10 BEST NFL Week 6 Player Props & Touchdown Picks! (Ep. 2271)

This is an iHeart podcast, Guaranteed Human. I'm Lacey Mosley, author, actor, stand-up comedian, creator, and host of Scam Goddess Podcasts. The True Crime Comedy Podcasts, all about robbery, fraud, and those who practice it. Each week I bring on an amazing guest. Ooh, I scammed them. What? I could talk to you for an hour. You're a generational yapper, like me. That's why I had to make yapping a job. And now you can catch full episodes of my show on YouTube. Start listening to Scam Goddess on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. ♪ Let's get it, I've got it ♪ What's up, friends? So welcome to Betting Pro's This is the week six prop show. I am the Welsh, that is Ericsson, and we are back. We are back last week. You had the wonderful Joe Madden and the great and powerful Scott Bogman as both Ericsson and I, we're back. We are back into our home. This, this is our home base, if you will. And we've got 10 props that we are going to be talking to you about four week six. We're going to be going through our touchdown calls, everything in between. Unfortunately, Ericsson, your favorite bet last week, was, I don't know, like inspired a little bit by you being in the same destination that Christian McCaffrey got married and you were there for a wedding and the over and the reception seems like it should have hit. Even though you weren't on the show, this was the one you were giving out on like, you know, the primary and everything like that. Didn't hit, but we're ready to catch them this week. You feel, you feel the prop gods just didn't have enough love for, I don't know, wedding, wedding signs. It feels like that should have played. Yeah, I know. I was feeling the good vibes with Christian McCaffrey. Now, I did go three and two overall with my props and the official plays that I played. Last week on the betting pros, primer. However, the last two weeks have kind of been me for me in props, three and two both weeks, but that's because I've been better at sides and totals, right? So that's kind of usually the cases when one of them is doing well, the other one does worse and vice versa. So looking to get closer to four and one in the props, maybe, maybe one of us can get a five and L, perfect week. I need to get a four and one. I don't have a four and one week. I've got two, two and threes and two, three and twos. I believe, believe two weeks ago when we were on the show, I went two and three. I think you went three and two, if I'm remembering correctly. And I want to be better. And I want us to get one of those five and us. Last week, if we want to take a look at the updates for at least Bogman and Joe, the Bogman was two and three, Joe Madden, three and two. So very nice. They put some good plays in there for you guys. On the year, Ericsson is 10 and five. I am eight and seven. We are still over 500 if those numbers seem to be correct. I feel like maybe, did I miss a week in there? Does that sound right? - No, that's not so. - 5, 10, 15. I don't know if there's some reason the math does. I feel like I think I might not have added up. Now that I'm thinking about it, I think that would be, I would be 10 and 10. Maybe I didn't add up the week that we were before. And you would be 13 and seven. Okay, so live update there. You are 13 and seven. I am 10 and 10. Gotta keep it over 500. A couple of touchdown calls. You're still positive ROI in your touchdowns. I am not. We will try to rectify that this week. And we will place in first touchdowns at the end of the show. So we got a lot for you as we're gonna be playing touchdowns, first touchdown. We unfortunately, the last thing before we get into this, we can't roll over Jamir Gibbs, but what we can tell you is Jamir Gibbs has hit five straight weeks every single week, as Eric soon has been doing. It's my favorite thing we're doing right now is you've been, you bet one unit, and then you take the winnings. You bet another and you've done it for five straight weeks. He's on a buy. He says he wants to be Lydany Lee Tomlinson's touchdown record going into week seven. Can you give us an update of what that's gonna look like? What is the, what units are we like at four? Are we at four or five units that will be placed next week? - I think it's four and a half or five units, I think is the amount that we're wagering on Jamir Gibbs anytime touchdown. It's actually really sad that the Lions are on a buy week because basically that's been the fuel to my anytime touchdown success. It's Jamir Gibbs scoring touchdowns and then picking players that are facing the Lions to score touchdowns. Like basically has been like the entire portfolio of touchdowns in the prop show. Through the first five weeks of the NFL season. - Lydany and Tomlinson has scored more, I'm sorry, not Lydany, it was in my brain. Jamir Gibbs has scored more touchdowns than we have correctly picked so far this season. He has scored more than you and I have had correct picks. So I'm sad because I actually also get a text. My, my, we're like going on and everything like that. If there's a really good better something, Ericsson will text me on Sunday. But I get a Sunday text as soon as Jamir Gibbs scores a touchdown. That's a guarantee. So I'm just, you're gonna have to find something else to text me about. Maybe we'll have like one of our crazy ones here. But I get a guaranteed Sunday text from Ericsson, Jamir Gibbs or LFG or something along those lines. - Oh, I said you the one that was, I think two weeks ago I saved the DJ Khaled. - Yeah, yeah, I know the one. Yeah, exactly. We're having a lot of fun with it. We can't do it this week, but at least next week we'll roll into it. So we'll remind you guys what that looks like. So we got the Jamir Gibbs role. We got our big board, Bogman and Joe Madden doing us right. Let's see what we're gonna be playing for this week. And let's jump into our props for week six. We've got 10 of them and Ericsson, why don't you kick us off with a quarterback prop. And this is actually one that I played two weeks ago and I cast. I think, at least I played this player on and under. I think it might have been completions. You're gonna play pass attempts for who? - Yep. For Michael Pennick Jr. Falcons quarterback gonna go under 31 and a half passcams. So this is a five star bet on the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet, five star NFL props right now are up over 25 units so far this season. The prop bet cheat sheet has been spawned on over the last several years when it comes to pass attempts. So that's always one of the markets I look like for when I'm looking for some of these props for the weekly show. So with Pennicks, I think it's really interesting case to take the under with him. You look at the Falcons and how they operate on offense. They are a run first offense. They are 30th and pass rate over expectation, which means they have the third highest run rate in those types of game scripts. So he's only gone over this number and one time in his last five games played. He had 32 attempts last week in that overtime game against the Falcons or excuse me against the Ravens. Now obviously he didn't play in the overtime period but still it was a back and forth type of game. The first two games of the season that he played just average 22.5 pass attempts. And the big thing that kind of makes it a little bit more of a confident bet here is the bears matchup. So the bears have faced the total lowest passing attempts this season at 26 per game to opposing defenses. Only one corner like the bears have faced. This year has actually surpassed 31 pass attempts. That was Bray song all the way back in week one. And then just kind of like the overarching point, this guy's dealing with a ribbon tree. So if I'm the Falcons play caller, does it make a lot of sense to okay, let's drop back to throw with the sky 40 times when we know we can run all over the Chicago bears. I think it's going to be run heavy games with B-john. Yes, he's going to occasionally throw two Drake London at his first read, but besides that, I don't really expect unless this game is another overtime type of thriller. The Pentax is going to be about 10 this many passes. So five star bet on the proper cheat sheet. I am definitely tailing it and I suggest you do the same. - Yeah, I actually was looking at this one as well. I think my bet was like 20.5 completions. Two weeks ago, and I think that played out well. I'm fully on board with this one with Michael Pentax. I'm going to be playing it over. This is my favorite targeted player for the week. It's the first thing that I put up on the sheet. Really just trying to find a decision on what side I wanted to play. I do lean into my receptions, but I held myself back a little bit and we're going to play the receiving arts for Jalen Warren this week. Jalen Warren going up against the bucks, the bucks, giving up over five catches by the way, which made me want to play the receptions. The reception marker is at 3.5, giving up about 35 yards receiving to running back so far this season. The projection totals on BP, it's slightly over, especially because the line flips a little bit. I think there's some spots is 27. I've got this locked in at 25.5. So 25.5 hits the marker for at least, the projection standpoint, if you care about that, but this is one of my favorite parts about it. PFF grading, running backs versus the bucks in RB coverage. 32 online backer coverage, 32 on defensive back coverage on running backs, and 32 on the D line. There it is. It is a bad run for running and for receiving. It works very, very well. That's the receiving grade. It's the second highest receiving grade according to PFF for running back for this week. Obviously he chunks it out. He's hit this four straight weeks, I believe. If you go over on betting pros, you can see four of the five games this season. He has hit this marker. And by the way, he's crushed it. They've all been over 30 yards receiving. There's no Roman Wilson, there's no Pittman, Aaron Rogers, dump off, Jalen Warren, goaded, 25.5 receiving yards. That's my favorite play of the week. That's my number one over. And when I got it, I had to get that one on the sheet just thinking you might, you might have snagged that from me. I didn't know if you were into Jalen Warren, but I quickly put that one up on the sheet. You guys could go and have some fun. And you guys can check out all of your bets, see how they reference versus betting pros. And you can find all of the NFL player prop bets with betting pros, prop bet cheat sheet. Quickly compare lines from leading sports books against our daily NFL projections, uncover the props, offering the most value. Make smarter, prop betting decisions. All season long of betting pros.com/props. And as mentioned, you can go in there [BLANK_AUDIO] and start sorting by projected EV five star bets, the five star bets and the four star bets as a simple click of just sorting you can go through have been wildly profitable this year. So go and check all of that out. The prop bet cheat sheet. It is your number one friend on Sunday. All right, let's go into our second props of the week. Erickson, hit us with your favorite second prop. - Jalen Coker going over 55 and a half receiving arts. The Panthers are taking on the Philadelphia Eagles without Jalen Hertz. This week, I know that I mentioned on the best bet show with Seth that the Panthers laying one and a half points was one of my favorite best bets. Now, obviously that was before the Jalen Hertz news broke. So just as an announcement, I'm still laying the points with Carolina Panthers. If it's three and a half, that's still one of my best bets. So continue to bet it with confidence and fade this Eagles team into oblivion. That's because they cannot cover slot receivers. They have allowed 108 yards per game to slot targets over his two healthy games. The season Jalen Coker has been over 55 and a half receiving arts and he eats out of the slot. That's where he runs. The majority of his routes. So second most slot targets faced two slot receivers is the Eagles defense. So I think Jalen Coker, again, brace on cooks when he's on the field. I think it's just going to continue here against a overrated Eagles defense. Over 300 passing arts allowed back to back games. Seventh most passing arts allowed this season per game. So give me the over on Coker. I made a rule, what, like week one. I think maybe it was week two when they did it again. I made a rule. If you are going to give me a half decent line on 4.5 over receptions on Parker, Washington, I'm going to take it. Well, guess what? It's not massively juiced. It's not 150 or anything like that. You can get it right around like one 20. I think it's floating around. Yeah, I still see 120. So I'm locked in at 120 over Parker, Washington receptions. You're not going to get me off of it. VP projections like this because they've got him at five receptions. He has hit this in three of his five. And what used to be, you know, a matchup that was, you know, not great. It was specifically because of Stingley. It was a Stingley effect here. Stingley has been okay. You know, he's like graded around 40th among cornerback so far this year. Ramsey, when Parker, Washington's playing out of the slot, is like unranked so far this year. So this is actually a positive, a great matchup, if you will, for Parker, Washington. And he has been the main target. They're going to continue slaying in him the ball. It's coming off of a six catch outing. You give me 4.5. I'm going to continue play it over. I saw some, it's on the fantasy side. And I completely agree with this. Someone this past week, I'm forgetting who it was, but they had pointed out they just said, you probably and your league is probably still undervaluing Parker, Washington. And I think that's still kind of playing out in the betting market a bit that I know people looking for like a little bit more consistency when he had that one big dud. But he is the number one target play here. And I'm going to play my Parker, Washington 4.5 reception. So enough to be said, that is my second prop of week six. All right, let's go to your third prop. Erickson, what do you got? - It is spooky season. So Cam's got a boo over 56 1/2 rushing yards. So I think that the market is sleeping a little bit here on the Giants running back. I know he lost the fumble last week, but John Harlow did not punish Naji Harris a couple of weeks ago after he fumbled. So I think Skataboo gets back to being the main workhorse for the Giants run game. And you can't ask for a better match up this week. And against the New Orleans Saints defense, there's allowed a league high 133.4 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs. No defense has allowed more yards before contact and after contact per carry this season. So Skataboo this year has been hit behind the line of scrimmage on a lot of his carries. He's been doing a lot of his damage after contact. So I think this is really one of his best matchups he had all season. New Orleans has allowed seven different running backs to hit not just double the defense points, but to hit at least 54 rushing yards against them. Again, seven running backs in five games that the Saints have allowed to hit 54 rushing yards. Skataboo has 56 1/2 rushing yards and four or five games played this season. The only one where he fell short was that Rams game when Jackson got, Jackson Dark got hurt in the beginning of the game. And James wins the game off the bench and was dreadful. Every other healthy game at Skataboo has played since week three of last season. He has hit at least 56 1/2 rushing yards. So I just think this number is too low. I'm taking the over. - I got another over I'm going to play for you, the Skataboo by the way. I'm going to play my Ramondray. Ramondray, your Ramondray, really? He's got the jersey right back there. - Ramonster, maybe. - Ramonster, I was trying to think of like a, if I had it, I didn't have it clearly. If I could have had some type of spooky, it's not even Halloween, but some spooky thing. Thank you Ramonster, dang it. Missed opportunity. Editor, can we cut this? Boom. Ramonster Stevenson, if I could have only had that. Ramonster Stevenson, I love it. Receiving yards over now. The tricky thing that popped up was everybody thought, like Guarantee Trivian Henderson was going to be so much so we had him knock that, because they're like, he's been missed multiple weeks on fantasy pro side. Well, then all of a sudden he was like in a practice. And that is kind of change of scope. I still think no matter what's going on, this is Ramondrey Stevenson. Steven Zinn, Zinn, it's Zinn. It's Ramondrey, Ramonster Stevenson. And receiving yards over is my play against the Jets. He's hit this in two straight weeks. He's gone over the 20 marker. The Jets are averaging around 28 yards given up receiving to running backs, but what's more important to me on this fact is they're giving up around six and a half yards per reception to running backs. And I think that's gonna play in well. From a coverage standpoint, the one that I'm really looking at, the Jets ranking 25th out of 32, a linebacker coverage against running backs. So we're gonna have that dumb off. Ramondrey plays that. He's hit that two straight weeks. I really like this lined up. 19.5 is the number that we're looking at. So over 19.5 receiving yards, it works even better by the way, if you end up getting an official Henderson out, you're gonna have Ramondrey gonna be locked into the total role, but I really don't even care. Travian doesn't really play a big role for this for me anyways. I personally think Stevenson is gonna get the sun one catch. So over 19.5 receiving yards, that is number three for me. As we move through our favorite props of the week, before we get to number four and five, I wanna tell you guys about the new prediction market, not so new here, 'cause we love to talk about polymarket. It's a stock exchange for sports, buying in and selling out on your terms. When your team goes down to 20%, you can buy in and sell it off at 40% when they come back and you can double your money. They're so confident you're never gonna go back to the other guys, they're giving you a free $25 in your first trade, when you deposit just $10. They've also launched this great new feature called Squads, it's group chat where you can see what everyone is trading on. So download the polymarket app today and use code FPPOD when you sign up, that's FPPOD to get $25 free after you deposit just 10 bucks. - Lacey Mosley, author, actor, stand-up, comedian, creator, and host of Scam Goddess Podcast. - The True Crime Comedy Podcast, all about robbery, fraud, and those who practice it. - Each week I bring on incredible guests like Conan O'Brien, Iowa Deppery, Lamor and Morris and Nicole Buyer. - Ooh, I scammed them. - What? - I could talk to you for an hour. - You're a generational yapper, like me. - And the scams run the gamut. I'm talking about scams from the 1800s, all the way up to today. I also warn you and keep you safe against scammers. Call your grandparents, tell your parents to stop clicking on links, please. If there's a scam, I'm here to protect you. And I'm also here to laugh with you. So if you like fun, if you like comedy, and you like learning and protecting yourself from criminals, start listening to Scam Goddess on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. - Yeah, I've got it. - There are thousands of podcasts that can tell you how to better yourself. Get worse with Kyle Pru is not one of those podcasts. So if you're interested in getting thinner, going to therapy, starting peptide, setting boundaries, taking supplements, making your better, getting closer, then I would humbly recommend other podcasts. But if you're interested in blackmail, love, bombing, cloning yourself, or getting revenge, then we've got a little something, something for a dastardly individual like you. Take a listen to some of the incredible advice we've given so far. Fake a back injury, get the spray tan, up your alcohol consumption. Only women should be allowed to have guns. - Kill 'em. - Kill 'em. Kill 'em with a gun. - Listen, it's already over. I'm all about lying if it's something that really happened. - The next time a bear is running at you, you just calmly stop what you're doing, you look the bear in the eye, and you say, "This isn't you." - Do not preserve relationships. You don't need them. You only need one thing, and that's the GetWorks podcast. - Listen to GetWorks with Kyle Pru on the IHR Radio App Apple Podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. - It's Dramas, and I want you to meet the disruptors who are setting today's trends and discover those who are building what's next. People like Sebastian Yatra. Life is on the other side of fear. Introducing Global Flow, a new podcast where I sit down with disruptors across music, entertainment, business, and tech. To break down what they're building, get the blueprints of how they got there, all while trying to figure out what's coming next. They'll share their stories, including not just the wins that we all see, but the moments they had to persevere through when everyone counted them out. People like the co-founder of Buddy's Coffee, Rachel, who quickly went from being a New York Times success story to facing eviction. - Being deemed a successful business by some New York Times, as like, "I'm going to be a little bit more patient." like a Puerto Rican girl from New York, who didn't finish college. I was like, I was like fully (beep) like I'm finally doing something. Like maybe this is all working out. And then that day when the landlord comes in, it's like you like (beep) did all over that idea and he stepped on me. - Listen to Global Flow as a part of the Michael Thura podcast network available on the iHeartRadio app Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. - All right, we've got more props in here. This is number four for each of us. I lose all my numerical side of how far we are 'cause we've got 10 total. But four for you, Mr. Erickson, we have a correlative parlay, both of ours. I love that you did this. We are playing a correlative parlay to where yours plays and it works for mine. - Well, because I was looking at your prop as well as one of my potential ones, but when I saw you're in the show sheet, I knew which direction I wanted to go in. So we are talking about the Titans wide receivers here because they have a juicy matchup this week against any Apple as Colts, but in a weird parallel universe, I'm the one that's actually taking the over here and you're the one that's taking the under. So I'm gonna go over on Wandaal Robinson at 35 and a half receiving yards. The Colts are a defense that you attack with slot receivers. They've allowed the second most yards to slot targets this season. If you look at on the prop at Analyzer for Wanda, Robinson and his receiving yards, comparable players, all green, all overs. For every other slot receiver that is faced, the Colts defense so far, the season, Wandaal's already gone over this number in three to five games this season and ranks fifth in the NFL in terms of slot targets. So he's gonna go over his receiving yards, which means, well, - Carnell Tate receptions are going under. I didn't take the receiving yards. I didn't take the receptions. I am playing the under receptions for Carnell Tate. That is actually a plus money play. That's floating out there. I'm very into that. I'm so close. I wonder if we can push this. Actually, now that I'm looking, it's even pushed to a little bit under minus money, but I wonder if we can get this to a five star. It is a three star bet right now, which by the way, the three star recommended bets on betting pros, 18.7% ROI so far this year. They are supporting, but the projections at four, he did not hit this obviously last week, three of five games this year. He has not hit this marker. He'd have to get to five. And I think the main thing, 'cause you and I talked about this in the rank show, which kind of inspired both parts of this, is that the slot is where they're gonna end up making any money. And also, you saw Taji Spears getting nine targets out of the backfield, whether it's Oz or it's Ward, like Tate's the one that's gonna get taken out of this game. The advantage is the players out of the slot. And you mentioned, that's Wando Robinson. So Wando on the up, Carnell Tate not finding five receptions, so we are going to play under 4.5 receptions for the week. This is my favorite one, because we're holding hands through the beach, it's footsteps. Carnell Tate, Aaron Joe Erickson, Wando Robinson, I'm always with you. We're always with on this bet. So under on Tate, over on Wando Robinson, that's gonna take us to our final props. And guess what, I'm taking an under. You're taking an under. And we are underwriting it here. So get us our final bet and you're under for this one. - Talk about a lot of different shows and programs this week about Jaden Daniels and how I think that his rushing is going to struggle here in this match against the 49ers. So I'm gonna take the under on Jaden Daniels, rushing yards at 38.5. The 49ers defense this season has a lot of the second fewest rushing arts per game to quarterbacks. And that's because of linebacker Fred Warner. He just totally changes the dynamic for scrambling quarterbacks and mobile quarterbacks. Then they haven't faced the most mobile of all quarterbacks this season, but when they have faced guys that can move, Malik Willis, Bonix, those guys combined for 16 rushing yards against the 49ers. It was a season low in rushing yards for Bonix. No quarterback has rushed for more than 10 yards against the 49ers. Four of the five quarterbacks that they have faced have gone under their rushing projection. Willis had six rushing yards with a 37.5 rushing yards prop. So he dramatically underwhelmed versus what the market was expecting. Malik Willis is a quarterback that, yeah, we expect him to run. Just like we expect Jaden Daniels to run, I think it's very curious that the number is almost identical to what Malik Willis was when he was up against the 49ers and he underwhelmed dramatically. Now, I know the prop at Chi Chi actually likes the attempts on the under a little bit more. So that was him that I was also considering, but it's also because the 49ers defense has just faced five scrambles. The season tied for fewest in the NFL. But Jaden Daniels, I just look at his game logs and like this guy's always rushing seven times and scrambling seven times in every single game. It seems like so I got a little spooked by that. And then just I'm going to trust in this defense, slowing him down with a QB spy because I don't think I've ever got many answers. Dude, it was interesting. I looked at the injury port for the 49ers of commanders game and someone made a comment. It's not really often that you see a injury port where there's more guys injured than the 49ers team. And that is the current state of the Washington commanders with more guys on their injury port than the San Francisco 49ers. How is that even possible? They have, they have, they could feel the roster of injured players. How is that possible? The commanders are really banged up like across the board on defense on offense. The receivers are both deal with hamstring injuries. George Croskey Merit has a groin injury now. So I think that Jaden Daniels are going to try to be superman. But I think in this case, well, you got bizarre on defense on the other side and his name is Fred Warner. So I'm taking it under. You need to do that. You got the monster. Oh, no, no. That's Kryptonite is Fred Warner. You getting monster. We got to reset that. Yeah, editor. Recut it. Recut it. Do the line again. You got to actually do it. Oh, I actually have to do it now. By the way, if you had the over on me knocking and dumping water all over my desk as I got super hyped up talking about the last prop, then you cashed if people were wondering what I was doing. I just was like, I'm like, because I talk with my hands and I just annihilated water everywhere. So I was trying to listen to all of your great takes while attempting to clean my desk so it didn't destroy everything. So your guys cashed that. All right. So you took a quarterback rushing under. You all get a quarterback rushing under because I am going to be joining you. But this time, I am going to be taking the under on rushing yards under Sean Watson. Dishon Watson definitely has had some of those bigger outputs. He had 40 last week, 45 and week three. He is playing a little bit of a week on week off. Week one, three and five. He's hit this two and four. He hasn't hit this. Maybe not, you don't have to play like necessary correlations here, but BP projections support this at around 27 rushing yards. This number is sitting at 28.5. And would you know it? Fun fact, the Ravens have not given up 27 more than 27 rushing yards to any single quarterback this season. That has not happened. They're also only giving up around four yards per carry on quarterback. So this would have to be something where the defense has locked down. And Dishon Watson feels he needs to run. That's not going to be this matchup with the Ravens. KC Concepts, you all hopefully out there, Harold Fanny gets back involved in it. This is not something that the Ravens are going to allow. Dishon Watson projections, they play under this. They have not allowed it. I like this. So I am going with a second under here. Dishon Watson under 28.5 rushing yards. Would you look at that? I said I wouldn't do two unders again because I finally lost my first under and now I'm going back to two. So we're going to have some fun with it. We've had Bizarre World and Monsters and Kryptonite. Let's go to some touchdowns though. Before we do, we're going to pick two touchdowns each and then our first touchdown. You guys can go and check out the touchdown score report. Looking for an edge in touchdown bets. We got you our touchdown score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets. Head to betting pros dot com slash touchdown for the latest touchdown prop analysis today. Mr. Andrew Erickson, holy crap, your two touchdowns. You have one that's going to be fun and then it's going to be really fun here. You are going to open some eyes. So please, my friend, let us know about your two touches and one of these is not your first touchdown by the way. I'm just letting you know, everyone know right now there's an over 10 to one touchdown call and that's not a first touchdown that you're playing. So hit us with your touchdown place. All right, going to go with Luther burden at plus 175 for an anytime touchdown. Why do you see her for the Chicago Bears Atlanta is allowing nearly two passing touchdowns per game. They are one of these defenses. That's more of a pass funnel then run funnel burden surprisingly ranks fifth in the NFL. This year in red zone targets the season among all wide receivers. He is eight. So given the fact that Caleb Looms is coming back, maybe gets a little bump. One of these bears past guys is going to find the end zone, whether it's burden, whether it's a dunes egg, whether it's love one, someone's going to score. And at least so far, the season burden has been the most heavily involved in the red zone. So that's the direction I'm going to go in with him at 175. And then my long shot for any time touchdown is green Bay Packers wide receiver, not Christian Watson, not happy golden. Wait. Can I stop you real quick? Oh, hold on. Your touchdown call is better odds than my first touchdown call. Who is a green Bay Packer? You have better touchdown odds on just in any time touchdown with this guy. Can you even pronounce his name? I don't know. It's Jay Michael stirred of aunt, I believe is his name. Green Bay Packers wide receiver, think he played around 13% of the snaps last week. But the most important thing. He caught a 40, three are touchdown pass last week that was nullified on an offensive pass. The coach has talked about this after the game that this is a corndog. to the coach speak index, shout out to Greg Raynas, excellent job over there. The coach has said that play he had last week would have been awesome to get him his first touchdown. But I'm sure it'll be coming pretty soon. That's all I'm saying. And when you're facing the Dallas Cowboys defense, you can pick and choose how you wanna score your touchdowns. So I think that the fact that he scored last week and it got taken off that the coach didn't be like, you know what, let's get him his touchdown. He had a really nice catch last week, but didn't count, let's get him his score, especially against the Dallas Cowboys. So that's gonna be my anytime. Jay Michael Stirdavant at 10 to 1. - 10 to the plus 10, 50, it's incredible. All right, my two plays, I'm gonna go, it's incredible plays here, Erickson. I'm gonna go with Isaiah likely. Isaiah likely at almost 2 to 1 plus 185. Seems to have given up a few touchdowns in here. Winston gonna be absolutely slinging the ball. I really like the target chair that he's getting right now. And when Winston is out there, we just know it's gonna be 40 plus pass attempts going up against the Saints. I think this is a great play. And then Jalen Coker, you mentioned you like Jalen Coker in this one, you know, we were trying to, we did this whole thing on tailgate about you. The Eagles and blah, blah, blah. And then we heard the Jalen hurts thing. But if you just, you know, bring it back to the Panthers and don't think about the obvious thing that's gonna happen, we all think the Panthers are gonna win now. So clear the Eagles will win by 20. Is that like the defense and DeGene has not been as good? And when you look at some of the touchdown plays as well, the six receiving touchdowns they've given up, I believe five of those six have come out of like slot receivers. So I mean, that is the play. And that is where Jalen Coker lives. He's gonna get those targets. I know that Titoro McMillan has been the dude, especially from a red zone perspective, but he should see coverage. Jalen Coker, I think Bryce Young will be slaying the ball. Jalen Coker is three to one, three times. So yeah, I love the odds on that one. So Jalen Coker, anytime touchdown, that is going to be my play. And that takes us finally to our first touchdowns. We have not hit one. So I will say we are getting to the point where we kind of need to hit one soon, you know, because it's like, I mean, I guess not. Like we could go probably 10 weeks without it being like too much of an issue. But like, let's try to hit one here. So there are no 80 to ones. There's no 50 to ones in here. I'm gonna just tell you right now. I'm gonna get mine out of the way because yours is like a little bit sexier. I don't shut up about this. But Christian Watson has scored like three first anytime touchdowns. Jordan Love loves him. They love to go to him deep in games. He continuously gets the first touchdown. And I think that game is going to be sling in the crap out of the ball. And he has a little bit less odds than your touchdown call. He's 10 to one 10, which actually is better than I think the previous week where he's like seven and a half to one. I'm gonna just roll this out again and take a shot at it. 10 to one Christian Watson in a game that I think is going to be heavily pass influenced. And the ball goes to Christian Watson early and often so 10 to one is mine. You my friend. You are dancing with the devil on your play. You're going to London. And my God, are you really going to pick the name that I think you're going to pick? Marvin Harrison Jr. 22 to one to score the first touchdown for the Houston Texans taking on the Jacksonville. London Jaguars. The last time we saw Marvin Harrison Jr. we see just your out as his quarterback. He caught 14 touchdowns in 2022. The last game these two ties played together at the Ohio State University. Two Saudis against Georgia and the college football playoff. I want to use this so much. I want to say and he's gonna have packages that are going to 100% be in the red zone. Like you know that. Just about to say that you know they're not going to care about like when they're on the 30 and they're running their second down package on the fourth play. No, it's going to just be like 20 red zone run out. You're 100% gonna see. They're going to shrouds. He's going to he's going to run out of the huddle. He's going to be out wide solidified isolated. He's looking Marvin. He's going to be like he's looking Marvin. It's going to be Travis Hunter lined up with him one on one. And I mean the Texas want to look smart, right? They want to look like yeah, we made the smart move and then want to make the Cardinals look dumb. So they're going to be like we're going to get our guy touched out. And look Marvin Harrison Jr. The last time he put in the Cardinals. He did catch touchdown back in week three. So yeah, I think that this is what he's actually done well at the NFL level. Like he scored eight touchdowns as a rookie. Like he's commanded a high target share of end zone targets throughout his NFL career. This is what he has been good at. And I think that's going to start here in week one. I think there's going to be like a precedent to like, let's get him a touchdown, right? Let's get all the good feels out the good vibes. Shroud, the Ohio State, all that good stuff, especially against the rival like the Jaguars. Like this is a must win game for the Houston Texans or also going to fall to one in five because right now they're one in four. So they need this win. They got to upset the Jaguars and hey, MHA. I've seen crazier things. I love a narrative based first touchdown bet. Like that was my use check one. Like just give me a narrative to play around with the logic and I'm, I'm just, I mean, he's lucky for it. It happened what with the, the Jawan Johnson one back in week one. It was his birthday. So of course, they're going to get him a touchdown. I don't like any of our narratives of work, but like, all he needs to work once for us to not shut the hell up about it. So to be up, so we'll get there. I love it. I think yours is way more fun. Mine is just like he keeps doing it. So clearly it's going to be Matthew Golden in this one. But like, all Watson does is do it, but yours is just so much. I mean, there's a reason why I didn't put Sturdyvon as the first touchdown because to your point, it's Watson and Golden. Those guys both rank top five in end zone targets this year because when they get into the red zone, Eric Jordan love is just slinging the ball to all of these guys. So yeah, I think that, I mean, nothing would make me happier than on Sunday night football. Christian Watson scores the first touchdown. Next drive, Sturdyvon, our guy scores the next touchdown. I mean, just give the, you know what? That's how I'm going to get my Sunday text from Ericsson. I'll get my Sunday text from Ericsson there. I won't get it from Jermir Gibbs, but I'm going to get it from Studevon or whatever. I do wonder what any ideas. I don't know what the J in his name stands for. It may just be J. Do you have any guesses for J Michael Sturdyvon? It can also contain J James James James is like a pretty good. I mean, we could look it up here. No, I want to, I want to see what you might think. Oh, yeah, you're old James. I'm going to say James, do you have a pick? I'll go with a. Go with Joe. Joe. Let's see, oh, it's Jay. You got to Jay Michaels. I just went away from it. I don't know. His name might just be J to. It's like J Michael Sturdyvon. Let's see if we're going to find it. Well, now everyone's going to have to hang out with us. You see sports reference should usually tell us, right? Sure. Verifying. And there's nothing. It just says Jay. What's the J? Someone tell us the J. Okay. In the comments below, 35 of you can all say the same thing or look for the first person to do it. We need to know what the J is. That's all we're looking for. But yeah, I'm going to go with James. What did you say? I'm sure. Joe. But I mean, his name just might, his first name might just be J Michael. Like, it didn't look like it was like J dot, like it was an impregnation. Like Michael's the middle name. Which is okay. We're going to find out. You know what? The whole world's going to know where his score is. Michael's my middle name. I was going to be named. I was told I was going to be named to Michael and I wasn't. I was named Chris and then you guys are done with it. Shut up. Shut up. You're going to give it the best. I thought your name was Welsh. It's the. Actually, my legal name is the. And then it's what. That's how it is. All right. You guys can't complain, by the way, because we gave you all the stuff. You can't be like, hey guys, shut up. Get to the bets. We did it. So you can go away if you want. What Jay is and we learned that Erickson was Michael. I could have been a Michael. Are you? I don't know. Get your bet. Let us know in the comments. Are you Michael? All right. We've devolved. Wait. This is late night prop betting. This is the best kind. Hopefully you guys enjoyed it. 10 prop bets for any time touchdowns. Some first touchdowns. We'll see how we did last week. We'll see if the loopy betting show ends up being profitable. Shout out to Joe Madden and Scott Bogman last week holding it down. Shout out to you guys that were here for them and that you are here for us. Hopefully we are going to cash you guys some big stuff. Make sure you guys download the betting pros app. That is the way that you are going to be able to do all of the great stuff from tracking your bets better than any other place. You can check out all the stuff we talked about from the prop bed cheat sheet. You can get some personalized picks based on your history. You can get into the five star. I'm telling you, go and explore it. Don't even just listen to me. Go and explore it for yourself. And pros.com/app going download that today that is going to do it. We got to get out of here. Good luck in week six. Hopefully you guys make some money and we'll talk to you next week right here on betting pros. That's Erickson. Bye Michael. Peace out. Thanks for listening to the betting pros podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on X and Tiktok at betting pros and Instagram at betting pros NFL. Also, subscribe to our YouTube channel at youtube.com/bettichpros. I'm Lacey Mosley, author, actor, stand-up, comedian, creator, and host of scam goddess podcasts. The True Crime Comedy Podcast, all about robbery, fraud and those who practice it. Each week I bring on an amazing guess. Ooh, I scam them. What? You're a generational yapper. Like me. 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