
I hate to have Boingo Wireless's integrity put, called into question.
Many of us have said, as we tried to pay for Boingo Wireless on a Delta flight,
this is a company that I would be shocked to find has anything but the most sterling
reputation behind the scenes. But this is it's, it's farcical.
On that level that they were doing this by the way, Tim, and this is the key
part walk tells report, which of course affirms what we've been saying for a year in significant
parts. They also point out that these were in some cases, nine figure contracts that the Clippers
only signed with Daktronics, for instance, if Daktronics agreed to this scheme to funnel money
to Kawhi Leonard. And so this is of a scale and ambition that resulted in the largest punishment
ever because this was more than just, hey, we're going to slide a bag of cash SEC style,
Southeastern Conference style. This is more of a other sort of a scandal in which literally the
Securities and Exchange Commission is now probing Daktronics as we speak, in addition to Aspiration.
This is like a real world story because it originates with that sports context.
And, you know, the other kind of element of this, as you kind of mentioned in the beginning,
referenced is, you know, you've done this, doing this investigation for a year,
like two weeks ago now, maybe, maybe a little less, ESPN comes out with a story that's like,
hey, there's been all this scuttlebutt about the Clippers breaking the rules, but we've got sources
that indicate that actually this is all in the up and up. And like, it was like this final gasp
of an attempt.
By, you know, kind of the institutional power to try to, you know, protect Ballmer and the
Clippers. And it just backfired spectacularly.
I can't speak to the internal monologue of the reporters who I know personally,
who are bylined on that, who I worked with personally in the past when the ruling came out.
But I will safely establish as we continue to report the story of crisis PR spin
in the backdrop of this story the whole time, as well as PR departments,
that establish relationships with journalists. I will simply say that one party here,
I know to have been a source for ESPN on that story. And I know the Clippers were a source
because the Clippers released an almost concurrent press release that basically
framed the story in the same way, almost immediately in which it becomes clear to
him that this was not a summary of findings, the evidence being assessed. This was the Clippers
legal defense in response to the story. And so, you know, I think it's a, it's a, it's a, it's a,
in response to those findings that got published as if these are the findings neutrally. Look, I can
only lead a horse to water, I guess. I can't make you actually, I love, I love to say, you know,
like and subscribe. I can't make you do either, but you might've had some clues if you had listened
to part one or 15 in the series. Yeah, it's brutal. Well,
makes you feel good. Just makes me want to kind of take a deep breath, have a cigarette,
just take a deep Ujjayi breath, like whatever serves you. It's like a night, a small victory,
but we're all looking for small victories this year. You know, heading to the midterms,
also looking for some small victories. Are there others in your beat that are coming? I saw you're
also working on a story about Lakers owner, Mark Walter. Yeah. And the interesting thing about this
whole thing is we just kind of just, as I mentioned at the top, but it's like even
during the Trump era, it's like even worse than the richest people are getting away with everything.
It's kind of like, they're also providing cover for their friends to be able to get away from
anything they want. And I always think about the commissioner who is a regulator who's supposed to
do crypto industry, who resigned a couple of months ago. And she was like, if I was that type
of person, this would be the time to do crypto scams because there's just nobody. Look, everyone's
doing the OJ if I did it. Yeah. But cover, there's just no guards at the hen house. And so I was
intrigued when I saw, I mean, you know, concurrently with your reporting on Balmer, Mark Walter,
the owner of the Lakers, he sold his team to the Kushner family. So it's a little, that's a little
confusing, but he had to sell the team because it does seem like the few guards at the hen house that
are still working were circling him for some reason. And you've been doing some additional
investigating on this. Explain to people just kind of the basics of what's happening with the
Lakers owner. Yeah. Well, it's not quite former yet because there's an agreement to sell to Josh
Kushner and Bob Iger, but that has not been consummated officially. And we await to see,
this is a story about following the money. We await whether that money's going to show up $12.5
million, the most that's ever been paid for a team. There's an agreement, but not yet the funds.
And so we're waiting. The thing about that story though, Tim, in a nutshell is that Mark Walter is
an insurance guy. He owns life insurance companies, these annuity deals in which America's
parents and grandparents think they're making the most risk averse conservative investment possible.
And instead what they're learning through this reporting is that their money is being used to
invest and purchase.
Sports teams, they're borrowing through these undisclosed ways. Mark Walter, initially his
companies, Guggenheim Partners is the subject. They initially were supposed to say, "Hey, only
about a billion dollars, a billion plus in these undisclosed related party transactions are bad."
That's a fancy way for alleged self-dealing to be phrased, affiliate transactions. And instead,
it's $20 billion that they have to unwind. And so the Lakers get sold for 12 and a half. The Dodgers
are under scrutiny now, Tim, the greatest team in baseball, two-time defending World Series
champions. They were acquired, according to our reporting, through, again, this undisclosed
borrowing from Mark Walter, lending it to Mark Walter to pay Mark Walter. And that's what happened.
Insurance company lends money to his TV channel, which pays his team, the Dodgers. And the way he
got the team in the first place was because of this framework. It was there from the very start.
And so this is far more,
I think, real world. And it takes us to my favorite scene. And finally, we could say,
"Hey, man, Donald Trump got a World Series rig because Mark Walter visited the White House
during a federal investigation that is happening by the SEC and the DOJ concurrently." And he went
to the White House with the Dodgers and handed the president a World Series ring.
Coincidentally, I'm sure. Which might end up buying him a pardon. We'll see. This is the
type of story that makes, you know, me ready to go red and just kind of get like a Bernie t-shirt and
just whatever, throw away my old capitalist past. Because it's like a guy taking money that people
are putting in for life insurance. And this is just like regular people's money that they have,
that they're trying to put a little nest egg in for their kids or their family if something happens
to them. He's using the money to like go and buy sports teams and gallivant around. It's a totally
insane story. And I guess like if there is not full accountability for it, you know, I don't know.
It just continues to lend to this idea that like there are no rules for people like this.
Well, and this is how sports became so valuable. Mark Walter pays a record price $2.15 billion for
the Dodgers in 2012. New record for Chelsea over $3 billion years later. The Lakers again,
this is like the one man economic stimulus package for leaks. He comes in,
he's willing to pay and reset the market for everybody to get rich. And so the only question,
of course, is why weren't you disclosing this to the public so they can decide whether their nest
eggs, as you accurately put it, were being risked on what could be great if it keeps on going up
forever, but also might be at risk in case they don't. And why weren't the leagues investigating?
Like, you know, this is one of those stories where it's just kind of like, wait a minute,
isn't this kind of weird? You know, if Elon Musk bought the L.A.
Dodgers and started spending fuck you money on players like way more than anybody else, you'd be
like, this sucks. But like, at least I know where this money is coming from. Like, I understand. It's
like this random insurance guy comes in and all of a sudden is outspending all the richest people
in the world. And it was suspicious. Oh, yeah. 2012, there were questions
asked at Major League Baseball in owners meetings. Like, how is this guy? He went up overnight,
seemingly more than half a billion dollars to buy the Dodgers. And they wondered why. And the answer
was the same. There's a media deal that I described previously. But the answer really is that no one
asked too many questions because all of them were so excited about their own teams going up in value
because Mark Walter was going to pay that much for his. And so due diligence and vetting is, I think,
the story of our time. Why isn't it being done? Who are we trusting? Why perpetually are we
getting scammed as a nation? And sports has been a vector. I felt like that was
the secret story of Epstein, too. Like, obviously, the main story is the abuse of the young girls.
Right. But there is a side story when you read all the emails, which just like how many people
just like went along to go along with it, because it's like, you know, doing due diligence and
having integrity is hard. Right. Just saying, like, this looks a little weird, but I'm going
to get to go to a fancy dinner out of it. Like, that is the path of least resistance.
And also, can you really imagine consequences being doled out
by the class of people that they have now these connections to who help decide whether those
consequences will ever happen? And so that's why, again, in sports, you have something that
may rightfully be only sports punishment. But because it's dealing with a real world story,
you have the ability to wonder aloud what's stopping us from accountability everywhere
else that we're seeking it. The people in power in Washington and Trump's Washington
kind of want to let, you know, the unfettered animal spirits run free in every part of our
economy from A.I. to crypto, et cetera. But there is one area where they have decided that they want
some regulation. They decided that they need to come in and control the way that the market is
working. And that is the area in which young black athletes get paid a little bit more than
if they feel like they are deserved. We had a circling of the wagons this weekend from
Bird Street to Pat McAfee to Ted Cruz talking about how things are out of control in college sports.
We need new regulations.
That's the one regulation they want.
We need new regulations to make sure that these athletes aren't getting paid this much.
They want an antitrust exemption.
Chris Murphy did a really interesting thread I thought over the weekend I'll also link to.
And the show notes kind of pushing back on the opposite of this, which is like, look,
obviously, you know, college sports is a little bit out of control and there are certain kind
of rules that need to be put in place, you know, at this point.
But what the NCAA is asking for right now is an antitrust exemption that basically lets
them control how much players are paid without having to bargain with the players, without
having to do what, you know, major league sports have to do.
They want kind of a new separate carve out for them because of amateurism.
Talk about like what what you've been seeing on that front.
Yeah, it's this question of like what happens when you lose over and over and over and over
and over again in the court system.
You go and try to get some deus ex machina legal language that says, hey, actually, you
can operate.
You can operate with an antitrust exemption effectively as this cartel, which we've always
known you to be.
But now we're going to give you a plausible legal defense that's actually saying aloud
what you guys have been getting away with this whole time.
Look, college sports, two things are true, right?
Like one thing that's true is that it is a total mess.
Tim, like I'm not here to say that the version post Supreme Court rulings around Alston at
all, in which the NCAA actually was told.
You guys got to compensate what is obviously a labor force that is professional in effect.
If not your intent, you got to do that.
I'm not saying that everything that's happened since then isn't a total clusterfuck because
it is.
But at the same time, it's a mess that arrives because you guys don't have good answers to
questions like why doesn't anyone have a contract for their labor?
And so when you have to avoid the contracts because you don't want to start doing the
negotiating with a union, well, you're in a bit of a pickle in which you're looking
for Ted Cruz and the cast of College Game Day, apparently, to save you as lobbying is
happening on college football's premier program.
Tim, I loved LSU.
I loved the circus.
I loved the hosts that you guys were.
But the sort of context for all of this, it felt like we were watching lobbyists go to
town.
It was kind of remarkable.
Yeah.
And to me, it's just like, look, I understand that people have complaints and things were
always better when you were young.
And, you know, for the boomers, we want to go back to Bear Bryant.
And for our peers, it's like, let's go back to the 90s, you know, when things are.
And I get it.
But like, and I agree with you that there are things that are out of control in the
way that, you know, there's been conference realignment and they're like in anything,
there are things to complain about.
But like the players are, are, you know, professionals.
Like it's a professional sport.
There's billions upon billions of dollars that's going into it.
And so we have a model for how to treat them, just like treat them like professionals, like
everything else.
And they're out there saying, we need, we want this other system.
We want to create this other system where we have more control over them, where the,
you know, the ADs and the presidents and the, and the boosters can put our thumb on this
and tell them what to do.
And it's like, that's, that's not like a fair approach.
It's not capitalism, by the way.
It's not capitalism.
Definitionally the opposite.
Yeah.
And so, and for all of us.
All the complaints about things in sports, like there are some things in college sports
that are better than ever.
Like women's college basketball is thriving in the new system.
Like you have these young women now that are able to get these NIL deals and make money
that was never possible for female athletes before, you know?
And like, you've got these fucking old white blowhards on TV going like, well, what about
the women's volleyball team?
You know, it's like, they're getting squeezed.
And it's like, no, nobody's getting squeezed.
Like this has been good for the athletes.
What's happening is that the market is beginning to show itself.
There are individuals who never would have gotten paid like those female athletes that
you mentioned before, who are for the first time.
The issue is that schools have only really wanted to spend so much money.
And before they kept themselves, they're like, we have these endowments.
We're only going to spend this much on sports, even though that's the front porch of our
institution, right?
The thing that everybody talks about.
That's kind of the story that unites all of these things.
Sports are the thing that people on main street, whatever metaphor you want, normies, right?
The actual gym.
The general audience.
That's what they pay attention to.
It is the way that you see all of these people.
Steve Ballmer is seen through a sports team.
LSU is seen through its sports teams, right?
And so you have this scrutiny and this public pressure.
And when that pressure is applied and it's able to create a flow of money through a market
that is somewhat regulated, ideally, as well as one that prioritizes the competition, you
get a world that is not as convenient.
You get a world that is not as convenient for the schools that wanted to pay way less
than the market would want.
It's the story of a market.
Yeah.
That's such a good point about how it's anti-capitalistic.
And you have these, I think, conservative politicians and the rich guys want to present
what they're doing as capitalists.
And it's true in whether you're talking about the pro sports owners or kind of the boosters,
the college presidents.
They want to present like, oh, okay, we want to reap the rewards.
Of these teams.
Let's look at pros.
For example, when I sell this team, I want to be able to reap the benefits, make billions
of dollars on how much it's grown.
But I also don't want any risk.
I want the public to pay for my stadium.
I don't want to have any obligation to the community.
Like they're paying for things.
I don't want to have any obligation.
No, I want to get to go to the White House and you celebrate me in the people's house.
But there is no competition.
If people don't like how I'm doing, if it's not doing a good job, you can't have a new
business open up.
In my community, I was reeling with this about the Nuggets and Avalanche for a while
in Denver, like the owners weren't putting the games on TV because they were in a fight
with Comcast.
This is what the Dodgers, this is what they dealt with.
And I'm just like, they're blacked out.
I'm like, wait a minute.
You have to put the games on TV.
You have an obligation to the community.
You're making billions upon billions of dollars.
This is what you have to do.
But it's like, oh, no, you know, I don't want to pay the right market rate.
I kind of like acting like this is a normal corporate dispute.
But it's like not, it's not like some other rich guy can say, I'm going to create a
different basketball team in Denver and we're going to put the games on TV to compete against
you.
This isn't a market.
No.
And the thing that they are avoiding is, look, salary caps, right?
Like, what is that?
I'm not saying that everybody philosophically should love the salary cap as a concept.
I'm simply saying that that is a product of collective bargaining.
Right.
That is a product of two entities entering, an employer and laborers, and deciding what
can we agree on.
And it's never going to be perfect, but the fact that college sports won't begin
that process at all says so much because I know that they will have leverage inside
of it when they get there.
They're actually asking for the safe space around the safe space.
It's like levels of greed that is kind of mind blowing to me.
The other kind of hot topic in our sports zeitgeist right now is kind of WNBA discourse.
There have been some hard fouls on Caitlin Clark and Laura Ingram has done several segments
about it and it doesn't seem fair.
I'm just wondering kind of where you're at on the on the WNBA discourse.
I think it is very persuasive that someone would be like, I want to protect women's sports
so much that I'm throwing a green dildo at them, which for people have missed it is literally
something people are doing in the stands at WNBA games throwing dildos.
Yeah.
And it gets and it gets even more absurd, right?
Like these ask Enos Cantor and Royce White, like the suicide squad of like crazy NBA also
rants.
Being like, I'm a woman now and I'm going to play.
I just want everybody.
I never say this, Tim.
I just want everybody to be as honest as Jesse Waters was when he spoke when he spoke on
the five about how he just doesn't even care about women's sports enough to care about
this controversy.
And all I want is for people to actually acknowledge that you don't care about any of this.
You're trying to score points in this culture war, which you've learned can be very hospitable
to you.
Because you're playing with the perceived victimhood of women and girls.
And instead, what you're really doing is you are routinely victimizing one of the most,
if not the most victimized demographic in America in trans people who want to be bad
at sports, just like all of us have the right to be.
And that to me is what's unconscionable.
And it would be inexplicable if I wasn't also watching politics broadly and seeing what
happens when vulnerable people can be used for other points.
I want to wrap.
This bow up for how we started and give people a rare.
It's post Labor Day.
I had a long weekend.
I got a little tan.
I've got some time to pull.
Thank you.
And so I'm going to be positive on today's show, which is which is a nice change of pace.
I have a silver lining to this, just like your investigation into Kawhi.
I thought it ended up being good news.
I think that that like the WNBA is about to go through a heyday and that these bad and
malicious actors attempts to kind of insert themselves.
All they're doing.
They're doing is creating free PR for them.
We see the value of owning narrative in our politics.
And I think the WNBA, you know, there's an old stupid cliche about all press is good
press.
That's not exactly true.
But at the end, WNBA, I think is benefiting for this.
They're best ratings ever on the stupid game that Ennis Cantor tried to insert himself
into on the court.
The product is better than ever at the tailgate this weekend.
I was talking to, you know, just a regular old Southern guy who was like, yeah, I just
don't really like the product.
It's bad.
That's my biggest problem.
It's like, have you watched a game this year? No. Like, watch a game, actually. It's like the product is a lot better. You know, they have a lot of stars now. And I think that this attempt to go after the WNBA is going to backfire. Hopefully they get a good commissioner in. A little commissioners resigned. So that's my hot take.
Yeah. I think we're about to do a golden era. I think that women's sports has gone from a cause that people felt like they should care about to a product that has enough audience as we live in this fragmented world, Tim, in which you are a media tycoon.
So, too, so, too, can Caitlin Clark. You're not so different. Independent creators who are trying to take advantage of a world in which you actually have options.
Well, can enough people come over here and pay attention to what we do?
And even enjoy it? I think it's never been more plausible.
And at a certain point, also, the price has already gone up, whether or not people realize it.
Yesterday's price is not the same as today's price, as a great poet once said.
I love that you could share in this moment of positivity with me, Pablo, and even try to gas me up a little bit on the side.
So I'll end by gassing you up. People go if you haven't listened to Pablo Torre finds out it's not all sports investigations.
He does other related investigations. And if you're looking for a way in.
I'm just going to throw out for people my two favorite episodes with the past year to your investigation into the mentalist.
I was probably who was the fucking fake who I fucking knew it.
You don't have to say that you're a reporter. I'm not. I knew I was just like, what is this?
The whole time it was like Mark Walter for me. I was like, this is not real.
And and and you shined a light on part of that.
Yeah, I appreciate your desire for the truth.
Yeah, you did a story that had me crying in an airport listening.
Daroni Cycli, former Miami Heat player.
He became a DJ
and he also
had this moment with Magic Johnson after
he got his HIV diagnosis that is
really inspiring. So people
can go listen to those two episodes if they want to weigh in.
I really appreciate you
saying so, Tim. Thank you, man.
All right, brother. We'll talk to you soon.
Everybody, that's Pablo Torre. Thanks also to Adam Jentleson.
We'll see you all tomorrow for another edition of the show.
Peace.
The Bulwark Daily is brought to you
thanks to the work of lead producer Katie Cooper,
associate producer Ansley Skipper,
and with video editing by Dante
DiCicco and audio engineering and
editing by Jason Brown.
Podcast Summary
Key Points:
Trump’s midterm convention is a strategic misstep that benefits Democrats by dominating political discourse and setting a negative tone for Republican voters.
The Democratic Party is recovering its brand strength as public fatigue toward Trump grows, leading to increased registration in key swing states and a potential shift in voter loyalty.
The book *Supermajority* argues that Democrats must win broader, more durable majorities to enact structural change and counter conservative advantages in the Senate, Supreme Court, and gerrymandering.
Summary:
Adam Hamilton, former deputy chief of staff to Senator Harry Reid and founder of the Searchlight Institute, discusses the Democratic Party’s strategic path to power in his new book *Supermajority*. He traces the decline of the Obama-era Democratic supermajority to the backlash against policies like the Affordable Care Act and a failure to meet voters’ economic needs. Drawing on historical examples—from 2010 to the FDR era—Hamilton argues that Democrats must break from rigid ideological purity and adopt regionally tailored, pragmatic candidates in states like Kansas, Iowa, and Texas to win back swing districts.
He emphasizes that candidates who diverge from party orthodoxy—on issues like immigration, healthcare, or Israel—gain significant media attention and voter engagement, especially in conservative areas. This approach fosters a "big tent" party that welcomes diverse viewpoints while maintaining core democratic values like universal healthcare and wealth taxation. Hamilton stresses that winning a 54-seat Senate majority in 2024 would be a critical milestone, creating the political space needed to pass structural reforms—like ending the filibuster or achieving statehood for DC—so that policy changes endure.
He warns that without such reforms, Republicans will reclaim power and undo progress. The Fetterman controversy is cited as a cautionary tale about the dangers of personalizing leadership and the need for collaborative, grounded political figures. Ultimately, Hamilton sees the current political moment as a test of whether Democrats can unite behind a vision of broad, lasting power over narrow, short-term gains.
FAQs
Adam Jennison's book, *Supermajority*, explores how the Democrats lost their supermajority after 2016 and outlines a strategy for building lasting power through broader majorities. It draws on historical examples to show how structural changes can be achieved when Democrats win larger, more stable majorities.
Trump's midterm convention is seen as a gift for Democrats because it shifts political focus to him, allowing Democrats to dominate the narrative. It also coincides with a period when many voters are tired of Trump, potentially leading to a decline in his support and a shift in voter sentiment.
He argues Democrats must adapt by running candidates in swing states who are ideologically flexible—such as embracing conservative economic views in places like Texas or Kansas—to win key battlegrounds and build a broader coalition.
The book recommends that Democrats should meet voters where they are, especially by addressing economic concerns and avoiding overreaching on policy promises, to prevent alienation and rebuild public trust.
Heterodoxy—taking positions that differ from mainstream party lines—is seen as a powerful tool to gain attention and win in swing states, as long as it's grounded in genuine policy and not driven by extremism or personal branding.
He emphasizes urgent structural reforms like ending the filibuster, passing court reform, and granting statehood to DC and Puerto Rico, which are critical to making pro-Democratic policies stick and creating lasting power.
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