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2026 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: How to DOMINATE the First 4 Rounds with Jake Ciely | Best of the Fest (Ep. 2155)

28m 18s

2026 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: How to DOMINATE the First 4 Rounds with Jake Ciely | Best of the Fest (Ep. 2155)

The episode of "Hollywood Handbook" features a deep dive into fantasy football draft strategy, hosted by Hayes Davenport and Sean Clemence, with guest Jake Sealey providing expert insights. The core strategy centers on targeting two running backs and two wide receivers in the first four rounds, with Jake prioritizing Javonte Williams and Mekko Buka for their volume and health potential. DeBros champions James Cook and Chase Brown, citing Cook’s health and efficiency, and Brown’s per-touch scoring. A central debate compares Jalen Waddle and Mekko Buka, with Waddle valued for his upside but flagged for injury concerns, while Buka is seen as a safer, higher-value pick due to recovery from injury and offensive line stability. The hosts emphasize flexibility—adapting to real-time ADP, injuries, and player performance—highlighting that draft plans must be dynamic. They also address league-specific strategies, such as prioritizing elite players in PPR 18-team formats, and discuss concerns about offensive line health and quarterback performance. The segment concludes with a fun, engaging discussion on player comparisons and graphics, reinforcing the importance of balance, risk assessment, and adaptability in fantasy football drafting.

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This is an iHeart podcast, Guaranteed Human. Hey, this is Hayes Davenport and Sean Clemence. We host the podcast, Hollywood Handbook. Each week we talk to someone in show business and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. Everyone has a good time and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show. We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman, Adam Scott, Danny McBride, Ben Stillert and a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. This is an Hollywood Handbook on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Well, what an interesting transition as we talk about draft strategies in the mock simulator because we are going to talk draft strategy. Whatever we're going to be doing in this episode, you guys can take over to the mock simulator and you can experiment because we've got the athletic zone, Jake Sealey, the all-in-kid and your dog. I didn't know we didn't have a four-box here for the dog, but we can if you need to. No, we just take that part, but what is it yeah, no, that's Ziggy, okay, I'm just always used to park. All right. Well, you know, hey, everybody, everybody is very excited about the mock draft simulator and draft strategy. So we got it. No kickers, ban, high-markly. We are going to be talking draft strategy with the athletics own, Jake Sealey. And if you guys have got questions for Dre, especially if you guys want to hone in on draft strategy in the first couple rounds, drop in the comments below. We'll have a little bit more time to get into questions on this one and we will do that after we are talking about full-on strategy and what you guys are going to do as far as targets go in the first couple pick. So, Jake, why don't you kick us off here with those first four picks. What is your general consensus in strategy? You and I have done so many shows here, so like I can already feel the Kyron Williams third round thing happening. But like, positionally, like, what do you want to do through the first four rounds? And then we'll talk about some draft targets here in a second. Yeah. I just want to make sure you get the bottom part where they can see it's kind of dark. It's not going to be a kicker. Yeah, we know. For the first four rounds, especially this year, and I know we have the Gentie injury, but I mean, that's just another one that's out the window now is my strategy has been. I want to get it running back in the first two rounds, ideally two in the first three. I just like my team is better. It hasn't been something I've always done. We've done a mock draft on this channel where I started three straight-wire receivers because my third-wire receiver was Teteromic Millen, and I'm like, I have to at that point. And I still really like that team. I think that was actually one of the teams that rated out one of the highest that we have in the simulator, the analysis afterwards. But I'm not going to be holding to it if the value is not there. But my ideal scenario out of the first three rounds is to get to running back. So by that point and round four, I'm usually sitting on two and two, maybe if Lovyn last to the fourth at this point, he's getting to the third round and just went mid-third in the CBS draft, draft I just did. But generally, you'll be two and two, most commonly. Yeah. I kind of agree with you like that. I think that's my wishful, hopeful thinking as I'm going to go to, too. But I'm kind of with you and everything that we've done, and I'm like the running back. I've always been a running back guy, I get smashed by everybody about how much I love running backs. I did rank pretty well in running backs on wide receivers that last year that I tend to be the guy that wants to have two running backs and I usually would have told you two in the first three rounds. But the amount of times I find myself wanting to press three wide receiver through the first four rounds and usually with the first three picks because they're monsters. You get Tederot as your third wide receiver, sometimes they flowers. I kind of can't help myself and I think there's a couple running back spots that you can really grab. Basial Tutant tends to be one of those guys where it's like, you know, you don't want them as an RB1, but it's like if you want to play this like pseudo, it's not quite zero running back, but like lower leverage running back situation. I can do it. I mean, but I think the two two is the place to go. Now go ahead. I know you're going in deep, bro, but you said one of the names. If Javonte or Kyron are there at the end of the third, you can circle back in the fourth and still get a wide receiver and only have one running back in the first three and all happy because I have three elite stud wide receivers to have Kyron to Javonte as my one, not the most ideal scenario, but they're there where you can make it happen. Do you bro, anything different on here? Do you think it's two two? Do you feel what the talent? I mean, we keep you looking at like an even look at real-time ADP, like I know everybody's a little weird about it. Right now, but at Bukka and Jalen Waddle, there's just like so much good value on the 20s, you know, the early 20s or early 18s of wide receivers that it's like, I don't think it's bad to say I want three wide receivers running back through the first four, but what's your ideal strategy? I mean, I'm with Jake on this one. I think in most leagues, I'm walking away with two running backs in the first four rounds. Maybe if you want to move that to the first five rounds, I'm fine with it. It depends on, you know, what the board looks like and stuff because sometimes you'll get David Montgomery falling into the fifth round, maybe Deandre Swift, somebody like that. Really, I mean, it just comes down to the first four rounds. I do ideally want to walk out with two running backs. Now, again, this is Choose Your Own Adventure. How you're accomplishing that is totally up to you and are you drafting two wide receivers? Are you drafting a wide receiver? I would say out of those first four rounds, you need to walk out of it with at least one wide receiver. But insane that I'm leaving myself open that I'm addressing two running backs and I'm allowing myself the possibility that I'm getting a wide receiver and maybe paying up for an elite tied in like a bowers or a loveland along the way in those first four rounds. Well, very interesting. You say that you guys were given the task to create your own adventure. We're not going to have it in book style, but we'll have it in podcast style where you each had to pick your own draft spot and then you are going to give the ideal targets on each one. We were given the draft. You were given the pick. I don't want one of those three. I actually hate me. Okay, I love my draft spot. I'll just go ahead and say that this is one of the people. That's funny. I didn't realize you were. I like that you were forced into it because by the way, if it's good, it's going to blow up your strategy as my voice starts to blow up here. So welcome to your party. Apparently, I just it's going to be a tough time for your life. I heard you guys didn't get to pick your draft spot and I was like, oh my god, Jake must have screamed. That must have been hours. But you guys were given a draft spot and then you had to create your best target. So your create your own adventure is the players that you were going to end up putting there. So we are going to go in little buckets around one and two each of you. Then we'll go into the back part, Jake. Let's start with you. Round one and two ideal spots. You said you want to you want to run it back to two wide receivers. You were given the third pick and you completely blew up your ideal draft strategy here. So who are your ideal picks and targets for one and two? Because I don't like three or four, how the teams have turned out this year. We've done a spot where I was three on one of our mock draft shows and I was like, man, I really don't, this is not my team. And it's still a good team and we can draft from any spot and have a good team. It's just not something I love. But if I do have the three, initially I was leaning Pukinakua, the fact that he's still not quite out there is enough as an incy to say, you know, let's just go to Jamar Chase while I play around with it. Although I was going to say terrified with that clip yesterday and it's like, oh my god, we could just stop. And then today by the way, him not practicing like they added a little bit more to it because he was like, oh, yeah, no, I'm good. And then he doesn't practice. I knew he wasn't going to. No, no, no. I'm not worried. Yeah. I've got a roll of bubble wrap. We can send them. Just put it around his body. Don't let him step on it. We don't need Jamar Chase to practice. Like we don't like stop. Leave him alone. But if I had the 103, I would go chase, like I said, I was considering Nakua, but I think Chase is the pick there. And then to come back, I don't ever, and I never will. I never did back in the day. Take a tight end in the first round. My argument against Travis Kelsey was that he has to be the four points per game ahead of the next tight end to be first round worthy. But at the third to last pick in the second round, I will jump on Brock Bowers, where he's there. I actually have him two spots higher and overall because that's where you have to start thinking about what I love to take him on the turn. I actually just did a draft where I had the one on one. I went Gibbs Bowers. I would love to get him there, but you kind of have to make that decision because you know he's probably not making it back to the third pick in the third round. And you know, I do not have a running back yet. If I had my choice to start from one of the three, I would go chase Bowers, and I'd be happy about it. I want to be gleeful, but I'll be happy. All right. Well, you're going to have some work to do is we're going to be moving through here. So Debro, let's jump to you, your position, your spot, and then let's talk about your first and your second round target, well, as we continue to this draft strategy. Yeah. So for this thought exercise, I'm drafting from the 110. For me, again, we're talking about a lot of drafters, and I'm with it. If you're at the back end of the first round, I'm totally fine with going running back, running back, start, and it's James Cook and Chase Brown for me. I love James Cook at the back end, like I'll take him at like 107, 108, totally fine. Like I think he's got top three upside this year, because all the parts and pieces are there. He's in one of the best offenses in the NFL check. He's going to get volume. We saw that last year. And he'd lead the entire freaking NFL and rushing yards. He was third and rushing attempts. The part that puts him over into that top three top two rare fight air this year is the past game usage. And Pete Carmichael being there, and though this is not a Sean Payton stat, because everybody's going to say immediately like, oh, it's just you're just touting Sean Payton numbers. And when he was in New Orleans, two years, Pete was still calling plays without Sean Payton there. Both years, top 10 and running back target cheer and both seasons. And that's something we haven't seen out of the bills. And if everybody can be kind of rewind, when James Cook came out as a prospect, he was supposed to be like this awesome passing down back. And since his rookie season, we just haven't seen that that utilization form because they've been using him so much on early downs. So I love James Cook where he goes and let me let me stop you before you go to Chase Brown or quick. Where do you have James Cook ranked? RB three right now. Yes. I flip flop him back and forth with CMC on it. Okay. Exactly where I wanted to go because I want to know to you subscribe to the Andrew Erickson book of hate that says, Christian McCaffrey had 400 touches. So he's garbage. You do not know. No, I do not. because the fact about CMC is he stayed healthy last year. He was actually better down the back half of last season. There are offensive line play better. So going into this year, I was looking at his overall peripherals and metrics and efficiency stuff. And I was like, oh, God, this is bad. This is like Alvin Camaro level, like slowing down and it's all volume and stuff. But a lot of that, if you parse it out, just a tale of two seasons, it was the offensive line. Beginning of the season, they were a bottom five offensive line and run blocking back half of the season. They were a top 10 offensive line and run blocking. It's a binary decision with CMC. He stays healthy. He's a top two running back. It's just that simple. - Yeah, Erickson turns into like for Marvel fans. He turns into like Dr. Strange and it's the dark hold. His dark hold is 400 touches. And it just everything becomes evil. And he has great magic behind him, but he just can't get away. - No, you know what happened? I gotta jump in on this one is everybody turned it to 400 because the 370 touch volume got blown up in their faces when the fact that like people like me were like, oh, by the way, Larry Johnson did it for three years in a row, Demarco Marry. Demarco Marry bounced back with Tennessee after being used incorrectly. Ricky Williams did it three, four years in a row. Danny Thomas and did it seven straight seasons. And they're like, oh, well, moon, we need to change the number. Then that's the before hundred. - Okay, how about the full post, Jay? - Exactly, it's a random number. How about the fact that Tiki Barber came off 400 touches at the age of 30 and then had 385 next year. And we're talking about Tiki Barber. So like, could it blow up in our faces? - Absolutely. The biggest thing DeBros said this since day one, we've been doing these shows this all season and he's a hundred percent right. It's a binary decision. He stays healthy. He's in play to be the number one player again. If he gets hurt, everybody's gonna be like, "Ha ha, told you he got hurt." - Yeah, efficiency doesn't play in. I completely agree with this. - But the risk is baked in at the back end of the first round. You're able to draft a guy that's still be the RB-104. - He's not going well. - Well, the funny thing you're doing is the top three pick. - Erickson did the video where he was like, if he's the number one guy, where are we not drafting him number one? It's like, yeah, it's baked in. - Because you don't have to. That's the risk. - Yeah, all right. So I made that about CMC. I just wanted to know on the James Coast side. Finish up, Chase Brown is your second round guy. - Yeah, Chase Brown, I'm just smashing the second round because like, I've got him at RB-5, man. Like, I think he's gonna crush and for everybody thinks that he can't pay off on that ranking. I just kindly point you to Week 13 through 18 last year when he was the RB-2 in fantasy points per game with Samaja P. Ryan. And the thing about Chase Brown, man. Like, he was all someone on a per-touch basis. Like, basically after starting the season slow so Week 6 through 18, RB-6 in fantasy points per game, he was top 20 in every per-touch efficiency metric that I care about. And I think the thing with Chase Brown is we could finally get the touchdown outlier season. For a guy that's, he scored 11 touchdowns each of the past two years. If you bump that number up to 14 or 18 and he has like an Austin Eccler or a James Cook type of run out to where he gets more touchdowns in this freaking offense if Joe Barrow can stay healthy, then Chase Brown could be the guy that's also a top five back, but you're getting him in the freaking second round. - Yeah, it's a very good value. All right, we've got rounds three and four coming up, but quick PSA before your next draft. Check out the fantasy pros draft assistant. And by the way, it's not just a public service announcement. It is a PSA gemment 10, the fantasy pros draft assistant. It gives you expert recommendations for every pick, real-time alerts and even predicts when and which players could make it back to you. And with fantasy pros premium, you'll get help all season long with line-ups, waivers, trades and more. Start your free trial. Yes, a free trial today at fantasyprose.com/free. That's fantasyprose.com/free. - I'm Mungus, you're together, and I'm back with a new season of the podcast Skyline Drive. This time I'm diving into a rabbit hole of peptides, organoids, blood boys, blue zones, and brain replacement to try to understand what this longevity obsession is all about. And what it really means to live forever for all of us. I learned about some rad science. - I can make a brain for you. And then we can test what draw is the best for your brain, a suppose to his brain. - Here's some hard truths. - I would expect Indians to age faster, but I did not expect it to be almost a four to five year acceleration. - And get myself into a world of trouble. - I'd say probably start bone smashing. - That doesn't work. - Make you look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. - Listen to Skyline Drive, how to live forever on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. - Hey, this is A's Davenport. - And Sean Clements. - We host the podcast, Hollywood Handbook on the Big Money Players Network. - Our show is extremely accessible to first-time listeners. Each week we talk to someone in show business, aka The Biz, and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. Everyone has a good time, and no one gets mad at their publicists for letting them do our show. - We've had a lot of great guests, like Sarah Sherman, not that great. - Can you help me shape this? - Yeah. - How about we flip it on his head? - No. - How about we flip this around? - Yeah. - Okay, what is the surprise one, man? Actually, you think as the straight man is actually the one who's acting weird. - Adam Scott, this entire time, you've been expecting Adam Sandler to come to visit the show. - I would never let go of that. - I have, yeah. - I would never set expectations for something like that. - It seems like if the universe allows for something like that to happen. - I am open to it. - I'm always going to accept, you know. - Okay. - Danny McBride, fine. - Yeah, it's all this fragile masculinity exuding. I could smell it walking on the hallway, to be honest with you. - I think it smells exactly like weed. Nope, it's fragile masculinity. - Ben stiller, no. - I think there's a lot of times out of context, people don't get it, or even know what a circle is. You know what I mean? Like you're like, "Oh, it's so stupid." - Everyone's so dumb, it's for you. - And fake. - Right, fake and also not interested, or just like, "Oh, I've got my life. I don't care about your life." - And a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. - Oh, and by the way, Will Ferrell told us personally he loves the show, and he wants to be a guest on every episode, but he's just so busy. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. - Our town is small taters by most standards, right? But to the people who grew up here, it's everything. - What happens when a quiet Tennessee town becomes the front line in a battle over the future of America? - Developers with right wing ties have purchased hundreds of acres of land in the area. - The first thing you see when it pops up is high nears and apple etch. But they weren't just planning houses. - We need cities on a shining hill that exemplify and embody the Christian way of life. - Stop right there, is that normal? - A podcast about what happens when a small town becomes the site of a social experiment. - God need men to rule, great! - And decides to fight back. - Do not use my hard work to sell your bull (beep) - They're not just opposing what's being planned for here. - Our hometown is not a test too. - They feel like they're standing in opposition to an entire administration. - Guess you didn't move in on a bunch of dumb hillbillies now, did you? - Listen to our town on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. - Okay, doke, let's jump into the next rounds here where we have got rounds three and four. Jake, we're gonna jump back to you here. You do not have a running back. Are you gonna continue not having a running back if you're picking three and four? - Oki, boki, doki, whatever the hell can we just say? I'm sorry, you got me with your return. - I think Oki Doki, I think Oki Doki. Have you never heard of the term Oki Doki? - No, it's the way you said it. I don't know what this all is. Anyway, yes, I am getting my running back here. I am getting my running, like I actually really wanted to say Kyron Williams, but because at the 103, he goes one or two picks right before that, which is again, don't love the 103. I didn't cheat and get Kyron Williams, so I went with the next one, right after, I'm a Javante Williams. All the Williams is, and beyond us about it, the volume of touches is all for Javante anyway. We finally got healthy back to what we knew about Javante Williams last year. There was all the steam and helium behind Javante, or Jaden Blue, and that didn't go anywhere. Malik Davis was the backup, and it looks like we might be running down that same road again with Malik Davis and Jaden Blue competing for touches behind him, probably splitting that backfield thing where to happen, but the point being, is Javante is walking back into his bell cow roll for one of the highest octane, highest scoring, highest whatever you want off as is in the league. That's up there of the ilks of the bangles and everything like that. So why aren't we more excited about Javante Williams? We finally got him back. We finally got what we wanted out of him, and he was one of the best values last year to get him the end of the third round. I will click that every single time, especially if I went Y receiver, Y receiver, Y receiver tied in like I did in this case, and then you brought out the other name earlier, I'm still clicking in Mekko Buka in the fourth round. Like I was even thinking about in the third round. We're talking about somebody that, look at the start of the last season. Look at what he did in the start of the last season. Yes, all those games came with no Mike Evans or Chris Godwin, and then after that, but you know what also happened after that? He got hurt. Baker may feel play through an injury. He played through an injury. The offensive line fell apart. There was one offensive line in that played the entire season. That was their center. Nobody else was 12 games or fewer. And the 12 games actually came from a returning injury offensive line, and that somehow stayed healthy for the rest of the season and worse. Everything went wrong. Like we make jokes about your substation team, the 49ers, and everybody's losses over the fact that how bad it went for the bucks last year. And to get Baker healthy, healthy, the offensive line healthy, and Ibuka has this time off, which is what we really hope any Wyversy ever has is just time off. We don't need you on the field. Just stay healthy, Jamar chase is that Ibuka still has legit top 10 upside, but now you're getting him in the fourth round because people are worried about the toe. And maybe it's a grade three. That's the one thing. I will say we don't know. They haven't said how severe the toe sprain is for the turf toe. If it is grade three, this is going to hurt a hell of a lot because it'll bug him the entire year. And that'll be another injury plays through. But if it's on the mile case, which it sounds like that might be the optimism, then he'll be fine for a week, one in all this layoff, we'll have him walk you right into that number one rule. We expect that he could be this year. All right. Third spot, first pick. We've got Jamar chase, Brock Bowers, Javante Williams, Amecha Egbuka. Let's see what people think in the comments, but also hold it, especially if you want to have a little battle here, which build do you like better? Because we got to get Debrose rounds three and four. Debrote, let's go over to yours where you kicked us off with where did you kick us out? We kicked with James Cook and Chase Brown, so you went running back, running back. You obviously have a clear need. You did say you wanted to go to running back to wide receiver here. So are you going to tab wide receiver with your next two picks? Absolutely. And if I didn't go running back, running back, I would have picked Javante Williams and been riding with Jake with this one because I love where he goes and drafts. But I'm going Chris Alave from my first wide receiver in round three. I bumped up his ranking with the Jordan Tyson news, man, like he, I just, I put him at wide receiver seven and everybody, like, I put that on on social media when I was updating the top 200 and everybody's like, Oh, Lord, really? That high. I'm like, apparently, people don't realize that he finished as the wide receiver seven and fantasy points per game last year. So if Tyler Schuck can take another step forward this year, this offense is better. Yeah, Chris Alave, top seven wide receiver. I've got him above Drake London. I got him above George Pickens. He can smash, man. So he's going to just keep gobbling up volume from who we hope as an ascending quarterback. And round four, it has been in remains Javin Waddle season. I think he's going to produce as a wide receiver one and fantasy this year. There is no difference between him and what happened to AJ Brown. Both guys going from run first offences to pass heavy offences. Javin Waddle crushed Cortland Sutton on every parametric that matters for everybody that says to Javin Waddle has never been a lead. What are you talking about? Like last year, he was talking to all of it, everything that I care about, what a pause. What a pause, deep roaches dropped on us. I was like, I thought he has to say, but he still let me jump in. I actually, I got in the back of my throat, I was like, Oh, okay, let's go. You were going to drop a bomb. What were you going to say, Jake? I was going to say, like two things is one. If he's in any draft with me and I'm at the 103, there's no way that a lot is making it. I'm thinking two, three turn and then the other thing is laughing is like, one of the graphics look like they're getting more serious, like James Cook's got a smirk. Chase Brown looks like he's trying to hard to be strong and then a lot of a serious, and then Waddle looks like he's going to kick everybody's while it gets back, Jake. Yeah. Waddle being drafted to open draft season, but tell me Chase Brown doesn't look like he's trying hard to look serious. Listen, the who's the one guy smiling, the guy in the first round, everybody else feels they should be a first round. Anyway, shout out to our crew this year, Cali, set on the scenes, Ethan with the graphics, everything looks gorgeous. I love this look here. And I think that's a beautiful little moment there of James Cook looking super happy in the first round. The rest of the guys. Did I ask you, Ameca or Waddle? Debra, you start here. Waddle. Which side are you? Easy Waddle. Like how far? What's the rank difference? I've got Waddle as a top 12 wide receiver. I've got Ameca with the toe a little bit of scared about the toe, I bumped it down to wide receiver 17. So there's a difference there. Jake, what about you? Waddle or Agbuka? The six wide receiver gap spot between the two. Agbuka. Okay. Yeah. Cause I'm on the Agbuka side. So there's no toe or foot issues with you. By the way, if Debra and I are drafting altogether, he's never getting in a lava, but he's getting all the water. Yeah. Okay. And you guys are switching on that. Interesting debate in battle. Can I see the other graphic real quick? I just want to see now is the first rounder also a crash. Yeah. I need the four. Jamar's a look. Jamar's kind of smirk. Maybe I can pick it for upset. Yeah. Yeah. I'd say Javonte feels disrespected a little bit and Bauer is just bad because he went back to that bad haircut of his. Yeah. There's a lot of like Turkey comments in that. There's a back. Yeah. So Buka gets smacked in the face right before that picture. Yeah. I don't know. I love it. There's a little bit of pan face. I think we're steamed. Do you guys like it? Put it in the chat below. Now that you've seen all of them. Debrose. Even though I don't know. Yeah. Well, you guys, much as like Buka pick. Jamar Chase Brock Bowers. Da-da-da-da-da-da. Javonte Williams and Mekke Buka, or James Cook, Chase Brown, Chris Alave, Jalen Waddle. There's a Titan build in there. There's the two breaking in. I really like these builds. I think they're a ton of fun. And I think it's a great strategy and kind of a really great placeholder. As even if you say you want to go in, you know, with a plan, Mike Tyson said, everybody's got a plan until they get punched in the face. You want to go into running backs and two wide receivers, Jake didn't even do that based on the positional stuff. So you've got to be able to adjust. Debrose. Yeah. Thanks, John. Yeah. I love it. I love it. John, getting you worked up here. All right. Well, I want to get to some of your guys' questions. And that is where we are going to be tackling. But first, when I remind you guys, when the fest is over, many hours from now, it's not actually over. It's just over on YouTube because I want you guys to head over to twitch.tv/fantasypros for the fantasy fest after party. We're going to be running two mock drafts against the audience. We're going to be giving away a $50 fantasy pro store card to one lucky winner after each draft. So you can come and draft with us, talk fantasy, keep the fest going. I believe it's Bogman and Alfredo and maybe Seth Wolk. I don't remember everybody that's there. But I know Alfredo and I know Bogman are there. Someone will let me know. But it's going to be awesome. Twitch.tv/fantasypro. Do some drafts, win some stuff. Let the party keep going. I want you guys to hang with us. Seth Bogman, the fantasy dude, now Alfredo is stopping by. That's okay. Yeah. I didn't realize the fantasy dude is on there. I just did a mock draft with him. I had a great time. He's in heavy glasses and everything. It's like a good human. It's a blast. All right. Let's answer some questions. I can do my JJ Zacharyson. There you go. There you go. Oh yeah, that's good. Or the Seth Wolk. You know, the thing that went unnoticed was like Seth also had like the nice hair in the glasses. You know what? If we had time and had been thinking about it, we were a little panicked. We should have been like, this is like Walmart, JJ Zacharyson. This is like alternative version of him. But shout out to Seth. We're coming. Are you calling Seth Teemu JJ? I think we're going with this. Is that what you just did? I mean, I'm like Teemu John Lackie. So I get all of that. And with all the respect on the plan, all the respect on the plan. I do look like John Lackie. I don't know. I put it together. I really had somebody in public at a baseball game come up and say, I'm so sorry. But me and my wife were curious. Don't forget your questions, everybody. Yeah. Why does everybody look like it? It's a nightmare. Please don't tell me who I look like. Yeah. Don't tell me I look like Action Bronson. I've gotten too much in the gym. Yeah. They're all going to be offensive. They're never anything good whatsoever. But let's answer some questions here. Captain, we actually talked about this in the last one. Should we be worried about the commander's old line? I've got a lot of JD five. You know, we just had JJ speaking of talked about both wide receivers being a top 24. I'm a little dicey on it. Jake, what do you think? Should we be more worried about specifically Jayden Daniels than being getting credit for? A great timing. Captain Patch is on this question because I wasn't until I got a text last night. And I'll even say this person because I respect them a hell of a lot. Put your phone up. Let's see it. Let's see the number two. I know. No. No. Ben Standig texted me talking fantasy. And then we sidebarred and he goes, I'm legitimately concerned about this offensive line. This is the same Ben Standig who told everybody to cool their jets and jacory crosskey merit last year. He's somebody that I extremely values opinion when it comes to the commanders. He's got a sub stack out there if you want to subscribe to one, by the way. And if he's saying he's severely concerned about this offensive line, then yeah, I'm going to take that with more than a grain of salt. I'm going to dump an entire bucket on it because now I'm not going to knock Jayden Daniels way down my ranks. It might be a spotter too because now we start talking about tie break differences and all that type of stuff. This actually might come more to them play with ceramic Lauren. Maybe we see more short passes to step on digs. Maybe a concue becomes the value he would we thought he could be anyway, even with this. And the run game that even if we do get the clear lead being crosskey merit and maybe it's not a great thing no matter what. So it's enough that it breaks some ties for me that I was considering players versus them. It's not the be all end all to like you bury everybody, but it's enough to it's enough to take notice. Well, you already talked about it. So let me throw this one at you from Grant. How do you adjust your approach for an 18 league? It's PPR. My current plan is to take two running backs in the first three then take Loveland at four six. So obviously the player pool becomes much greater. I tend to think this is a little like BPA. It's like a best available player, but our best player available. But what would you make an adjustment for in a PPR 18 league? Smaller leagues. I prioritize onesy positions because you're all everybody's going to run out and all start line up. You can put them back in tight and when you say yeah quarter back in tight and so whether you want to pay up for hours, the way that I want to attack those smaller leagues this year is get the last guy of the tier that I fully believe can be truly elite this year. So you're able to go right receiver and running back early. And that's going to be Colston Loveland. And I'm circling Jalen Hertz this year. Those are the two guys that I want to draft heavily and eight and ten team formats and then just crush running back a wide receiver around them. And by the way, big chef, we don't league shame here. We're not league shaming 18 leagues. We don't want to play him, but we're not going to leave. I mean, I'll play it. I'm family. I will league shame the crap at anybody playing with kickers. Well, yeah. Every time the kicker thing comes out too. Yeah, Jake just gets put into it. Whenever there's because there's such kicker discourse being like, you know, well, it's in fact matter of fact, it's a draft, you know, strategy, but you know what the funny thing is is like I talked about it as in like anecdotally for years, and then I did an entire article proving the numbers behind how it doesn't work either. And people still want to play with kickers, but hey, play how you want like 18 leagues you want to play with, you play Scott Fishbowl with three kickers and rookies only and touchdowns are negative 10 points, whatever. Play however you want. Have fun with it. All right. That's okay. We get when Jake gets on me and Jake, we just go on tangents. We go too far here. We got a couple questions. One more question. One more question. One more question. One more here. Fine. You can have one more. One more. To me, a viable RB two for my team, assuming I have a solid RB one. Do me another question. Uh, well, let me ask you this. Can you see your RB one if you took three wide receivers? Uh, I want to go that one. I do. Emory is about the last of that tier though. Like that. I do have the question for you. Uh, why does Jake hate Malik neighbors? Oh, okay, because I hate the giants. Yeah. It has nothing to do with it. It's just what like I hate. Yeah. I still have them as a Y receiver one. It's just the names in front of them. I don't have to deal with the risk of planning in the offense, hoping that everything works out with Roman and Nagy. And then the question of how much is he involved to start the season is this sake on Barclay of the Giants where we don't get real neighbors. And to the end of September, I still love neighbors. I want to Jersey, but it really just comes down to their names in front of them or a lobby and AJ Brown in both the cowboy. It's just people that I know, Nico Collins versus the risk that I have to take with neighbors. All right, friends. There you go. There you go. Really mental. I just gave you the names in front of them. Lots of questions, lots of draft strategy, killer stuff from our dear friend Jake Seely. All in kid and DeBro is going to take a little break. I think DeBro is going to be jumping into the chat. He's going to vault himself into there and he's going to spawn in the chat. Well, guess what? Spawning here in the next segment. Fitsy. Pat Fitzmore is and a dear friend of mine. I love him dearly. Scott Pianowski. We got more. So don't go anywhere more fantasy fest right after this. Thanks for listening to the fantasy pros fantasy football podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts at fantasypros.com/review or on Spotify. Follow us on X, Instagram and TikTok @fantasypros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/fantasypros. Hey, this is Hayes Davenport and Sean Clements. We host the podcast Hollywood Handbook each week. We talk to someone in show business and try to help them with their careers and see what they have to offer us. We've had a lot of great guests like Sarah Sherman, Adam Scott, Danny McBride, Ben Stillert, and a lot of other big shots that wouldn't be where they are without us. Listen to Hollywood Handbook on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. Our hometown is not a test tube. 90 miles northeast of Nashville, a battle for the future of America, plays out in one small town. The developers with right wing ties have purchased hundreds of acres of land. We need cities on a shining hill. This is our town. A podcast about what happens when a small town becomes the site of a social experiment and fights back. I guess you didn't move in on a bunch of dumb hillbilly's now, did you? Listen to our town on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Munga Shategiller and I'm back with a new season of my podcast Skyline Drive. This time I talked to scientists, biopunks, cormugians, blues owners, super seniors, and go as top cryotherapy lab to try to understand this obsession with living forever, and what it means for all of us. And I get into a bit of trouble along the way. I'd say probably start bone smashing. That doesn't work. Make you look more defined. They say it works. I don't know. Listen to Skyline Drive, how to live forever on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. The entire draft room grows because you just took the guy they wanted. There's no better feeling than crushing your fantasy football league. I'm JJ Zacharyson, host of the award-winning late-round podcast. Before your draft, our players to target and players to avoid episodes tell you exactly who to circle, and who to cross off. Listen to the late-round fantasy football podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an iHeart Podcast. Guaranteed Human.

Podcast Summary

Key Points:

  1. The podcast discusses draft strategy in fantasy football, focusing on ideal positions and targets in the first four rounds, with a strong preference for two running backs and two wide receivers.
  2. Jake Sealey recommends targeting Javonte Williams in the third or fourth round for his high touch volume and scoring potential, while also highlighting Mekko Buka as a value pick due to injury recovery and offensive line stability.
  3. DeBros favors James Cook and Chase Brown as top picks, emphasizing Cook’s health, efficiency, and high upside in a strong offense, and Brown’s per-touch efficiency and potential for a touchdown-heavy season.
  4. A key debate arises over whether to draft Jalen Waddle or Mekko Buka, with Waddle seen as a top-12 WR but with injury concerns, and Buka valued for health and volume potential.
  5. The hosts stress adaptability in draft strategy—emphasizing that plans should evolve based on real-time ADP, injuries, and player performance—citing Mike Tyson’s quote: “Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.”
  6. Additional discussion includes adjustments for PPR 18-league formats, prioritizing elite-tier players like Colston Loveland and Jalen Hertz, and addressing concerns about offensive line stability and quarterback performance.

Summary:

The episode of "Hollywood Handbook" features a deep dive into fantasy football draft strategy, hosted by Hayes Davenport and Sean Clemence, with guest Jake Sealey providing expert insights. The core strategy centers on targeting two running backs and two wide receivers in the first four rounds, with Jake prioritizing Javonte Williams and Mekko Buka for their volume and health potential. DeBros champions James Cook and Chase Brown, citing Cook’s health and efficiency, and Brown’s per-touch scoring.

A central debate compares Jalen Waddle and Mekko Buka, with Waddle valued for his upside but flagged for injury concerns, while Buka is seen as a safer, higher-value pick due to recovery from injury and offensive line stability. The hosts emphasize flexibility—adapting to real-time ADP, injuries, and player performance—highlighting that draft plans must be dynamic. They also address league-specific strategies, such as prioritizing elite players in PPR 18-team formats, and discuss concerns about offensive line health and quarterback performance.

The segment concludes with a fun, engaging discussion on player comparisons and graphics, reinforcing the importance of balance, risk assessment, and adaptability in fantasy football drafting.

FAQs

Most drafters recommend targeting two running backs in the first four rounds, with ideal scenarios including one in the first two rounds and another in rounds three or four. Some strategies prioritize getting a running back early, especially if the board shows strong value.

While some drafters are open to drafting three wide receivers, especially if there's strong value in early-round targets, the consensus is that two running backs and at least one wide receiver is typically the most balanced and effective approach.

Top first-round targets include Jamar Chase, Brock Bowers, and Javonte Williams. These players offer strong value and are often available in the first or second rounds, especially when combined with a healthy running back strategy.

In a PPR 18-league, prioritize elite wide receivers and one top-tier running back. Target players like Colston LaVeland and Jalen Hertz early, as they provide high upside in both receiving and rushing roles.

Yes, but caution is advised. Players like Jamar Chase or Mekko Buka with turf toe concerns should be evaluated carefully. If the injury is grade three, it could impact their season; if it's mild, they may recover well and offer strong value.

No, most drafters avoid drafting a tight end in the first round due to inconsistent production and limited upside. The focus is typically on running backs and wide receivers to maximize fantasy points.

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