9 Boom-or-Bust Fantasy Football Players You Need to Know Before Your 2026 Draft (Ep. 2152)
64m 29s
The FantasyPros podcast episode "Boom or Bust" features hosts Chris Welsh, Andrew Erickson, and Pat Fitzmorris analyzing nine fantasy football players for the 2026 season, each with significant upside (boom) or downside (bust) potential. The discussion begins with high-profile picks: Jeremiah Love, a rookie running back for the Cardinals, who shows elite talent but faces injury concerns and a weak offense; Malik Nabers, a Giants wide receiver recovering from a torn ACL, whose ADP has risen despite questions about his new quarterback and offensive system; and Ladd McConkey, a Chargers receiver whose target share may not support his draft price. The hosts then examine mid-round running backs like Trey Benson, who could emerge as a lead back but may start in a committee, and Jonathan Brooks, a Panthers back with a concerning injury history but clear path to a starting role. They also discuss wide receivers like Carnell Tate and Marvin Harrison Jr., noting concerns about quarterback play and target competition. Throughout, the hosts emphasize the importance of draft cost, patience, and monitoring early-season usage, as many players may perform better in the second half. They encourage listeners to use FantasyPros tools and share their own boom-or-bust picks, ultimately providing a balanced view of risk and reward for fantasy managers.
This is an "I Heart" podcast, Guaranteed Human. On Big Lives, we take a single cultural icon. People like Jane Fonda, George Michael, Little Richard. And we pull apart the story behind the image, discovering forgotten interviews that change exactly how we see these giants of our culture. We're here for the messy, the brilliant, the human version of our heroes. I'm Emmanuel Jochi. I'm Kai Wright. And this is Big Lives. Listen to Big Lives on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, friends? Welcome into Fantasy Pros. Today, we've got the big booms. And we've got some bus. Some players that are not going to work so well. I don't know, you guys get to decide nine boom or bus players. Probably the most boomer bus with the highs of highs and the lows of lows. Are you looking for floor? Are you looking for ceiling? These players could make or break your fantasy season. And we are all going to be picking some names. I'm Chris Welch. We've got Andrew Erickson and Pat Fitzmorris here today for the booms or the bus. Erickson, by the way, when I mentioned booms, my brain is embrained right now because I immediately went to the Costco guys. And you were like Archie, right? And I'm like, how older are you? Like, what are you talking about? Like, the only booms in the world are the Costco guys. Yeah, peak by in the car before we hopped on the show. Took the dog out to do a boom. And confirmed big boom. Ready to rock. He knew what the show sheet was today. I forgot. That was your dog. I was thinking like Archie in the comics. That's how well that actually I am. At least Pat probably got that. But yeah, dogs are the big booms. And we've got booms and bus here. Mr. Pat Fitzmorris, you've got a puppy Erickson. I've got a 55 pound pit bull next. You want a big boom? No, I am excited about this episode because these are guys we are conflicted on. Our selves. I think we're going to talk it out. Maybe we'll hug it out. Because yeah, a lot of these guys, I am presented with these dilemmas and drafts. And I'm still not entirely sure which way to go. And something interesting about this just before we jump in is like, you know, we've lots of episodes. Our favorite targets and our favorite sleepers. And you guys, if you've followed along with our content throughout this draft season, you've heard a lot of like similar names. You know, you might have watched. You might be a Pat Fitzmorris guy. I see in the comments, people love Pat. They lock in. They want all the Pat episodes. You probably have had crossover of like, you know, similar things of players that Pat has really liked. But in a lot of those, unless you have these hyper focused episodes where it's like, these are the nose and these are the guesses, you might not have like a diverse conversation around the pitfalls of some of these guys as well, the positives and the negatives. And that's what we could do here. Like specifically, I picked a player that is like one of the most popular like breakout sleeper, they've crossed every line of fantasy at this point of what they can be. They're targets for everybody. But this we can talk about the positives, but also the negatives. That is the boomer bus for your team. So that's what we're going to cross into here. You might hear a couple of names you've heard before. You might get some different takes on a few players. These nine players, boomer bus, whatever you decide and how we break it down for your fantasy season. If you guys want to make sure that you are locked in to all these players, some of the reference points. Make sure you download the fantasy pros app. You can go to the fantasy pros website where you can access the ranks, the ADP, real time ADP, and pretty much everything else we're going to be referencing. So go and do that. Get prepped for your drafts today. We'll talk more about that. But let's jump into this episode with the nine, but we're not going to actually do any more nine booms. I'll do no more Costco guys stuff. But we do have nine players. And Pat, you get to start us off here, Fitsy. With your first of your boomer bus players for the 2026 season. I feel like Jeremiah Love is kind of an appropriate headliner for the show. And I really want to be fully in on Jeremiah Love. We saw in his one preseason game just how wildly talented. He is unfortunately, because the Cardinals saw fit to give him 14 touches in his first taste of NFL action. Picked up a high ankle sprain in that game, which can be a complicated injury, as we know. It's more like a knee injury than an ankle injury. So Love right now, ADP RB 15, 33rd overall, sort of towards the back of the third round. And I know people are not excited about the Arizona Cardinals offense, and they do have a pretty tough schedule. But I want to be an unhim at this price, because we have seen over the last 11 seasons, eight running backs taken with top 12 overall picks in the NFL draft. Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fernett, Christian McCaffrey, Sequan Barkley, Bijan Robinson, Jumir Gibbs, Ashton Gentee, those eight guys averaged 1474 yards from scrimmage in 10.9 touchdowns in their rookie seasons. Because they're just amazing football players, which is why they were drafted top 12. Christian McCaffrey actually had the worst statistical output of any of those guys, 1,086 scrimmage yards, seven touchdowns for the Panthers in 2017. I feel like that is kind of the floor for Jeremiah Love, and the ceiling could be a lot higher. I don't buy that like Tyler Algera is going to cut significantly into the workload of a healthy Jeremiah Love. Once he's fully healthy and good to go. And I know people are going to talk about the Panthers are. But look, the combined winning percentage of the teams that drafted those eight running backs top 12, the year before they drafted them, 320 was the winning percentage. Those teams suck too. But of course, that is the reason to fear that he's going into the season already banged up and that this is a pretty terrible team. So I get it. I get it. I'm sort of on the bare side here, but I want to know what you guys think. Do you ever see those videos where, I mean, I'll be honest with you, it might be the thing I hate the most, but sometimes I mentally engage where someone will tweet something and then there's actually no information. They'll be like, we all know who this person looks like. And then there's just nothing. It's just like baiting us to engage engagement baiting. But I saw one of those with Jeremiah Love. And then they were just like, can we all agree? We know who he looks like running. And I'm like, I'm like, I'm like, pissy. I'm like, come on, dude, stop trying to engage. And then I like watch a little bit more. I'm like, but he does kind of look like Adrian Peterson here. And then I click on it and I see everyone doing it. And I'm like, ah, nailed it. And then I'm like, oh, they got me, they got me. It looked really impressive when he runs out there. But yeah, you bring up some interesting points. They like their other backs. It only took 14 carries for him to get banged up. The team is going to be really bad. Luckily, one of the things that he's going to be able to help in is on the receiving side. But I'm really torn. This is, to me, this is a little bit on the cost side. The, I think the cost is important in talking about the level of boom or bust he is. Because it's like a really high price. It reminds me a little bit of like Travian Henderson in that like, he could still be good. You know, and he still can probably put up like top 20-ish RB range. But is he going to be able to have the boom? And that's where I'm really not sure. And I don't know if the equity makes enough sense. I think, I feel like there's a lot of negatives right now. Erickson, do you play any positives? What side of the boom or bust are you on for Jeremiah Love? I think I'm more on the bust side. And that's not to say he's going to be dramatically underwhelming as RB 15. I think that Fitz pointed out with the draft capital of those running backs that Love is probably more of a floor play in year one. And it sounds weird to kind of talk about that. But 78% of running backs drafted inside the top 12 have been a top 12 fantasy football option in year one. So when it all the dust settles on the cardinal season, I think Jeremiah Love is probably going to finish anywhere between RB 12 and RB 15. Kind of where he's going and being drafted. But I think the thing that you want to get right as a fantasy manager when you draft him is as a rookie running back. This production is more likely to be backloaded than frontloaded. That's what we see all the time. So with Love, he's a player that, look, I'm probably not going to draft him. I like running backs more in his range. I like wide receivers more in his range. But he's someone that I still want to watch and monitor as the season progresses. It's his usage. Exactly. And I think that's really a good thing to really take away from this episode is we go through these players because boom or bust is not, okay, this got hit for 17 straight weeks. And most fantasy players are very inconsistent. And it's an up and down journey. And I think the perfect example of this is a guy like James and Williams. Last year, bust. First nine weeks. Terrible. Second half of season, week winner, right? So Jeremy, I love could fall up into that category. And I say this now, and you could think, oh, well, no one's going to trade away Jeremy. I love everybody knows it. People dropped James and Williams last year because he was doing absolutely nothing and he was the biggest appointment. So that's the thing to keep it open mind about a player like Jeremy, I love. Even if you don't draft him, still monitor him because the other thing to point out about the Cardinals, Nathaniel Hackett, that guy is just a red flag for fantasy football. It's Michael Flores offense though. Come on. If that guy's in the meetings, if he's doing, again, I don't want him on a team. Like if he gets fired, book by all Cardinals, like that's the guy you want to do. To paint a picture of a positive note with Nathaniel Hackett, he did do something well with Breast Hall. Breast Hall was RB2 during Nathaniel Hackett's one year as the Jets Office of Coordinator in 2023. and that was because of receiving. If love is going to bury you,
it's going to be because of the receiving usage, because I have concerns about the touchdown equity he asked because of Tallahoujir, because of BAM Knight. These are guys that they'd use at the red zone and the goal line before, Tray Benson got cut, James Conner's another player that they trust in the red zone. So if Jeremiah Love doesn't score double the touchdowns, is he going to bury you? And I would say no. So that's why I'm okay not drafting him at the RB, back in fantasy RB1 range, and maybe betting on okay, slow start out of the gates. Maybe I can trade for him if I need a running back, because I know his production is more likely to be backloaded. - Well, the only thing I would just wanted to throw in, in fact, you can go on this, and then I wanted to do some overunders on for you guys real quick, though. It's like, I do think, though, that Jeremiah Love is a bust for a very specific set, or maybe not even so specific, but a wide range of types of fantasy owners. Like, you have to, I think, navigate, and you kind of alluded to this. Like, you've got to be able to navigate bad weeks. You've got to be able to understand if you took Jeremiah Love, you've got to have backup plans to cover yourself. And like, that type of navigation can work for like super hardcore fantasy owners sometimes, but you might have, and I'm not, you might have people that are tuning in now that are a little bit more casual and whatnot, that I think it just takes a lot more navigation to potentially make him work, especially early on, and that might not be his ideal. Is the upside truly worth the navigating that you've got to do for him? And I tend to think that that might not be the case in this year one that it's just, the juice is not worth the squeeze. - Yeah, Erickson makes a good point about the, you can put up good numbers. Ashton Genti was a great example last year. The overall number is pretty good by the end, but it was not a smooth season. It was very backloaded production. And, you know, if you were an Ashton Genti stakeholder last year, oh great, that he finished the season strong after you opened the season one and five. And we're kind of very, so like. - Yeah, and so I just took, I just took Jeremiah Love in a homelike picking 309 last week. And I, I had fired out with Jackson Smith and Jigba and Kenneth Walker in the first two rounds. The fourth round, I decided to just take Deandre Swift. Like I kind of did not want to mess with the, I wanted to safeguard against the slow start and possibly some mistime early on for Jeremiah Love. Now, the sacrifice I had to make, I wanted to like load up on a wide receiver in the fifth and sixth round. I didn't get to take the premium tight end. I would have liked to. So that was the sacrifice, but I did sort of safeguard myself there. And by the way, earlier, I think I said, I might have leaned toward the bearish side on Jeremiah Love. I live in Chicago and I don't know the difference between bears and bulls. I'm at bullseye. 220. Those are touches over under for Jeremiah Love, Pat. - Over. - Erickson. - Over. - 230. - Keep going. - Still over. - Oh, I was just gonna go up by 10s. I don't know if I'm gonna get it all to stop. - Okay, 250. - 250. - I would probably say over. I mean, I would probably put him around 250, 275 touches. I don't know what the projections have him, but that's what I'm talking about. - He's projected at around 280. And the reason I bring that up was Travian Henderson, this might be a case for him. Travian Henderson last year had around 220 touches and was able to pull out, I believe it was RB19 or 17. Numbers, even though it felt very kind of wonky and that was low touches. So that, again, whether, I don't know if it's a boomer bust case, but he's projected for this year for like 60 more touches than Travian Henderson got last year, but obviously the offense is way worse this year. - And in fairness, Travian Henderson was a platoon back in college. He shared time with Quinch on Judd Kins and Ohio State, whereas Judd Erin Price kept another first round pick on the banch at Notre Dame. - Yeah, well, this is just more about like, if they actually were to stay true to the word of that they're going to use like multiple backs. And if Jeremiah Love were to be used in a 15-touch way, you know, that's not necessarily going to happen. Projections are not saying that's going to happen, but they have been trying to tell us that. And then you also get the first time he touches the ball, he just turns into a Roblox character and just falls apart. So that's the interesting case on it. So Boomer Bus, Jeremiah Love, you guys can let us know. Number two, these are kind of higher in ones. Erickson, I actually think this might be, you guys picked the two best, you guys got to the sheet, even before I made the sheet and you guys did it before. I think you guys picked the two like best, like the names that should be the front face of this episode. Jeremiah Love is one, and Erickson, number two, that you have here, I think is the other one. - Relic neighbors, wide receiver. - The mask. - Yeah, 27th overall in the real time ADP. And looking at neighbors this season, we all know the upside case for him as the elite talent. And we're lucky, me and Fitz are lucky that we got Malik neighbors in the Keynes Classic, where we did at the end, from the beginning of the fourth round and a 14 team draft. Right as we got the first positive news about neighbors and any capacity that he wasn't going on the pop. And ever since that report, it's only been positive about Malik neighbors coming back from his torn ACL injury that seemed complicated in the cleanup procedure, but it's all been mostly positive again. It's still not Malik neighbors full go. He's still kind of like checking off the boxes. Okay, like now he's not in the non-contact usually. Now he's in team drill. So it's progressing well and that's obviously contributing to his skyrocketing ADP basically as a back end second round pick as a top 12 wide receiver. So there are still question marks about, okay, well, when do we actually see elite Malik neighbors come back to play for the New York Giants? Does that take four weeks? Is there a ramp up period when he actually has to turn around his type of production? I do want to point out too that in 2025, not his rookie year, he didn't have like this super elite production. 12 points per game, he was wide receiver 14 in points per game. 24% target share just 68 receiving arts per game. So that's something that I didn't want to kind of point out. I know that we're all reflecting on neighbors rookie year and that's really the upside case with him he was a target machine. This is a brand new offense with Matt and Aggie. Again, we're throwing shade and thing like that, Matt and Aggie, he deserved a lot of shade too, 'cause he did not help the Chiefs offense whatsoever and they were happy to let him walk. So how good is this Giants offense with Jackson Dart entering his second season? How often are they throwing the football? I know they've been very vocal under John Harbaugh about we want to establish the run. We have a ton of different running backs. We want to get involved. And I do think that there is a sense of, not blind optimism in Malik neighbors coming off of this injury, but I did some ADP kind of digging to look at. Okay, what other receivers have kind of followed this path where you have a top 10 season, you play less than 10 games, and then what do you do that following season? So wide receivers who play fewer than 10 games than ADP of wide receiver 12 or higher, the following season, there are nine of them, three of them met expectations. So basically finished as a back end fantasy wide receiver one, where the other six receivers were either small or big misses. So my big takeaway from kind of doing this ADP study was, yes, Malik neighbors can reach his wide receiver 11 wide receiver 12 ADP, but for him to be a super, super smash, I don't know if that's actually going to happen with him in 2026 based on the fact that he's coming off an injury, based on the fact that he's playing with a new quarterback. He barely played with Jackson Dart last year because Jackson Roberts the back up, and they only played one game and happened to be the game that the league neighbors also got injured in. So that's where I kind of get concerned about what the actual upside for him this season is. I'm not super and for all with the offense. So that's kind of my take with league neighbors as a Boomer bus player. And again, I'm going back to the point when I got, when we got him what we did fits an eye. Like at that point, it was all upside, but now you're paying a lot and you're taking him over a lot of other great players when I could see a scenario where, yeah, the first month of the season, he isn't a difference maker. And maybe it does take half of a year for him to really get back under speed. So what do you guys think, the league neighbors, are you in? Is it just, hey, don't care bet on the upside? Because I don't think he's a bad pick where he goes because of the upside he can offer, but I'm just trying to be realistic of setting expectations of what we're actually going to see him put on the field. Yeah, I like that you had different cases beyond beyond the injury because as you started, I was just sitting here thinking, like, is this just based around the injury? And that's something I become a little injury agnostic. Sometimes when we get into drafts, like if a player's out there, like I will understand the draft history, but if they are just so talented, a lot of Christian McCaffrey, like, I'm just going to, I'm going to kind of blind her sometimes because that talent, that talent at any type of discount is too much for me. But you know, he makes some interesting cases as far as like, what the production could look like coming off of the injury. There's some questions in the offense. The only thing I kind of keep coming back to is like, I think he is the force of this offense. I think we're pretending to be like, well, they've got other options and stuff like that. And it's a new offense, but it's like, we just know it is going to be 70% first read. I loosely say, of course, it's not going to be. But it's like, this is Malik neighbors' offense. He's the number one in this offense fits. You tell me differently, like, I tend to still just think the bus side is attached to injury, but maybe that injury is more of a lingering injury through the rest of the season and he can't thrive. But do you think there are scenarios where Malik neighbors is on the field and he does become a bus based on this really high cost? - Yeah, if Jackson Dart turns out to be not a great passer and he surprised me. He was better than I thought last year, especially considering he didn't have Malik neighbors, but I also don't expect him to join the Drake May Joe Burrow category as a passer either. So that's kind of an issue. He's got to play home games on that infernal turf that they've got.
at MetLife. But yet, the upside here is something close to Jamar Chase Pukanikua. Like Malik neighbors is that talented. And I just, you know, when Erickson and I got him 43rd overall, at that point, we thought it was still possible he'd go on the pop. But we were drafting in a 14 team league against people like Ian Hartetz of Rotowire and Rich Rebar of Sharp football and 11 other people who study fantasy football for a living. I think that should almost be part of your calculation as to whether you're interested in Malik neighbors like the level of competition in your league. You know, weakness loves risk and strength loves certainty. Like if you are going against a bunch of strong players and you're not necessarily one of the, you know, top dogs in your league, go for it, man. Like embrace that risk of Malik neighbors because the payoff could be massive. But if you feel like you are one of the smartest managers in your league, then maybe you shy away from Malik neighbors because there is risk here for sure. So Erickson, you are a boom or a bust. I'm on the, the bust side here. I don't think that he's going to have a top five season. Okay. I mean, I knew you made the case. I just didn't know if you bought it, if you were fully bought into it. Fitsy boomer bust on neighbors. Oh, man, I'm squarely on the fence. Well, you have to pick one. You're going to have to pick one. I mean, I, I have him basically at this ADP. I guess I'll say boom. Okay. Boom. I'm going to also boom. But I, that's fair to say that you're like right in the middle of it. But I'm also going to boom on Malik neighbors. All right. Let's look at mine. And my player is Lad Makonky. Lad Makonky coming in at wide receiver 19 overall 40, not quite as sexy as the big names that you guys put on. I think there's a few other names that could have been thrown around in the boomer bus. And by the way, this category of the first player, we wanted to kind of this one at least be hyper focused on the higher in guys. But I feel like there's been just like a lot of positive conversation around lad and he is starting to creep up in a lot of drafts. We're using a real time ADP as well for this. And he is at 19. And I think, I think there's a case on both sides. I think I do lean a little bit more on the bus side. And so it's looking through. And this was one of the reasons I picked him as well. Look at the last two years. 2024 was wide receiver 12 and half PPR last year was wide receiver 29. I mean, I think that is like a proven like right there boomer bus stability. He kind of sits in the middle this year when he comes in at wide receiver 19 looking at a few things. Lad stats last year 66 catches 789 6 touchdowns. Interestingly, wide receiver 19 last year 63 catches 938 6 touchdowns. That was wide receiver 19. So pretty relatively close except the yards are really missing. But my big problem is been what lad is on this offense. And everybody is focused on this hyper high end stuff. But lad at least last year was third on the team and first read percentage 20.4%. Obviously Kenan Allen is gone. Who by the way was the lead in first read percentage. But this is kind of go back to an Ericsson case. I feel like a lot of people, if you're just assuming lad is going to be the big boom because Kenan Allen is there is is not playing in at all that tray Harris is going to have some type of a force in this offense. Projections on lad. This year 79 catches 1000 yards run 6.8 touchdowns. That's projected around wide receiver 22. The projected wide receiver 22 from last year, I believe, or actually the projected wide receiver 24 this year is T Higgins at 70 catches 965 and 9 touchdowns. So what I'm giving you there with the projections for him and for the other positionals is there's a floor. But I guess my big case about lad is I just don't think there's the boom up or the, yeah, the boom upside here, Mike McDaniel's offense over last four years with Miami. But Tyree Kill was the only wide receiver to have an over like 23% target share and it was only two of the four years. He had like 28 and 31%. Otherwise all of those years, guys like Jalen Waddle were sitting around the 20. So he doesn't have, I think, big feed percentages in those offenses. The second wide receiver was around 20 to 23. So my boom case is I think you have to take the slider and you've got to pull it up to around a 29% target share for Lad McConkey to be an actual boom. I'm not even sure that he's a great floor play at this point. If you got that 29% target share, I think that can get him to a wide receiver 12, which he was in 2024. I don't think the offense speaks to it. I don't think they want to go with it with the other options and he didn't do it last year. Maybe he gets up to 22% and Quentin Johnston goes up to 19% and then Tre Harris starts to take some of that over. I think the case where everybody is pushing him up into the teens and he's the big massive target. Someone just shared actually a draft that they just put together and they had taken Lad over Zay Flowers and they had taken him over T Higgins and I just don't, I don't buy it. So I think I understand the floors in there. It's not a sex easy other ones, but I'm making the case. I think there is boomer bust and how people are drafting Lad McConkey and I'm leaning a little bit more on the bus side just because I don't think the target share in the offense is going to center around him enough to get that 2024. I think it's gone. Erickson, I don't even remember where you add or lad, but what do you think? Boomer bust on Lad McConkey. I'm more on the boom side of Lad. I think that just when you were even as a trade Harris guy, I like your hairs. I think that he's a great sleeper, but I still have Lad running ties out among the Chargers wide receivers. Like if I'm going to make a bet on who I think would be the most to benefit from this Mike McDaniel let offense with Justin Herbert. The fact that Lad is healthy was not healthy. I think last year I think he was playing through a lot of injuries and that is part of his profile. His smaller wide receiver, he does get banged up and that was very true at Georgia, but was also true at Georgia and during his rookie year, the guys Uber efficient. So I agree with you that we're probably not running into a Lad McConkey 29% target share type of season. He has to win with efficiency, but that is what his game is. And I think in Mike McDaniel's offense where maybe he's not running 95% of the routes. Well, he's going to be really efficient when he is running routes and he's being targeted downfield and he's making splash plays. I just don't want to forget what he did is book a year 17 games 91 catches nearly 1350 yards and eight touchdowns. Five guys hit that number last year. Like I still think there is a really high ceiling for Lad McConkey. He was wide receiver 10 from weeks 8 through 17 as a rookie. And he was on a pace for 126 targets without keen and out. Like that's the biggest thing for me is just you move key now from the equation, lad McConkey, I think is easily the guy that takes over those third down conversions, right? Who's moving the chains? I think that's easily lad and when it's keen and out last year and keen now is a target vacuum. This is what this guy does. He takes away from young players and then they're developing and he has to vacuum up all the targets. The fact that he led the team in targets last year, just it really stunted Lad's second year boom potential. And unfortunately, I don't think enough of us kind of react to the sign and quick enough. Another keen now was a nice target in drafts last year because of his chemistry with Justin Herbert. I think Lad's going to bounce back pretty big here. So maybe it's not a top five type of ceiling, but I think he can definitely be a fantasy wide receiver one. Fitsy target shared was kind of Matt first read share was definitely Matt. Do you think the loss of keen and Alan makes him a boom prospect in drafts this year or is there a little bit bus based on where the cost is going? I don't know if I see him getting to a 29% target share, even though maybe the chargers play a lot of 12 and 13 personnel, which does tend to funnel targets to the top wide receiver in an offense. I also have a lad wide receiver 19 in my rankings. So I'm at ADP, but I do have him behind guys like Teteromic Millen and T Higgins. I guess my concern, what if there's only a small gap between Lad Maconkey and Quentin Johnston? Because like Mike McDaniel is so good at designing the catch and run stuff for his wide receivers. And that is where QJ just absolutely thrived. But on the other hand, we saw Tyree kill and Jalen Watt will combine for over 3,000 yards under Mike McDaniel in Miami in 2022. So there's probably room for both guys to eat. I guess I do have some other issues with Lad like it seems like every year he's among the league leaders in getting up slowly after a tackle. I don't know baseball. I don't know fantasy points tracks that, but I do think that can be the next step. Getting up slowly expected getting up slowly and actual getting up slowly. I like that stuff. Yeah, he's not a big guy and like he did have the great rookie year, but like the prospect profile. I guess he got drafted early second round. That was good, but like he only his last couple of years at Georgia. He averaged like maybe 50 yards of game. He got outshown by Brock Bowers. I like Lad Maconkey. I don't love him. I tend to be on the bus side of this. Alright, a couple of busts and booms. Those are the first three. Those are the big three, the big higher names that we talked about. You guys can in the comments below. Let us know what you think about those. We are going into our next range. We'll pick up the pace a little bit for these next guys. But before we do, I want to talk to you guys about playoff blitz. If your crew loves fantasy football, but can't organize another draft night. Listen up, playoff blitz is one in done fantasy football for the whole NFL season. There's no draft and nobody owns the players. No player is stuck on one team every week. Everybody picks from the scene.
same pool. Any quarterback in football, any running back, anybody, the catch, use a player once and he spent for your season. Burn the stars early or save them for the stretch run, that's the strategy. Setting a line up takes minutes, live scoring runs all weekend so you can sweat it head to head and point stack up every week towards a season crown. One fee covers your whole league for an unlimited number of members and members always join free. Get 50% off at playoff blitz dot com slash fantasy pros with code fantasy pros. That's 3950 for the whole league no matter how many entries. Playoff blitz, no draft, no hassle, just fun. College football will hijack your weekend, ruin your sleep and break your heart. And that's why we make the solid verbal college football show. I'm Ty Hildenbrand. He's Dan Rubinstein. How's it going? Every week we preview the games that matter sort through the biggest storylines and tell you what to watch before kickoff? There's a lot to keep track of. 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I'm JJ Zacharyson, host of the Late Round Fantasy Football Podcast. Before your draft, our players to target and players to avoid episodes tell you exactly who to circle and who to cross off. We've got data-driven analysis, historical trends, and the strategies that separate winners from the rest. And your dominance doesn't stop with the draft. All season long, we have our 15 transactions, 10 trends, sleepers, and the mailback, data-driven, quick hitting episodes to help bring home that league trophy. Listen to the Late Round Fantasy Football Podcast on the iHeart Radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Jake Brennan, and on my podcast Hollywood Land, I revisit some of the biggest stories from Hollywood history, separating the myths people want to believe from the reality underneath them. Like how the story of Marilyn Monroe isn't just the story of the Hollywood icon. Marilyn Monroe has become so iconic that her death can only be explained through conspiracy theories. And for some fans who can't let go, these stories have metastasized from conjecture to accepted fact. So on August 4th, 1962, Marilyn Monroe died. Then the rumors started, and she died again. And now, we're going to set the record straight and learn about the way Marilyn Monroe actually died. The third way. Learn more about what happens when fame, media obsession, and conspiracy collide. Listen to Hollywood Land on the iHeart Radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, we are going to Boomer Bus Part 2, our second in the Boomer Bus here. And Erickson, we're going to let you kick it off. This is a very running back centric Boomer Bus section that we have all got running backs in here. You guys might be able to guess some of the names because there is a lot of volatility on these markets, but these are great names to talk about for the show. So Erickson, your Boomer Bus, your second Boomer Bus is who? Michelle Tutton running back for the Jacksonville Jaguars RB 2559th overall going in our favorite RB Dead Zone range in those middle rounds. So two in to me is a player that I really like, and I would admit I'm supervised towards him because met him at the combine last year. And absolutely fell in love with the guy, the attitude. And when he got taken by the Jaguars, I thought, oh man, that was a smash pick by them. And I think that he has a ton of potential, super, super explosive. And although he didn't really showcase that at all as a rookie, because I think that he was doing a lot of, okay, don't fumble the ball. And that's kind of why he didn't pop as much during his rookie season. I think we're going to see growth from him in year two. I think he's going to be thinking less. I think he's going to be playing more up to what his combine speed actually showcased and what he can do. And I just think he can do way more than Chris Rodriguez can do. For me, Chris Rodriguez is just the ultimate Jag running back. 26 year old former six ground pick who split backfield touches last year with a rookie seventh round air and Jeremy Macnickles. And Chris Rodriguez may not have sniffed the roster or the lineup if Brian Robinson Jr. again, another player that we kind of view as a very replaceable level running back, he wouldn't have even sniffed the field that Brian Robinson Jr. was still on the commander's last season. Rodriguez has also been banged up throughout his NFL career despite being a part time player. And that's just based on the physical style of play he has. So I know this year he's already been dealing with an injury. Obviously he's been back at training camp. But I'm not afraid of Chris Rodriguez in any way, shape or form. Like that's kind of like my starter point here. But I have to admit that he has really shippantly in tone. They brought him in for a reason. And they haven't been too in as the starter. Where's Rodriguez is the backup. They're going to deploy some type of committee to think to start the season. And admittedly, I think it could be annoying to start the year. But in the same way that we kept pounding the table for chase Brown over Zach Moss, even if it doesn't happen in week one, even if it doesn't happen in week four, like the better running back is going to come out on top eventually. And to me, Basel Tune is going to come out on top of Chris Rodriguez eventually. But I just can't guarantee, oh, it's going to be week one. It's going to be week two. So that's where the boom bust kind of comes in with Tune and where if you draft him locked and loaded as your RB two and you're expecting, hey, he's got to be a top 24 running back out of the gates. Maybe that doesn't happen because Chris Rodriguez is still seeing touches and seeing carries. And maybe he does get a goal line opportunity here or there. But I think that when push comes the shove, Tune will be the guy that you want in this backfield, just a matter of how patient you can be. So going back to if you draft Basel Tune, you have to have some backup answers at running back in case it is a really gross committee to start the year, because I don't think Chris Rodriguez is going to be a threat for the entirety of 2026. But he can definitely be a threat to start the year, which is where the bus potential comes in for Tune. Really quick, 250 touches for Basel Tune. What do you think that's in line with projection? Do you think that creates him inside the top 20 like when you're talking about the boomer bus factor, what's the boom factor relative to 250 touches? Is it on key? Is it a little less? Is it more like where where can he become the boom based on those touch marks? Well, how many do you say Henderson had last year? Because that's like where I'm getting to my mind. Okay, so I'll just be more transparent about it. Henderson was 220 last year and he was a top 20 RB. Basel Tune on our projections is around 250 touches between rush attempts and catches. That's a big number. Chris Rodriguez is around 140 touches. But those projections on Basel Tune have them only at like RB 23 on here. Do a slider. Play a slider here. What is it? Is it the projection? Is it actually wrong? 250 touches? Maybe it's the efficiency. That makes him. Does he need a few more touches? Where's Chris Rodriguez playing this? Does Chris Rodriguez need to come down and he needs to go up? What do you think about that when there's a boom factor for Tune? I think it's probably going to be backloaded. So I think to start the year, it's going to look really bad. Potentially like the first 250 is adequate for you for him to still be like a big boom prospect. Okay, that's really where I'm getting. Yeah, because I think too because of going back to how does he win? He wins with expulsiveness and I think he's going to see Red Zone opportunities. Like he saw last year as a rookie. Again, the fact that he took Travis H and off the field as a day three rookie running back. That says a lot about the team's confidence in that certain player and reminds me again, going back to the chase brown chase brown played as a rookie alongside a healthy Joe Mixon. They were like, Hey, we got to get this guy involved on the field and you didn't have a massive role, but he still got the play and it didn't take an injury for him to get game action like we saw from Tune as a rookie. So very high on the player. And also, to get a look at the Jaguar schedule, it's not great to start the year. So just going back to the fact that Tune could really be a second half smash. Whereas to start the year, he's kind of like trading water in a gross committee. Yeah, Fitsy, what do you think about this? Yeah, I mean, Chris Rodriguez is projected like four receptions. He's just not a receiving down back. Like when Alan could maybe be in it, but like, I don't know, I actually look at this and I go, I undersold it, by the way, it's around 260 touches for Tune 10 touchdowns as well in around 1200 yards. I look at that and I feel like we're just underplaying the projection to where he could go. If Chris Rodriguez only gets around 140 touches, I actually think that's a really good prospect for facial Tune to fly. I would be more worried if you wanted to pull the slider up on touches for Chris Rodriguez ultimately. But I'm on the upside here. We actually think the projections might be underplaying him and 260 touches, I think is huge for him with the potential for him to still get to 300. So I'm going to be on the boom side of this. But what do you think, Fitsy? I'm going to be on the boom side too. And Erickson framed this really well. Like the boom side is that you can have the explosive lead back in a Liam Cohen offense. The bus side is that Chris Rodriguez in Lequin, Alan Jr. could be
involved in a knowing degree. So I'm willing to take that risk to go for the boom site here. The only thing I don't like about Basial Tutan is that he goes in the neighborhood of the drafter. There are a lot of receivers. I like Jamison Williams, Christian Watson, the two bears. But if I started my draft with two running backs, I'm probably not going to take Basial Tutan in the late fifth round. But if I went with Trumar Chase or Jackson Smith and Jigba or Amin Rossade Brown in the first round and maybe I took a premium tight end to, then yeah, I'm probably very interested in getting Tutan as like my second running back late in the fifth. And that's actually exactly where I'm at. I'm on the opposite and I don't love that wide receiver range as much. I tend to find myself with at least two wide receivers. So Tutan ends up being like just a great play and I end up having. So I really like him and he was 59th overall, RB 25 on the boom and bust. Right next to him, though, is Fitsy's guy, another running back with some huge sky high potential. But they're like Basial Tutan. There's some questions around what the usage is going to look like. So let's talk about your running back, which ends up being your second boomer bus player. And also my second running back from Notre Dame, Rookie running back from Notre Dame, Judarian Price. This might be one of the biggest boom bus picks in drafts this year. Like the boom scenario is that Judarian Price fits like a glove and Seattle's run heavy offense pops right away, becomes the lead back for Seattle all season, effectively turning Zach Charbonne a new back up whenever sharps comes back from his torn ACL. And it's not hard to imagine Judarian price in his skill set, fitting perfectly into this outside zone heavy scheme that Seattle favors and reportedly still will favor under new offensive coordinator Brian Flurry, even though Clint Kubiac has moved on to the Raiders. The bus scenario is that Price just isn't that good. And let's face it, the track record for running back strapped in the later part of the first round. First 12 picks, great track record. Beyond that, Rashad Penny, anyone, Clyde Edwards, a lair. So the Seattle backfields maybe becomes a committee of prices and that good and Zach Charbonne becomes committee chairman as soon as he gets back. And basically you're in a spot where you can never start Judarian price with any confidence. And here's the thing, the Seattle Seahawks used a two pronged backfield last season with Charbonne and Kenneth Walker until sharps got heard. And that was with Walker being really freaking good and having proven that we don't know if Judarian price is anywhere close to Kenneth Walker in talent. Now I want to be fair to price because he was blocked by Jeremy, I love it, Notre Dame, he did flash talent in a pretty small sample size, but he hasn't really shown that much pass catching aptitude. He's had fumbling issues. He tore his Achilles way back in 2022. That's an injury that used to be a career record for running backs. And again, Price does go in the same part of the draft or a tuton goes. And for me, that's a spot where I love the wide receivers. And I like the tuton. The safety line is a little bit deeper there. There is a lot of weird stuff about Judarian price, especially just there's this committee of running backs that they all like. We don't know what is just coach speak and whatever. We do know he's explosive. We've seen that and it was a hard knock. Everyone's talking like he's just explosive. You can see the speed is out there. And like what how are they going to utilize that in open field, but how are they going to utilize that versus this other crew of running backs, especially when Charbonne comes back? And I guess I almost kind of keep going back to the it's like the Travian Henderson thing though. It's like if Judarian price just using him as a baseline Henderson had sky high projections. But this is a big power offense that if even he can get 220 plus touches like could he still be top 20. But is there enough for there to be this huge massive upside is cost is a lot less. I do feel a little finicky about this one though. I know there's some big Judarian price truth. There's Erickson where you at. So I also prefer Michelle to and to the Jury and price. If I was going running back in this general range. I think that he has a clearer pathway. And the thing that fits he didn't mention as well is what happens when Zach Charbonne comes back. Right. Does this just become oh it's what we did last year. It's Ken Walker and Zach Charbonne. You taking away all the red zone opportunity. So prices in a weird situation where he really needs to hit early for the Seahawks that confidence. Okay. Even if we get our guys at Charbonne back. Judarian price is still going to be R1A type of running back. So you're kind of putting a pressure point with price where he really need to deliver out of the gates. And just looking ahead at week one Patriots. Really tough run defense. Really strong defensive interior. So maybe it's more outside zone type of runs. And Judarian price can really flash that type of big head speed. You're going to see his market move dramatically. It's going to be interesting because I know that we just see drafts that take place the day after the first night of NFL football on that Thursday night. You're going to see Judarian prices price probably fluctuate dramatically from RB24. If he has a massive game. He'll be at top 12 running back. A lot to loaded or if he has a terrible game. And it's all about a manual Wilson or George Halani taking on larger roles than Jury Price's draft stock is going to tank. So I think that he's going to move a lot. I think that there is league winning potential with him. But I kind of agree with Fitsy where it's like I think there's about the running backs. I still like more. I like the receivers a little bit more. I don't hate his price like in a vacuum. I do think that blindly looking at around one running back kind of going outside the top 24 70% of running backs drafting round one finish as top 24 options in year one. So I get the upside case here as well. But I don't necessarily find myself drafting a ton of Judarian price unless he really falls dramatically. So there's some booms or some bus on here, but not booms. Do we have any booms? Is anybody booming? No, no, no booms bus around. There you go. All right. I think the player that I'm going to pick is probably been covered. Maybe the most on this network. If we could go back and we could see all the the players that we've talked about this player has definitely been brought up at least in the top three. But it has always been in a really positive light. And it's Jonathan Brooks, Jonathan Brooks on real time ADP. I got to be careful about this because it's all over the board everywhere. People are like, well, he's going in the fifth round. And ADP says he's 120. And this and that real time ADP on fantasy pros, which go fantasy pros real time ADP. There's seven day trends. There's 24 hour trends. And it is the most updated across the board for ADP currently has him as RV 29. And he is inside the top 100 at 79 overall. So I think that's a good marker for it. Could he be going higher in your league? Yeah. He could have gone higher in there. But the boomer bus factor, I think, is pretty apparent whether positively or negatively take this. It was said earlier this week that they assuming Chubas healthy that week one there'd be a 50/50 split on Chuba and Jonathan Brooks. And I saw people victory lapping and talking about it one way or another. But one of the things I thought was interesting about the boomer bus case because I do know and understand that the the ADP still is kind of baking in still even though it's like not inside the top 25. It's still kind of baking in some of the concerns. But the narrative around Jonathan Brooks is he is the ultimate league winner. But when they do throw this at us and they throw that you know, it's a 50/50 split. I think this ends up taking you back to what was last year with Chuba in Rico Doudal. And Rico Doudal was able to thrive obviously. But you don't see that in a lot of like early projections. Projections have got him just under 800 rushing yards, 200 on the receiving. So it's actually roughly like a thousand yards even and around six touchdowns. I think the positive case on Jonathan Brooks outside of just being like a relatively talented player is Chuba last year. The reason one of the reasons that his usage went down was because he was hurt. I mean, Rico Doudal was efficient and Rico out produced him. But Chuba was hurt and he had that calf strain and it lingered for the year. We started got a hamstring strain and that doesn't make me feel much better. So if that lingers again, that gives up opportunities for Jonathan Brooks. But on the negative case, you clearly know there's a huge injury history, but also the offensive line I would throw out. PFF is currently got them 27th in offensive line grade. That is due to both tackles being hurt. But they could return a little bit sooner. And if you get the tackle returns, that could maybe end up making them like a top 15 offensive line. But you've already got offensive line bang-ups. And I don't think there's a big question. I mean, Chuba Hubbard's got some questionable like passing down blocking skills. But we've all seen the video of Chuba just getting laid out and Bryce Young getting hit. So it's like, are they going to feel comfortable with him in past blocking situations? Is he he hasn't looked like insane or anything like that, but he's still getting his feet under him? Is it a slow roll? So everybody in the planet knows about Jonathan Brooks, but Fitsy, I'd just be curious the negative take on it because we've talked so swimmingly positive where in anything I said or anything else you want to throw, we also don't have like a whole lot of cool underlying stuff because he's not out there. He's always hurt. So you've got a bad offensive line. You've got a 50/50 split, a team in whatever their offensive efficiency is going to look like. It's great that he's in a play in the receiving side, but what do you think about Jonathan Brooks, and maybe the bust case for him? The bust case is that he tore the same ACL twice in a 13-month span and that he has had basically one season of work since high school because he was backing up B. John Robinson at Texas and didn't get to play meaningful snaps until B. John left. So he had one really great year at Texas than the injury problems, you know, the second ACL tear at Carolina. And so, I mean, that's the bust side. I feel as good as you could about any player
who was torn the same ACL twice, though, because I think Chuba is a replacement level player useful in an NFL backfield, but he had the really nice season in 2024. But other than that, four other seasons pretty, pretty mad. And I just like, this is going to be Jonathan Brooks job to lose. I'm confident enough in him that I took him in the fantasy pros in house league 16 teams. I went with a zero B approach. He's my RB one. I took him 61st overall. Let's go. I mean, I'm ham and egging it at ham and egging it at running back in that draft, man. I'm actually pretty excited to see what that's going to look like then. Uh, I'm not as confident as you that when you say it's just his job to lose. But also the, the, the, the case against the negative is kind of like it's, he's still not like a top 20 back. He's not, you know, the cost isn't like what some of the guys with some jadarian price, uh, for that matter, like he is going cheaper. If the choice is like, Hey, take jadarian price at RB 24 or 25, or you can wait another round to get him there, maybe if things move up a little bit though and he's a top 25, like, what, where's the line for you, Erickson, where you think the, the risk is becoming a little too risky for drafts to have that investment or is there just nothing you don't care about. Any of the offensive line doesn't worry, Chuba, zero worry whatsoever. He's just infallible. Like, and he is the guy this year. I think he was being like price like a top 20 running back where you have to lock him in load as a RB two. And this is not in a 16 team thing, talking about like a 10 team or 12 team lead where Jonathan Brooks is not a flex or something like that. Cause I think that's probably where you feel the most comfortable taking him. Because yeah, he really hasn't played much NFL football really at all. But when you look at the upside case, I pulled this yesterday. Dave can analysis, RB one, those guys, their fantasy finishes over the last three years. So one in Tampa Bay, two in Carolina, Rashad white was RB seven, smashed his ADP. Chuba Hubbard, RB 15, smashed his ADP, Rico Dattel, RB 17, smashed his ADP. So like, there's a lot of upside. If you get this right. And to me, what we've heard and read all off season long, the Chuba Hubbard hamstring injury, Hubbard has broken down at the end of last year, 2024. Again, part of Hubbard's breakout in 2024 was because Miles Sanders got hurt. When he was also seeding snaps to Miles Sanders, but then Hubbard took advantage of an injury. So I think that Hubbard is the going to be the backup here. And Brooks is got a chance against arguably the worst defense in the NFL in week one to show out and cement against the Chicago Bears defense. Hey, I'm RB one. You can't take my job in and Chuba, we already some loses job wants to Rico Dattel of a player that the Panthers had nothing invested in. He had a cheap, free agent deal. He was a journeyman running back, coming off obviously a strong year with the Dallas Cowboys. But they had no reason to like feature Dattel was like, well, this guy's good. Like we got to give him the ball, whereas with Brooks, it's the same head coach that drafted him three years ago or two years ago when, and now he's healthy. It's like, we took this guy in the second round. Like we got to see what this guy can do because his contract's almost up. So I think it's right or die with Jonathan Brooks. Would you guys rather have Jonathan Brooks or Jadarian Price? Brooks. Well, I said that before, like if you also give me a round difference, I mean, maybe even I don't care about the round difference, but if it's like, you know, whatever, six round for price and seventh round for Brooks or fifth round for price and six round for Brooks, I think it's like really easy. Let me ask you this last question. We really been like soaking in on these boomerpuss, but it's fun to have these conversations. Then Jonathan Brooks, be a boom prospect. If he is within 10 carries of Chubah Hubbard and 10 catches of Chubah Hubbard, is that possible? If they're within 10 carry, they're essentially within, let's just call it like 15 touches. Can Jonathan Brooks be a top 24 running back if they, if those two are within 15 touches of each other? No. If it's a committee, no. I would say carries, yes. That's the thing, Brooks can catch the ball. When I look at this receiver room, would it surprise you guys if Jonathan Brooks is third on the team and catches behind Jalen Coker and Team Ack? There's not a lot of running back. Exactly. There's not a lot of running backs that project as their third team's pass catcher. When you look at, if you kind of go through all the depth charts, a lot of those running backs would be, oh, the Christian McCafferies, the B-John, like the elite of the elite, whereas Jonathan Brooks obviously not looked at in that type of way. The Panthers don't have a lot of depth at pass catcher. Jalen Coker has also been banged up two years into his NFL career. If Bryce tongue's under pressure, the tackles can't hold up. What's he going to do? Check the ball down to his running back, running A out of the backfield. And the reason I said that is because then projections have to be wrong. And obviously like projections are not available either, but projections have to be wrong across the board because that is what we see. We see Chuba and Jonathan Brooks within about 15 touches of each other, specifically, in carries and seven catches. But those catches are in favor of Chuba Hubbard. So projections have to be wrong if that's the case. So Jonathan Brooks, very volatile. Love to hear, is he Boomer Bus this season, put it in the comments below. We've got our final Boomer Bus guys coming up here that we'll be lightning rounding on. But as you prepare for your fantasy draft, wherever you go, make sure it's with fantasy pros. Free fantasy pros app has got you covered where you can run realistic mock drafts, create custom cheat sheets, and you can get expert advice powered by rankings from over 100 experts. And you can do it all from your phone. Download the free fantasy pros app today at fantasyprose.com/apps and get ready to dominate your draft. That's fantasyprose.com/apps. All right. The final one here that we're going to be doing is kind of like an overarching one. We didn't have any restrictions. You can just pick anybody in the top 100. So we'll do a little bit of lightning round since we've sat on a lot of these players. This so happens to be a wide receiver centric one. So let's kick it off with Fitsy. Fitsy, you are going to give us a top 100 Boomer Bus wide receiver here. Colonel Tate, who's ADP is wide receiver 32, 78th overall top five draft capital. All the film guys unanimously love him, no matter who it is, Daniel Jeremiah, Todd McShea, Matt Waldman, DeBrow, and I do love the prospect profile, but Tate is a certain type of receiver. He's a downfield guy. He operates in the intermediate and deeper areas of the field makes plays on the ball. I don't think they're going to be a lot of easy button catches for Colonel Tate where he gets the ball quickly and makes yardage after the catch. And without those, Tate probably is not going to be a high volume receiver. Like Jamar Chase, you see the highlights of Chase making big plays downfield. And if you watch a Bengals game, you see how many times Joe Burrell throws to chase within five 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, the Titans have Wondale Robinson for that stuff. And Wondale is really good at it. And Wondale has also worked extensively with Titan's offensive coordinator, Brian Dable in the past, plus their real concerns about whether Cam Ward can make this Titans passing game go. I think I'm out on Tate at this price, but I want to know what you guys think. That's a bust. So a bust in this, pretty much every case you made, I'm very worried about this offense. You can argue with a lot of these guys, the ADP could play a little bit of a role in it when you're into the late 30s on a rookie wide receiver. But I think a theme of this is like, there might be early struggles. And this is a player to buy for the second half of the season. If you can see any signs of life, I'm a bust Erickson quickly where you at on Colonel Tate Boomer bust. Boom, wide receiver 24 in my rankings. I'm not going to be dismayed by the preseason because it's games that don't count. Robert Sulla said after their last preseason game, we're running our base Vanilla offense. This is not the offense. They're going to be running when they play the jets in week one. So I think Colonel Tate is going way too late as a top five draft pick in that same interview. Shout out to the coach speak index Greg Braenos. When it's time to game plan and get people to rock, preferring to Carl Tate, we'll get him the rock. So I think we're going to see his usage bump up a lot when the game's actually start to matter. And they're actually running the offense to win games and not to show out in the preseason. It might be a plain Vanilla cone, but I'm not sure I trust Cam War to make a banana split for me. I'll put that on a shirt. There you go. I'm actually going to do mine. And then we'll let Erickson finish this off here because he's got a really good one. And mine is going to be Marvin Harrison at Whiteers, he for 31 72 overall. And I'm a Michael Wilson guy. And Marvin Harrison, the more I've stared at this, there's one path for boom. And it is going to be strictly built around touchdowns at this point. Michael Wilson has been the target percentage guy, the higher catch rate, first read percentage, 26 to 22% from first read percentage from Michael Wilson to Marvin Harrison, Marvin Harrison, also ranking around 22. His 22% was ranked almost bottom 50 in first read percentage for wide receivers. Bad catch rate drop rate was almost 10% for Marvin Harrison. And the more that I've looked through this, like I said, I just don't see where the path is going to move away from Michael Wilson being this awesome high end target and going into favor of Marvin Harrison, especially with all the early, like head case stuff. Now Marvin Harrison did have a high target in zone target rate. I think it was like 14 to nine versus Michael Wilson. So that might work in that favor. But I am moving in an opposite direction of Marvin Harrison, the maybe another positive thing would be if this team really does stink and they've got to throw the ball a bunch. Like if Marvin Harrison does start to click, that's going to work well. But this often works through McBride, it then moves to Michael Wilson. And I think red zone side is okay for Marvin Harrison. I just don't see the high target.
and upside anymore with Marvin Harrison. So I'm a bust. He's at 31, maybe it's at least not in the top 24, but regardless of the ADP, I think these guys are flipped and they're flipped in the wrong direction as far as cost. Erickson, boomer bust, Marvin Harrison. - I think that he's fine. I haven't basically ranked where his ADP is. I'm actually more on the Michael Wilson bust side of things. I just don't think we can rub away the fact that he basically never got targeted when Marvin Harrison Jr. was healthy last year. I mean, his target rate per out one was higher than Tramick Brides when Marvin Harrison Jr. was out of the lineup last year. I know it's a new offense and they're playing different roles. So maybe that's going to kind of make the margin a little bit smaller, but I think that Michael Wilson is gonna be third in the target picking order overall and attach to an offense led by potentially Carson Beck. That's more run heavy and not throwing 50 times per game. That concerns me. I mean, about any of the cardinals offense of players. - Fitsy, boomer bust, Marvin Harrison. - Oh, man, I'm conflicted. I'm leaning bust. I just, the cardinals passing volume is going to plummet. They led the league and passed attempts last year and in sacks. So like they were way out in front of the league and drop backs and that's, they just drafted a running back third overall. So in real time ADP, the two receivers that Marvin Harrison Jr. is in between our Parker Washington and Carnell Tate. And that's like, he's in purgatory. 'Cause Parker Washington is like the last receiver I want is one of my fantasy starters. And Carnell Tate is sort of where the bench guys begin for me. Guys I want to be backups if I roster them at all. And I think Marvin Harrison, I probably lean towards not really wanting him to be a starter for him. - He was like Tate more than Harrison than both of you? - No, I like Harrison more than Tate. - I would go Tate over Harrison. - Yeah, I'm anti-Harrison on that. Fun fact, 13 of Marvin Harrison's 29 career games, he has finished as a top 30 wide receiver, but only four of those has he ever been a top 12 wide receiver. So upside is a little bit like me, to me. All right, the final one here. This is a really good name. He has snuck himself inside the top 100. Andrew Erickson, the final Boomer bust. I mean, maybe this is the poster child. I think that's the word I was looking for earlier in the episode like neighbors is fun. Jeremiah love is fun. But you want true Boomer bust. Here is your poster child for it. Erickson, the ninth Boomer bust player is who? - It's gotta be designed to dribbling. Wide receiver 40, 90th overall, or 98th overall. So sneaking, like you said, into the top 100. He was the first guy put in the show sheet. When you sent over, hey, we need the names. I was like lock-in-stribbling because his price is going up and what he's been getting in the preseason. 22 routes run, 13 targets, 59% to our great route run. So I'm not as concerned about like Colonel Tate in his preseason usage because he's a top five pick. He's going to get targets. But with a guy like stribbling, you do kind of want to weigh in a little bit more of the preseason. Just to understand, okay. Is this guy going to actually get the rock at all when we have Mike Evans and Christian McCaffrey and Debo Samuel out there. So that's something that you have to keep in context with stribbling is he's getting all these targets when most of those guys aren't playing. But he hasn't been playing with the starters, including Brock Perrie. So I think that does move the needle a little bit towards the upside case. 'Cause the biggest knock on stribbling coming out as a prospect was his lack of target share, right? 'Cause I think that there's actually a lot to like about his prospect profile. I wrote about him before the draft about how he's a kind of like a fun sleeper player that I think he might go higher than the NFL draft community was thinking. Now, didn't think he was even going 33rd overall. That really blew expectations out of the water. But if he had been like a third round pick, it would have been fine where he went. And I would just probably be doing him. I was like, yeah, man, I really like this guy as a sleeper. I thought that he wasn't really overdraft. I think the 49ers man had a good pick for once. And I'd probably be like all about him. But for some reason, I kept like weighing it back on my mind would go, they overdrafted him. So we can't be that good. When I think that he's been checking more boxes than not. But it's just a matter of, okay, when push comes to shove, when Kittle and Evans and Debo and CMC, is he gonna get the same type of targets? Probably not. But at the same times, at least showcasing that if somebody goes down, which seems more probable than not based on the fragility of this 49ers offense, that stripping can at least step up. So I think the last point with stripling is, it doesn't need to be, he has to be a superstar or he has to be a total bust. When he came out of Ole Miss, I kind of complimented Romeo Dobbs, who he's just a player is like, just like good. Like he's not like this superstar, but he's not a total like waste of a pick. So I think that's the thing with stripling that I just kind of want to be clear about. It's, I think that he can have an okay role in this 49ers offense and be decent for fantasy when he's put into a situation where he will get targets. Because I think he has yards after the catchability. He was efficient over two yards per round over his last two seasons in college. So there's enough to like about him, even without the target share being elite at the college level. The 49ers are at least saying, hey, when you're on the field, like we will get you opportunities. And this is a scheme to obviously bid on, led by Kyle Shan and high-powered offense. So again, there's a price where you gotta say no to stripling, I think. But still, YVC were 40. He's a bench player with a lot of upside. Yeah. He's toe in the line. He's toe in the line of where the risk is coming in. And I think the biggest point is like, when all the other pieces are healthy, where can he thrive? I think he can just be a retread of Joanne Jennings in this offense. So I'm a little bit indifferent. I kind of would like to be on the fence like Fitsy was trying to be on one of those where I'm like, I don't know if he's boomer, but I gotta be honest with you. Is it even a 49er offense? I think it's hard to say he's gonna be a boom prospect at YJV 40 in the 49ers offense when there's Kittle and there's Mike Evans and there's Christian McCaffrey. I don't really know what that looks like unless they're all out. And if they're all out, he's a boom prospect. So I'm actually gonna go on bust for this one. Fitsy quickly on stripling, boomer bust. Yeah, Debo Samuel too. That's my concern. And that's why I have him ranked below consensus, even though I keep moving him up. But I, good Lord, do I have a case of FOMO here? Because man, you watch him and he is big and he's fast and his hands look like freaking suction cups. He looks like Spider-Man catching balls in these preseason games. But yeah, I mean, what if, like if I knew that the electrical substation was going to be laying claim to Mike Evans soft tissue all year, I would want to be drafting Dejan Stribling, but right now it's hard to see a path for him to be a guy you can count on in your starting lineup every week. Well, you guys can let us know in the comments below who are your favorite boomer bust prospects. What did you think about the ones that we picked? These are guys that a lot of questions around. You can kind of make the cases and we tried to pick the sides, but let us know what you guys think. Make sure you guys are also locked in on the YouTube YouTube.com/FantasyPros if you're listening on the podcast or inverse. If you got to take us on the go, you can always take us on the podcast side wherever you listen to podcast apps and make sure you got the fantasy pros app for your draft season. You've got everything, experts, ranks, draft simulators, intel, all at your fingertips. So make sure to take fantasy pros with you wherever drafts are because we can be there for you. That's going to do it for Fitsy and Erickson. And I'm Chris Welsh, thank you guys for hanging out. Good luck in your drafts and we'll talk to you next time right here on Fantasy Pros. - Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros, Fantasy Football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts at fantasyproze.com/review or on Spotify. Follow us on X, Instagram, and TikTok at fantasypros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/fantasypros. (upbeat music) (upbeat music) - On Big Lives, we take a single cultural icon. - People like Jane Fonda, George Michael, Little Richard. - And we pull apart the story behind the image, discovering forgotten interviews that changed exactly how we see these giants of our culture. - We're here for the messy, the brilliant, the human version of our heroes. - I'm Immanuel Jochi. - I'm Kai Wright. - And this is Big Lives. - Listen to Big Lives on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. - Hello my love, I'm Ryan Weiss. 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Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The podcast episode "Boom or Bust" on FantasyPros features hosts Chris Welsh, Andrew Erickson, and Pat Fitzmorris discussing nine fantasy football players with high upside or risk for the 2026 season.
Players analyzed include running backs Jeremiah Love (Arizona Cardinals), Trey Benson (Jacksonville Jaguars), and Jonathan Brooks (Carolina Panthers), plus wide receivers Malik Nabers (New York Giants), Ladd McConkey (Los Angeles Chargers), and others.
The hosts debate each player's boom potential (league-winning upside) versus bust risk (underperformance or injury), considering factors like draft capital, team context, injuries, and projected usage.
Key themes include concerns about rookie running back workloads, injury recoveries (e.g., Nabers' ACL, Brooks' repeated ACL tears), and target share competition in crowded offenses.
The episode also promotes FantasyPros tools, playoff blitz fantasy football, and other iHeart podcasts.
Summary:
The FantasyPros podcast episode "Boom or Bust" features hosts Chris Welsh, Andrew Erickson, and Pat Fitzmorris analyzing nine fantasy football players for the 2026 season, each with significant upside (boom) or downside (bust) potential. The discussion begins with high-profile picks: Jeremiah Love, a rookie running back for the Cardinals, who shows elite talent but faces injury concerns and a weak offense; Malik Nabers, a Giants wide receiver recovering from a torn ACL, whose ADP has risen despite questions about his new quarterback and offensive system; and Ladd McConkey, a Chargers receiver whose target share may not support his draft price. The hosts then examine mid-round running backs like Trey Benson, who could emerge as a lead back but may start in a committee, and Jonathan Brooks, a Panthers back with a concerning injury history but clear path to a starting role.
, noting concerns about quarterback play and target competition. Throughout, the hosts emphasize the importance of draft cost, patience, and monitoring early-season usage, as many players may perform better in the second half. They encourage listeners to use FantasyPros tools and share their own boom-or-bust picks, ultimately providing a balanced view of risk and reward for fantasy managers.
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