4 BOLD Fantasy Football Predictions for 2026 with JJ Zachariason | Best of the Fest (Ep. 2154)
28m 33s
The Fantasy Fest segment of the iHeart podcast "Guaranteed Human" features a lively discussion on bold fantasy football predictions, hosted by Chris Welch, Debro, and Seth Wolcock. Guests including JJ Zacharyson and Debro offer data-driven forecasts, with JJ predicting Stefan Diggs and Terry McLaurin will both finish in the top 24 wide receivers due to offensive efficiency and target volume. Debro boldly forecasts Pukka Nakuwa will average 26 PPR points per game in 2026 based on his per-route efficiency and red-zone usage. JJ also predicts Malik Willis will achieve a top-12 quarterback finish, supported by historical trends showing that quarterbacks with 500+ rushing yards typically finish in the top 10. A more controversial take is that Justin Jefferson will fall outside the top 20 due to a shift toward a run-heavy offense in Minnesota. The hosts emphasize that bold predictions must be grounded in statistical possibility, not hype, and encourage listener engagement through live comments. The segment concludes with audience participation in bold takes, including predictions on Stryling, Chase Brown, and Jaylen Waddle, while also promoting League Base as a fantasy league management tool. The episode blends data analysis, humor, and real-time insights into fantasy football strategy.
This is an iHeart podcast, Guaranteed Human. Hey, this is Hayes Davenport and Sean Clemence. We host the podcast, Hollywood Handbook. Each week we talk to someone in show business and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. Everyone has a good time and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show. We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman, Adam Scott, Danny McBride, Ben Stillert and a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. The 2026 fantasy fest is here right here on fantasy pros, what's up friends, I'm Chris Welch and we have got hours upon hour, we're stacking hours on top of each other. For all of the fantasy football goodness that you guys could possibly imagine, we are talking ranks, we're talking draft strategy, we're getting into bold predictions, we've got live drafts and we've even got an after party and we are so excited that you guys are here with us for these four hours of craziness and the fantasy fest is brought to you by league base, which we'll be talking about all so long. So strap in, sit down, enjoy because we've got so much for you here and I got a couple buddies here at fantasy pros joining me for this first segment here. We've got Debro, the King of Bros and the House Seth Wolcock jumping in here as we are going to be tackling bold predictions and friends. Here's what I want you to do. In the comments below, interact throughout the show, you guys can drop your bold predictions, you can have questions on bold predictions or you could just have questions about anything because at the end of every single segment for this entire show, we're going to be answering your questions. So fill up the chat feed so we can have more and bigger conversations around what you guys want after we talk about some bold predictions. So the fantasy fest is here, Debro, what is up my man? What is up me and Debro in the house Seth Wolcock got a love it, what's up Debro? I'm doing good man, I'm ready to sling some bold takes, get them out there in the space. I think we got some good ones queued up here. I gave my own bold prediction in the chat here that Seth grows a beard in the year 2026. I'm here for it, but I'm ready for some bold man. There's no chance that's going to happen. And you know what, even if there's a little bit of craziness behind the scenes Seth Wolcock is always here to help pick up something of the pieces, Seth are you ready to drop some bold predictions because we've got some good ones for the show today. Yeah, ready for an excuse to when I miss a pick and I'm on the clock just to, you know, be all right with it because I'm on the fantasy prose fantasy fest here. I think I'm on right now in about four different leagues, different platforms. So I'm going back and forth from my apps. My screen time's got to be through the roof right now, but excited to be chatting here with you boys tonight. Boys, what does, what does the bold, what defines the bold take for you? This kind of comes back, I'll talk about this a lot where I look and I'm like, you know, everybody is very crabby about sleepers, like sleepers become the term, the term that just like creates all the chaos for everybody and it's like, so really a sleeper and stuff like that. But like bold prediction, we've done lots of bold predictions on these shows. We've had some that are really huge. Sometimes we even want to be mild about it. I was joking with Bogman the other day. He did a show because he's become like a bold take machine, especially when we cut up videos here. But like, where is the definition that truly makes it bold? Is there a threshold deep, bro? Because we're going to tackle into these like, what is the threshold where you think like, yeah, I've really nailed that this is a bold prediction. For me with bold predictions, there has to be a lane of possibility with it and some things like you get constraints of is the quarterback good enough, is the play volume enough, is the target volume enough to get a player to whatever we're talking about. Like if we're talking about, oh, this guy's going to be the wide receiver one of the year, but he's on a team that's going to run at like a top three clip in the league, is the target volume going to be there? Is the quarterback play going to be there? So for me, even with bold takes, there has to be a lane of possibility to set the bar of like, okay, even in your mind's eye, can we squint and see it? Because if I can't squint and see it, it's just ridiculous. It's not a bold take. It's just something that will not happen. Seth, real just real quick, and then we're going to jump into your guys with bold takes. When you're hyper focusing on bold takes, what do you think? Do you lean towards more? Is it talking about record breaking performances? Is it about a usage type of a stat? You know what I'm going with it? Like I think people take bold predictions and finishing as bop, bop, bop, like what is the lane of bold prediction usually look like for you? It's a little bit more productivity based and just overall stats is kind of what I'm looking at. I think finishes are great too. Like for me, I'm looking to get the pop, right? Like I like to see someone go, hmm, oh, that's interesting. I wasn't considering that. I like being roasted in the comments in the moment, but then maybe you look back six months from now and I get a text from D-Bro, hey, that wasn't such a bad take and maybe the YouTube commenters come back around as well. All right, well, kings of bold takes here and bold predictions. That's what we're going to jump into. So again, reminder, drop your comments below at the end of this segment. We are going to be bringing up some of your questions. So we have your fantasy takes and your fantasy questions, be as tight and awesome as you can. And you can also kind of interact with this segment. If you got some good stuff, we'll bring it on. We're excited to talk with you guys from the rest of the show. So let's jump into some bold predictions and then we are also going to be throwing a little bit of a surprise. Actually, you know what? We're going to throw a little bit of a surprise at you right now. Behind the scenes, Seth Wolcock stepped in when there was a little bit of chaos to start. So Seth, I love you dearly, but I'm going to start the show off with a negative. You got to get out of here. Get out of here, Seth. We'll be back at, uh, what, 655 after party. We'll be here locked and loaded. We've got a surprise for you because Seth is a monster and Seth is our G, but the guy that he was filling in for is here, Debro, welcome. Everybody get ready because coming to the stage, oh, my God, it's JJ Zacharyson. How you doing, man? My gosh. I am so sorry. I thought it was 330 and not three and I, it's my fault. I apologize profusely, but I'm here. I mean, we love you. We love it. All you got to do to make up for that East Coast dad time, bro. It's undefined. I know. I just want the season to start. So I have a routine and I know where I'm at like, it's just so wild right now. All you got to do to make up for it is bring the boldest, most badass predictions. And that's what we're looking for for you, my man. So if anyone didn't know behind the scenes, that's what we were just kind of, uh, really with that. It's all good. We love Seth. So bad for literally putting him on the plank and kicking him off the ship. Sorry. It's, it's really my fault. It's okay. I apologize. It's okay. So you know what? Let me ask you this really quick, JJ, because I asked these guys, what is the marker when you are putting together bold predictions in that it has to meet a certain, a certain threshold? It has to be maybe statistical base or finish base or a volume base. What are the kind of two thresholds when you are putting together, but you know, because simple predictions are just such a big marker for our industry. What signifies those and locks in for you when you're ready to put out a bold prediction like you're going to do in this show? Yeah. Look, I want them to be realistic. You know, I, I don't want to just throw something out there that I can't back with data or with some sort of analysis. So I think that's the, the biggest thing. And I think that when I say the bold prediction, I want people to say, oh, you know, kind of, kind of give like a, like, oh, I can see it so that they're not just like, you know, great face, like, oh, that's not bold enough to be, to warrant a bold prediction. So I just kind of go through that and I, you know, base it all on, on, you know, the stuff I typically do with the data and numbers analysis. All right. Well, you're going to be put on the hot seat because bold prediction, number one for fantasy fest and for the season, JJ, the late round quarterback, your number one bold prediction is what? I will say that Stefan Diggs and Terry McLoren both finish as at least wide receiver twos this year, both of them, yes, yes, yes. And so the reason for this is number one, Stefan Diggs, I don't think it's cooked the way that, that folks might think that he's cooked. He averaged 12.3 PPR points per game last year. He was a fine pick at cost. He wasn't a league winner. But with that being said, among, among wide receivers with a hundred or more routes, Diggs was inside the top 10 in yard for our run. He was the 90th percentile in targets for our run. The reason why Stefan Diggs was in better fantasy football is because his route share means his route share was alongside guys like Troy Franklin and Sterling Shepherd. They just weren't using him that much in New England. Now, why they weren't using him that much in New England? I think number one is coming off in ACLs. That's probably playing a role. But then also they just face scripts where they didn't need to force it with Stefan Diggs and they were in these these favorable game environments. He can play in the slot, but he can play outside still. I'm actually not that concerned about him like people think that he's only like a slot merchant at this point. He's actually top 10 last year outside the slot in yard per route run. I think that the fit with McLaren is also awesome because he's more vertical in nature. He can play that X, let Stefan Diggs play on the outside and also move inside in 11 personnel. There's not that much competition in Washington outside of these two guys. I don't mind checking a conqueau, but he's not sitting there like ready to earn a 20% target share necessarily. You're looking at Traylon Burke, Santonio Williams, a lot of question marks outside of these two guys. Then when it comes to McLaren, he's not dust either. McLaren had his best per route run season of his career last year, which is crazy because obviously they weren't playing in this really great ecosystem. I like McLaren to be able to make some of those splash plays that we've learned to love from him. If this comes together, now look, I wish this Lamy-Tunsell injury didn't happen. It would make this bold prediction a lot easier to say and feel more confident in it. But I do think that both these guys compliment each other really well. They should be able to see strong target shares. I think there's a very real chance they could both. be top 24 this year. I am very worried about the offensive line. And I think there's been some reports that have coming that have come out there. And we've seen that happen in like the 80 peace streets. If you look on like real-time ADP at fantasy pros, we've seen, Jayden, we've seen Daniels like move around. We've seen that adjustment at the quarterback position. We even saw right when the tonsil injury was happening, him kind of flow around. So I'm a little bit wonky on just the offense in general. And that was kind of my fate was maybe not even the other pieces with Daniels. But Debra, what do you think about both Stefan Diggs and McCorn? I think we can all agree. Like Stefan Diggs has been kind of mispriced. And most laces have not caught up. Probably the best places to the cheap plug is our real-time ADP fantasy pros fantasy pros real-time ADP. You can find it easily. And that's showing like the latest from seven days to even 24 hours. That has been the best marker to understand what the real value looks like. But do you think it is possible Debra for both these guys to finish as a top 24 in this offense? I absolutely think this possible. I love this take by JJ at just so many parts of pieces. It's a consolidated passing attack. You have a quarterback that's shown that he can get it done. Stefan Diggs like to JJ's point was not dust at all. He was basically again, the only reason that that held down his production is he was the Christian Watson of the New England of Patriots. And a lot of that was because New England was blowing teams out in the first half. Like you look at the splits between Drake May's numbers first half, second half. It reminded me a ton of yesteryear Philadelphia Eagles when they just took their foot off the gas, ran the ball, didn't matter, and they weren't having to throw it at a ton. Stefan Diggs is still really freaking good. And this is what we want. If the quarterback is good enough to support two top 24 weapons and the target tree can be consolidated enough, I love this take from JJ. I've had Stefan Diggs my wide receiver 31 since he signed with Washington. Top 36 guy. Easy for me. Hey, this is A's Davenport and Sean Clements. We host the podcast Hollywood handbook on the big money players network. Our show is extremely accessible to first-time listeners. Each week we talk to someone in show business, aka the biz, and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman. Not that great. Can you help me? Can you help me shape this? How about we flip it on his head? How about we flip this around? Okay. What is the surprise one then? Actually, you think it's the straight man is actually the one who's acting weird. Adam Scott. This entire time you've been expecting Adam Sandler to come to visit the show. I would never let go of that. I would never set expectations for something like that. If the universe allows for something like that to happen, I am open to it. I'm always going to accept. Danny McBride, fine. Yeah, it's all this fragile masculinity exuding. I could smell it walking on the hallway to be honest with you. I was like, I was like, is that what you need? No, it's fragile masculinity. Ben Stiller, no. I think there's a lot of times out of context, people don't get it or even know what a circle is. You know what I mean? Girl, I go into socials. Everyone's so dumb and fake. Right. Fake and also not interested. Or just like, oh, I've got my life. I don't care about your life. And a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. Oh, and by the way, Will Ferrell told us personally he loves the show and he wants to be a guest on every episode. But he's just so busy. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on iHeartRadio app Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. Our town is small taters by most standards, right? But to the people who grew up here, it's everything. What happens when a quiet Tennessee town becomes the front line in a battle over the future of America? Developers with right wing ties have purchased hundreds of acres of land in the area. The first thing you see when it pops up is high nears and apple etch. But they weren't just planning houses. We need cities on a shining hill that exemplify and embody the christian way of life. Stop right there. Is that normal? A podcast about what happens when a small town becomes the site of a social experiment. God need men to rule. Great. And decides to fight back. Do not use my hard work to sell your bull. They're not just opposing what's being planned for here. Our hometown is not a test too. They feel like they're standing in opposition to an entire administration. I guess you didn't move in on a bunch of dumb hillbillies now, did you? Listen to our town on the iHeartRadio app Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm mungusha together and I'm back with a new season of the podcast Skyline Drive. This time I'm diving into a rabbit hole of peptides, organoids, blood boys, blue zones, and brain replacement to try to understand what this longevity obsession is all about and what it really means to live forever for all of us. I learned about some rad science. I can make a brain for you and then we can test what draw is the best for your brain, as opposed to his brain. Here's some hard truths. I would expect Indians to age faster, but I did not expect it to be almost a four to five year acceleration. And get myself into a world of trouble. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make you look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, how to live forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. A fun thing. This has really has not happened since 1991. I went and looked this up 1991. At the time, the Redskins had Gary Clark and Art Monk, where Gary Clark had 1340 yards, 70 catches and 10 touchdowns, where Art Monk and 71, just around like 1050 and eight touchdowns. Those last time, you would have a theoretical scene, two wide receivers in this office in Washington, B top 24. So that's a really, really fun one. D-Bro, bold prediction, your first one, but it's number two on the episode. Hit us with what you got, my man. Dude, when I'm looking at these bold predictions, I want to, again, how JJ kind of frame this, I want to go with the guy that I think could define leagues. And I think Pukka Nakuwa could be the first wide receiver. And I went all the way back to 2013. He could be the first wide receiver to average 26 PPR points per game in the year 2026. Now, how does Pukka get to this? First of all, like, I don't think people realize that when he was a full-time player last year, because in week six, he heard his ankle, he missed week seven. If you look at weeks one through five and eight through 18, Pukka was averaging 24.7 PPR points per game. And the simple napkin math of how he gets there is not hard to see guys. If he gets the red zone role, if we were to just simply flip the touchdowns and say Pukka got the 14 and Devante Adams got 10 over a whole season, Pukka's at 26 PPR points per game. And if you go all the way back to 2013, there's only two wide receivers that have eclipsed 25 points per game. It was Devante Adams in 2020 with 25.6 Cooper Cup in the same Rams offense with 25.9 in 2021. If Pukka takes over the red zone role and Stafford still is chucking it, this is a consolidated offense. Pukka can get there. And if he puts that number up, not only is he the clear wide receiver one in fantasy, they share probably by a mile, but he's going to be a league and season defining player. Did you say the week 14 through 18 stat? What did you say it was? No, so weeks no one through five and eight through 18. Okay, because I have. Well, so you think he's going to average 20 he could average 26 points to game. We'll check this out. The final five games of the season, he averaged 26.1 points per game in the final five weeks and seven games. Seven were 20 or more through the whole season. He scored 20 or more points in seven games last year. The only thing that holds Pukka Nakua back is anything he does in the offfield is when he's in street clothes. So JJ, what do you think about 26 points per game for Pukka Nakua this year as a bold prediction? I love it. You know, if you look at all wide receiver seasons since 2015, where the wide out had 200 or more routes run, Pukka Nakua's last two seasons ranking the top five in both yards and targets per out run. I mean, the dude, like I just don't think that people realize how amazing his per out run efficiency has been. I do like that you use points per game here because maybe there is like a game suspension or something going on with Pukka and you know, there's there could be stuff going on or like, you know, there's an injury or something like that. But I think that it's a it's in reach because his usage in this offense is really unlike anyone else's usage in fantasy football. All right, we've got more bold predictions coming up. Both of these guys have got to, which by the way, I gotta say these are probably my favorite two that are about to come up here. And I got some interesting stats I pulled on JJ's. But before we do, we want to remind you guys that fantasy fest is brought to you by League Base. League Base is a private clubhouse for your fantasy league. Connect your sleeper, Yahoo, or ESPN League and everything that makes your league yours. The trades, records, rivalries, running jokes and league history, finally has a home. Instead of having everything scattered across spreadsheets and camera rolls and group chats, League Base gives your league one place for commissioner tools scheduling reminders, league news and many games like survivor and pick them. It's built to make running your league easier and keep everyone engaged all season long. You can also get a $50 in credit toward your league's first season at league base.com with code fp50 that's fp50. And right now League Base is sponsoring a draft trip for one league. Sign up free at leaguebase.com/fest and you're
automatically entered to win a trip for your entire league next season. Wherever your league wants to go, league base picks up the trip. No purchase necessary for US residents, 18 and older, in September 30th, official rules at leaguebase.com/fest. So get your league set up at leaguebase.com and use code FP50 that's FP50 to claim your $50 credit. All right, ladies and gentlemen, more bold predictions. JJ, this has been a popular, I get screamed at whenever I do a short on fantasy pros. People on the internet are just yelling at me and DeBrow is done, is talked about this guy and he gets screamed at. I don't know, you're very well liked, so maybe you'll get screamed at a lot less, but your bald prediction is a great quarterback. So I don't know, maybe you've got some PTSD too over the screaming. Let's hear your bald prediction on a certain quarterback that we've all been loving. Yeah, I wouldn't say that I'm well liked. I'm going to go Malik Willis as a QB1 this year. You know, you, you look at what he did in Green Bay, average 58 and 3 starts, average 58 rushing are to game and a touchdown per game. That's 11.8 fantasy points per game via rushing. Yes, small sample size. I get it. All right. So let's take that 11.8. Let's bump it down to seven. Okay. If you look at quarterbacks since 2011, who had seven or more points per game via rushing and through the ball, 300 or more times in the season. So that's just the 300 or more times just a qualifier to say they played that season as a starter or played a lot of games, right? So seven or more points per game via rushing while throwing the ball 300 or more times. You have 25 quarterback seasons since 2011 where that quarterback hit those marks. And I think that comfortably Malik Willis is going to get there on the ground. Seven or more points per game via rushing of those 25 seasons, only three of the quarterbacks of those 25 ranked outside the top 10 and quarterbacks scoring and points per game. All of the other ones ranked inside the top 20, which obviously Malik Willis is being drafted after that point in time as well. Not that a QB 18 or QB 17 is going to really help you out in fantasy football. It will from a superflex perspective to a degree, but not in a single quarterback league. I'm just viewing Malik Willis this year as at the very worst, it's going to be a Justin Field situation. And that's someone that we've drafted historically at like a low-end QB1, high-end QB2 type price tag. You know, I think the market has gotten a lot sharper in general in understanding regression and touchdown regression while understanding that quarterback mobility matters a whole lot. Just look at like Matthew Stafford's ADP this year, which I think is more or less, you know, it's decent enough like it's, you know, people are baking in that regression five or six years ago. Stafford would have been a QB five or QB six and ADP. But all this is to say that we still have this mobile guy late. We still get this guy who could be borderline prolific on the ground. I know that that seems hyperbolic, but it's true. Like all we've seen with Malik Willis since college has been a phenomenal athlete who brings a whole lot of points in production to the table with his legs. So the real question is, can he be a good passer? I mean, look, Debra, like we've all been doing this. We've been watching football for a while. I don't remember seeing a wide receiver room look as bad as what Miami's does entering the season to be fair. But at the same time, I just think there's a lot of, we don't have a big enough sample size to say definitively one way or another that Malik Willis is either really good or really bad as a thrower. So we're just leaning into the baseline with the rushing. And if he's a better thrower than we expect, then all, and I don't think the offensive line there is that bad. All of a sudden, if he's a better thrower, then we expect that then he could easily be a top 10 top 12 quarterback. We look like bobble heads here. Me and Debra were like, yeah, we're just bobble head everything. Everything. So I've got something I'm going to add. And this is going to be a cheap plug. I actually use coach, which we have here in fantasy pros, which can help you in drafts. And I helped I use coach to help me find this. And this is a little bit in line with what you talked about, but I took a different angle. I looked at first off, I looked at our projected fantasy pros projected rushing yards. He's number two in that quarterback for rushing yards. So I decided to play it down. And I typed into coach, which you guys could do on fantasy pros. I said, give me all of the quarterbacks that have had 500 or more rushing yards in the last 10 years. And their fantasy finish. 28 quarterbacks came up. And to your point, when you said there were three that didn't finish as a top 12, I laughed because I can see them. 2018, it's Lamar Jackson, 2020, Cam Newton and 2023, Daniel Jones. They were 18, 15 and 25 respectively. But every other single quarterback that had 500 or more rushing yards on that list, that is 25 quarterbacks finishes a top 10 quarterback in fantasy or higher. And I then asked coach one more thing further. This is a nice plug for coach here. I said, now I want you to average all of those quarterbacks for me and give me the average quarterback finish of a quarterback that rushes for 500 more yards in a season. Quarterback five. That's what it ended up being as quarterback five. So it's not a full proof system, but what that does show you is if he is capable of being a starting quarterback for the majority of the season. And he gets to that rushing marker. It show when you historically in the last 10 years, they've been a quarterback five and only three have not finished as a top 10 quarterback. So that is me backing the system there. Debra, I know you kind of agree with this. I'm Malik Willis. What are we doing in ADP? Like I just have to throw this out here. Like in the year 2026, did the Konami Code die? Like did I miss the memo? Because for everything we're talking about rushing, it matters. You're going to be a top 12 or flirting with that type of production. Real-time ADP, Malik Willis is QB 22. Make it make sense. I do not understand that. JJ, I don't know where you have him rank, but I've got Willis at QB 14. I'm absolutely emphatically with you. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, like it's it's it's wild to me. I think he's honestly the easiest click on the board in general, because it's free. And if it doesn't pan out, it's not that hard to replace. I agree. All right, I'll final one here, Debra. We're going to get a little bit less questions in this segment. We will try to get to a few. I've seen some people with some bold takes into that. I really like. So we'll try to burn through this one, but I don't want to burn too quick here. The last bold prediction is a really high-end player, a first-round talent that Debra, you're thinking he might not finish as high as people are putting him out here. So talk to us about this wide receiver that might fail this year in your bold prediction. The real-time ADP wide receiver six right now. I'm telling you that Justin Jefferson will finish outside the top 20 wide receivers. Again, this season, unfortunately. And this is somewhat of a Justin Jefferson take. This is somewhat of a, I do not believe in Kyler Murray kind of take. But if you look at Justin Jefferson on a per-round basis last year, even just taking out like, okay, back quarterback play on volume and routes and snaps and all that kind of stuff, he was still only the wide receiver 15 and XFP per game. He was still only the wide receiver 17 and XFP per route. So still not a wide receiver one, much less a top 10 wide receiver. So then we get to, okay, what does the Vikings offense look like this year? I don't think Kyler Murray is a good fit for KOC's offense asking him to play in structure on time. He can't even access the middle of the freaking field. So what are we going to do? Get just like sideline shots and this looks like the Eagles offense of yesterday and it's just go balls and stuff of Kyler? I also think with the Vikings, we could see them become more run-heavy because of Kyler. Like this team last year was 19th and neutral passing rate, 16th and pass rate over expectation. Both of those numbers could go down this year and Jefferson quietly, although nobody wants to talk about it, took a step back amongst 109 qualifying wide receivers. I don't know if anybody out there would be telling you that Justin Jefferson was out tied the top 25 wide receivers in separation score and wrap win rate. So if this was, okay, maybe the beginning of Justin Jefferson's still really good at football, but maybe he's not elite. This offense goes a little bit more run-heavy and Kyler still garbage as a quarterback and we see JJ McCarthy at some point this year. Justin Jefferson is not a top 20 wide receiver in fantasy again this year. It was a hard one for me to back. I did do just a few look in here and a yards per game. He's average over 90 yards per game behind cousins, wins and darnled, but Mullins and McCarthy became an absolute disaster. Really interesting is touchdown rate is the most significant. Sam Darnoldy had a 9.71 touchdown rate per reception. That dropped a full percent under Nick Mullins. Kurt Cousins was actually in the 8 percent tower range, but there was so much volume and then under JJ McCarthy that one under 8. So if he can be more, if he can be better, then if Kyler Murray can be better, then obviously JJ McCarthy and serviceable to what we've seen before. I think it's hard for him not to be based on from touchdowns to volume, but I know we are going with this. JJ, what do you think? Not top 20 wide receiver for Justin Jefferson? I mean, look, it's a bold prediction show. It's a bold prediction, and it's one that is backed in. I could see it going down. One of the other parts of this KOC offense that I think is important is that one of the reason why Sam Darnold was able to thrive in is because arm strength, and I am a little bit worried about what Kyler brings the table from that perspective to and be able to push the ball down the field because they're going to want to do that, and that's why they were able to thrive with Darnold the way that they did. So there is a little bit of fear there. I mean, I'm not going to go as bold as Debro would, but I think that there is at least a possibility as not a wide receiver one. I don't think that that's out of the question whatsoever. We're giving away a free one-year fantasy pros premium subscription to one lucky viewer in today's stream. So if you guys want to get a full year of premium fantasy tools to help your draft, manage your team, dominate your league. Here's how you enter. Subscribe to the fantasy pros YouTube channel. Drop a comment below on this stream, and that's it. We'll be announcing a winner toward the end of fantasy fest. So stick around. Keep those comments going. It is the easiest way to enter a contest, and the majority of you have already entered yourself. So rock that in. We've only got like a minute or two here. I want to put a few, this is what we're going to do. I'm going to put a few of these bold predictions that some of our listeners have put up, and I want you to buy yourself them. All right. So yeah, it's trapping. Bold take. Mike Washington is more touchdowns than Gen T.
JJ. I mean, I'd only sell if we knew that Gen T was out for like half the season, but I'm not, I'm, I'm, yeah, I'm, yeah, I would only buy, I would say. I'm, so I'm selling. Okay, D-ro. -Selling. -So I could sell. Is it bold to say Strypling will be a wide receiver one from this year's rookie class this season, D-ro? -If the substation capsizes the entire receiving depth chart, it's not wild to say. I'm actually going to buy this. -JJ? I'll buy it with the way that things are going for, for the top guys in the class. All right, bold take. Chase Brown finishes as a top five running back this year. JJ, I mean, I think I have met like RB six or something right now, so it's got an RB five, so I'm not very bold for me. -By the way, this one, just completely. We don't even have to get a take, but Justin Jefferson, wide receiver won this year, so you and Timeline are going against it. Here's another Strypling one. Here's a little bit more. Bold take. Strypling, top 24 wide receiver this season, pierce all out. They're given the reasons behind it. So we, we said top from the class, but what do you think about as a wide receiver, too? -Good happen. -Yep, easy. -Okay, you guys both buy, aren't you good? Do you want to smith? Will not finish as a top 25 wide receiver? -Selling that. -I'm selling. -Selling. -Okay. I want to get you guys on like the other side of it. We had a bold take on Malik Willis. We had this one. That's okay, here we go. Here's the last one. And look at the name of the person. -Dronko's Jake says bonix as a top five quarterback. -I'm going to take from Gronko's Jake. Yeah, I can see it happen. The only reason I would sell is because quarterback is so competitive, but aside from that, like I can definitely see, you know, bonix having a good year. -Because the passing going. -I love it. They're going to be top three, top five, and passing. -And I love, I'm sowing on Jaylen Waddle. -Oh, dude, bet. We'll sowing. -Yes, sir. -Yes, sir. -Well, we don't, we have to do a whole another fest if we want to talk about Jaylen Waddle here. -Jaylen Waddle Fest. -Yeah, exactly. There you go. Shout out to JayJay's Accuracyn for joining us. You can find him on X-LateRoundQB. Make sure you check out everything. One of the best in the business, JayJay. We appreciate you. You know, you're just going to have to give some hugs and kisses to Seth who we had to boot off. -I know. I had to tell you. -Again, genuinely, I'm so sorry. I don't know how that even happened, but I'm apologies, and hopefully the fire from the takes made up for it. You are here. You were here, and you gave some fire takes. We appreciate you, JayJay. Fantasy Fest rolls on. Don't go anywhere because Jake Seely is coming up. We got a whole bunch more right after this here on The Fantasy Fest. -Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pro's Fantasy Football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts at fantasyproves.com/review or on Spotify. Follow us on X, Instagram, and TikTok at fantasyproves, and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/fantasyproves. -Hey, this is Hayes Davenport. -And Sean Clements. -We host the podcast, Hollywood Handbook. -Each week, we talk to someone in show business and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. Everyone has a good time, and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show. -We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman, Adam Scott, Danny McBride, Ben Stillert, and a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. 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Podcast Summary
Key Points:
The podcast features a bold prediction segment during Fantasy Fest, where hosts Chris Welch, Debro, and Seth Wolcock discuss high-impact, data-backed fantasy football forecasts.
JJ Zacharyson, a guest host, makes a bold prediction that Stefan Diggs and Terry McLaurin will both finish as top-24 wide receivers in 2026 due to improved target volume, route running efficiency, and offensive synergy.
Debro offers a bold prediction that Pukka Nakuwa will average 26 PPR points per game in 2026, citing his strong per-route efficiency and potential red-zone role in a consolidated offense.
JJ predicts Malik Willis will finish as a top-12 quarterback, emphasizing his rushing production (7+ points per game) and historical trends showing that quarterbacks with 500+ rushing yards finish in the top 10.
A controversial bold take is that Justin Jefferson will finish outside the top 20 wide receivers due to a run-heavy Vikings offense and Kyler Murray’s struggles as a passer.
The segment highlights real-time ADP data, historical trends, and statistical analysis as key thresholds for what defines a "bold" prediction.
Audience interaction is encouraged through live comments, with the hosts responding to bold takes and questions from listeners.
Summary:
The Fantasy Fest segment of the iHeart podcast "Guaranteed Human" features a lively discussion on bold fantasy football predictions, hosted by Chris Welch, Debro, and Seth Wolcock. Guests including JJ Zacharyson and Debro offer data-driven forecasts, with JJ predicting Stefan Diggs and Terry McLaurin will both finish in the top 24 wide receivers due to offensive efficiency and target volume. Debro boldly forecasts Pukka Nakuwa will average 26 PPR points per game in 2026 based on his per-route efficiency and red-zone usage.
JJ also predicts Malik Willis will achieve a top-12 quarterback finish, supported by historical trends showing that quarterbacks with 500+ rushing yards typically finish in the top 10. A more controversial take is that Justin Jefferson will fall outside the top 20 due to a shift toward a run-heavy offense in Minnesota. The hosts emphasize that bold predictions must be grounded in statistical possibility, not hype, and encourage listener engagement through live comments.
The segment concludes with audience participation in bold takes, including predictions on Stryling, Chase Brown, and Jaylen Waddle, while also promoting League Base as a fantasy league management tool. The episode blends data analysis, humor, and real-time insights into fantasy football strategy.
FAQs
A bold prediction is one that has a clear lane of possibility and is backed by data or analysis. It must be realistic and something you can 'squint and see' in your mind, ensuring it's not just a random or unrealistic claim.
JJ predicts that both Stefan Diggs and Terry McLaurin will finish in the top 24 as wide receivers, driven by their strong route efficiency, target volume, and the potential for a consolidated passing attack in Washington.
It’s bold because only two wide receivers since 2015 have averaged over 25 PPR points per game. Pukka’s high per-route efficiency and potential red zone role make it a statistically plausible, yet rare, achievement.
JJ predicts Malik Willis will average at least seven points per game via rushing and throwing, placing him in the top 10 or top 12 quarterback rankings, even if he doesn’t finish as a top 10 passer.
Debra and JJ predict he may not finish in the top 20 due to a more run-heavy Vikings offense, Kyler Murray’s limited playmaking, and a drop in touchdown rate, though it remains a debated take.
Real-time ADP provides up-to-date insights into player value and market expectations, helping analysts assess whether a bold prediction aligns with current trends and player usage.
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