9/10/26: Trump Offers $5k Midterm Bribe, Oil Prices Spike Amid Houthi Attacks

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We rely on our premium subs to expand coverage, upgrade the studio, add staff, give you guys the best independent coverage that is possible. If you like what we're all about, it just means the absolute world to have your support. But enough with that, let's get to the show. Trump is hosting his big midterm convention down in Texas, where in perfect Trumpian style. He is the keynote speaker, both nights. So it kicked off last night and he unveiled a new promise to the American people. Let's take a listen. If the Republicans win the House of Representatives and the United States Senate, both of them, because of our economic, tremendous economic success, like in history we've never had anything like what's happening, but because of our tremendous strength and success economically, I will issue a dividend to every adult citizen in the United States of America for $5,000. >> I mean, you could just do it now since you have Republican majorities. If you actually wanted to do such a thing, but I'm still waiting on my dose check. I'm still waiting on my tariff rebate check. So this is the third major. I will just give you money promise that Trump has made. >> It's all rolled into one. You get your dividend together, right? >> $5,000 dividend, I'm sure that all the Republicans in Congress definitely support this idea, right? >> Oh yeah, sure there. >> Is that right? >> Riding up for the new $1.2 trillion stimulus, this would be. >> Billy, $1.3 trillion, actually, in terms of how you're going to pay for it, I believe the justification is that because we've taken in- >> How many Iran wars does it cost? >> We've taken 300 billion in tariff revenue in. And so that means that we could give out $1.3 billion in dividend checks. >> I mean, listen, Ryan joked, the Democrats should just be like, fuck it, we'll give you $10,000. >> Absolutely. >> I mean, you know, I don't hate it, it's like, you know, people would suffer it. You could call it the gas check, or something like that. >> I mean, the broader political, number one is not happening, so let's just be clear about that. Number two, I don't think people will believe that it's going to happen, because it's like, okay, again, there have been a lot of promises made that have not been kept in terms of, oh, we're totally going to give you a check. And number two, you do have control right now. So how about you go ahead, if this is something you're serious about, you could go ahead and do it, and then maybe we vote for you because you actually showed some care and concern for the American people versus the things you've been saying routinely, which is that you don't give a shit about the material conditions of the American people. >> Captain Rempel over at Washington Post has, or is our bulwark has this, $5,000 stimulus checks were promised by a doge, $2,000 stimulus checks were promised by a tariff dividend. $1,000 checks via a savings from the expiring ACA subsidy. >> No, I forgot about that one. >> And $5,000 dividend now, if Republicans win the midterms, coincidentally, I believe that this $5,000 would be just enough to make up for the overall price increase that will pay over the course of a year from the ACA subsidy expiring. So there's just my personal piece. >> And then how far does it come of the additional gas prices? Of course, you have a lot of cars. I have a lot of cars, a lot of them, although I paid more for it, then most of you will pay for gas vehicles. So yeah, I'm doing all right. But overall, I don't think that this, look, it comes down to trust. And remember, I think back to Trump literally won the one, the 2020 election. If he had been able to pass those final stimulus checks, do you remember this entire thing? With the Georgia runoff elections and everything. If Trump had actually promised to just pass a final stimulus check, I genuinely think he would have won the election. And not only that, Mitch McConnell could have easily made sure that neither of those Democrats were able to win in those Senate seats. If he had allowed that, now did Trump use any of his political authority to push that through? No. Ultimately, the doge actually didn't save us any money at all. Don't believe me. Believe the official United States government statistics if you want to go and check that. That's the problem, is that there's a huge trust deficit. And this comes off as desperate whenever it comes to Trump. And especially because every single one of us knows that Trump is not actually going to put all of his political capital behind this. Now let's be fair, if he wanted to, he actually could. Remember when Trump promised that he was going to cut all social security tax, he actually did that. Yeah, it worked out for boomers. And everybody was like, oh yeah, and they put that into the big, beautiful bill. They also did it for no tax on tips, which I guess give a credit, although it's being horrifically abused right now in terms of the tax code. So you can see how when he wants to do something and actually frame it down, people's throats. It can happen. You'd be better off doing it right now. I mean, the United States Senate, they're not even in back in session till next Tuesday. I'm pretty sure. Call them back. You have the authority. Yes. As president, I'm calling back both houses of Congress. I spoke to Speaker Johnson. I spoke to leader Thune, we're immediately going to advance this legislation. And every American will get it on, when's the election day? Remember fifth, on November 4th, they're going to direct the positive, yeah, who gives a shit? Sure. Yeah. But I mean, remember in 2020, part of how it was so close when all the polls had it being a total blowout was because he'd sent out stimulus checks during COVID with his name on it. And we covered those Latinos in the Rio Grande Valley who were like, I don't know. It seemed pretty good to me. I got this check with his name on it. So I'm voting for him again. Yeah. So, you know, it can be very powerful. I think you learned that lesson, but when your approval rating is in the toilet and you've already done the like, I'm going to give you checks things repeatedly. And then it hasn't come through. I don't know how powerful this is going to be. Another thing that was very significant here is that he said specifically that you should act as if I am on the ballot, which we'll talk about it on the other side. But it's kind of an interesting thing to say at a time when you're hovering in like the low 30s with your approval rating with the American public. This is D1. Let's take a listen. The choice in this election is very, very simple. Democrats are asking you to vote for their failed, far-left agendas never work that destroyed your finances and delivered you four years of disaster, bedlam, and death under sleepy Joe Biden. And I'm asking you to let us finish the job we began with the greatest two years in the history of the presidency. This has been the most successful two years financially and every other way in the history of the presidency. So I'm asking you to pretend that I'm on the ballot. I'm on the ballot. Just one more time, because if we lose, you're going to lose your butter, you're going to lose your tax cuts, you're going to lose your safety and security, you're going to lose your wealth. Our country is going through hell. You will be going through hell just like you did just two years ago. Go through hell like you did two years ago. Huh. How's it going right now? Just most Americans will say that they are financially worse off and worse off in general under the Trump presidency. So it's pretty well to say it's been the most successful two years in the history of the presidency. And he's not wrong that it is sort of like he's on the ballot. No, he is. I mean, it will be a referendum on him. I'm not sure that it's not for him politically to completely own that. Just as you remember when Obama said with Hillary act as if I'm on the ballot and then she loses. Well, you know, that is a bit of a referendum on you and how people felt about the legacy. I played that clip in my very first rising monologue ever. I remember that. I remember that. My name and all about justice is all about that's why you got to go out and vote for Hillary. Yeah. Well, yeah, it doesn't really work out for Mr. Trump. I do think I have really is fascinating to me that he survives whether it's at the 90 criminal charges. He survives everything the media ever threw at him. He survives literally a decade in public life, stormy Daniels, access Hollywood, Charlottesville, I mean, January, I could go on forever, and every single one he comes out stronger, he wins the popular vote, probably one of the most stunning victories in modern American history, in terms of expectation versus reality. First Republican to do so since 2004, unambiguously has literally the culture like on his side. How did it all just go like this? It really is Iran. Like if you take a look, I'm not saying that he wasn't unpopular or divisive, but in my opinion, prior to Iran, this would have been one of those classic elections where you're gonna get blown out in the house, 2018 style, but those closer Senate races, they're gonna, they're in contention. I think Ken Paxen wins easily. If there is, not easily, but two to three points, just a Beto style, Ted Cruz versus Ted Cruz, Tolerico raises a lot of money. But the scenario that we're in right now is one where, with Iran, he actually just can't wriggle his way out, like period. It is one where it is genuine checkmate. It's a disaster. As you and I are recording right now, our friend Rory, I mean Brent Crude Oil is at $105 a barrel. Right now, today, that means Diesel is over $6 a gallon, which is the highest price on record. Gasoline price, let me just check. Retail gas, actual price. It's 427 national. There's not even a lot of bombs that are flying around. You know, there's not even active war. Average price in California, 589. There'll be a six bucks probably in the next week. I mean, this is crushing. And it's been six months of this. And everybody knows they've got nothing. They have zero solution to this entire thing. That's, I think, you know, there's something really profound about that. You know, obvious historical lesson. I've just, all these people have been a big French Revolution kick, reading a lot about Napoleon. It's just kind of amazing. You know, it's just like, roll the dice, you win. You roll the dice, you win. You roll the finger like, "God, this man can't be stopped." And then you roll into Moscow and you're like, "Oh, actually, you can't be stopped." It's like, yeah, turns out you can't. Well, it's the same thing here. It really is that it's like the most ever-present lesson in all of history. It makes sense, in a way, sort of poetically, that Trump would be the author of his own destruction, that no one else could really do it. He had to author his own destruction. Just like Hitler, just like Napoleon. That's exactly what has happened here. And I would say it is the Iran War as the biggest factor. I don't think we should underestimate, though, how much people hated the tariffs. Remember when we were talking about people hated the tariffs? And especially when you look at how many of these Senate races are in the Midwest, where they're getting hurt both by the tariffs and by the Iran War, and suddenly cancassism, suddenly Nebraska's in place. Suddenly, Iowa is like lean D. At this point, obviously, Michigan's gonna be a key state as well. Ohio is a key state as well. When you look at those states and how important not only they're on over the tariffs have been to their entire economic base. I think you put the two of those together. And that is also really when people started to have a negative view of Trump and his handling of the economy. 'Cause previously that had been his biggest strength is people, oh, it's a businessman. He knows what to do. It's gonna be great. It was when he did Liberation Day and the whole thing was insane and didn't make any sense and it didn't work and it just increased costs and created all of this chaos that people really had that foundational view of Trump shaken. And then it's been just a steady-slide sense then with obviously the Iran War and the attendant price increases there being a complete and utter disaster. There were a couple of other interesting moments at this GOP convention. First of all, Les Padizu zero up on the screen. Just to give you a sense of the vibes, there were a lot of empty seats. I think this was towards the beginning but you've got, there were videos from right in the midst of things. Most of those bottom seats were filled in but you had a lot of empty space there. There's a lot of reporting on the scene that the vibes are pretty bad. In advance, had a lot of reporting about the number of Republican politicians that were like, I'm good. I'm busy campaigning at home. Good luck. So that's why you had last night at the convention. It was like Scott Besent speaking and you know, whatever Trump administration I think Donald Jr. has a speaking slot as well. Trump is headlining both nights. Trump this morning claims quote, "The overall numbers beat the NFL." There is no universe where the RNs, so let's split screen. Sam Donald entry, Drake May choking like an idiot split screen with Donald Trump and his 11 p.m. prime time speech. I'm just waiting for the numbers to come out. I think the over, the over under, if you will, is around 40 million viewers who probably watched the game. And I would be willing to bet if you stopped a guy on the street and said, did Donald Trump speak last night? He'd be like, what are you talking about? You know, maybe they'll be like, what? Make Shane and making some new friends while getting into what's really like to have sisters, like Alex National. She likes to control everyone and tell everyone to do that. Okay, well control is a harsh word. I would say that's a harsh word. I am more outspoken. Growing up a lot of the times because she was so quiet, I would speak for like the both of us. Now I'm working on like, thinking a mom is really in it and taking before I speak. And Joey King. You know if your like mom is yelling at your sibling and even if you're annoyed with your sibling, you just like won't let that slide. It's like, you only, you can yell at your sibling. I'm like, you can't do that here. That is not what I want talk about her like that. I just want to talk about her like that. Plus we've been taking your calls, listening to your voicemails and giving advice or at least trying to. So if you've got catching up to do now's the perfect time. 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The funny is part of that is how they blur the underwear. - Yes, right. - I don't know. I would love to have a word with the person who put that montage together and know the psychology that went in. I have some suspicions though, and I think most people do. - I have some ideas around how that one got in there. I think what didn't grind or crash? - Grind or crash? - Grind or crash, again, yeah, as usual during major Republican events, so. - All right. - We'll effort Benny Johnson to give us the look down on this psychology. - Okay, so let's get to, what is it? - Well, we've got Federman, John Federman decided that he would also make a virtual appearance because we all know he's too lazy to actually travel to Texas. So we sent in a video on behalf of his bestie, the Republican Senator Day McCormick from Pennsylvania. This is D3, let's take a listen to that. - The big remove of Republicans in Dallas. Yes, I'm Senator Jack Federman, Pennsylvania. Yes, I'm a Democrat. [BLANK_AUDIO] am I here talking to you today? Because, well, I'm a comment-sense Democrat. I'm always going to stand with America. I'm always going to reject the extremes and socialism in that anti-American way of life. Dave McCormick is the kind of senator that gets the job done, and he's going to fight for Pennsylvania. I'm proud to count him as my friend. Right back over my shoulder, that's the iconic U.S. steel mill. And that's exactly the kind of thing that will work together and will work with President Trump to fight and defend the steel way of life right here in the steel valley. I have this opportunity to introduce this great American, a great senator, and yes, he's in a different party, but I'm proud to count him as my great friend. So for everybody in Dallas, I'm here to introduce Dave McCormick. So there you go, John Fetterman, really inspiring stuff there for the Republican Convention. To put a statement out this morning, he said, "In no way am I switching parties in no way, you know, I'm proud to be the 51st. I would be proud to say it'd be the 51st senator. We are in different parties. We are both on TPA. We have delivered hundreds of millions of dollars back to Pennsylvania with the steel way of life. I'm a lifelong Democrat who votes overwhelmingly with my party. And should the Senate flip in November, I will still be the 51st vote that I ran on. So he claims I will not be switching parties whatsoever. I actually, I really don't think he was switch parties. I think there is nothing he would love more than being the Joe Manchin, you know, up or down, every media organization in the world has to hang on to his every word. A schumer has to, you know, take him out to lobster dinners and every lobbyist in town has to shower him with cash. I mean, this is his dream. But I think for Democrats, I mean, he will also delight in any time there is a close vote where he's the swing vote. Oh, no. He will vote for the Republicans every time that it actually matters. So it does change the calculus in terms of how many seats Democrats actually have to win to have a functioning majority because you definitely can't rely on this guy that much is, is for sure. Let's go ahead and put D5 up on the screen, the significant polling in terms of where we are politically. This was pretty noteworthy. You know, one of the things that really was a tell that Trump was likely to win re-election in 2024 was that Republican identification for the first time had was outpacing Democratic identification. More people were saying they were Republicans and Democrats. That historically has not been the case. Now things have reversed and not only have they reversed, but they have reversed to the point that now you have Democrats with a sizable lead over Republicans, a six point lead over Republicans in terms of party identification. So things have really, really switched around there. And then we also just again in the sign of the times. Let's put this D6 up on the screens. The latest poll out of Texas, which is where, of course, this convention is being held. This has Tolerico up on Paxton by five points, 48, 43, very close to majority there, very close to hitting that 50 percent benchmark for Tolerico as well. This is not obviously the only poll that shows this. There's, you know, basically every poll that comes out has Tolerico narrowly leading Paxton. There have been very few that have Paxton up at all in the state Greg Abbott also seems to be under significant pressure, and I think to Saga's point, I mean, this would not be a possibility. Even with Paxton being a scandal plague and all the problems with him, etc. This would not be in play. It would not be, you know, with Tolerico, I think at this point, you have to say has the edge in the race, if not for the Iran War. >> Right. So there's 7 percent undecided. So it's not like Paxton can't win if he wins all those people, but we also just have never seen a modern campaign where you do win 100 percent of undecided, which makes it literally a game of within 0.5 or 0.6 percent. Trump also literally said, you know, I'm going to campaign with Ken Paxton. Also, Ken Paxton took the stage yesterday, didn't exactly like the whole thing on fire. >> Trump did his whole stick again of like, you know, like how he looks. >> Doesn't look like what he looks. How he told me dresses. >> You mean, not like anything about him, but he votes the right way. You're like, okay, I mean, not particularly great endorsement. He's got a money disadvantage. Remember, he needs the mega super PACs to come in and bail his ass out on campaign. That's a big problem because you want to have major control over how the ads on all of that are being cut. And look, Texas, like I said, it's a little bit different because genuinely there are people in Texas right now, one of the few places in America who are printing generational wealth off of the situation in Iran. Like if you work in the port of Houston, you are having a bananza. If you are in the West Texas oil fields or any of these guys, you are actually at the prime of your career. But tens of millions of people, it's no longer the state that like it was when I grew up as a much more dynamic economy, it's not all oil and gas. Has technology, has normal, you know, everyday type jobs. Those people are all still suffering. Let me see what the gas price is in Texas. It's still 383 at gallon, not exactly cheap, especially down there. So you put that together and high inflation, high cost of living, even in a state which predominantly was like, you know, it was like a banner for a place to move to escape kind of the problems of some of the California, New York or any of those types of places. There's just enough there, along with democratic enthusiasm for Tallariko to come and to really be able to like seize on this. And I've been watching him, you know, I'll give the guy credit. Tallariko, he went on Fox News yesterday. He had, he has no compunction, you know, walking in to what he knew would be an adversarial interview. And he said, yeah, I said some stupid stuff about six genders. And the reason why they want to talk about that is because diesel is six dollars a gallon. I mean, you know, not my cup of tea. It's a decent line. Yeah. It's decent enough, I think, you know, exactly for, it's decent enough from what I can see to be able to capture exactly the type of person. Let's say of the white 48 year old mom who traditionally votes Romney has never particularly liked Trump, you know, decides to go ahead and vote for it or set out the election is just sitting there and is like, I just can't stand Trump. So pissed off about this, pissed off about grocery prices. And, you know, this Tallariko stuff, I don't love it. You know, we talk about it at church, but he says something like that. He goes, she's like, okay, maybe, you know, and you could just see that repeat across the spectrum. I think the big question will be how that Latino vote, Rio Grande Valle, Latino vote is swings according to this poll, they're massively going for Tallariko. But it's a very hard population to poll. You know, previous shifts there haven't really been captured by pollsters. So I think it's something you should be skeptical about. And it's a population that is more culturally conservative. So some of those statements, your Republicans are hoping that some of those statements are going to sit poorly with that community. And Trump is probably hoping that he'll be able to recreate the stimulus check magic that he had in the past and that that will bring some of them back over to the Republican side. But all of the indications are that there's been a huge swing away from Trump and the Republicans among Latino specifically in this election. And I really think that will be the determining factor in terms of whether or not Tallariko is going to be able to win because this is probably the largest sort of swing demographic. In the country, they're not diehard Democrats are just going to be excited to come out and vote. You need more than that in Texas in order to win. He's going to need to win these more independent minded voters. And so I really think that could be the key. >> I have no compunction of even trying to predict how these people vote. Because they go from Hillary plus 48 to Trump plus two to Trump plus 50. Back to Democrat, I'm like, I have no idea how to vote. I'm done even trying to analyze it. The basics of what I could see was that it was stimulus checks at the beginning. Then it became kind of a cultural liberalism rejection. Then they became hawks on immigration. Now they're doves on immigration. I can't figure these people out. So I don't know how they're going to vote. They may not vote period. But yes, they are a very critical constituency. I still think that the biggest thing in Tallariko's favor is the demographic change in the state. I just can't overstate. I mean, the state that I grew up in just does not exist anymore. These hundreds of thousands of people who are all from California or from New York, who have all moved in. I mean, I'm not saying that they overwhelm in terms of numbers, but that is exactly. If you want somebody who's going to crawl over broken glass to vote, who's going to go doorknock for you, who's going to come and staff your campaign meetings and hand out doughnuts and all this stuff. That's who you need really on your side. I think that's really the wind is at his back on in that front more than anything from what I can see. It's just enough of a core constituent base to be able to try and build some sort of a coalition. I still got my eye on Gina Hignosa as well. I don't think Abbott is in any way safe in this election. I think if there's a wave, I think he very easily could lose by point one or point two, something like that. Not nearly as much as Paxton, but it is definitely in like a one in six type possibility. No, it would be insane. I mean, she'd be the first Democrat, Westers and Richards to be the governor of the state, which is nuts. If you know, I think that was when 1988. So before way before even I was born. I'm more outspoken, growing up a lot of the times because she was so quiet. I would speak for like the both of us. Now I'm working on like thinking a mom is really and I'm not good taking before I speak. - And Joey King. - You know if your like mom is yelling at your sibling and even if you're annoyed with your sibling, you just like won't let that slide. It's like you only can yell at your sibling. - I just want to talk about her like that. - Plus we've been taking your calls. - Listen into your voice mails and giving advice or at least trying to. - So if you've got catching up to do now's the perfect time. Listen to Hey Jonas on the iHeartRadio app Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. - The new NFL season is here and you should be listening to NFL Daily as we march along to Super Bowl 61. Last year we had Mike McDonald, Sam Darno on the field after the game but that was last year. If you're a football sicko like me, NFL Daily is your kind of show. It is in the name NFL Daily fresh content in your feed every day all season long. - On a dazzling, darks from Matthew Stafford. - Hey Jay Brown is loose. - And of course those Seahawks trying to run it back and win another Lombardi trope. They are bringing Lombardi back to the Northwest. Listen to NFL Daily on the iHeartRadio app Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. - I'm Britt Coleman and I'm Trevor Sikama. If you ever watched a game and wondered what really made the difference beyond the final score, that's exactly why we created NFL Pro Strode. - Got a man wide open, touchdown, Seahawks. - Every week we use exclusive next-gen stats insights and NFL content to break down the biggest stories, matchups and moments from around the league. We go beyond the box score to uncover the numbers, the tendencies and details that help explain what actually happened on the field. - Fires it out but flat to Barclay, who beats one man, spins past another, leaps over a bird. - If you've ever wanted to know why a playwork, how a matchup was won, or what most fans missed on Sunday, NFL Pro delivers the insights you simply can't get anywhere else. - Listen to NFL Pro on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. - Let's turn now to we run very fast-moving developments. We're gonna start with this. The Houthis have now seized a very strategic port, actually in Yemen. Let's put this up here on the screen. Our friend Glendizan highlights this with an excellent map so you can see the overall significance. Houthis have now captured Mocha on the Red Sea coast. This is a strategic piece of real estate, 65 to 75 kilometers north of the Babal Mandab straight, which will make the blockade much more efficient. If the term Mocha sounds familiar to you, that is literally the origin, that place Mocha of the Mocha. - Oh, really? - Yes, Yemen. Yemen has a very, very important-- - Doesn't just sound delicious at it. - No, it literally is named off of it. Mocha is Mocha and Yemen actually has a very important part in coffee history. Recommend the book called caffeine, if you were ever interested. But returning to what's happening here, the reason why it is very important is that the Yemeni port being so close to the Babal Mandab straight, of course gives them significant more ability to project power in the state to be able to use some of the shoulder-fired missiles, mines, any of the other things that they want to deploy, not even just cruise missiles. In some cases, they've been able to fire over 1,000 kilometers actually into Babal Mandab. It also comes on the heels of some stunning new data, actually out of Saudi Arabia, which I believe that we do have. Let's put, yes, F-5 up here on the screen, which shows how Yemen tilts to war full-scale war as the Saudi and the Houthi clashes escalate. So our friend, Rory Johnston, actually highlighted this morning, the data out of Saudi Arabia, which is also mentioned here in the New York Times article, is stunning. The official Saudi numbers reflect their lowest level of crude export or production from 1990, which is insanity. He says the most interesting part is the direct communication from Saudi Arabia and the official numbers reflect Saudi supply to market. Riyadh also says that actual production has crashed in August as a result of the Houthi maritime ban, which is mucked up and rerouted Saudi logistics and attacks that have hit infrastructure. So when you put these two things together, that is genuinely shocking. All of it is now putting and showing up in the oil market this morning. Let me just make sure, as of the exact moment that I'm speaking. Yep, Brent is now sitting at $105 per barrel. So again, translates to 4.30 roughly national in terms of your gasoline average. Already, the diesel prices are going nuts $200 a barrel, as I mentioned earlier. So we are, we're not in crisis territory yet, but things are tipping into some serious problems here, where there's just enough now happening on the battlefield that you can see how things are marching towards a genuine crisis point. And it's funny, I almost made a joke this morning. I'm like, oh, the Houthis took a territory. Saudi Arabia should try bombing them. That'll work. Right. Maybe they should get involved. Yeah, maybe we should get involved. It's only not, we've only tried to bomb them for the last, what, 12 years or something like that. And the fact that they're able to have this amount of success on the battlefield, I mean, it's crazy. Yeah, completely. And reports are this morning, they were able to recapture this strategic island, Zucar Island in the southern Red Sea. Again, these are all incredibly important strategic positions in terms of control over the Bob El Manda. Straight, there's another island right there that they're apparently working to take control over. So they very much seem to have the upper hand in this highly significant offensive, which obviously matters for them and for their war with Saudi Arabia and with the other internationally recognized Yemeni government. But also has major implications in terms of the Iran war and what you're paying at the gas pump. In addition, we've got this information to put F0 up on the screen. There was this huge, obviously, exchange of fire between the US and Iran the other day. We now have some information courtesy of CBS News about the damage that the American side suffered in those strikes. So they say multiple American military aircraft suffered damage in strikes overnight on this airbase in Jordan. One A-10 Thunderbolt, known as the Warthog, was struck and left with a missing wing. Roughly eight F-15 sustained light damage were placed back into service, according to us. American forces in Jordan launched more than 30 Patriot missiles defending against the Iranian strikes. I would guess very much that is an undercount. The overnight damage came after the US attack five Iranian tankers in retaliation. So talking about significant military aircraft damaged here. And another thing that's noteworthy is that Iran had-- the IRGC had put out this very similar analysis of what they had been able to strike. So this is effectively confirmation of what the IRGC had been saying about the success of their attack. A couple military analysts this morning noting that this is actually the first time that they have been able to hit some of these aircraft, these specific aircraft on the ground. They knew immediately what they had hit, which shows that they had satellite imagery. Of course, we already knew that because China and Russia have been supplying them with a lot of this. And they have some of their own through a sharing agreement that they have with some of these Chinese satellite companies. They were able to publish damage assessment. And it also shows you why we fired so many of those damn Patriot missiles. So let's take a look at 15 cost. What are we looking at? 117 million. So eight of them, which are damaged, the full cost, 117 million-- that's about a billion dollars with the aircraft there, which just took a little bit of damage. The A10, God bless it, is much cheaper of my favorite airplane. But you can actually still see how to knock a wing off of an aircraft. I mean, that's not even something the Taliban was ever able to do in 20 years of war in Afghanistan, especially in a targeted strike like this. So 30 Patriot missiles, by the way, they say more than 30, so the real number could be 60. Each Patriot is what? 4 million something. So four times 30, minimum of 120 million in a single five-minute salvo, more likely 60, so about a quarter billion that we just set on fire. Not even to mention the replacement timeline. And the cost, I mean, what are we doing? This whole thing is total insanity and just shows the problem. By the way, the fact that they're able to hit all these things in Jordan, which is far away from Iran. If you want to take a look at a map, should show you how even moving outside of the immediate golf area doesn't mean that any of these things are safe. Yeah, and I was reading this morning, too. They're using these more maneuverable missiles. It's making it harder for us to be able to shoot them down. And there have been a lot of close calls in terms of not just this space, but also our warships in the region. Trump is claiming that the war going to end right after the midterms, that Iran is determined to hit us hard. It is interesting that this latest conflagration was right after Labor Day, which is like the traditional star of the campaign season. I have no doubt the Iran is focused on the midterms and trying to force a political price on Trump. The idea that they're just going to stop the after the midterms seems a little bit far-fetched to me, but that's what Trump is pushing. Let's play f1. I think the war will end immediately after the election, because they can't hold out any longer. They're desperate to try and affect the election so that we can get a nice week group of people in there and leave them alone and let them have their nuclear weapon. All they want is a nuclear weapon, and if they had a nuclear weapon, the whole world is in deep trouble. But apparently his advisors are seeing things quite differently. Put f1b up on the screen. This is a scoop from the Wall Street Journal. You have Vance and Rubio in particular telling him that the Iran war may last through the end of his presidency. And of course, they have great interest because they're thinking about, oh, when I'm campaigning for president in 2028, how is that going to go for me? And if the Iran war is continuing to drag on, and gas prices continue to be sky high and all of the attendant other issues that come with the war, that's probably going to be a pretty difficult political answer. Yeah. Or if they do win. I mean, this is the shits in which you have to eat on day one in the oval. I mean, look, in closed doors, the discussions come as Trump says that the war will end immediately. But that, honestly, Tehran could continue to resist U.S. pressure under the blockade and under military tactics, extending the conflict past inauguration day in January, 2029. Now, Iran would never intentionally hold a hostage or a conflict all the way up until an inauguration day. Would they? Wouldn't they? That's never happened before. If you don't know what I'm talking about, they literally what they did in the hostage crisis in 1970 or 1980. Yeah. I guess so. Yeah. I don't think it takes a genius to figure that one out. And in fact, that's genuinely going to be their best strategy. I also think that the fact that they're raising that in the oval office demonstrates how they're trying to prepare him for what the reality of what I think he wants to do looks like. Is he wants to keep the blockade going forever? He wants to have some sort of semblance of victory. And in fact, I mean, the most likely scenario is an escalation on the Iranian side of some kind midterms or disaster. Trump has to spend probably 95% of his time just stopping investigations in the House and the Senate, impeachments, all this other crazy stuff that's happening. So what do you do? You try to reclaim the narrative by escalating the war or by taking control of foreign policy, which ultimately you're the commander in chief. I mean, it's a very natural thing for most whitehouses. They become obsessed with foreign policy because I can't do anything in Congress. This would be that to the end degree. Yeah. That in the ballroom. And the ballroom, sorry, I forgot. The Supreme Court has also said, I'm sure you can go ahead and keep building until we get around to. I mean, there's a lot of, you know, to give context like with Clinton, you know, there was this entire conspiracy at the time that the reason that he I think either bombed bin Laden in response to the embassy attacks was because of the Lewinsky scandal or that he tried to handle it or he was distracted, I think, from the terrorism threat at the time. So it's not like it doesn't happen. It's a very common second term story, except here, you're going to dial it all the way back up. My only point just is that, you know, things are moving in a very bad direction with $105 barrels with the Bob Almond substrate and the Porta Mocha now falling to Yemen's Houthis. They have no ability to constrain them. Obviously, a Saudi bombing campaign is not going to work. We know because they tried an American bombing campaign is not going to work. And if it did, it would have to stop. They would have to take resources away from the blockade. Aircraft are all being damaged. They claim that they're back in service. Who knows? You know, whether and that's true. Like, things are really reaching out. I wouldn't say crisis point yet, but you know, all the script right now is being written. Not good. All right. Thank you guys so much for watching. Appreciate it. Friday show for everybody tomorrow. See you then. College football will hijack your weekend, ruin your sleep, and break your heart. And that's why we make the Sullivan Purple College football show. I'm Ty Hildenbrand. 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